Welcome to silly season

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Jun 01, 2023 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Zi-Ann Lum, Kyle Duggan and Joseph Gedeon

Presented by Google

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Thanks for reading the Ottawa Playbook. We’re your hosts, Kyle Duggan, Zi-Ann Lum and Joseph Gedeon. It’s that time of the year when the p-word is thrown around, ex-governor general DAVID JOHNSTON is doubling down on his mandate as special rapporteur. Plus, it’s BILL BLAIR’s day in the hot seat at a parliamentary committee to explain why he didn’t get a CSIS memo about MICHAEL CHONG two years ago.

DRIVING THE DAY


SILLY SEASON, ACT ONE — Justice Minister DAVID LAMETTI took a bold stand Wednesday. Against ... proroguing.

“Those aren't my decisions but I would definitely be opposed to it, because I've got a lot of work to do,” he said.

Also seemingly against are Transportation Minister OMAR ALGHABRA and Liberal MP GREG FERGUS.

The subject came up Wednesday in scrum after scrum, days after the National Post’s JOHN IVISONraised the prospect of some kind of reset for a tired government at its midway point. A prorogue? A shuffle?

Liberal MP SEAN CASEY called it a perennial rumor, declaring it midway through the summer sillies — a day before June 1, even.

“I don't know where this is coming from,” he said. “We’re in the middle of silly season, there's all kinds of foolish rumors and I’d put that in this category.”

That has Playbook wondering, when is the official kick-off date for silly season?

When the hot house that is the Hill runs on overdrive and the stakes amp up over everything, speculation and rumors abound, partisanship levels run dangerously high in the veins of MPs and all-around strange things start happening in the rush to rise for the summer.

House Speaker ANTHONY ROTA declined an interview on the topic. In any case, buckle up. The next few weeks will be a ride.

NEXT UP IN JUNE HELL — The government has signaled plans to table a proposal to make “permanent changes to the Standing Order” in the House to entrench hybrid Parliament.

Some hon. members: Oh, oh!

Public Services and Procurement Minister HELENA JACZEK has signed a five-page government response to a House committee report recommending rule changes to keep a hybrid parliament.

Spoiler: Conservative and Bloc members are opposed.

Hybrid provisions were first adopted in the early days of the pandemic. The rules, which allow MPs to work remotely and vote via an app, are set to expire at the end of this month.

Parliamentary interpreters have long complained that poor audio quality is to blame for headaches and tinnitus. Those with hearing injuries can only work four-hour shifts, creating a labor shortage of interpreters in the House. In lengthy responses Jaczek committed to improve their working conditions.

JOHNSTON DOUBLES DOWN — Former governor general DAVID JOHNSTON says he has no plans to bail on his special rapporteur role, even though the Commons passed a non-binding motion to dump him from the post.

“I deeply respect the right of the House of Commons to express its opinion about my work going forward, but my mandate comes from the government,” Johnston said in response to the move.

Vote results for JAGMEET SINGH’s opposition-day motion fell on party lines, with the NDP, Conservatives and Bloc Québécois teaming up against the Liberals: 174 to 150.

It puts Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU on the defensive yet again over foreign interference, as the opposition parties renewed their calls for a public inquiry and referred instructions to draft a plan for one to the House procedure and affairs committee.

TODAY’S SHOWDOWN — The Commons procedure and House Affairs picks up its study of Beijing’s alleged intimidation campaign against Conservative MP MICHAEL CHONG with Trudeau’s National Security and Intelligence Advisor JODY THOMAS in the hot seat.

The political jousting won’t pick up speed until the second panel when Emergency Preparedness Minister BILL BLAIR takes questions.

Blair was the public safety minister mentioned in Johnston’s report, the one who didn’t see a Canadian Security Intelligence Service memo warning about Beijing's plan to target Chong.

 

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For your radar

THREAT ENVIRONMENT — CBC News and Radio-Canada reported Wednesday that RCMP may soon employ new units to boost the protection of some ministers and high-level public servants.

— Daniel Leblanc writes: “The government's decision to include senior bureaucrats among the people the RCMP protects points to a growing level of alarm in official Ottawa over the threat of political violence.” The decision rests with the Treasury Board.

— On the Hill: Minister of Crown-Indigenous Relations Marc Miller took a question on the news while en route to caucus on Wednesday. He would not discuss operational details, but he did acknowledge public officials are experiencing a heightened sense of vulnerability. “We certainly feel it, and I’m usually not the one that’s targeted,” he told reporters. “Cabinet ministers that are a target are ones — usually they’re female or racialized. So if I’m feeling it, it probably means that others are feeling it more than I am. So it is a worry.”

Families Minister Karina Gould said the landscape for politicians from all parties has changed. “I myself have had to have RCMP protection on a couple of occasions,” she said. “There is definitely a change in threats and violence against politicians in Canada.”

TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS


— Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU starts his day in Ottawa to join the Crown-Métis Nation Summit at 9 a.m. with a Cabmin entourage: MARC MILLER, PATTY HAJDU, DAN VANDAL, BILL BLAIR and PABLO RODRIGUEZ.

The PM has a 3:20 p.m. event in Toronto to meet with gun safety advocates before giving remarks at the National Day Against Gun Violence.

— Deputy Prime Minister CHRYSTIA FREELAND is in Winnipeg where she will hold a roundtable with academic and business leaders. Later in the afternoon, she’ll tour a post-secondary research center.

— Polish Prime Minister MATEUSZ MORAWIECKI is in Ottawa for an official bilateral visit. “Regional defense and security challenges” are on top of the agenda.

— National Defense Minister ANITA ANAND will be in Singapore to attend the Shangri-La Dialogue.

8:15 a.m. Natural Resources Minister JONATHAN WILKINSON, Emergency Preparedness Minister BILL BLAIR, Indigenous Services Minister PATTY HAJDU and Tourism Minister RANDY BOISSONNAULT hold a press conference about this year’s wildfire season.

10 a.m. National Security and Intelligence Advisor JODY THOMAS and Emergency Preparedness Minister BILL BLAIR will be at the House procedure and House affairs committee to discuss Beijing’s intimidation campaign against Conservative MP MICHAEL CHONG.

11 a.m. The House foreign affairs committee launches its study of Canada’s sanctions system.

HALLWAY CONVERSATION


DAVID PERRY is president of the Canadian Global Affairs Institute. We spoke to him ahead of today’s CGAI international affairs conference in Ottawa. The conversation has been edited for length and clarity.

Can you give us a brief overview of Canadian defense policy as it stands?

Successive governments — going back close to 20 years — have been reinvesting in defense, adding more money progressively over time. That's been a bipartisan effort, but one that started from a pretty low level. That's all effectively still trying to help us rebuild and reconstitute from cuts in the 1990s. The war in Ukraine, as an example, has shown some of the limitations.

We're starting from relatively low levels of investment and that leaves us in a dynamic where we're sitting at defense investment levels of around 1.3 percent of GDP. While there's various plans to get to that number go a little bit higher, potentially 1.4 to 1.5 percent of GDP, we have to have a pretty significant increase in how much defense procurement — for equipment in particular — is happening.

Right now, we're not spending money fast enough to keep pace with the growth in the economy.

How likely is it that Canada increases its contributions?

Because of those successive, bipartisan, alternating Liberal-Conservative-Liberal plans, there are plans already to see defense spending increased by several billion dollars over the next several years. Even if no one makes another formal announcement of adding new money, those are already baked into existing plans.

The spending is going up, but spending it as a share of GDP is probably not going up all that much, unless there's some kind of big change made from this point forward.

Is Canada feeling the pressure to up their defense investments?

We've been feeling that pressure for a number of years. At this point, it's fairly clear the government doesn't feel much pressure to act on that pressure. So our allies have been fairly consistent in pushing us to spend more — the United States, in particular; but this government doesn't seem to be very motivated by that.

Do you have a target for what Canada should be spending?

Well, 2 percent is what we committed to with our allies. If we want to be seen by the rest of the alliance as a good ally, then we should have a plan to shortly reach 2 percent of GDP on spending. I think midpoint, like laying out a process where we get to, like, say 1.75 in five years. That would be a good start, and a significant departure from where we are today.

MEDIA ROOM

— From POLITICO Canada’s ZI-ANN LUM: Trudeau Cabinet approves another C$3B in loan guarantees for Trans Mountain pipeline.

Here is the latest on the debt deal via our Washington colleagues.

ROB BENZIE and TONDA MACCHARLES report that Ottawa and Ontario have a  tentative deal to save the Stellantis EV battery plant.

— In a world first, Canada will soon print health warnings onto individual cigarettes, JOSEPH GEDEON reports.

The ARC Ideas Energy pod considers the outlook for Alberta energy policy.

AARON WHERRY of CBC News writes: Populist or not, Danielle Smith is another challenge to Liberal climate policy.

PLAYBOOKERS


Birthdays: Immigration Minister SEAN FRASER and Conservative MP LARRY MAGUIRE are birthday twins.

Spotted: Former NDP MP ROMEO SAGANASH back on the Hill outside West Block.

U.S. Ambassador DAVID L. COHEN, Defense Minister ANITA ANAND, CEO Lockheed Martin Canada LORRAINE BEN, Conservative MP ERIN O'TOOLE and Liberal MP JENNA SUDDS at Cansec 2023 at the EY Centre.

Movers and shakers: Foreign Affairs Associate Deputy Minister CINDY TERMORSHUIZEN is Canada’s G-7 summit Sherpa. PCO’s DANIEL ROGERS is the new deputy national security and intelligence adviser to the prime minister — kind of a key role these days. STEPHEN DE BOER is the next foreign and defense policy adviser to the prime minister. TUSHARA WILLIAMS moves from finance to become deputy minister of intergovernmental affairs at PCO.

PROZONE


If you’re a subscriber, don’t miss our latest policy newsletter: Hill news cycle in overdrive.

In other Pro headlines:

‘Poison in every puff’: Canada to put warning labels on individual cigarettes.

Raimondo is hopeful of progress with China after Wang meeting.

McCarthy tries to hold off last-minute rebellion over work requirements in debt deal.

Amazon pays $31M to resolve two FTC privacy investigations.

Mike Pence to announce presidential campaign next week.

On the Hill

Find the latest House committees here

Keep track of Senate committees here

8:15 a.m. The government holds a press conference about this year’s wildfire season.

9 a.m. Sipekne'katik First Nation Chief MICHELLE GLASGOW and Chief WILBERT MARSHALL of the Assembly of Nova Scotia Mi’kmaw Chiefs will be at the Senate fisheries committee.

9 a.m. The Senate energy committee meets to continue its study of climate change and Canada’s oil and gas industry.

9 a.m. The Senate internal economy, budgets and administration committee meets.

9 a.m. The Senate agriculture committee continues its study of soil health in Canada.

10 a.m. National Security and Intelligence Advisor JODY THOMAS and Emergency Preparedness Minister BILL BLAIR will be at the House procedure and House affairs committee.

11 a.m. The House foreign affairs committee launches its study of Canada’s sanctions system.

11 a.m. The House transport, infrastructure and communities committee meets to continue their study looking at adapting infrastructure to face climate change.

11 a.m. The House science committee meets to continue their study of the government’s graduate scholarship and post-doctoral fellowship programs.

11:30 a.m. Roman Waschuk, Canada’s former ambassador to Ukraine, will be at the Senate foreign affairs committee’ s study of the situation in the country.

3:30 p.m. The House fisheries committee continues its study of foreign ownership and corporate concentration of fishing license and quota.

3:30 p.m. The House international trade committee meets to study non-tariff barriers in Canada’s existing and potential international trade agreements.

3:30 p.m. The House public accounts committee meets.

6:30 p.m. The House veterans affairs committee meets to continue their study of the experience of women veterans.

Behind closed doors: The House health committee will review its report about children’s health; the House status of women committee meets to go over its women and girls in sport report; a fossil fuels subsidies report is again on the House environment committee’s agenda; the Senate social affairs committee have its draft report about Bill C-47 on its to-do list.

TRIVIA


Wednesday’s answer: The original design for the maple leaf on the National Flag of Canada had 13 points.

Props to KEVIN BOSCH, GORDON RANDALL, GEORGE SCHOENHOFER and ROBERT MCDOUGALL.  

Today’s question: This PM, a lawyer by training, was an initial investor in the Calgary Petroleum Products Company that started drilling wells in 1913.

Send your answer to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Want to grab the attention of movers and shakers on Parliament Hill? Want your brand in front of a key audience of Ottawa influencers? Playbook can help. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com

Playbook wouldn’t happen: Without Luiza Ch. Savage and Sue Allan.

 

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