Is there a future for U.S.-China research collaboration?

Presented by eBay: How the next wave of technology is upending the global economy and its power structures
May 13, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO's Digital Future Daily newsletter logo

By Christine Mui

Presented by 

eBay

With help from Derek Robertson

The U.S. and Chinese flags are pictured. | Getty Images

The Chinese and United States flags. | Getty Images

For anyone excited about the possibilities of U.S.-China science collaboration, the new semiconductor at Georgia Tech is a perfect example of how globalized research drives progress.

In January, physicist Walt de Heer produced the world’s first functional graphene-based semiconductor, developed mostly at a joint Georgia Institute of Technology-Tianjin University lab. He dubbed his breakthrough a “Wright brothers moment,” the birth of a next-generation material that could undergird the electronic devices of the future.

For some worried about the risks of U.S.-China collaboration, however, it’s a blinking red light.

After Rep. John Moolenaar (R-Mich.) took over last month as the new chair of the House China panel, the very first investigation he launched was into Georgia Tech’s graphene work. In a letter last week, he asked Georgia Tech’s president to detail its ties with China’s Tianjin University, which since 2020 has been under sanctions on a U.S. trade blacklist called the Entity List. The Commerce Department subjected the university to extra restrictions after professors there were charged in 2015 for stealing U.S. trade secrets.

Is anything actually wrong? Right now it’s unclear; the Moolenar letter merely says the joint research “raises questions about Georgia Tech’s compliance with the Entity List.” Georgia Tech spokesperson Blair Meeks said it will cooperate with the inquiry and insists on strict adherence to all national security rules.

The project right now is purely in research mode; even if the idea succeeds, it will be more than a decade before any graphene semiconductor is developed enough to use in a device. But the rival ways of seeing this very basic, cutting-edge project — triumph, or trojan horse for an adversary — highlight the challenges of pushing science forward in a globalized community where every technology is potentially also a competitive threat.

The panel’s probe raised concerns about Georgia Tech working with Tianjin University in an area that could have “significant military applications,” such as quantum computing capabilities for advanced autonomous weapons and cyberattacks. De Heer and other experts previously told DFD it was premature even to talk about practical uses like that.

Business competition is also a possible concern, especially in an area like semiconductors, which the U.S. has identified as a key venue of global competition. The emergence of a new paradigm in chip manufacturing, such as graphene semiconductors, could pose a threat by potentially allowing China to produce advanced chips with a medium that gets around U.S. export controls.

This raises one important question: At what point does the rising tension between the U.S. and China, and the increasing hawkishness of Washington, start to slow down high-tech advances in a way that hurts American interests?

Caroline Wagner, an Ohio State University expert on international affairs and tech policy, said the pullback is coming more from the U.S. side than from China, and she has already seen troubling outcomes. Research papers co-authored by U.S. and Chinese scientists have dropped in recent years.

“That's a shame,” she told DFD. “We’re losing important connections that enrich U.S. science. I don't see the same dropoff in Europe, so I think that the dropoff has been caused by U.S. pressures on universities about security rather than it being about the science.”

It might seem that very early-stage research would evade this kind of scrutiny as a threat — but Wagner points out that the line between basic science and applied research can be fuzzy, and vary drastically for different emerging technologies. As a result, policymakers have not found consensus about when to worry about a new idea.

“In some areas, the space between basic research and application is really short, like pharmaceuticals or genetics, where you could go from basic chemical to a bioweapon with just a few steps,” she said. In this case, however, “there is a huge barrier to entry in terms of actually fabricating a new semiconductor and producing it.”

Those nuances may be becoming less relevant. Sourabh Gupta, an international relations policy specialist at the Institute for China-America Studies, said there’s been a paradigm shift in the U.S. since Trump labeled China a strategic “competitor” in his first 2017 national security strategy. It continued into the Biden administration, with National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan designating computing-related technologies (which include chips, artificial intelligence, and quantum) as so-called force multipliers, meaning each could significantly boost China’s military.

“He said, these next 10 years are our critical years, and we plan to keep as big a lead as possible, not just be one generation ahead,” Gupta said. “And what he didn't say was also try to suppress the Chinese in trying to catch up.”

Researchers are currently waiting to see if the two countries will renew a historic agreement that has facilitated research collaboration between them for decades. It was set to expire in August 2023, then was extended by Beijing and Washington to allow for six months of negotiations.

“They're trying to limit it and narrow it down significantly, so that it's not going to be science and technology across the board,” said Gupta. His read of Moolenaar’s letter is that it appeared more concerned about Georgia Tech’s particular area of research than its actual conduct.

Gupta expects this new, more restrictive kind of thinking to ramp up with the election, as the Biden administration locks down tough-on-China rules, and continue regardless of the outcome. As evidence, he pointed out that late last week (in an update that will publish tomorrow), the Commerce Department added more Chinese firms and institutes to the Entity List, some for aiding Beijing’s quantum computing efforts.

“Basically, any advancing computing capabilities will be deemed to have some element of military application. And it doesn't matter if it is an academic or research institute and if that research has immediate commercial applicability or not. Better to be safe than sorry,” Gupta said.

 

A message from eBay:

Small businesses rely on trust. That’s why eBay has invested billions into building a trusted online marketplace for everyone. The result? Millions of flourishing businesses and entrepreneurs thrive on eBay. And 43% of sellers are in small towns and rural communities. See how the original find-anything marketplace is America’s go-to small-business platform.

 
the ai lobby

Artificial intelligence lobbyists are putting the full court press on Washington.

POLITICO’s Brendan Bordelon reported on the AI companies and investors, including IBM, Meta, Nvidia, and venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, who are telling lawmakers to nix new AI safety rules in the name of competition with China.

Brendan writes that the push sets up a philosophical conflict between their camp and voices that have called for licensing regimes and rules to head off AI’s existential risks, including OpenAI and Microsoft — and that some influential lawmakers appear to be leaning toward the fewer rules camp.

“What we don’t want to have happen is have [advanced AI] development occur outside of the United States,” Sen. Mike Rounds (R-S.D.), one of four lawmakers in Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer’s AI working group, told POLITICO. “So we’re not going to try to restrict development here.”

 

A message from eBay:

Advertisement Image

 
the crypto platform

House Republicans are setting up to make crypto a live political issue this campaign season.

POLITICO’s Morning Money reported today on their move to hold a vote on GOP-led legislation that would set up new rules for crypto trading. The bill will probably not pass the Democratic-held Senate, but it will add to the growing partisan divide on crypto as a policy issue as Republicans led by former President Donald Trump try to position themselves as the pro-crypto party.

Just ask Mark Cuban, who wrote on X ““If @joebiden loses, there is a good chance you will be able to thank @GaryGensler and the @NewYork_SEC. Crypto is a mainstay with younger and independent voters.”

MM does, however, provide a bit of a reality check for those hoping the trading frenzy around crypto will translate to the polls. They note a survey last year finding only about 17 percent of U.S. adults ever invested in, traded or used a cryptocurrency, a number which has remained largely flat for three years running now. Additionally, most who had heard of crypto said they were skeptical of its safety and reliability.

 

THE GOLD STANDARD OF TECHNOLOGY POLICY REPORTING & INTELLIGENCE: POLITICO has more than 500 journalists delivering unrivaled reporting and illuminating the policy and regulatory landscape for those who need to know what’s next. Throughout the election and the legislative and regulatory pushes that will follow, POLITICO Pro is indispensable to those who need to make informed decisions fast. The Pro platform dives deeper into critical and quickly evolving sectors and industries, like technology, equipping policymakers and those who shape legislation and regulation with essential news and intelligence from the world’s best politics and policy journalists.

Our newsroom is deeper, more experienced, and better sourced than any other. Our technology reporting team—including Brendan Bordelon, Josh Sisco and John Hendel—is embedded with the market-moving legislative committees and agencies in Washington and across states, delivering unparalleled coverage of technology policy and its impact across industries. We bring subscribers inside the conversations that determine policy outcomes and the future of industries, providing insight that cannot be found anywhere else. Get the premier news and policy intelligence service, SUBSCRIBE TO POLITICO PRO TODAY.

 
 
Tweet of the Day

$GME Paused due to volatility

The Future in 5 links

Stay in touch with the whole team: Derek Robertson (drobertson@politico.com); Mohar Chatterjee (mchatterjee@politico.com); Steve Heuser (sheuser@politico.com); Nate Robson (nrobson@politico.com); Daniella Cheslow (dcheslow@politico.com); and Christine Mui (cmui@politico.com).

If you’ve had this newsletter forwarded to you, you can sign up and read our mission statement at the links provided.

 

A message from eBay:

Why do millions of small businesses and entrepreneurs rely on eBay? We’ve invested billions to create a safe and trusted online marketplace for both buyers and sellers.

With the latest technology and innovation, we’ve built a platform where anyone, anywhere can launch and grow their business. In fact, 43% of eBay sellers live in small towns and rural communities.

By building real connections between consumers and businesses that transcend geography, we’re providing every American a chance to transform their passions into small business success.

See what makes eBay the online home of opportunity. Learn more at eBaysmallbiz.com.

 
 

LISTEN TO POLITICO'S ENERGY PODCAST: Check out our daily five-minute brief on the latest energy and environmental politics and policy news. Don't miss out on the must-know stories, candid insights, and analysis from POLITICO's energy team. Listen today.

 
 
 

Follow us on Twitter

Ben Schreckinger @SchreckReports

Derek Robertson @afternoondelete

Steve Heuser @sfheuser

 

Follow us

Follow us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Instagram Listen on Apple Podcast
 

To change your alert settings, please log in at https://login.politico.com/?redirect=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com/settings

This email was sent to salenamartine360.news1@blogger.com by: POLITICO, LLC 1000 Wilson Blvd. Arlington, VA, 22209, USA

Unsubscribe | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service

Post a Comment

Previous Post Next Post