Tough talk, UFOs, and a hashtag fail

A daily look inside Canadian politics and power.
May 06, 2024 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Nick Taylor-Vaisey with Philippe J. Fournier


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Welcome to Ottawa Playbook. Let's get into it.

In today’s edition: 

→ The fishbowl reacts to PIERRE POILIEVRE's tough talk about lobbyists.

→ The budget bill is up for debate. How far behind are opposition antics?

→ The inside story of that infamous “March holidays” tweet.

THREE THINGS WE'RE WATCHING

DRAIN THE SWAMP — Tory leader PIERRE POILIEVRE's latest message to corporate Canada took direct aim at lobbying and the way Ottawa works.

Here's the drill: a "Hill Day" meeting blitz, a luncheon panel off the Hill, detailed testimony at parliamentary committees, and a buzzy reception to cap it off.

Poilievre's advice to anybody who wants a policy to become a law: Scrap the standard operating procedure.

"Your communications must reach truckers, waitresses, nurses, carpenters — all the people who are too productive" to watch ParlVu or CPAC, he wrote Friday in the National Post.

Translation: Don't send the C-suite to Ottawa and expect much of a response from Poilievre without buy-in from the bottom of the corporate food chain.

This was, as we say, a talker that spawned myriad internal memos.

Imagine a world in which lobbyists and PR pros didn't do their Hill thing.

— Spare a thought for the poorly paid interns who dine on free poutine and beer. They owe their daily spread to a parade of industry and advocacy groups and the Hill-adjacent firms paid handsomely to get the good word out to parliamentarians about a cause.

Open bars are a must, as are the heat lamps keeping the sliders warm. Interns survive on it. MPs and senators and staffers and journalists and lobbyists don't, though everybody's a freeloader after 5:30 p.m.

→ Alternate timeline: What would everybody do if the reception-industrial complex came crashing down? Pile into the nearest Royal Oak? Pay for a meal? In this economy?

— Target-rich environment: Poilievre created a bad PR day for a corporate hit list, dismissing TC Energy and Teck Resources as "gutless" for not hitting back at Ottawa's refusal to play ball on resource projects. He called out Beer Canada (a frequent Poilievre target) for going soft.

He launched a straight-up divestment campaign against the Business Council of Alberta and the Canadian Federation of Independent Business, calling on their members to drop out. (It didn't take long to confirm the Conservative Alberta caucus is no fan of the biz lobby group.)

— The Pierre whisperers: When Poilievre delivered a series of anti-lobbyist broadsides at the Greater Vancouver Board of Trade in March, conservative thinkers jumped at the chance to explain what he really meant.

Former Hill staffer REGAN WATTS penned a prescient op-ed at The Hub before Poilievre landed in Vancouver. GINNY ROTH, the comms director on Poilievre's leadership campaign, interpreted his speech — also at The Hub. The site's most recent Dialogues podcast considered Poilievre's approach. (We're detecting a pattern here.)

— Cheeky rebuttal: Lobbyists who know their way around the federal bureaucracy have a comeback for feisty Conservatives skeptical of the Queen Street crew.

All it takes is one question: "Do you really trust all the policymaking to bureaucrats?"

— Donor circuit: Poilievre is taking his message on the road this week with at least two fundraisers in the Greater Toronto Area. He'll visit a private residence in North York on Thursday and a Saturday rally at a transport logistics company in Mississauga.

BUDGET DEBATE — With an extended budget roadshow mostly in the rear view, the House takes up debate on the 686-page omnibus budget bill packed with at least some of the many headline measures — along with a pile of other legislative tweaks.

— No drama: We already know Bill C-69 has the support of the House. Last week, the NDP cast key votes for the government's budgetary policy.

— OK, maybe some: This Conservative opposition gums up any Liberal priority in the House. The party dug into its bag of tricks last December, forcing a House vote all-nighter on government spending estimates and attempting similar tactics on a sustainable jobs bill at the House natural resources committee.

Liberals and New Democrats forced a rule change that prevents vote marathons between midnight and 9 a.m., ending the prospect of more all-nighters.

But the Tory House leader's office on West Block's fourth floor is surely cooking up something in the spirit of making the government's life generally miserable.

— Fine-tooth comb: The House finance committee probes C-69's tax policy measures at a Tuesday meeting. Bureaucrats who deal in personal and business income tax, industrial decarbonization tax, sales tax, international tax, and environmental taxation will take questions for two hours.

— Also on the agenda: The House will debate an opposition motion on Thursday.

FOREIGN INTERFERENCE — Expect a new bill to counter foreign interference to be introduced in the House any day now.

CityNews' CORMAC MAC SWEENEY spotted forthcoming legislation on the House notice paper, noting Public Safety Minister DOMINIC LEBLANC's recent comments suggesting a foreign agent registry would be included in a future bill.

— Tabling watch: LeBlanc dropped notice on May 3, and it's typically only a few days between that initial step and first reading in the chamber.

— Registry 101: The opposition has long called for a registry of foreign agents operating in Canada. Diaspora groups have also pushed for the measure.

The government launched consultations on a hypothetical registry last spring, and a "what we heard" report published in November thanked participants for feedback on "the development of a potential first-ever Foreign Influence Transparency Registry for Canada."

→ Hints: On the way out of a Tuesday Cabinet meeting, LeBlanc told reporters he was "confident that the foreign influence registry will be part of a broader effort to strengthen legislation with respect to countering foreign interference."

But the minister wouldn't tell CTV's VASSY KAPELOS if a registry is part of the legislation to be revealed in the coming days.

Where the leaders are


— Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU has no public events on his itinerary.

— Deputy PM CHRYSTIA FREELAND is in Ottawa with plans to attend question period.

— Fresh from a mini-tour of Nova Scotia and Manitoba NDP weekend conventions, and a short Sunday trip to the Toronto suburbs, NDP Leader JAGMEET SINGH is in Ottawa. At 12:30 p.m., Singh and NDP MP GORD JOHNS will speak on youth mental health solutions.

— Bloc Québécois Leader YVES-FRANÇOIS BLANCHET is touring Îles-de-la-Madeleine.

DULY NOTED


— Defense Minister BILL BLAIR, Foreign Minister MÉLANIE JOLY and Liberal MP YVONNE JONES are in Iqaluit. They'll hold a defense policy roundtable with journalists at the ministers' regional office.

FROM THE DESK OF 338CANADA


THE ABYSS — Liberals enter May at a 20-point polling deficit. Ouch.

Léger, Abacus Data, the Angus Reid Institute, Ipsos, Nanos Research and Mainstreet Research have all measured Conservative leads between 19 and 21 points.

— Election projection: The latest 338Canada update pegs the Conservative seat haul at an average of 220 — which would add up to the largest caucus in Canadian history in absolute terms. (BRIAN MULRONEY won 211 of 282 seats in 1994, and JOHN DIEFENBAKER took 208 of 265 in 1958.)

The Liberals fall to 64 seats. The NDP stumbles to only 19.

— Ontario flip: In the past three federal elections, the Trudeau Liberals won 80, 79 and 78 seats in Ontario. The Conservatives could win as many as 88.

— Blue-tiful British Columbia: The latest projection reduces Liberals to one seat in B.C. The NDP also fares poorly. Only four of 13 seats stay orange if current numbers hold.

— Au revoir, francophone Quebec: Industry Minister FRANÇOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE could hold the only Quebec Liberal seat east of Montreal.

— Fortress Atlantic goes poof: While polling subsamples in Atlantic Canada are generally small and prone to more fluctuations, the general trends are clear. Conservatives are favored in 24 of 32 seats in the region — a dramatic shift from the Liberals' 2015 sweep.

PAPER TRAIL

A tweet that went viral from Veteran Affairs.

A case of missing hashtags. | @VeteransENG_CA

THAT INFAMOUS TWEET — An approvals-rich social media process at Veterans Affairs Canada still managed to create a long weekend of headaches with a tweet that set off the anti-woke brigade.

You remember the one from March 29: "We want to wish Veterans, current members of the @CanadianForces and @rcmpgrcpolice and their families a happy March holiday season! … #CanadaRemembers."

No mention of Easter on Good Friday. Whoopsie.

— Always proofread: The tempest in a tweet pot appears to be a case of missing hashtags, according to documents obtained by Playbook via access-to-information laws.

Allow us to explain.

— Oh, the approvals: Anything that appears on VAC socials has been drafted by bureaucrats and sent up the chain to the appropriate director. Any posts that reference a specific program endure a fact-checking process.

The whole package is run by other tendrils of the department on an “FYI” basis, even landing in the office of Minister GINETTE PETITPAS TAYLOR. The offending tweet was part of a batch of draft posts circulated March 4.

The documents show the batch had already been reviewed by seven public servants.

— More approvals: The tweet was again green-lit later in March, when four other bureaucrats were asked for sign-off.

→ No red flags: If nobody batted an eye, the draft itself might explain why. The planned tweet included several hashtags that acknowledged the many joyous days ahead: #MarchHolidays #March2024 #Easter #Ramadan #Purim #StPatricksDay #SpringEquinox

— Hashtag mixup: When the post went live, only #CanadaRemembers was appended to the text — an apparent miscue that set off the haters — including PIERRE POILIEVRE, whose reply sat atop a long list of social reaction gathered in the aftermath.

— Internal affairs: "The minister's office is following this one," one bureaucrat texted another. The deputy minister, PAUL LEDWELL, and Petitpas Taylor chief of staff GUY GALLANT, convened Monday post-mortems.

Talk of the town

THE TRUTH IS OUT THERE — The conspiracy theory of the week goes to local artist and historian ANDREW KING, who appeared to connect the dots between RCAF flights over New York state, empty airspace near Lowville, N.Y., and recent UFO reports in the area.

King got our attention. We put his observations to the Department of National Defence.

— The official line is so boring. DND says CF-18 Hornets out of 3 Wing Bagotville, Qué., joined a U.S. military training exercise "on one of the ranges at Fort Drum in New York."

The jets were involved in "close air support training," which could involve "attacking enemy ground forces from the air" — simulated in this case, of course.

A Canadian CC-150T Polaris offered refueling services to the jets. The exercise appears to have involved government-contracted "Alpha Jets" flown by a company called Top Aces. (You might've seen or heard those planes over downtown Ottawa in recent days.)

MEDIA ROOM

— The Canadian Press reports: India's foreign minister reacts to murder charges, claims Canada welcomes criminals

— Canada came up at Berkshire Hathaway's packed AGM, the Globe reports. (Music to the ears of one federal minister in particular.)

— Liberal MP BARDISH CHAGGER quietly departed from the procedure and House affairs committee she has chaired since 2021. Chagger told the Hill Times' ABBAS RANA that her priority is her constituents.

— From our colleagues in Europe: Macron meets Xi: Two emperors on the edge of two wars.

— NDP Leader JAGMEET SINGH joined ALTHIA RAJ on the latest episode of “It’s Political,” which explores the future of the NDP.

The Globe features an essay adapted from “Justin Trudeau on the Ropes: Governing in Troubled Times” — a new book from PAUL WELLS that publishes Tuesday. Here’s another excerpt in the Star.

— Ahead of the first debate between the lead candidates for the presidency of the European Commission, POLITICO’s BARBARA MOENS considers the rebrand of European Commission President URSULA VON DER LEYEN.

— The Globe’s JASON KIRBY, RACHELLE YOUNGLAI and JAMES BRADSHAW report on rising vacancies in the office towers in downtown Toronto.

DAVID HERLE landed a Herle Burly interview with IDDO MOED, Israeli ambo to Canada.

PROZONE


For POLITICO Pro subscribers, our latest policy newsletter: ‘Cancel your lunch meeting.’

In other news for Pro readers: 

High-stakes inquiry calls foreign interference a ‘stain’ on Canada.

With dueling approaches, the US and EU hit the tech giants hard.

Farmworkers lack protections that could help stop spread of bird flu.

Self-driving trucks are here. Are they hauling climate benefits?

Crypto world taps AI to flood IRS with complaints about tax regs.

PLAYBOOKERS


Birthdays: HBD to CTV News chief political correspondent VASSY KAPELOS, Bluesky’s TIM BARBER, Crestview’s LUCAS BORCHENKO, former MP DIANE ABLONCZY and former deputy premier of Quebec MICHELLE COURCHESNE.

Got a document to share? A birthday coming up? Send it all our way.

Spotted: An announcement from MP GARNETT GENUIS and wife REBECCA: “We’re having another baby!”

The revamped Canadian Army branding, mocked by all sides. (The official line is the army didn't swap logos, simply added a new "icon" to "complement" the logo.

At PIERRE POILIEVRE's April 18 house-party fundraiser in Mississauga, Ont.: 109 donors, including former Air Canada CEO CALIN ROVINESCU, Dilawri Group co-founder KAP DILAWRI, retired Lt.-Gen. MICHEL MAISONNEUVE, Samuel Associates president/CEO GORAN SAMUEL PESIC, and Canadian Taxpayers Federation federal director FRANCO TERRAZZANO.

Movers and shakers: BILLY MORIN, the chief of Enoch Cree Nation between 2015 and 2022, is the Conservative candidate in Edmonton Northwest.

The Business Council of Canada announced that VP TREVOR KENNEDY will open a Tokyo office in September. DANIELA LOMBARDO has also joined the business council as trade policy analyst … MEGAN STANLEY departs the Federation of Canadian Municipalities for a new gig as director of public affairs and government relations at Proof Strategies.

STEVE OUTHOUSE, principal secretary to New Brunswick Premier BLAINE HIGGS and serial conservative campaign manager, teams up with Poilievre adviser JENNI BYRNE for a May 30 webinar on "how to run (and win) campaigns."

ON THE HILL


Find House committees here.

Keep track of Senate committees here.

11 a.m. The House national defense committee will continue its study on space defense with representatives from MDA Space, Space Canada and Telesat.

11 a.m. The House industry and technology committee will meet to take Bill C-27 through clause-by-clause consideration with help from department officials.

11 a.m. The House citizenship and immigration committee goes in-camera to consider the government's response to the Final Report of the Special Committee on Afghanistan.

11 a.m. The House veterans affairs committee meets in-camera to draft a report on the experience of women veterans.

12 p.m. The House Indigenous and northern affairs committee talks business in-camera.

3:30 p.m. The House public accounts committee meets in-camera to discuss committee business.

3:30 p.m. Employment Minister RANDY BOISSONNAULT will be at the House human resources committee to take questions on Supplementary Estimates (C).

3:30 p.m. Minister of International Development AHMED HUSSEN will be at the House foreign affairs committee to discuss Supplementary Estimates. 

3:30 p.m. MP KAREN VECCHIO and Sen. JULIE MIVILLE-DECHÊNE will be among the witnesses at the House public safety and national security committee on Bill S-210.

3:30 p.m. Energy Minister JONATHAN WILKINSON will be at the House natural resources committee on Main Estimates.

3:30 p.m. The House health committee will meet to continue its study on the opioid epidemic and toxic drug crisis.

3:30 p.m. The House official languages committee will meet to study federal funding for minority-language post-secondary institutions.

4:15 p.m. UNRWA’s Washington representative William Deere will be a witness at the Senate human rights committee’s study on forced global displacement.

5 p.m. The Senate official languages committee will meet to continue its look at issues related to minority-language health services.

6:30 p.m. FEROZ MEHDI of Alternatives, MAYA WANG of Human Rights Watch and LHADON TETHONG of Tibet Action Institute will be at the House committee on Canada-China relations.

We're tracking every major political event of 2024 on a mega-calendar. Send us events and download the calendar yourself for Google and other clients .

TRIVIA


Friday's answer: On May 3, 2016 the largest evacuation in Alberta’s history took place as 80,000 residents of Fort McMurray were ordered to flee a fire now known as “The Beast.” 

Props to JENN KEAY, JOSH ZANIN, LAURA JARVIS, MARC LEBLANC, ROBERT MCDOUGALL, CAMERON RYAN, JOHN ECKER, LAURA PAYTON, JOHN DILLON and MARCEL MARCOTTE.

Today’s question: What mission was the Yukon Field Force on when it was dispatched on this day in history?

Send your answer to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Writing tomorrow's Playbook: NICK TAYLOR-VAISEY

Playbook wouldn’t happen without: POLITICO Canada editor Sue Allan, editor Willa Plank and Luiza Ch. Savage.

Want to grab the attention of movers and shakers on Parliament Hill? Want your brand in front of a key audience of Ottawa influencers? Playbook can help. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

 

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Kyle Duggan @Kyle_Duggan

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