All the president’s ambassadors

Presented by Better Medicare Alliance: The preparations, personnel decisions and policy deliberations of Donald Trump's presidential transition.
Dec 09, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO'S West Wing Playbook: Transition of Power

By Lauren Egan, Lisa Kashinsky, Eric Bazail-Eimil, Eli Stokols and Ben Johansen

Presented by Better Medicare Alliance

Welcome to POLITICO’s West Wing Playbook, your guide to the preparations, personnel decisions and policy deliberations of Donald Trump’s transition. POLITICO Pro subscribers receive a version of this newsletter first.

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DONALD TRUMP has announced two of the highest-profile ambassador jobs — but many of the most significant ones are still to come.

While several foreign posts are important in any administration because the country is a close U.S. ally or a neighbor to an adversary, some ambassadorial jobs will take on heightened significance in Trump’s second term because of the incoming president’s existing relationship with — or comments about — the country.

Trump has already announced his picks for a handful of high-profile overseas positions. He selected former Sen. DAVID PERDUE (R-Ga.) to take on one of the more consequential postings as ambassador to China. Former Arkansas Gov. MIKE HUCKABEE was tapped as ambassador to Israel. More cushy assignments have gone to investment banker WARREN STEPHENS (United Kingdom) and CHARLES KUSHNER (France), father of Trump’s son-in-law, JARED KUSHNER.

“Ambassadors are one of the most important positions,” said former Sen. SCOTT BROWN (R-Mass.), who served as ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa during Trump’s first term. And as Russia and China look to expand their influence in eastern Europe and across the Pacific, those who land posts in countries like Poland or Japan and South Korea will be “critical in helping represent United States interests in pushing back against [those] countries,” Brown said.

“Wherever there’s conflict we need good, capable ambassadors there,” added Brown, who has expressed interest to the president-elect’s team about a second ambassadorship, whether returning to New Zealand and Samoa or posting elsewhere.

Ambassador postings in some parts of the world are highly sought after and, traditionally, some mega-donors have asked for the cushiest jobs — and, sometimes, gotten them.

There are still about 190 Senate-confirmed ambassador jobs to be filled. West Wing Playbook put together a list of some of the posts that could take on outsized significance in a Trump presidency.

Colombia: Trump’s pick for Bogotá will also be charged with handling the relationship with Venezuela. Trump is under pressure, particularly from oil executives, to normalize the relationship — abandoning his first term approach of maximum pressure in an effort to cut migration and reopen more oil operations.

South Korea: Trump’s pick for this important U.S. ally could be all the more critical given tensions with North Korea. They’ll also be diving into a political maelstrom in Seoul, as the country reels from President YOON SUK YEOL’s attempt to impose martial law last week.

Saudi Arabia: Whoever steps into this role will have to navigate thorny issues, ranging from energy production to relations with Iran and Israel. Trump took some heat during his first term for leaving this posting vacant for nearly two years, eventually announcing a nominee after the brutal killing of JAMAL KHASHOGGI.

Arctic Affairs: President JOE BIDEN’s appointee to this newly created post, MICHAEL SFRAGA, was just confirmed in September. Climate change is making the Arctic a more critical region from a security and trade standpoint, especially as Russia and China have increased activity in Arctic waters. Whether Trump decides to keep Sfraga in place, replace him or leave the post vacant will offer an early clue about how he plans to approach the region.

Taiwan: This is, of course, not a formal diplomatic partner — but whoever is chosen to lead the American Institute in Taiwan (the country’s defacto U.S. diplomatic outpost and its D.C.-based supervising body of the same name) will be the point of the spear for the U.S.-Taiwan-China relationship at time of rising tensions across the Taiwan Strait.

Mexico: Trump’s relationship with the U.S.’s southern neighbor was filled with strife in his first term over his pledge that Mexico would pay for a border wall, a promise that did not materialize. Now he’s threatening to impose hefty tariffs if the country doesn’t reduce the flow of illegal drugs and migrants into the U.S.

India: Whoever Trump picks as his ambassador to New Delhi will play a key role in shaping the future of growing security and economic partnerships between the two countries.

South Africa: South Africa, like Kenya, is one of the wealthiest and most influential countries on the continent. And South Africa has extensive partnerships with the U.S. to combat HIV/AIDS, promote investment and work to address regional security challenges. But Pretoria also has close ties to Russia and China as a member of the BRICS alliance and has been an antagonist of Washington’s when it comes to its support for Israel amid the war in the Gaza Strip.

Turkey: Though Turkey is a member of the NATO alliance, Ankara under President RECEP TAYYIP ERDOĞAN has charted its own foreign policy, maintaining warm ties with Russia despite its invasion of Ukraine and emerging as a key player in the Syrian Civil War. That maverick streak has helped the U.S. at times. But at other moments, Ankara has frustrated Washington deeply. Trump’s pick will have to deftly navigate the relationship and ensure that Turkey doesn’t play the spoiler for its interests in Europe and the Middle East.

Japan: Perhaps no country developed as warm a relationship with the Trump administration as Japan did the first time around. But as Nippon Steel is making a controversial bid to purchase U.S. Steel, Japan grows as a linchpin of the U.S. strategy to contain China.

Betsy Woodruff Swan and Nahal Toosi contributed to this report.

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POTUS PUZZLER

Who was the first president to decorate a Christmas tree in the White House?

(Answer at bottom.)

Pro Exclusive

Coming soon: Trump transition ‘landing teams’, via our ROBIN BRAVENDER

How carbon capture could outlive Trump, via our CARLOS ANCHONDO and JASON PLAUTZ

Republicans racing to pin down their reconciliation strategy, via our BENJAMIN GUGGENHEIM

The reporting in this section is exclusively available to POLITICO Pro subscribers. Pro is a personalized policy intelligence platform from POLITICO. If you are interested in learning more about how POLITICO Pro can support your team through the 2024 transition and beyond, visit politicopro.com.

Heads up, we're all transition all the time over on our live blog: Inside Congress Live: Transition of Power. Bookmark politico.com/transition to keep up with us.

THE BUREAUCRATS

THE GABBARD WATCH: On Monday, TULSI GABBARD — Trump’s pick for national intelligence director — was on Capitol Hill meeting with senators, including LINDSEY GRAHAM (R-S.C.), MIKE ROUNDS (R-S.D.) and JAMES LANKFORD (R-Okla.). This morning, Gabbard also had breakfast with Sen. JONI ERNST (R-Iowa), a fellow female veteran who will be a key vote in getting some of Trump’s more controversial picks through the nomination process.

As our RACHAEL BADE reports, Gabbard has so far avoided the Washington storm clouds, largely being overshadowed by MATT GAETZ and PETE HEGSETH. But the shocking collapse over the weekend of Syrian President BASHAR AL-ASSAD’s dictatorship has reinvigorated scrutiny of her past sympathies for the brutal autocrat. Her 2017 visit to Damascus to meet with Assad — years after he gassed his own people — and her comments defending his rule underscore her unconventional foreign policy views.

Despite this attention, Gabbard and her allies remain cautiously optimistic. They say she’s eager to tackle her critics head-on.

QUITE THE PIPELINE: PETE MAROCCO, a former Trump administration official who was reportedly caught on camera inside the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, is now working with the Trump transition on national security personnel matters, our DANIEL LIPPMAN reports. Marocco, who drew internal fire when he worked in Trump’s first administration and more recently as a conservative activist based in Dallas, has been seen at the transition’s Florida headquarters working on hiring, including for the State Department.

Trump transition spokesperson and incoming White House press secretary KAROLINE LEAVITT said in a statement that Marocco’s “valuable knowledge on national security policy has been a tremendous benefit to the Trump-Vance transition effort.”

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT: Over the weekend, Trump named a trio of picks for top State Department roles, Eric reports. CHRISTOPHER LANDAU, who served as Trump’s ambassador to Mexico from 2019 to 2021, will be his pick for deputy secretary of State. He also announced MICHAEL NEEDHAM to be counselor to the State Department, directly advising presumptive Secretary of State MARCO RUBIO. And the president-elect also named MICHAEL ANTON as director of policy planning for the department.

ALINA HABBA, who has advised Trump on legal matters since he left office in 2021, will join the White House as counselor to the president.

YOU’VE ALL BEEN WAITING FOR THIS: When we launched our Cabinet predictions contest, asking you to predict Trump’s Cabinet, we were expecting the president-elect to select at least a handful of conventional picks to keep our game competitive. Two Fox News hosts? DR. OZ? They weren't exactly on our bingo card.

We gave readers 12 Cabinet posts to choose from, somewhat expecting that the winner would have at least a handful of names correct. Due to the president-elect’s unconventional picks — including Hegseth for Defense and KRISTI NOEM for Homeland Security — the contest was more difficult than we expected.

Out of 174 entrees, four got three picks correct. (Marco Rubio, SCOTT BESSENT and ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR.) The winner, ELLA YITZHAKI, a health policy research associate based in D.C., was the first person to predict the three names.

Thank you for participating and join us in congratulating Ella!

 

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After decades of work, many seniors find health care costs to be the biggest barrier to independence in retirement. Medicare Advantage is helping more than 34 million Americans live healthier on their terms — with lower health care costs and better health outcomes. Every senior deserves quality health care they can afford. Learn more at SupportMedicareAdvantage.com

 
Agenda Setting

ONE LAST PLEA: On Monday, TikTok asked for an injunction from the federal court that upheld the law to force its sale as the company seeks a Supreme Court review of last week’s decision, our CHRISTINE MUI reports for Pro subscribers. “Absent such relief, the Act will take effect on January 19, 2025. That would shut down TikTok — one of the Nation’s most popular speech platforms — for its more than 170 million domestic monthly users on the eve of a presidential inauguration,” TikTok and its parent company ByteDance wrote in their request Monday to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit.

Trump, throughout his campaign, pledged to “save” the app from the ban.

SEC PREVIEW: Trump’s pick to run the Securities and Exchange Commission, PAUL ATKINS, has been a vocal critic of the financial regulator’s recent effort to require companies to disclose their risks from climate change, our LESLEY CLARK reports. Atkins, whom GEORGE W. BUSH named to the SEC in 2002, is best known as an advocate for cryptocurrency since leaving the commission in 2008. He’s also assailed the SEC’s controversial climate-disclosure rule as a burden to corporate America.

 

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What We're Reading

How a Criminal With Close Ties to China Became a New York Power Broker (NYT’s Michael Forsythe, Bianca Pallaro, Jay Root and Benjamin Weiser)

The End of a 13-Year Nightmare (The Atlantic’s Graeme Wood)

 

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Medicare Advantage helps over 34 million Americans save money and stay healthier.

Seniors spend an average $2,541 less on premiums and out-of-pocket costs with Medicare Advantage. That’s an extra $200 each month for groceries and other necessities — without sacrificing quality care.

For seniors, every dollar counts. Learn more at SupportMedicareAdvantage.com

 
POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

At the urging of his grandchildren, BENJAMIN HARRISON in 1889 became the first president to put up a Christmas tree in the White House, placing it in the second floor Oval room, decorating it with candles, toys and ornaments, according to the White House Historical Association.

A CALL OUT! Do you think you have a harder trivia question? Send us your best one about the presidents, with a citation or sourcing, and we may feature it!

Edited by Jennifer Haberkorn and Zach Montellaro.

 

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