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Dec 12, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Nick Taylor-Vaisey

Presented by Public Service Alliance of Canada

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In today's edition:

DOUG FORD threatens Trump.

→ The House of Commons drones on.

→ Sen. DON PLETT updates a classic.

DRIVING THE DAY

Doug Ford walks next to American and Canadian flags.

"He’s a different type of cat, to say the least," Ontario Premier Doug Ford says of President-elect Donald Trump. | The Canadian Press

FORD FLEX — Leave it to the premier of Ontario to stomp over Ottawa’s Keep Calm and Carry On response to the oncoming freight train of Trump 2.0 tariff threats.

— Lights out: Ford beat federal ministers to the airwaves Wednesday following a 90-minute virtual meeting of Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU and the premiers. He played the role of Captain Canada.

If DONALD TRUMP is serious about a 25 percent tariff on all Canadian imports, Ford warned that Ontario is ready to withhold energy exports to border states in need.

"We will go to the extent of cutting off their energy — going down to Michigan, going down to New York State, and over to Wisconsin," Ford told reporters. "I don’t want this to happen, but my number one job is to protect Ontario, Ontarians and Canadians as a whole."

He promised pain for Americans, "and isn't that unfortunate."

— Pet name: Ford said he detects a different tune from the president-elect than four years ago. "I think he’s being a little more aggressive than he was in the past. I say this respectfully to the president. He’s a different type of cat, to say the least. Maybe I’m a different type of cat, but I’ve never seen — not so much aggression, but so matter of fact."

— Mexican broadside: Ford has been calling on Canada to pursue a bilateral trade pact with the United States that excludes the USMCA's other partner.

"Mexico has allowed itself to become a back door for Chinese cars, auto parts and other products into Canadian and American markets,” he said last month. “If Mexico isn't going to play by the rules, they shouldn't have a seat at the table.”

The Mexicans have a "very clear choice," Ford said Wednesday. “You’re either with Beijing or you’re with Washington. And I can tell you, Ontario and Canadians, they’re with Washington.”

— Back in the land of the calm: Deputy PM CHRYSTIA FREELAND and Public Safety Minister DOMINIC LEBLANC might not have minded Ford's bluster. They stuck with their calm approach, trying to reassure a pack of reporters that premiers offered "constructive" solutions to a federal plan to reinforce Canada's southern border.

"We were encouraged by their desire to contribute provincial personnel, provincial assets to this work," LeBlanc said. "It was a conversation where premiers were as specific as talking about certain vehicles that could contribute and different provincial personnel that could work with the RCMP or Canadian border services."

For his part, Ford called the federal plan a "very, very good start."

— Bite your tongue: Ford singled out Trudeau's comments at Tuesday night's Equal Voice gala as "unhelpful." The prime minister lamented KAMALA HARRIS' loss to Trump as a missed opportunity — the second in eight years — to elect a woman to the White House.

“It was not helpful whatsoever," said Ford, who added premiers raised Trudeau's comments "a couple of times" on their call. "I’m sure the prime minister got that message loud and clear.”

— Now we wait: For the next Truth Social Trumpquake in response to Canada's carping.

 

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Tell the Liberals to keep their hands off workers’ pensions. Learn more.

 
For your radar


EVERYTHING FEELS BROKEN — The West Block cafeteria's cookie stash is especially tempting this week for sweet-toothed Hill people.

Daylight is elusive. Slush is annoying. The entrenched dysfunction on the House floor is a lot. Time for a sugar hit. A chocolate chip cookie is a relatively inflation-proof steal at C$1.42.

— A very specific finger: Most disagreements in the House these days mix a cocktail of pettiness and procedure. Everything seems hard to explain in 30 seconds or less.

Take Wednesday, when Conservative House Leader ANDREW SCHEER intended to introduce a unanimous consent motion to extend the fall sitting by a single day to debate Finance Minister CHRYSTIA FREELAND's Fall Economic Statement.

→ Time check: The House is set to rise Dec. 17 at the latest.

It was no secret Scheer would propose an extended sitting, and he was barely a few words into his motion when the Liberals shouted him down.

Conservative MP SCOTT REID grew visibly heated, shouting right back and capping the outburst with a flash of his middle finger. It looked cathartic.

Shortly thereafter, Liberal point-man for House procedure KEVIN LAMOUREUX attempted his own point of order. Conservatives even more loudly shouted their disapproval.

Liberals complained that Reid gave an eff you to the government.

Reid stood to clarify that he was directing the gesture specifically at Liberal MP MARK GERRETSEN — and then promptly withdrew it before strolling out of the chamber.

Yeah, it was that kind of day following the last Wednesday question period of the fall, when Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU fields all the questions.

For the record, the daily session ran over time — a lack of clock discipline that is by now routine in the chamber amid constant disruptions.

— What legislative agenda? As the House emptied following the mid-afternoon commotion, MPs returned to the months-old privilege motion debate that has come to define the autumn sitting.

It's dawning on the fishbowl that a debate over a defunct green technology fund caught up in a conflict-of-interest scandal is now woven into the fabric of House business.

A week of debate stretched into two, and then three, and then a month, and then two, and it's unclear if or when the Liberals will be able to permanently end it.

— Break time is over: For a few days this week, a speaker-enforced string of opposition day motions and votes, as well as House approval of spending estimates, granted a reprieve. But with a week left before an extended recess, it's back to new normal.

→ Still on the agenda: Technically, government business is waiting in the wings. C-71, which amends citizenship rules. C-66, which reforms the military justice system. Don't forget a motion, lying fallow, meant to enact changes to capital gains tax rules.

— When will it all end? The holidays are no sure cure for the stalemate. There's little chatter of prorogation, and nothing at all about a snap election call.

But those blunt tools increasingly look like the only way out of a neverending story reminiscent of that fictional weatherman in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania.

PUBLIC ACCOUNTS — Meanwhile, the government is running out of time in 2024 to publish the annual Public Accounts of Canada, a detailed accounting of federal spending often unveiled earlier in the fall. Here are the dates in recent years:

— 2023: Oct. 24

— 2022: Oct. 22

— 2021: Dec. 14

— 2020: Nov. 30

— 2019: Dec. 12

— 2018: Oct. 19

→ Countdown to New Year’s Eve: 19 days.

 

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Where the leaders are

— Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU's itinerary includes no public-facing events. At 6 p.m. local time, Trudeau headlines a party fundraiser at the Sheraton Vancouver Airport Hotel in Richmond, British Columbia. Also on the bill: Emergency Preparedness Minister HARJIT SAJJAN.

— Deputy PM CHRYSTIA FREELAND has no public-facing events on her schedule.

— Conservative Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE headlines a party fundraiser at a private residence in Hudson, Que.

— Bloc Québécois Leader YVES-FRANÇOIS BLANCHET has not released his itinerary.

— NDP Leader JAGMEET SINGH is in Ottawa where he will join the Canadian Union of Postal Workers on a picket line at noon. At 7 p.m., he’ll attend the NDP nomination meeting in Hochelaga-Rosemont-Est, Quebec.

— Green Leader ELIZABETH MAY will attend Parliament in person.

 

Billions in spending. Critical foreign aid. Immigration reform. The final weeks of 2024 could bring major policy changes. Inside Congress provides daily insights into how Congressional leaders are navigating these high-stakes issues. Subscribe today.

 
 
DULY NOTED

9 a.m. The Parliamentary Budget Office will post to its website a new report entitled “Federal Spending on Housing Affordability in 2024.”

On Friday afternoon, the House transport committee will convene to question Air Canada CEO MICHAEL ROUSSEAU on carry-on fees. Also on the roster: Porter Airlines CEO MICHAEL DELUCE, WestJet Airlines CEO ALEXIS VON HOENSBROECH and Transat CEO ANNICK GUÉRARD. 

MEDIA ROOM

— The Toronto Star injects new life into the debate over the federal carbon levy. A new study from TREVOR TOMBE and JENNIFER WINTER claims the measure has had "minimal" impact on inflation and food costs.

— “I don't understand why at some basic level, why every province doesn't have a plan to end homelessness. It's a shame and it's also dumb,” housing policy expert CAROLYN WHITZMAN tells NATE ERSKINE-SMITH during a policy-focused conversation on the “Uncommons” pod.

Over on The Conversation, academics GAVIN FRIDELL and ILAN KAPOOR write: “Psychoanalysis explains why DONALD TRUMP is taunting Canada and ‘Governor JUSTIN TRUDEAU.”

— The Sun’s BRIAN LILLEY posits the PM is angling for a tariff war. “As crazy as it sounds, we shouldn’t put it past Trudeau to put his own political fortunes ahead of the health of Canada’s economy.”

— “We’ve done some really good things. It’s not perfect — a lot of work to do,” Northern Affairs Minister DAN VANDAL tells APTN’s TIAR WHEATLE of the government’s work on reconciliation. Vandal announced in October that he will not be running in the next election.

— From DAVID MOSCROP in The Walrus: “Tipping Isn’t about Service – It’s a Psychological Con Job.”

SHAWN MCCARTHY writes in Corporate Knights: Poilievre is loud on carbon pricing but silent on climate policy.

 

Write your own chapter in the new Washington. From the Lame Duck Congress Series to New Administration insights, POLITICO Pro delivers intelligence across 22+ policy areas to help you anticipate and navigate change. Discover how a Pro subscription empowers you. Learn more today.

 
 
PROZONE


For POLITICO Pro subscribers, our latest policy newsletter via SUE ALLAN: Macklem: ‘No one knows how this will play out.’

 In other news for Pro readers: 

Pentagon kicks off $100M+ effort to develop AI.

Staff at Britain’s AI institute in open revolt.

Appeals court upholds record penalty against Exxon Mobil over refinery pollution.

U.S. Supreme Court offers clues on new NEPA test.

Romania gives Europe’s digital police their first big test.

PLAYBOOKERS

Birthdays: HBD to former Cabmin HERB DHALIWAL, former Ontario MPP KULDIP KULAR and journo KIRK LAPOINTE.

Greetings also to PEADAR Ó LAMHNA, acting deputy head of mission at the Irish Embassy; and TEDDY MARKEY, executive director of the Canadian Hatching Egg Producers.

Got a document to share? A birthday coming up? Send it all our way .

Movers and shakers: Global Affairs Canada's LAURA LUMSDEN, the former deputy head of the department's Canada-U.S. Engagement Task Force, announced a new role as director of GAC's Canada-U.S. Coordination Team.

Spotted: PM Trudeau, popping up in another food influencer's video. This time it's baking cinnamon rolls on ANDY HAY's The East Coast Kitchen.

— QP scenes: Green Leader ELIZABETH MAY, distributing Christmas cards to MPs … Conservative MP DOMINIQUE VIEN, poking fun at a "Bloc Québécois-Liberal" coalition and receiving generous applause from CPC benches — including Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE … Liberal MP DARRELL SAMSON, conferring with Treasury Board President ANITA ANAND before QP. Liberal MP TALEEB NOORMOHAMED, sitting beside Anand for QP and grinning widely during the repartée … Liberal MP YVONNE JONES, also on the front benches.

… Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU, laughing when Poilievre claimed the Bank of Canada announced an "emergency panic rate cut" on Wednesday. ("Where's the tinfoil?" barked NDP MP BRIAN MASSE) … Bloc Québécois Leader YVES-FRANÇOIS BLANCHET, directing a chicken dance at Trudeau as the PM faced the other way … Former Bloc Leader GILLES DUCEPPE, enjoying a boisterous standing ovation from a perch in the public gallery (including son and MP ALEXIS BRUNELLE-DUCEPPE).

Noted: PM Trudeau spoke with Italian PM GIORGIA MELONI about the handoff to Canada of the G7 presidency. A readout hinted at Canada's priorities for its year in the spotlight, including "supporting a just and sustainable peace in Ukraine and preventing further loss of civilian life in the Middle East."

— Sen. DON PLETT closed his remarks on the GST/HST holiday with a poem:

“‘Twas two weeks before Christmas, and all through the land, 

The cost of essentials was way out of hand. 

The families were nestled in hopes of relief,

But the cost of their groceries still caused them much grief.” 

(He went on.)

DONALD TRUMP is expected to be named Time magazine’s “Person of the Year.” To celebrate the unveiling of the cover, he will ring the opening bell of the New York Stock Exchange this morning.

Media mentions: SABRINA MADDEAUX is newly guest hosting the “Missing Middle” podcast with housing-focused econ MIKE MOFFATT.

 

A message from Public Service Alliance of Canada:

The Liberal government must back down and reverse this unfair attack against pensions. Learn more.

 


ON THE HILL


Find the latest House meetings here. The Senate schedule is here.

8:15 a.m. The CEO and co-founder of Stripe, PATRICK COLLISON, is on the roster at the House industry committee as it studies Canada’s e-transfer ecosystem.

8:15 a.m. On the agenda at the national defense committee: “Briefing on Updated Threat Assessment.”

9 a.m. TOM HEINTZMAN from CIBC Capital Markets is on the roster at the Senate fisheries and oceans committee as it continues to study ocean carbon sequestration.

11 a.m. Facebook whistleblower FRANCES HAUGEN is up first at the House justice committee as it continues prestudy on Bill C-63.

11 a.m. The House veterans’ committee will continue to study the experiences of Black and Indigenous veterans.

11 a.m. Procurement and Public Services Minister JEAN-YVES DUCLOS will be at the House operations committee to discuss supplementary estimates. Scott Jones of Shared Services Canada is also on the witness list.

11 a.m. The House citizenship and immigration committee will hear from witnesses on reforms to the International Student Program.

11 a.m. The House procedure committee will hear from the Privy Council Office and the Office of the Chief Electoral Officer as it studies Bill C-65.

11:30 a.m. Economist DOUG PORTER from BMO Financial Group will be at the Senate banking committee as it studies Canada’s monetary policy framework.

11:30 a.m. International Development Minister AHMED HUSSEN will be at the Senate foreign affairs committee to discuss Canada’s engagement in Africa.

11:30 a.m. The Senate legal and constitutional affairs committee will study Bill C-320. 

3:30 p.m. Foreign Minister MÉLANIE JOLY and HUSSEN will be at the House foreign affairs committee to take questions on their priorities.

3:30 p.m. Health Minister MARK HOLLAND will be at the House health committee to discuss supplementary estimates.

3:30 p.m. The House transport committee will tackle community safety and emergency preparedness.

3:30 p.m. The House ethics committee will spend its first hour on privacy breaches at Canada Revenue Agency. Senior officials from CSIS will be up in the second hour to discuss the wind up of TikTok in Canada.

3:30 p.m. Canada Border Services Agency President ERIN O’GORMAN and RCMP Commissioner MICHAEL DUHEME will be at the House public safety committee to discuss impacts of President-Elect Donald Trump's announced measures on border security and migration.

3:30 p.m. National Revenue Minister MARIE-CLAUDE BIBEAU will be at the House finance committee with officials from the Canada Revenue Agency.

TRIVIA


Wednesday’s answer: Canada and the United States had a longstanding Alaska boundary dispute over a contested area now known as the Alaska Panhandle.

Props to JENI ARMSTRONG, TESS ORLANDO, DOUG RICE, DARREN MAJOR, STEVE KAROL, CAMERON PENNER, MALCOLM MCKAY, ROBERT MCDOUGALL, JOHN ALHO, JOHN MERRIMAN, LAURA JARVIS, ANTHONY VALENTI, AHDITHYA VISWESWARAN, DARRYL DAMUDE, RAY DEL BIANCO, PATRICK DION, CHRIS RANDS, NANCI WAUGH, MARCEL MARCOTTE, JOHN ECKER and GARY ALLEN. 

SUSAN KEYS and MALCOLM MCKAY also weighed in correctly on Tuesday’s Q. 

Today’s question: On this date in 2000, the U.S. Supreme Court ended a vote recount in the presidential election contest between GEORGE W. BUSH and AL GORE. In what state was that recount?

Send your answer to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Writing tomorrow's Playbook: MICKEY DJURIC and NICK TAYLOR-VAISEY.

Playbook wouldn’t happen without: POLITICO Canada editor Sue Allan, editor Willa Plank and Luiza Ch. Savage.

Advertise in our Playbook. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

 

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