About all those Trump promises...

Presented by McKinsey & Company: The preparations, personnel decisions and policy deliberations of Donald Trump's presidential transition.
Jan 16, 2025 View in browser
 
POLITICO'S West Wing Playbook: Transition of Power

By Ben Johansen, Eli Stokols and Megan Messerly

Presented by 

McKinsey & Company

Welcome to POLITICO’s West Wing Playbook, your guide to the preparations, personnel decisions and policy deliberations of Donald Trump’s transition. POLITICO Pro subscribers receive a version of this newsletter first.

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DONALD TRUMP spent his entire campaign pledging to do, well, everything. Throughout the 2024 race, he raged against what he described as the failures of JOE BIDEN and KAMALA HARRIS — and said he’ll come to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue on Jan. 20 to get things back in order.

But not even a month after he won in dominant fashion, he walked back many of these promises. Whether it's improving the price of groceries or ending the war in Ukraine, Trump is setting expectations low, and still placing the blame at Biden’s feet. Trump transition spokesperson ANNA KELLY told West Wing Playbook that the claim is “fake news.”

Still, it’s a reminder: Being a president, not a campaigner, is hard work.

Here are some of the biggest examples of Trump campaigning in Truth Social and governing in legislative text.

The war in Ukraine 

In his September debate with Harris, he told viewers that he would end the war in Ukraine — which has been raging since Russia began its full-scale invasion in 2022 — before Inauguration Day. “That is a war that's dying to be settled. I will get it settled before I even become president,” Trump said.

In 2023, he said that he would end the conflict within “24 hours” of taking office.

As of Thursday, Russian forces continue to seize settlements throughout Ukrainian cities.

At Mar-a-Lago last week, Trump said the war would have never happened if he was president, but walked back past promises that he would end it on Day One, calling it “much more complicated” as he moved the goal post to “long before six months.”

The cost of groceries 

Throughout the race, he vowed to bring down the prices of groceries “on Day One,” as he said over the summer.

But in December, weeks after being elected, he admitted: “I'd like to bring them down. It's hard to bring things down once they're up. You know, it's very hard.”

Illegal immigration

Trump has said he’d move immediately to stop the flow of illegal migrants into the U.S. “On Day One of my new administration, the invasion of savage criminals ends. And on that same day, the largest deportation in American history begins,” he proclaimed in October.

“We will seal the border. We will stop the invasion immediately,” he said in September.

In 2019, Trump unleashed some of the largest, most widely publicized workplace raids in the last several decades, targeting undocumented workers at agriculture farms. And advisers to Trump have indicated you can expect large-scale raids similar to the ones seen six years ago.

But earlier this month, Trump’s “border czar” TOM HOMAN was asked on CBS News whether industries can expect the mass deportation of hired undocumented workers and whether, on Day One, the administration will continue these mass raids on worksites.

“President Trump has been clear, as I’ve been clear, from Day One, the president is going to concentrate on public safety threats and national security threats,” Homan said vaguely.

Government spending

Trump’s allies have also lowered expectations on cutting government spending.

ELON MUSK, the tech-billionaire-turned-Trump-confidant who has been tasked with heading up the so-called Department of Government Efficiency, partially walked back his own ambitions.

During the height of the campaign, Musk said he could cut $2 trillion from the government budget.

In an interview last week, he said the $2 trillion number is “best case scenario” and said that there was only a “good shot” at cutting close to $1 trillion.

And then there’s drill, baby, drill. 

Although Trump hasn’t backed off on this promise, this one may face an uphill battle.

“Your energy bill, within 12 months, will be cut in half,” Trump pledged in September. “Air conditioning, heating, we’ll have it down by 50 percent.” He’s cited more energy production by drilling more oil and natural gas as central to bringing prices down. But it’s a pledge sure to run into roadblocks. The price of oil is largely dictated by the global market, as well as certain world events. In short, energy costs are largely outside of a president’s control.

Kelly insisted that Trump is already coming through with results.

“President Trump is already delivering on his campaign promises before taking office, including securing the release of American and Israeli hostages and correcting the egregious trade imbalance with Canada,” she said.

MESSAGE US — Are you KAROLINE LEAVITT? We want to hear from you. And we’ll keep you anonymous! Email us at westwingtips@politico.com.

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A message from McKinsey & Company:

McKinsey & Company has provided nonpartisan support to help guide federal and state transitions for more than 70 years. Through insights, trainings and playbooks, McKinsey helps leaders navigate their first 100 days with confidence and clarity. Learn more.

 
POTUS PUZZLER

Who was the first president to invite a poet to speak at his inauguration?

(Answer at bottom.)

Pro Exclusive

Trump transition official faced sexual misconduct accusation in 2020, DOE inspector general says, via our BENJAMIN STORROW

Trump taps three for DOE undersecretary positions, via our KELSEY TAMBORRINO

Anne Milgram’s tenure as DEA chief coming to an end, via our BEN LEONARD

The reporting in this section is exclusively available to POLITICO Pro subscribers. Pro is a personalized policy intelligence platform from POLITICO. If you are interested in learning more about how POLITICO Pro can support your team through the 2024 transition and beyond, visit politicopro.com.

Heads up, we're all transition all the time over on our live blog: Inside Congress Live: Transition of Power. Bookmark politico.com/transition to keep up with us.

THE BUREAUCRATS

DENNIS QUAID SNUBBED: Trump tapped three actors in the sunsets of their careers to be special ambassadors to Hollywood, because … why not? JON VOIGHT, MEL GIBSON and SYLVESTER STALLONE will serve as special envoys “for the purpose of bringing Hollywood, which has lost much business over the last four years to Foreign Countries, BACK-BIGGER, BETTER, AND STRONGER THAN EVER BEFORE!” Trump said in a statement.

Just a reminder: Gibson last week spread conspiracy theories that the California wildfires were purposely started by the government to remove people from their homes.

MORE ACTION ON THE HILL: More of Trump’s Cabinet picks made their case to lawmakers on Thursday.

  • SCOTT BESSENT, the hedge fund manager who is Trump’s nominee to lead the Treasury Department, told senators that Trump could bring an “Economic Golden Age.” When pressed by Sen. BERNIE SANDERS (I-Vt.) on whether he would support raising the federal minimum wage from $7.25, Bessent responded: “No.” 
  • Former North Dakota Gov. DOUG BURGUM, Trump’s pick to be Interior secretary, said that the U.S. must invest in “clean coal” to support the growth of the artificial intelligence industry. Burgum said that he would help develop resources like coal and natural gas from federal lands to provide more baseload power that data centers require for round-the-clock operations, our ZACK COLMAN reports.
  • Sanders took a shot at Trump’s nominee for EPA administrator after the Vermont lawmaker’s phone unexpectedly rang during LEE ZELDIN’s hearing. “Sorry, that was the fossil fuel industry,” Sanders said. He also pushed Zeldin on acknowledging the reality of climate change. “I believe climate change is real,” Zeldin responded. 

THE RESISTANCE COMETH: Former Biden-Harris officials will help launch on Inauguration Day a new legal response center to bolster the fight against Trump’s impending executive orders, our MYAH WARD reports. The new effort, funded by the national legal organization Democracy Forward — formed in 2017 during Trump’s first term — will analyze the president-elect’s executive orders to support legal and political challenges to his agenda.

The group, which announced the effort Thursday, has already identified more than 200 “emerging threats” that the orders pose.

SOME MORE PERSONNEL MOVES: Trump announced TROY MEINK as his nominee to be secretary of the Air Force, our JACK DETSCH reports. Meink currently serves as principal deputy director of the national reconnaissance office.

DUDLEY HOSKINS will serve as U.S. undersecretary for marketing and regulator problems at the Department of Agriculture. Dudley currently serves as counsel on the Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry, and previously spent four years at USDA under Trump’s first term.

Trump has also selected private-equity CEO and philanthropist BILL PULTE to lead the Federal Housing Finance Agency, our KATY O’DONNELL reports. If confirmed, Pulte would become the country's top housing regulator. FHFA oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-controlled mortgage giants standing behind roughly half of the U.S. residential mortgage market.

 

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Agenda Setting

TICK TOCK: With 72 hours until a historic TikTok ban is implemented, lawmakers are hunting for ways to save the app, our ANTHONY ADRAGNA and CHRISTINE MUI report. A group of Democrats on Capitol Hill, including Senate Majority Leader CHUCK SCHUMER, have personally appealed to the Biden White House to delay the Jan. 19 deadline for TikTok to divest from Beijing-based ByteDance or face a ban from U.S. app stores.

Though lawmakers of both parties overwhelmingly voted for the TikTok bill and Biden quickly signed it into law, now it appears no party wants to face a public reckoning for banning an ultra-popular app with 170 million U.S. users.

Rep. MIKE WALTZ (R-Fla.), Trump’s incoming national security adviser, said Wednesday on Fox News, “We’re going to find a way to preserve [TikTok] but protect people’s data and that’s the deal that will be in front of us.”

What We're Reading

“The Biggest Problem of Our Time”: Pete Buttigieg on Post-Truth Politics (POLITICO’s Adam Wren)

The Washington Post’s New Mission: Reach “All of America” (NYT’s Benjamin Mullin)

Karine Jean-Pierre leaves reporters fuming as she blocks hostage-deal expert from final White House briefing for her “good-bye party” (NYP’s Steven Nelson)

Bob Uecker, announcer who was the comic bard of baseball, dies at 90 (WaPo’s Matt Schudel)

POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

In January 1961, President JOHN F. KENNEDY invited an 86-year-old ROBERT FROST to read at his inauguration, according to Smithsonian Magazine. Frost had written a special work called “Dedication” specifically for the event. However, the glare from the sun made it difficult for Frost to see his text. Instead, he recited “The Gift Outright” from memory.

A CALL OUT! Do you think you have a harder trivia question? Send us your best one about the presidents, with a citation or sourcing, and we may feature it!

Edited by Jennifer Haberkorn and Rishika Dugyala

 

A message from McKinsey & Company:

For nearly 100 years, McKinsey & Company has been a trusted advisor to organizations during transitions. In the first 100 days, leaders need to quickly solidify their missions, build the right team, and strengthen their resilience in an ever-evolving world. McKinsey's decades of experience provide valuable insights, trainings and playbooks for a successful transition. Learn more about our work.

 
 

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