MAGA braces for more fights over legal immigration

The preparations, personnel decisions and policy deliberations of Donald Trump's presidential transition.
Jan 03, 2025 View in browser
 
POLITICO'S West Wing Playbook: Transition of Power

By Alice Miranda Ollstein, Holly Otterbein, Megan Messerly, Eli Stokols and Ben Johansen

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Immigration hawks believe they won an important first battle in their skirmish with billionaire ELON MUSK over specialty foreign worker visas.

But they remain privately worried about their ability to retain the upper hand in the broader war within the GOP given the rising influence of tech moguls as DONALD TRUMP returns to the White House.

The bitter clash that spilled out in public over the holidays between MAGA activists who favor tighter restrictions on a program designed to attract high-skilled immigrant workers and corporate leaders who rely on their labor ended with Musk conceding in a post on X that the H-1B visa program he previously extolled “is broken and needs major reform.”

But the spat has groups that push for cuts to legal immigration lowering their expectations for the incoming Republican trifecta as the party’s attempt to build a bigger tent brings new ideological divisions. The “America First” camp now has to face off against both the traditional business sector of the GOP that favors cheap labor but also the tech industry that only recently has aligned with Republicans.

“You’ve got to understand, even if you're the most MAGA of MAGA people, these guys helped Trump get elected, and he owes them,” MARK KRIKORIAN, executive director of the Center for Immigration Studies, a think tank that pushes for less legal immigration, said of Musk and his ilk. “I personally think immigration should be reduced dramatically, but you’ve got to operate in reality, and the H-1B program isn't going anywhere, if only because Congress would have to do something on it, and Congress can't even pass a budget.”

It’s an acknowledgement that underscores an inherent tension within this new big-tent GOP between the populist base and longstanding corporate interests, now boosted by high-profile tech entrepreneurs like Musk and his Department of Government Efficiency co-leader VIVEK RAMASWAMY. It’s one of the biggest policy hurdles facing the incoming Trump administration — and at least for now, the corporate interests appear to be winning. But even as immigration restriction activists concede that a significant overhaul of the H-1B program, a visa designed for workers in skilled or specialty occupations, by Congress is unlikely, they are counting on allies in the federal government to make administrative changes that curb legal as well as illegal immigration.

Krikorian told POLITICO that as many as three of his staffers will soon be working for the Trump administration, a sign of the kind of influence groups that push for less legal immigration will have over the next four years. Krikorian declined to name them, though one — CIS’ director of investigations JON FEERE — is already serving on Trump’s “landing team,” the cadre of officials tasked with getting the new administration up to speed ahead of inauguration day, at the Department of Homeland Security. Feere did not respond to a request for comment.

JACK POSOBIEC, an influential MAGA podcaster critical of the H-1B program, expects Trump to reinstate executive orders from his first term — some of which were blocked by courts for procedural violations — that aimed to make it more difficult for U.S. companies to hire foreign workers and raise the wages they must be paid.

“I would not be surprised to see them return,” he said.

A Trump spokesperson did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Rep. BYRON DONALDS (R-Fla.), a close Trump ally, predicted that changes to the H-1B visa program won’t be a priority for the GOP majority this year.

“It may get into a package this year or not, who knows,” he said of a potential H-1B visa overhaul. “The number-one focus we have is going to be on actually securing the nation's borders, repatriation of illegal immigrants to their home countries, getting our economy on track."

Other Republicans, including Rep. TONY GONZALES (R-Texas), downplayed the GOP rift over the issue and argued that the pro-business wing of the party far outnumbers the immigration restriction advocates. "We’ve got President Trump, Elon Musk, myself and just about every other Republican on one side, and, I think, just a handful of people on the other," he said.

Similar divisions are roiling the Democratic Party as it attempts to chart a path forward in the wake of KAMALA HARRIS’ November loss and balance its more elite and corporate interests with its longtime base of racially diverse working-class voters who have drifted to the right.

Sen. BERNIE SANDERS (I-Vt.) on Thursday had a rare moment of alignment with the MAGA movement when he blasted the H-1B visa program and argued that it is being used “not to hire ‘the best and the brightest,’ but rather to replace good-paying American jobs with low-wage indentured servants from abroad.”

Though Sanders has voiced similar critiques in the past, some immigration restrictionists on the right saw his comments as a sign of a larger shift in the zeitgeist. STEVE BANNON, the former top Trump aide, told POLITICO they underscored “the birth of a new politics.”

Read more here.

Brakkton Booker contributed to this report.

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POTUS PUZZLER

Which celebrity went sledding with GEORGE H.W. BUSH in 1991?

(Answer at bottom.)

Pro Exclusive

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THE BUREAUCRATS

JOHNSON HANGS ON BY A THREAD: After a week of question marks surrounding MIKE JOHNSON’s ability to avoid becoming KEVIN McCARTY 2.0, the Louisiana Republican and the president-elect were able to rally enough GOP support and fight off a conservative rebellion on Friday afternoon to retain his role as speaker of the House, our ANTHONY ADRAGNA reports.

Political wonks and journalists alike got an inside look at the negotiations between the House GOP caucus (because no speaker was elected yet, C-SPAN cameras had more latitude to roam around inside the chamber), as fiscal hawks like Rep. CHIP ROY (R-Texas) held out their support for Johnson. By the end of the first round of voting, Roy, as well as detractors like Rep. RALPH NORMAN (R-S.C.) eventually came home to Johnson.

In a statement following the vote, Trump congratulated Johnson for receiving an “unprecedented Vote of Confidence in Congress.”

TRUMP TO BE SENTENCED: On Friday, a judge ordered Trump to be sentenced on Jan. 10 in his New York hush money case, but indicated he won’t face jail time, our KYLE CHENEY and JOSH GERSTEIN report. Judge JUAN MERCHAN, who presided over Trump’s highly watched trial, rejected the president-elect’s efforts to sweep aside a jury’s verdict that found him guilty of 34 felony counts. He said incarceration is not a “practicable” option.

Merchan threw out Trump’s attempt to dismiss the verdict on presidential immunity grounds and because of his pending return to the White House.

PACK YOUR BAGS: Trump on Thursday night tapped two more wealthy business leaders for ambassador posts, as our NAHAL TOOSI writes. Trump chose health executive BENJAMIN LEON JR. for the post in Spain and entrepreneur JOE POPOLO to the top diplomatic spot in the Netherlands. Both positions will require Senate confirmation but likely will face little opposition.

RESISTANCE MOVES OUTSIDE: The liberal watchdog group American Oversight is suing for government records involving Trump’s pick to lead the FBI, KASH PATEL, our HAILEY FUCHS reports. The Freedom of Information Act request is an early indication of what resistance in Trump’s second term will look like, with Republicans in control of both chambers of Congress. Outside groups like American Oversight are poised to play a massive role in the push to block Trump’s nominees as Democrats lack certain investigative powers that come with committee gavels.

The FOIA lawsuit against the Office of the Director of National Intelligence filed Thursday requested emails from Patel, a senior Pentagon staffer and a top ODNI official during Trump’s first term.

JUST TOUCHED DOWN IN EPA TOWN: Former Trump acting EPA air chief ANNE IDSAL AUSTIN is a member of the transition landing team at the agency — and may be leading it, our JEAN CHEMNICK reports. The Texas lawyer, who also served as a regional EPA administrator during the early days of Trump’s first term, is one of several landing team member names shared with EPA career staff.

The New York Times reported in November that former EPA Administrator ANDREW WHEELER was a member of the transition team, but Wheeler has confirmed to POLITICO he is no longer in the role.

Agenda Setting

SOME FINAL MOVES: As expected, President JOE BIDEN formally blocked a proposed $14.9 billion takeover of U.S. Steel by Japanese company Nippon Steel, our DOUG PALMER, ANDREW HOWARD and ADAM CANCRYN report. Biden had long opposed the sale and the decision to approve or block the agreement came to him after the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States couldn’t reach a consensus in its report last week.

In a statement on Wednesday, the United Steelworkers called the proposed deal “bad for workers and national security.”

BUZZKILLLLL CUT BACK ON THE BOOZE: U.S. Surgeon General VIVEK MURTHY said alcohol is a leading preventable cause of cancer and that alcoholic beverages should carry a warning label as packs of cigarettes do, our CHELSEA CIRRUZZO reports. It adds to the growing debate about the risks and benefits of moderate drinking as the U.S. Dietary Guidelines for Americans are soon to be updated.

Only Congress can mandate new warning labels of the sort Murthy is recommending. But the proposals could align with Trump’s pick to lead the HHS, ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR., who could soon — if confirmed by the Senate — begin his crusade against the country’s food and health system.

What We're Reading

The resistance to Trump is different this time. Just look at immigration. (POLITICO’s Myah Ward and Lisa Kashinsky)

The Rise of John Ratcliffe (The Atlantic’s Shane Harris)

Inspired by ISIS: From a Taylor Swift plot in Vienna to carnage in New Orleans (WaPo’s Souad Mekhennet and Joby Warrick)

POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

In 1991, Bush went on a sledding ride with movie star and future California Gov. ARNOLD SCHWARZENEGGER at Camp David. First lady BARBARA BUSH broke her left leg that day when sledding after crashing into a tree.

Former President George H.W. Bush sledding with former California governor and actor Arnold Schwarzenegger in 1991 at Camp David.

White House

A CALL OUT! Do you think you have a harder trivia question? Send us your best one about the presidents, with a citation or sourcing, and we may feature it!

Edited by Jennifer Haberkorn and Isabel Dobrin

 

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