Big bets on health care AI

The ideas and innovators shaping health care
Jun 29, 2023 View in browser
 
Future Pulse

By Ben Leonard, Carmen Paun, Erin Schumaker and Evan Peng

FOLLOW THE MONEY

A visitor watches an AI (Artificial Intelligence) sign on an animated screen at the Mobile World Congress (MWC), the telecom industry's biggest annual gathering, in Barcelona. (Photo by Josep LAGO / AFP) (Photo by JOSEP LAGO/AFP via Getty Images)

The investment boom in health care AI is underway. | AFP via Getty Images

Health care lags behind other sectors in using generative AI — the kind that can answer questions and generate content.

But big money flowing into the sector could soon drive adoption.

“Health care systems are like nuclear facilities. They don’t want to change. They need to keep running,” said Justin Norden, partner at investment firm GSR Ventures and adjunct professor of medicine at Stanford. “There’s often fear of change and adopting new tools.”

Still, AI is drawing billions of dollars in investment.

Investment in health care AI

The particulars: The market is most mature in life sciences, which includes drug discovery, personalized medicine and clinical trials, Norden wrote in a recent report.

Substantial investments —$6 billion — have been made in generative AI that aids clinicians. That’s driving improvements to surgery, note taking, workflow automation and clinical decision support.

Applications like note taking are relatively straightforward to solve, and a clear market need is emerging amid widespread clinician burnout, Norden said.

Funding for administrative use cases around recruiting, revenue cycle and more has only recently started to flow.

What’s next? Norden is enthusiastic about the investment’s prospects for improving care and hopes the pace picks up.

“The baseline stat health care people like to quote is that it takes 17 years for new innovations to become standard of care in health care,” Norden said. “We can’t wait that long.”

 

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WELCOME TO FUTURE PULSE

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This is where we explore the ideas and innovators shaping health care.

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POLICY PUZZLE

WASHINGTON - SEPTEMBER 9: Dr. Francis Collins, director of the National Institutes of Health appears before a Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee hearing to discuss vaccines and protecting public health during the coronavirus pandemic on September 9, 2020 in Washington DC.  Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute   of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, recently said a vaccine likely won't be available until late this year at the soonest. (Photo by Michael Reynolds- Pool/Getty Images)

Collins has a test and treat plan for hepatitis C. | Getty Images

Just 1 in 3 U.S. adults with hepatitis C have been cured between 2013 and 2022, according to a new Centers for Disease Control and Prevention report, despite the availability of highly effective antivirals.

The report also found that:

— People without health insurance were the least likely to be cured.

— People age 60 and over on Medicare or private insurance had the highest cure rate, but less than half of them had been cured.

— Just 1 in 4 people under the age of 40 were cured.

Why it matters: More than 2 million people nationwide have hepatitis C, a liver infection often spread by intravenous drug use. It can be fatal and kills more than 15,000 people annually.

What’s the problem? The treatments can be prohibitively expensive — some can cost close to $100,000.

Many insurance plans restrict access.

It can be particularly difficult for incarcerated people to get treatment because state policies for treatment in prison vary, as STAT has reported. Hepatitis C rates are exponentially higher in prisons than in the rest of the population.

What’s next? Former National Institutes of Health Director Francis Collins has pushed a hepatitis C test-and-treat plan that the Biden administration has requested $12 billion for in fiscal 2024.

Collins told Ben it was lamentable to have an “incredibly effective therapeutic” and not be able to administer it.

“That doesn't feel like what a country that cares about all its citizens would be doing," he said.

A senior GOP aide previously told POLITICO there is deep skepticism in his party about the price tag, even though the Biden administration contends the Collins plan could produce $5 billion in savings over 10 years by reducing health care costs.

Collins told POLITICO that he hopes the Congressional Budget Office will confirm that, making it easier to convince lawmakers to go along.

 

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WORLD VIEW

LONDON - JULY 18:  In this photo illustration a pregnant woman is seen stood at the office work station on July 18, 2005 in London, England. Under plans to revise paid maternity leave, an exteneded period of six to nine months will be offered for maternity leave from 2007. (Photo illustration by Daniel Berehulak/Getty Images)

The World Bank is leading another fundraising campaign to combat maternal mortality. | Getty Images

“Four and a half million women and babies die every year in developing countries from preventable conditions. Four and a half million. That’s not a small number.”

— Mamta Murthi, the World Bank’s vice president for human development

The World Bank and the governments of Germany, the Netherlands and Ivory Coast want to raise $800 million by the end of the year to continue helping more than 30 countries, most in Africa, improve the health of mothers, children and teenagers.

Why it matters: Progress against child mortality has stalled in the past dozen years, and the pandemic put it in reverse. Maternal mortality was increasing in parts of the world even before Covid hit.

Whatever the bank and the three governments can raise would add to the $2 billion committed to the cause since 2015 through the bank’s Global Financing Facility for Women, Children and Adolescents.

The facility provides grants to 36 countries with the highest numbers of women, children and teenage deaths — including the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guatemala and Pakistan — to improve their services.

Two-thirds of the maternal and child deaths occurring in developing countries happen in those countries, Mamta Murthi, the World Bank’s vice president for human development, told Carmen.

The $800 million would help expand support to seven additional countries and help more than 200 million women access contraceptives, the bank estimates.

“The needs are huge,” Murthi said, “and this is a moment when governments are really short of cash.”

What’s next? The fundraising campaign will culminate with an event in Berlin on Oct. 16 at the World Health Summit.

 

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