How California Dems got the greenlight to say ‘cease-fire’

Inside the Golden State political arena
Mar 26, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO California Playbook

By Dustin Gardiner and Lara Korte

GOING DOWN IN SF TONIGHT: WHAT HAPPENED WITH PROP 1? Join us in San Francisco this evening for a post-mortem analysis on the razor-thin outcome of Proposition 1, Gov. Gavin Newsom’s signature mental-health initiative. POLITICO California’s health care reporter Rachel Bluth will interview Anthony York, one of the governor’s closest advisers on the campaign. Don’t miss an evening of hot takes and libations at Manny’s in the Mission, 3092 16th Street. Register here; the event starts at 6 p.m. Get a ticket while they last!

People take part in a "Palestine Solidarity" march in front of City Hall in San Francisco, California, on November 4, 2023. Thousands of people, both Israeli and Palestinians, have died since October 7, 2023, after Palestinian Hamas militants based in the Gaza Strip, entered southern Israel in a surprise attack leading Israel to declare war on Hamas in Gaza the following day. (Photo by Amy OSBORNE   / AFP) (Photo by AMY OSBORNE/AFP via Getty Images)

Demonstrators take part in a "Palestine Solidarity" march in front of San Francisco City Hall last November. | AFP via Getty Images

THE BUZZ: ISRAEL-GAZA SHIFT — Moderate and establishment Democrats in California once made pains to avoid uttering “cease-fire.” Now, they’re calling for one.

For months party leaders resisted demands from progressive activists to support a cease-fire in Israel’s war with Hamas. But that dam has broken recently as top Democrats warm up to it, most notably with Gov. Gavin Newsom backing the call in a letter Friday.

“I support President Biden’s call for an immediate ceasefire as part of a deal to secure desperately needed relief for Gazan civilians and the release of hostages,” Newsom wrote in the open letter, which was addressed to Muslim, Palestinian American and Arab American communities during Ramadan.

Newsom’s call for a temporary cease-fire with conditions follows the stance set by Biden, who also hasn’t expressed support for the permanent halt to violence that many in the party’s left flank have demanded.

Nevertheless, Newsom’s letter marks a significant semantic shift.

Newsom, who traveled to Israel last fall to meet with survivors of the Oct. 7 Hamas’ attack, isn’t the only prominent California Democrat to call for a cease-fire. Vice President Kamala Harris, in a speech earlier this month, backed an immediate, cease-fire of at least six weeks given the “immense scale of suffering” in Gaza.

Even moderate Democratic House members from swing districts have warmed up to the idea of a cease-fire, including Rep. Josh Harder, who represents a battleground district in the Central Valley near Tracy. He started backing a bilateral cease-fire in January, saying the situation is “untenable.”

Progressives were quick to celebrate Newsom’s letter, though they said it should have come months earlier. The governor also denounced Hamas’ terrorist attack against Israel and demanded the release of hundreds of Israeli hostages.

“It’s about time, right? The thing that always saddens me is that 30,000-plus people have to be murdered for people to notice,” said Fatima Iqbal-Zubair, chair of the California Democratic Party’s Progressive Caucus.

The shift comes amid worsening humanitarian conditions and starvation on the ground in Gaza, which has drawn international condemnation. On Monday, the United Nations Security Council passed a cease-fire resolution after the U.S. declined to exercise its veto power (which added to growing tensions between Israeli-American governments).

Staunch supporters of the Israeli government in California, however, say the word choice employed by the governor and others isn’t necessarily reflective of a substantive shift and doesn’t signal a turn against an important U.S. ally. Rather, Newsom is merely echoing Biden’s push for a temporary halt to allow for humanitarian aid, they said.

David Bocarsly, executive director at the Jewish Public Affairs Committee of California, argued little, if anything, has changed in Newsom’s position since Oct. 7.

“People are looking to claim that elected officials are picking a side,” Bocarsly said. “The word ‘cease-fire’ has become weaponized in a way that it’s become easy to do so.”

Newsom’s reference to a cease-fire is being ridiculed by Republicans, who accuse him of caving to leftwing activists. California Republican Party Chair Jessica Millan Patterson called his letter a “cease-fire word salad” and chided Newsom for including “only a single mention of Hamas and hostages.”

 

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GOOD MORNING. Happy Tuesday. Thanks for waking up with Playbook. Reminder: The Legislature is on spring recess this week. How are you observing some much-needed time away from the Capitol? Email or tweet us with your spring break mood board.

Now you can text us at ‪916-562-0685‬‪ — save it as “CA Playbook” in your contacts now. Or drop us a line at lkorte@politico.com and dgardiner@politico.com, or on X — @DustinGardiner and @Lara_Korte.

WHERE’S GAVIN? Nothing official announced.

ELECTION UPDATES

Derek Tran crosses his arms and poses for a portrait.

Derek Tran, a Democrat, is trying to unseat Republican Rep. Michelle Steel in her Orange County, Calif., district. | Tran campaign

BRO-RANGE COUNTY — The Democratic line-up in Orange County battleground seats is now set, after attorney Derek Tran secured his spot in a general election match-up with GOP Rep. Michelle Steel over the weekend. (The Associated Press still hasn’t called the close contest, but his rival Kim Nguyen-Peñaloza conceded and endorsed Tran over the weekend).

Tran joins state Sen. Dave Min, who is running against Scott Baugh for the open seat currently held by Rep. Katie Porter, and retired fire captain Joe Kerr, who is challenging incumbent Rep. Young Kim, to form the trifecta striving to flip Orange County blue after the party backslid from its previous gains. All three Democrats bested female candidates to get into the top-two, but the male candidates are nevertheless leaning hard into reproductive rights as a top message against their GOP rivals.

The most competitive races are also shaping up to be a fight for the coveted Asian American vote. Democrats are hoping Tran, the son of Vietnamese immigrants, will be better positioned to make a play for Vietnamese American voters, who make up the largest slice of CA-45’s API electorate, which accounts for roughly a third of all eligible voters. He’s got a tough climb against Steel, a Korean American who has developed a sophisticated API outreach program.

In nearby CA-47, Democrats see Min as a triple-threat in courting Asian American voters who make up nearly 20 percent of the electorate – while he is Korean American, his surname is also common among Chinese and Vietnamese people. — Melanie Mason

 

In celebration of Earth Month, the USC Wrigley Institute for Environment and Sustainability and the USC Dornsife Center for the Political Future, in collaboration with POLITICO, host “Climate Forward 2024: Climate at the Crossroads” on April 4, 2024 at USC. Top experts from politics, government, media, and academia will discuss climate change issues with a focus on finding practical policy and business solutions as well identifying ways to remove political obstacles to implementing those changes. Register to attend in person or virtually.

 
 


SILICON VALLEY ENIGMA — Just one vote now separates Santa Clara Supervisor Joe Simitian and Assemblymember Evan Low in the bizarre cliffhanger for a Silicon Valley House seat. The two are competing for second place in the race to succeed retiring Democratic Rep. Anna Eshoo.

Simitian and Low have repeatedly traded spots as votes are counted from the March 5 primary. Whoever prevails will advance to face former San Jose Mayor Sam Liccardo in November.

ON THE AGENDA

FILE - Presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. speaks during a campaign event, Oct. 9, 2023, in Philadelphia. Kennedy Jr. plans to announce his running mate at an event in Oakland, Calif. on Tuesday, March 26, 2024, as he races to secure a place on the ballot for his independent campaign for president. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke, File)

Presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | AP

KENNEDY CONFAB — Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will be in Oakland today to reveal his vice presidential running mate, bringing his challenge to President Joe Biden and the Democrats deep into the heart of Democratic Party territory.

The Bay Area is Biden country — the counties of San Francisco, Marin and Alameda (which includes Oakland) gave the president 80-percent-plus margins in 2020 — and Newsom, who idolizes Robert F. Kennedy Sr., has been a primary surrogate for Biden’s reelection.

But the Kennedy-verse is contesting that supremacy. RFK Jr. ally David Talbot wrote yesterday that Oakland was a perfect backdrop for Kennedy to present an alternative to the city’s failed Democratic leadership, predicting he could channel Oakland’s “new energy.” — Jeremy B. White

CLIMATE AND ENERGY

COUNTRY ROADS — For the first time in more than 50 years, both of California's legislative leaders hail from rural districts. The agricultural industry, as well as local elected officials struggling to keep up with the pace of the state’s climate transition, are hopeful they’ll be heard. Read more in last night's California Climate.

TOP TALKERS

— California is sharing its license plate data with other states, and it’s helping them track down seekers and providers of abortions. (San Francisco Chronicle)

— California is the worst state in the country for job growth, according to a new analysis. It’s hiring at less than half of the national rate. (The San Diego Union-Tribune)

— Tuberculosis cases jumped to pre-pandemic levels in the state’s largest annual increase in 35 years. (Los Angeles Times)

— State jails have cut down their population, but those that are still in custody are dying at record rates. (CalMatters)

— Fremont tops the list for happiest city in the nation for a fifth straight year. Two other California cities made the top five. (San Francisco Chronicle)

— with help from Ariel Gans

PLAYBOOKERS

TRANSITIONS — Krista Wunsche is now legislative director for Rep. Jimmy Panetta (D-Calif.). She previously was senior policy adviser for Rep. Ed Case (D-Hawaii), and is a Blue Dog Coalition alum.

— Mark Dennin is now chief of staff for Rep. Jimmy Panetta. He was previously the congressman’s legislative director and is a Claire McCaskill alum.

— Griselda Ramirez has been promoted to chief external affairs officer for San Diego County Supervisor Nora Vargas. She has held various positions in Vargas’ office since 2021.

BIRTHDAYS — Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi (85!) … Michael Waxman of Waxman Strategies … Shahid Naeem of the American Economic Liberties Project … Vivian Yee … (was Monday): Amy Pascal ... Sarah Jessica Parker

CALIFORNIA POLICY IS ALWAYS CHANGING: Know your next move. From Sacramento to Silicon Valley, POLITICO California Pro provides policy professionals with the in-depth reporting and tools they need to get ahead of policy trends and political developments shaping the Golden State. To learn more about the exclusive insight and analysis this subscriber-only service offers, click here.

Want to make an impact? POLITICO California has a variety of solutions available for partners looking to reach and activate the most influential people in the Golden State. Have a petition you want signed? A cause you’re promoting? Seeking to increase brand awareness amongst this key audience? Share your message with our influential readers to foster engagement and drive action. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

 

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POLITICO California @politicoca

 

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