Can Dems make peace with a border pivot?

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Oct 25, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Daniella Diaz

Presented by Charter Communications

With assists from POLITICO’s Congress team

Rep. Greg Casar, D-Texas, speaks during a news conference about the threat of default with members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, Wednesday, May 24, 2023, on Capitol Hill in Washington. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)

Progressive Rep. Greg Casar (D-Texas) acknowledges that Democrats need to pivot right in order to win tough races. | AP

POLITICAL REALITY CHECK

Kamala Harris tacking to the center on the border. Joe Biden pushing an enforcement-focused immigration bill. Swing-seat candidates pledging to build a border wall in ads.

From the top of the ticket on down, Democrats are confronting a major shift in their party on border and immigration issues as Republicans hammer them on the campaign trail. If they lose the White House or their bids to control the House and Senate, those GOP attacks — driven by hundreds of millions of dollars in ad spending from Donald Trump on down — could be an obvious reason why.

The potency of the issue has lawmakers across the Democratic Party’s various factions wondering where things go from here. So far this cycle, presidential nominee Kamala Harris and other Democrats have leaned heavily into the bipartisan border bill that failed earlier this year due to Trump’s opposition.

But it remains unclear whether the message that Trump and the GOP aren’t serious about solving the problem will be enough to counter the onslaught. And that has Democrats worried.

How progressives see it: Those on the party’s left flank are sticking to their longstanding script: Border security should only be embraced as part of a comprehensive immigration reform effort that includes a path to citizenship for the undocumented. They’ve consistently criticized President Joe Biden’s recent emphasis on border enforcement alone and panning the bipartisan border deal that many in the party are running on this fall.

Rep. Delia Ramirez (D-Ill.), a progressive whose husband is undocumented, said fellow Democrats need to stay the policy course and do a better job matching GOP messaging.

"This is not something that has been in the making over the last year,” Ramirez said. "Republicans have been really good in discipline, in making every single committee hearing, every conversation, come back to the same issue, which is [the] border."

Others, including Rep. Greg Casar (D-Texas), acknowledge that Democrats need to pivot right in order to win tough races.

“I think Democrats need to campaign to win right now,” he said. “And many of my colleagues are just dealing with a political narrative as it has been set before this election. … Our whole country needs to do better, Democrats included, in rebutting Trump Republican lies on this issue.”

How moderates see it: Those lawmakers aligned more toward the political center say messaging won’t be enough: Democrats actually have to get more serious about border security policy, whether or not it is part of a comprehensive bill that also addresses the status of undocumented immigrants.

Members like Rep. Don Davis (D-N.C.) say those GOP “open borders” attack ads aren’t going anywhere unless and until the border is addressed.

“I've been a steady voice on this issue,” said Davis, who’s running to the right on border security to keep his seat. “I actually traveled to the border not too long after I was sworn in that first year, and obviously continue to take interest in the topic. … And really taking the time to do this has really helped better inform me.”

Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-N.Y.) said “even a lot of Democrats and consultants” were opposed to him putting the border center-stage when he ran last year in the Long Island special election to fill the seat of expelled GOP Rep. George Santos. But he instead “ran into the issue,” he said, and won a comfortable victory.

“A good elected official is someone who talks about what the people are talking about already,” he said. “So we certainly emphasized the need to secure the border.”

— Daniella Diaz, with assist from Nicholas Wu

 

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GOOD EVENING! Welcome to Inside Congress, the play-by-play guide to all things Capitol Hill, on this Friday, Oct. 25, where we humbly suggest everyone take a 20-minute break from poll scrolling to enjoy the lovely fall in Washington

McHENRY REFLECTS

Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-N.C.) found himself back in the speaker’s chair Friday — exactly one year after he gave up his weeks-long temporary stint wielding the gavel — to oversee a brief pro-forma session.

He chatted afterward with a small group of reporters about the one-year anniversary, Mike Johnson’s speakership and the perennial chatter about trying to formally empower a future speaker pro tempore, aka the next McHenry.

No thank you: The North Carolina lawmaker pushed back strongly on that last idea, saying that it would be a “huge mistake” to give a temporary speaker more power as part of the House rules. (Some lawmakers floated doing so while McHenry was wielding the gavel so they could pass legislation, and the idea is still being quietly discussed in parts of the conference.)

“We have a speakership that stands as a legislative counter force to the presidency because we have rules enabling the power of the speakership. When you diminish that and when you diminish the importance of the speakership, you diminish its powers,” McHenry said.

On Johnson: McHenry hasn’t been afraid to criticize Johnson’s running of the conference, particularly in the early days. But on Friday, McHenry heaped praise on the Louisianian for learning on the job how to manage the Republican conference, which he called the “most complicated beast of them all.”

“I think what you've seen over the last six months is why House Republicans unanimously voted for him on the House floor one year ago today: Talent has to be developed, and he has used his talent and new experiences to get better and better each week in the job,” he said, adding that Johnson now “gets how to ride this bull of House Republicans.”

But, but, but: As Inside Congress noted to McHenry, it seems clear that Johnson doesn’t have unanimous support within the conference. And McHenry acknowledged that questions about Johnson’s future will be shaped by the upcoming November election.

“Does Trump win? Does Trump lose? It is a Republican House? A Republican Senate?” he mused. “Winning on Election Day opens up opportunities for people, and that’s what the speaker’s doing — he’s raising money and helping candidates. That's what he should be doing.”

— Jordain Carney

 

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FOR THE LAME DUCK RADAR 

There’s already heaps for lawmakers to address in the upcoming lame-duck session: government spending, defense spending, a potential deal on artificial intelligence. But some lawmakers, including Sen. Michael Bennet (D-Colo.), are still hoping the ever-elusive farm bill gets added to that list.

“This is one of the pieces of legislation where we actually historically have done our work,” the Agriculture Committee member told reporters earlier this week. “And it's depressing that that has now gotten delayed, like everything else around here.”

Between the lines: Senate Ag Committee Chair Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.) is retiring this term, and she’s repeatedly said she wants to get a farm bill passed before she leaves the chamber. But time is short before the next Congress arrives, and the policy gap between Stabenow and Republicans is long. Still, Bennet said, committee members are hopeful that if “we can create some momentum in that bill, there's no reason we can't pass it.”

Ursula Perano

STEEL YOURSELF FOR AN ETHICS COMPLAINT

The progressive advocacy group End Citizens United on Thursday filed an ethics complaint against Rep. Michelle Steel (R-Calif.), alleging she engaged in partisan activities at an official event honoring a GOP donor.

The complaint filed with the Office of Congressional Ethics cites a street-renaming event last week in Huntington Beach, California, where Steel spoke and presented Republican donor Ed Laird with what the group said “appeared to be an official certificate of Congressional recognition.”

She also told the crowd that she used to represent the area and still does “the work in this district … because you don’t have the right congressmember here” and that she is “gonna still do the work until Scott Baugh gets elected,” referring to the Republican running in a neighboring district.

By making those statements, End Citizens United said that Steel had improperly mixed official activity with political activity as well as used official resources to help people who live outside her district and in a partisan way.

"Derek Tran and his lefty looney friends are pathetic, but what’s more pathetic is Politico giving space to some group that’s endorsed Tran for filing a frivolous complaint," Steel spokesperson Lance Trover said, referring to her Democratic opponent. An OCE spokesperson declined to comment.

Daniel Lippman

 

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HUDDLE HOTDISH

We’ll definitely support pre-8 a.m. Krispy Kreme, Jim Himes. 

Obsessed with this pregnancy present.

Stormy Daniels is back.

You sure the House is perfect, Rep. Michael Burgess?

QUICK LINKS 

Relief for Hostages Facing IRS Penalties Bogs Down in Congress, from Chris Cioffi in Bloomberg Tax

Senate Democrats’ last hope: Trump voters willing to split their ticket, from Liz Goodwin and Sabrina Rodriguez in The Washington Post

Speaker Mike Johnson fights to save the House Republican majority — and his job, from Scott Wong and Julie Tsirkin at NBC News

Ohio GOP candidate in key Senate race uses anti-recording tech to combat 'trackers', from Bryan Metzger at Business Insider

Battleground New York: How voters from Long Island to Syracuse could determine which party controls the U.S. House, from Kevin Frey at NY1

Kamala Harris Needs Young Voters. Her Envoy: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, from Nicholas Fandos at the New York Times.

McHenry eyes post-Congress move as China talks continue, from Eleanor Mueller

TRANSITIONS 

Abby Avery is joining Sen. Katie Britt’s (R-Ala.) office as military legislative assistant. She previously was manager of government operation at United Launch Alliance.

Matt Cronin is joining Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) as senior national security adviser. He most recently was chief investigative counsel and deputy general counsel for the House China committee, and is a White House alum.

MONDAY IN CONGRESS

The House and Senate are out.

MONDAY AROUND THE HILL

Zzzz.

TRIVIA

THURSDAY’S ANSWER: Edward Merlis correctly answered that Alaska was the northernmost, westernmost and easternmost state and Hawaii was the southernmost.

TODAY’S QUESTION, from Edward: On several occasions in U.S. history, a half-dozen or more senators, each with 30 years or more of Senate service, have served concurrently. When was the first time this occurred? Extra points: How long did the first six-senator, 30-year-plus Senate concurrent service last?

The first person to correctly guess gets a mention in the next edition of Inside Congress. Send your answers to insidecongress@politico.com.

GET INSIDE CONGRESS emailed to your phone each evening.

 

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