Capitol Hill’s Jamie Dimon fan club

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Oct 18, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Jasper Goodman

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QUICK FIX

It’s a prospect that has tantalized Wall Street for more than a decade: Jamie Dimon, CEO of America’s biggest bank, serving as Treasury secretary.

With Dimon signaling he could retire from JPMorgan Chase in the coming years, the speculation is more rampant than ever — and it has many Republican lawmakers almost giddy ahead of the November elections.

It doesn’t matter that Dimon’s a registered Democrat or that he’s staked out positions from trade to foreign policy that have put him at odds with former President Donald Trump.

“I frankly would love it,” said Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.), who has gotten to know Dimon as a member of the Senate Banking Committee.

“I like the guy,” said Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.), a more populist-leaning member of the banking panel. “I would consider him to be a policy maven.”

“He’d be a good choice,” said Sen. Mike Rounds (R-S.D.), who is inching closer to serving as the Banking Committee’s GOP leader.

The support for Dimon reflects the goodwill he has built on Capitol Hill over his 18 years as CEO of JPMorgan, where he’s served as the banking industry’s most visible and outspoken leader in Washington. It also illustrates that much of the GOP remains closely aligned with the business community, even as the party has embraced a populist brand that is more skeptical of corporate power. Trump himself has stoked the speculation around Dimon, and there have been signals this year that an adversarial relationship between Dimon and Vice President Kamala Harris may be softening.

Though Dimon over the years has left open the possibility of public service, he said last week the chance of him serving in the next administration “is almost nil.” He added that he has “always reserved the right” to move into public service, but said: “I love what I do. I intend to be doing what I'm doing.”

Trump has toyed with the idea at times and shot it down at others. He told Bloomberg News in June he would consider Dimon for Treasury, adding that he has “a lot of respect for” him. But he backtracked a month later, posting on his social media site, Truth Social, that he “never discussed, or thought of” appointing Dimon. The latest twist came when Trump falsely posted on social media this month that Dimon was endorsing him. Trump campaign spokesperson Steven Cheung said in a statement that “formal discussions of who will serve in a second Trump Administration is premature.”

Dimon has a unique stature in Washington. A former chair of the Business Roundtable, he has become one of Wall Street’s key conduits to top policymakers and is among the most active bank executives in the capital, according to lawmakers interviewed for this story.

His lobbying goes beyond just issues that affect his bank. Cramer recalled a weekend phone call he received from Dimon, who was pushing for a foreign aid package supporting Ukraine and Israel and wanted to check on the status.

“Whatever's on his mind or in his heart he says out loud, which is part of why he’s interesting,” Cramer said.

His bluntness has also been known to create political kerfuffles that later need cleaning up. In 2021, he had to walk back a joke he made in Hong Kong after he quipped that JPMorgan would “last longer” than the Chinese Communist Party. He later said he “should not have made that comment.” In 2018, he was forced to backpedal after saying he “could beat Trump” because he is as tough and “smarter than he is.” Dimon later said the remark “proves I wouldn’t make a good politician.”

Dimon had a run-in with Harris that she chronicled in her 2019 book, “The Truths We Hold: An American Journey.” Harris wrote that she and Dimon “were like dogs in a fight” as she was trying to negotiate a settlement with big banks that ultimately forced them to pay billions to homeowners harmed by the foreclosure crisis. Describing a phone call with Dimon, Harris said the JPMorgan boss yelled at her that she was “trying to steal from my shareholders.”

“I gave it right back,” she wrote. But the two have apparently smoothed things over since: Harris and Dimon reportedly had lunch together at the White House in March.

Harris’s campaign declined to comment. Many of the vice president’s allies in the business community would likely love to see him serve in her administration if she wins. But he would be a polarizing pick in any administration for the party’s left flank.

A Dimon nomination could also face opposition from more populist Republicans who have sought to push the party to take a tougher approach to Wall Street.

“Not a good pick,” said Rep. Warren Davidson (R-Ohio), a Trump ally on House Financial Services, who added that he has “no worries” that Dimon would actually get the nod.

“For a lot of reasons, it wouldn't build confidence in our system to pick Jamie Dimon to lead it,” Davidson said.

Dimon described himself in 2012 as “barely a Democrat at this point” and has been sharply critical of financial regulatory changes brought by agency officials tapped by President Joe Biden. His evolution has been enough to maintain a GOP fanbase.

“I understand he's a Democrat — I don’t care,” Kennedy said. “There are things that I agree with Mr. Dimon, there are things that I disagree with. But you don't have to be a senior at CalTech to know he's been very successful.”

IT’S FRIDAY — Send Capitol Hill tips to jgoodman@politico.com. And as always, find Sam at ssutton@politico.com.

 

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Driving the day

Housing starts and building permits data for September will be released at 8:30 a.m. … Fed Gov. Christopher Waller will deliver remarks on decentralized finance at 12:10 p.m. … Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic will address the economic outlook at a Mississippi Council on Economic Education Forum on American Enterprise at 12:30 p.m.

Lawler introduces sweeping housing plan — A scoop from our Eleanor Mueller and Zach Warmbrodt: New York Republican Rep. Mike Lawler is set to introduce a sweeping affordable housing plan Friday, as the GOP looks to address one of the most pressing economic policy concerns of this year's elections.

The 209-page bill from Lawler, a member of the House Financial Services Committee, includes his own proposals as well as ideas from other Hill Republicans.

Lawler, who represents a district that President Joe Biden won in 2020, is facing a tough re-election campaign in a closely watched race that could help determine control of the House.

Yellen blasts Trump tariff, tax plans — Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Thursday took aim at the economic policies that are a centerpiece of Trump’s second-term agenda, blasting “sweeping, untargeted” tariffs and plans to extend 2017 tax cuts, Michael Stratford reports.

“Calls for walling America off with high tariffs on friends and competitors alike or by treating even our closest allies as transactional partners are deeply misguided,” Yellen said at the Council on Foreign Relations. She also criticized Republican proposals to extend the 2017 tax cuts, saying, “Unless that’s paid for in some way, that’s something we just can’t afford.”

ECB accelerates rate cuts — Our Johanna Treeck reports from Frankfurt that the European Central Bank cut its key interest rate by a quarter-point, as a souring growth outlook and weaker-than-expected inflation in September drove rate-setters to step up the pace of policy easing.

On the Hill

First in MM: Barr nears $2.6M in NRCC dues — Rep. Andy Barr transferred $300,000 and raised $127,000 this week to bring his NRCC dues this election cycle to $2.57 million, Eleanor and your host report.

The Kentucky Republican, who is among those running to replace retiring House Financial Services Chair Patrick McHenry , is now the conference’s second-highest contributor. Rep. French Hill (R-Ky.), another top contender, has paid $2.52 million in dues — making him the conference’s fourth-highest contributor.

Barr and Hill are also facing down Rep. Bill Huizenga (R-Mich.) and Rep. Frank Lucas (R-Okla.), whose dues were lagging theirs earlier this year. All four have been ramping up their fundraising as they compete to show their colleagues who is most capable of helming one of the House’s most lucrative committees — the one that oversees Wall Street.

Members expect leadership to weigh policy chops, bipartisan goodwill, and conference relationships more heavily than cash flow. Yet the latter still remains one of the most visible metrics in measuring the contenders against each other, particularly as the election cycle draws to a close.

An MM analysis of the foursome’s third-quarter fundraising, according to FEC records and leadership PAC data obtained from people with direct knowledge of the contenders’ political operations, reveals Barr in the lead with $756,032 raised for his campaign committee and $181,372 raised for his leadership PAC.

Hill is second with $445,183 raised for his campaign committee and $151,109 raised for his leadership PAC. And Huizenga is third, with $465,845 raised for his campaign committee and $61,500 raised for his leadership PAC.

Lucas raised $247,049 for his campaign committee.

First in MM: Senate Republicans probe SBA over disaster loans — Senate Small Business ranking member Joni Ernst led three other panel Republicans in requesting more information from SBA on the depletion of its disaster loan program, Eleanor reports.

“We are deeply concerned about the SBA’s handling of its disaster loan account and the SBA’s failure to provide its authorizing committees statutorily required information,” Ernst (Iowa) and Sens. Tim Scott (S.C.), Todd Young (Ind.) and James Risch (Idaho) wrote in a letter to SBA Administrator Isabel Guzman this week.

They add that “these concerns are only heightened by the SBA’s lack of transparency, including the failure to provide an official Office of Management and Budget (OMB) request, and the requisite notifications and reports to authorizing committees.”

An SBA spokesperson replied in a statement that the agency “first raised the need for additional funds to Congressional appropriators in September 2023.” They add that “since then, the Agency has provided several bipartisan briefings and made many proactive requests to ensure the disaster loan program remains funded at a sufficient level.”

“While SBA’s requests were unfortunately not fulfilled, the Agency continues to stand ready to work with Congress,” the spokesperson said.

 

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The Economy

Bank economists see improved lendingBank economists expect lending conditions for consumers and businesses to improve over the next six months, according to a new report from the American Bankers Association.

At the regulators

SEC social media hack update — Our Declan Harty reports that authorities have arrested a man who allegedly hacked the SEC's X account to falsely post that the agency had approved new crypto products.

Federal prosecutors said in a statement that Eric Council Jr., 25, illegally broke into the SEC's social media account in January by taking over the cellphone number of someone who had access — a scheme known as a SIM swap attack. Council's co-conspirators, prosecutors alleged, then posted on X that the SEC had signed off on a series of bitcoin exchange-traded products that were under review. Bitcoin's price shortly thereafter jumped by $1,000.

ODDS AND ENDS

Relaunch — The podcast known as Macrocast, originally founded by Tony Fratto in 2019, and hosted by Markets Policy Partners’ John Fagan and Brendan Walsh, will now feature a new co-host: Forbes Tate’s Ed Hill, who has spent decades in the financial services policy space. “Macrocast brings listeners in-depth commentary on the intersection of markets, policy, and economics in a concise, 30-minute format,” according to a press release shared with MM.

The first episode of the new Forbes Tate-Markets Policy Partners collaboration features our own Victoria Guida talking about the intersection of economic policy and the election. Tune in!

 

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