How the election may shape the soaring climate tab

Your guide to the political forces shaping the energy transformation
Oct 21, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Arianna Skibell

Richard Thomas walks through floodwaters in front of his home.

Richard Thomas walks through floodwaters from Hurricane Sandy on Oct. 29, 2012, in Fenwick Island, Delaware. | Alex Brandon/AP

New York City Mayor Eric Adams just unveiled a set of seawalls to protect part of Manhattan from sea-level rise. The cost: $1.45 billion.

The city is only the latest to fortify against the growing impacts of climate change. Houston will soon begin to build a coastal barrier system, and states from Florida to North Carolina are considering how to adapt to more frequent natural disasters after Hurricanes Helene and Milton delivered a one-two punch of deadly flooding and winds.

But it won’t be cheap. And November’s election could determine how much federal cash is available to help build seawalls, plant mangroves and install other flood controls — not to mention make infrastructure upgrades such as hardening the electric grid.

Donald Trump has pledged to “demolish the deep state” if he wins the White House, slashing the resources and workforces of government bodies such as the Environmental Protection Agency, which is charged with providing climate adaptation funds to states and localities. He has also pledged to claw back as much funding from President Joe Biden’s 2022 climate law as possible, while Vice President Kamala Harris has said she would build on Biden’s actions.

Weather-related damage costs the U.S. about $150 billion each year — but adaptation can blunt those costs by up to one-third, according to the most recent national climate assessment. The climate law — and the 2021 bipartisan infrastructure law — carved out historic investments for some climate adaptation projects, such as strengthening water infrastructure.

Such projects take time to develop, large sums of money and, often, complex political navigation.

New York’s recovery from 2012’s Hurricane Sandy took years and eventually prompted fortification talks. Now the city is working with the federal government to fund the construction of 18 deployable barriers along almost 2½ miles of coast on the southeast side of Manhattan. Twelve barriers are functional, and the mayor said he expects all 18 to be ready by 2026.

Adams called the seawalls “the single largest urban climate adaptation project in the U.S.”

“Some of my law enforcement officers … are retired to Florida, and they're talking about the devastation of their homes and losing everything,” he said last week. “And that is what we want to prevent.”

Houston is planning a project even larger. The coastal barrier system known as the “Ike Dike” could take 20 years to build at a cost of $57 billion. The plan was developed after Hurricane Ike devastated Houston and Galveston in 2008.

Earlier this year, Houston received a $500,000 infusion from the federal government to begin pre-construction work. Congress authorized the project in 2022 but last year denied an initial funding request from Republican Rep. Randy Weber, whose district includes Galveston.

 

It's Monday  thank you for tuning in to POLITICO's Power Switch. I'm your host, Arianna Skibell. Power Switch is brought to you by the journalists behind E&E News and  POLITICO Energy. Send your tips, comments, questions to askibell@eenews.net.

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Today in POLITICO Energy’s podcast: James Bikales breaks down why some experts are skeptical of Harris' proposal to create a national stockpile of critical minerals to bolster America’s economic and national security.

Power Centers

The Supreme Court in Washington.

The Supreme Court in Washington. | Francis Chung/POLITICO

SCOTUS tangos with EPA
The Supreme Court has agreed to hear arguments in a set of cases that seek to move legal battles over certain EPA rules to courts seen as more favorable to challengers, writes Pamela King.

In a short order issued Monday, the justices granted petitions stemming from challenges to EPA’s rejection of state air pollution plans and the agency’s denial of biofuel blending waivers.

EV attacks send Dems scrambling
Republicans are on the attack over electric vehicles, and Democrats are having a hard time finding their footing, writes Timothy Cama.

In tight House and Senate races in Michigan, Virginia, New York and Montana, Republican candidates are putting Democrats on the defensive by accusing the Biden administration of trying to "mandate" that drivers abandon their Chevy Tahoes for Chevy Bolts. Some Republicans are misleadingly tying EV tax subsidies to reductions in Medicare payments to drug companies.

Why environmental justice leaders are looking to Harris
While Harris has said little about her climate agenda, environmental justice advocates are giving the vice president the benefit of the doubt, writes Jean Chemnick.

They say her track record shows she is attentive to the needs of communities whose health and welfare have historically been sacrificed to economic development. Their expectation: Harris’ experience as California attorney general and U.S. senator will inform how she approaches federal programs supporting carbon capture and storage.

Midwest coal ‘pollution debt’ lives on
The Rush Island coal plant in St. Louis was unplugged from the grid only last week, seven years after a federal judge ruled that the power company Ameren had violated the Clean Air Act, writes Jeffrey Tomich.

The 13-year-old case reflects a few hard truths about the Clean Air Act and its enforcement, legal experts say, including the fact that one of the nation’s bedrock environmental laws isn’t meant to deliver relief for impacted communities.

In Other News

Voting: The United States' most important climate elections this fall are local.

Climate dystopia: In the 12th season of his history podcast about real revolutions, Mike Duncan explores a fictional account of the Martian Revolution of 2247.

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Ron DeSantis (from left) walks beside Donald Trump, Marco Rubio and Rick Scott.

(From left) Ron DeSantis walks beside Donald Trump, Marco Rubio and Rick Scott in Florida on March 29, 2019. | Nicholas Kamm/AFP via Getty Images

Rick Scott and Ron DeSantis are in a fairly small fraternity of Florida governors who have led their state through major hurricanes. They have some critiques about each other’s performance.

The businessman leading Trump’s presidential transition team is promising to bring loyal appointees in to lead the federal government if the former president clinches the White House in November.

A global pact to reduce the use of oil, gas and coal is being put to the test as countries expand fossil fuel production a year after the pledge was signed.

That's it for today, folks! Thanks for reading.

 

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Arianna Skibell @ariannaskibell

 

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