| | | | |  | | By Rachael Bade and Eugene Daniels | Presented by Kidney Care Access Coalition | | With help from Eli Okun, Garrett Ross and Bethany Irvine
| | | |  | DRIVING THE DAY | | | SNEAK PREVIEW — “Coming soon: The most pro-crypto Congress ever,” by Jasper Goodman: “A $160 million political spending spree by cryptocurrency firms and executives is poised to usher in a new, bipartisan army of industry-friendly lawmakers across the House and Senate.” TOP-ED — “Trump’s Bro Whispering Could Cost Democrats Too Many Young Men,” by Harvard Youth Poll director JOHN DELLA VOLPE in NYT
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Trump co-campaign manager Susie Wiles is seen at Nashville International Airport, July 27, 2024, in Nashville, Tennessee. | Alex Brandon/AP | CHIEF CONCERNS — Earlier this month, the NYT’s Jonathan Swan and Maggie Haberman scooped that DONALD TRUMP was considering BROOKE ROLLINS — his former Domestic Policy Council director now serving as president of the MAGA think tank, the America First Policy Institute — to serve as his chief of staff should he return to the White House. Within 24 hours, both POLITICO and WaPo reported that AFPI — dubbed the “White House in waiting” for its quiet role mapping out a second Trump term — had been hacked by the Chinese. But for Trump’s inner circle, that wasn’t exactly news: The institute’s online security perimeter had been breached almost a full year prior, Playbook has learned, and then again earlier this month. The reason news seeped out this time? Because, some Trump confidants speculate, someone who didn’t like Rollins wanted it to. “The knife-fighting is underway,” one told Playbook. “Someone’s like, ‘Oh, she wants to be chief of staff? Well, she can’t even stop her own organization from getting hacked.’” It’s just one vivid example of the behind-the-scenes jockeying playing out over a crucial White House role even before Trump wins the election. The chief of staff job has always been seen as particularly crucial and particularly fraught for Trump, who ground through four chiefs in four years during his first term. Each struggled to rein in Trump, despite wildly different styles and personalities, and keep him and his administration focused. Trump himself, we’re told, has been superstitious about making plans before a victory and has been reluctant to discuss the matter much. But among those orbiting the ex-president, tongues are freely wagging. We spoke to a host of insiders yesterday who viewed the job as crucial to a potential second Trump administration’s success — and had plenty to say about the three people most discussed for the role: Rollins, SUSIE WILES and KEVIN McCARTHY. Here’s a quick download on each … THE FRONTRUNNER — As de facto campaign manager, Wiles probably has the job if she wants it, almost everyone told us. Trump, after all, has a history of rewarding those who help him win — tapping RNC chief REINCE PRIEBUS as chief and campaign CEO STEVE BANNON as chief strategist following his 2016 victory. But that’s not the only reason people are betting on Wiles, a veteran of Florida politics who grew closer to Trump when he was persona non grata in political circles after Jan. 6. She’s the biggest reason why Trump has a more professional and organized campaign this cycle, insiders say. They appreciate her instituting order on an otherwise chaotic political menagerie and credit her zero-tolerance policy on backbiting for an era of relative peace in their orbit. Most importantly: The boss trusts her . While Trump doesn’t always listen, they’ve established a rapport where Wiles can be frank with the former president and tell him when she disagrees — not something many are willing to do in the face of Trump’s occasional temper. Her few detractors argue Wiles hasn’t had a modern-day government job. She worked on the Hill briefly for JACK KEMP, as a scheduler for RONALD REAGAN and in the Labor Department before decamping to Florida, but Beltway politics have changed considerably since then. Still, those who’ve seen Wiles up close say she’s a quick study. Under Trump, she’s navigated big egos and sharp elbows, assassination attempts, court cases and convictions. “She’s unflappable,” one insider said. One thing: It’s unclear if Wiles actually wants the job given its grueling nature and how past Trump chiefs departed. She has already had a remarkable three-year run at Trump’s side, and people wonder if she got her fill of personnel drama earlier this year after COREY LEWANDOWSKI’s sudden return to the campaign. THE POLICY HAND — According to that NYT story, Trump has been soliciting people’s opinions about Rollins and suggesting she’d make “a great chief of staff.” Those who like Rollins say that’s a sharp assessment: She’s a polished policy hand, they argue, who can help get Trump’s legislative agenda passed. But the story has only crystallized opposition to Rollins among many Trump insiders, who believe she has no business having that job, casting her as a relative newcomer to Trump world whose main attributes are self-promotion and close ties to AFPI’s influential donors. Some worry she’s too close with traditional free-market conservatives and would clash with Trump’s embrace of tariff-heavy “MAGAnomics.” Still, Rollins has a power base: A Texas native who came up through Gov. RICK PERRY ’s administration, she grew close to JARED KUSHNER and helmed domestic policy during Trump’s final half-year in office then gave fellow ex-administration officials a home at AFPI after the chaotic end to Trump’s presidency. Her critics argue that despite her policy chops, her political acumen is sorely lacking. Some of those who have worked with her believe she’d be eaten alive in the role. The counterpoint is that Trump would not be seeking re-election and thus needs someone who can primarily execute on his agenda. She’s clear-eyed about her political deficiencies, her backers argue, and could outsource that role. (Notably, she brought KELLYANNE CONWAY on at AFPI.) But what does Trump think? One person told us Trump has lavishly praised her, saying she could run any business in the country. But he’s confronted her in the past over AFPI’s use of his “America First” brand, with the NYT reporting he’s sought as much as $50 million in compensation.
| | | | A message from Kidney Care Access Coalition: Today, dialysis patients can be forced off the health coverage that works best for them – even impacting coverage for their spouse and kids.
The Restore Protections for Dialysis Patients Act (S. 5018 and H.R. 6860) is a bipartisan and bicameral bill that will restore protections for dialysis patients and ensure that these patients and their families have a choice in their coverage.
The time for Congress to act is now.
https://www.kidneycareaccess.org/ | | | | THE OUSTED SPEAKER — If Wiles has the political chops and Rollins has the policy know-how, McCarthy backers argue that the former speaker has both: “I think there is an argument to having someone who's been a legislator,” one Trump ally said, harking back to the difficulties Trump had in 2017 getting his agenda across Capitol Hill. Some have questioned if McCarthy would actually take the job. A longtime-staffer-turned-longtime-lawmaker, he’s now making big money for the first time in his life. But those of us who’ve covered him for years know better. McCarthy is an inveterate political animal who loves playing the inside game. Perhaps no job in Washington would better harness the relationships he’s built over a lifetime in politics, and so call us skeptical that he’d pass it up. (Asked in the past about serving under Trump, McCarthy has said he’s not angling a job but wouldn’t rule out taking one.) Others, in fact, think McCarthy is too eager. Two Trump insiders pointed out to us unprompted that McCarthy’s longtime consigliere JEFF MILLER has been lobbying for HOWARD LUTNICK, the Cantor Fitzgerald CEO who is also leading Trump’s transition, prompting questions about Miller’s influence on personnel decisions. Miller told Playbook he isn’t involved: “Howard has been a friend and client for quite a while, but I have no role — officially, unofficially or in any way whatsoever — in [the] transition.” As for Trump’s view, it’s complicated. Trump didn’t do much to intervene when MAGA die-hards moved against McCarthy in the House. Some say he viewed McCarthy as a weak negotiator during his months as speaker, and he remains vexed that the Californian didn’t make good on a promise to “expunge” his twin impeachments. Still, the two remain close and talk frequently. Trump appreciates that McCarthy was one of his earliest congressional allies. But the view among those closest to the ex-president is that they’d be surprised if he gave McCarthy the job. Good Tuesday morning. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line: Rachael Bade and Eugene Daniels. MORE 2025 DREAMING — Advisers to Trump have talked about trying to remove MICHAEL BARR from the Fed board if he wins the election, WaPo’s Andrew Ackerman reveals. That would be “an unprecedented yet potentially less controversial intrusion” than going after Chair JEROME POWELL. THE LONG ELECTION DAY — “With Election Day 2 Weeks Away, 15 Million Voters Have Already Cast a Ballot,” by NYT’s Nick Corasaniti
| | | | A message from Kidney Care Access Coalition:   The Restore Protections for Dialysis Patients Act will right a wrong and ensure dialysis patients and their families aren’t forced off their health insurance. https://www.kidneycareaccess.org/ | | | | | WHAT'S HAPPENING TODAY | | On the Hill The House and the Senate are out. What we’re watching … When FTC Chair LINA KHAN made recent public appearances with several congressional Democrats, well, some powerful congressional Republicans noticed. House Judiciary Chair JIM JORDAN (R-Ohio) and Sen. MIKE LEE (R-Utah) wrote Khan yesterday, accusing her of illegally participating in partisan politics as a government employee. As Bloomberg’s Billy House notes, “They didn’t provide any particular comments that Khan made nor cite specific violations.” But the pair both have oversight responsibilities over the FTC — and could make Khan’s life difficult if they have congressional majorities next year, and Khan keeps her job. At the White House Biden will hold a bilateral meeting with Slovenian PM ROBERT GOLOB at 11:30 a.m. Then he’ll travel to New Hampshire, where he’ll speak about lowering prescription drug prices at 3:45 p.m. in Concord before visiting a Democratic coordinated campaign office. He’ll return to the White House in the evening. On the trail Trump will hold a rally in Greensboro, North Carolina, at 7 p.m. Harris is in D.C., where she’ll tape interviews with NBC’s Hallie Jackson and Telemundo’s Julio Vaqueiro in the afternoon. Minnesota Gov. TIM WALZ will hold a rally with BARACK OBAMA in Madison, Wisconsin, at 3:10 p.m. Eastern. Then he’ll hold a rally in Racine at 7:40 p.m. Eastern, before returning to St. Paul at night. Sen. JD VANCE (R-Ohio) will speak in Peoria, Arizona, at 3 p.m. Eastern and hold a rally in Tucson at 6:30 p.m. Eastern.
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Former President Donald Trump gestures as he leaves the stage at a campaign rally in Concord, N.C., Oct. 21, 2024. | Nell Redmond/AP | SPLIT SCREEN — Yesterday on the campaign trail was a study in contrasts as both candidates worked to appeal to undecided voters — Trump by sounding more somber as he toured hurricane devastation in North Carolina, and Harris by campaigning with LIZ CHENEY across the Blue Wall. Trump spoke seriously about the plight of communities upended by Hurricane Helene and mourned the loss of life, Natalie Allison reports from Swannanoa. But he also made sure to lambaste the Biden administration’s response and repeat debunked, false conspiracy theories about the federal hurricane response, per AP’s Bill Barrow and Michelle Price, and declined to condemn threats against FEMA workers. He also made plenty of striking political comments. Trump dodged when Natalie asked if he still supported MARK ROBINSON in the gubernatorial race, and he claimed that the Border Patrol union told him they prefer him to ABRAHAM LINCOLN because of the border, per Reuters’ Gram Slattery. He also acknowledged that he hasn’t seen any fraud in the election yet, though he continued to cast doubt on its validity, NYT’s Michael Gold reports. For Harris, the focus was squarely on wooing moderate/Republican suburbanite women in her Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin stops with Cheney. The women’s pitch was not just about democracy, but also about wooing voters with right-leaning views on foreign policy, fiscal policy and even abortion, Megan Messerly and Meridith McGraw report . “It’s not about party, it’s about right and wrong,” Cheney said about the election, per NYT’s Erica Green and Reid Epstein. RACE FOR THE WHITE HOUSE THE EARLY VOTE — Jon Ralston’s latest analysis of the Nevada early vote, which is widely considered one of the only reliable such barometers, says yesterday’s numbers “could signal serious danger for the Dems and for Kamala Harris here.” It’s early, but Republicans have taken a rare early-vote lead and Democrats need to turn around the trend quickly. THE HOUSING ELECTION — Could high housing costs doom the Democrats in the Sun Belt like deindustrialization did in the Rust Belt a generation ago? It’s “the same result: Many working-class voters say a promise has been broken, and they are looking for someone to blame,” NYT’s Jennifer Medina reports from Las Vegas. The affordability crisis has grown acute in the Philadelphia and Atlanta areas, Bloomberg’s Ann Choi, Mark Niquette, Michael Sasso and Alexandre Tanzi detail. WOW — A baseless claim that Walz sexually assaulted a former student, which spread like wildfire across the MAGA internet, appears to be disinformation traceable to a Russian propaganda unit, Wired’s David Gilbert scooped. YOUR GUESS IS AS GOOD AS OURS — “Tim Walz to campaign in Louisville, weeks before presidential election,” by the Louisville Courier Journal’s Hannah Pinski RACE FOR THE SENATE FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Pennsylvania Republican DAVE McCORMICK’s closing ad of the campaign, running statewide, features him speaking direct to camera from West Point about his commitment to leadership. “Our country is stuck,” he says, “and we’ve got to make a change. BOB CASEY’s had 18 years, and he’s never made a difference.” Watch it here TOO CLOSE FOR COMFORT — As independent DAN OSBORN makes a real race out of the Nebraska contest, the Senate Leadership Fund is swooping in with $3 million to protect GOP Sen. DEB FISCHER, Semafor’s Burgess Everett reports. WHAT LUCAS KUNCE ISN’T SAYING — The Missouri Democrat’s uphill campaign against GOP Sen. JOSH HAWLEY has moved away from emphasizing Hawley’s actions on Jan. 6, NOTUS’ Emily Kennard reports. RACE FOR THE HOUSE FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — We published an internal GOP poll last week that showed Rep. MICHELLE STEEL (R-Calif.) ahead in her reelection race. But the DCCC now has its own internal poll that shows Democratic challenger DEREK TRAN leading, 48 percent to 45 percent. The Dems find that Tran leads with Asian Americans and Latinos, and Steel’s favorability is underwater. The Normington, Petts & Associates poll of 400 likely voters has a margin of error of 4.4 percent. The polling memo … Interesting L.A. Times clicker on Asian voters here and in the 47th District HERE COMES HMP — After Democrats clamored for national groups to boost SUE ALTMAN’s campaign against Rep. TOM KEAN JR. (R-N.J.), House Majority PAC is jumping in with $4 million and ads starting this week, the New Jersey Globe’s David Wildstein reports. POLL POSITION All the swing states: Redfield & Wilton Strategies finds Trump +3 in Arizona and North Carolina, Trump +1 in Georgia and Nevada, Harris +1 in Wisconsin, and ties in Michigan and Pennsylvania. National: Trump +1, per TIPP. Harris +1, per USA Today/Suffolk. … Pennsylvania: Trump +3, per Trafalgar. … Florida: Sen. RICK SCOTT +3, per the University of North Florida. Rep. ANNA PAULINA LUNA and WHITNEY FOX tied, per St. Pete Polls. … New Mexico: Rep. GABE VASQUEZ +4, per the Albuquerque Journal. … Michigan: Rep. JOHN JAMES +4, per The Detroit News/WDIV-TV. … California: SCOTT BAUGH +3, per his internal polling. … Alaska: NICK BEGICH +5, per internal GOP polling, Anthony Adragna reports.
| | PLAYBOOK READS | | AMERICA AND THE WORLD
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Secretary of State Antony Blinken boards a plane as he departs Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, on October 21, 2024, en route to the Middle East. | Pool photo by Nathan Howard | MIDDLE EAST LATEST — Secretary of State ANTONY BLINKEN is heading to Israel to try for the umpteenth time to reach cease-fires in Israel’s wars with Hamas and Hezbollah, Bloomberg’s Dan Williams and Dana Khraiche report. AMOS HOCHSTEIN is there too. JOHN KIRBY said Blinken would work toward not only cease-fires but a “day after” plan for the region. And Bloomberg reports that Israel “is open to a package deal” of some concessions across the conflicts in exchange for Hamas releasing hostages. But for a sense of how unlikely a resolution remains, read this article from the Times of Israel’s Jacob Magid : Israeli officials are worried that if Trump wins, he’ll be disappointed next year when Israel refuses to end the war quickly. (Amazingly, a new survey finds Arab Americans breaking slightly for Trump in the election — even as they see him as more pro-Israel, per Semafor’s Morgan Chalfant.) Meanwhile, tensions continue: Iran indicated at the U.N. that it’ll hold the U.S. responsible for whatever Israeli retaliation against Iran is coming, per Reuters . And the State Department is probing possible human rights violations by an Israeli unit, Axios’ Barak Ravid reports. WATCH THIS SPACE — “Biden ‘deeply concerned’ about release of secret documents on Israel’s possible attack plans,” by LAT’s Aamer Madhani and David Klepper JUDICIARY SQUARE SCOTUS WATCH — The Supreme Court yesterday declined to take up an appeal from MICHAEL COHEN, who wanted to be able to pursue a civil rights claim against Trump, per NBC’s Lawrence Hurley. … The justices did take up a set of cases that center on where challenges to EPA regulations can be litigated under the Clean Air Act, per The Hill’s Rachel Frazin. … Landmark moment: CHASE STRANGIO will become the first openly transgender lawyer to argue before the high court in December, Reuters’ Andrew Chung reports . ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT FALLOUT — Prosecutors in the RYAN ROUTH case said they don’t think Judge AILEEN CANNON needs to recuse herself from the case, per Josh Gerstein. VALLEY TALK DEEP DIVE — “How Republicans pushed social media companies to stop fighting election misinformation,” by CNN’s Brian Fung MUSK READ — ELON MUSK’s controversial $1 million giveaways to Pennsylvania voters may not be yet turning out new Trump supporters: Jessica Piper reports that the first two winners were registered Republicans who’ve already voted. The step back: “Elon Musk pushes for an American technopoly,” by Derek Robertson
| | | | A message from Kidney Care Access Coalition:   | | | BEYOND THE BELTWAY
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Janille Baker, Baker ranch's controller, stands in a field on the Baker Ranch, Sept. 9, 2024, in Baker, Nevada. | Rick Bowmer/AP | THE IMMIGRATION LANDSCAPE — Immigration is one of voters’ top issues in the election, but the political conversation around it often belies more complicated realities on the ground. AP’s Will Weissert finds a wide range of experiences across Nevada: There are ranchers who need immigrants to fill their jobs; non-citizens working in casinos who fear they’ll be kicked out by Trump; people in both parties concerned about border security; and Trump critics who dislike Biden’s regulations. Stunning stat: “If Nevada lost all of its workers in the country illegally,” as Trump has suggested he’ll do nationwide, “Labor Department figures suggest the direct job losses would be roughly as large as those from the 2008 financial crisis.” ProPublica kicked off a helpful series of stories that seek to separate the real challenges of recent mass immigration from the fake conspiracy theories. (Think drivers without licenses, not murdered pets.) Mica Rosenberg and Jeff Ernsthausen begin with a story examining how immigration has changed in recent years: More immigrants are coming from new places and have been “concentrated in relatively few places,” where they have “created small pockets of upheaval” and strained resources. To wit: The Atlantic’s Elaina Plott Calabro has a deep dive into what happened this summer in Sylacauga, Alabama, where conspiracy theories spread about an “invasion” of Haitians. In fact there were a few dozen people living unremarkably. But members of a local Facebook group found “the lull of narrative more compelling than a desire to reckon with things as they were.” THE ABORTION LANDSCAPE — “Infants died at higher rates after abortion bans in the US, research shows,” by CNN’s Deidre McPhillips MOW PROBLEMS — “Gas-powered lawn equipment sparks political divide across states,” by Pluribus’ Humberto Sanchez: “Blue states have passed restrictions in recent years, while red states have blocked localities from implementing new restrictions.” MEDIAWATCH FOR YOUR RADAR — N.Y. Mag announced that OLIVIA NUZZI is leaving the publication in the wake of her relationship with ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR., though an external review found nothing inaccurate or biased in her work. She was offered a severance package, Oliver Darcy reports.
| | PLAYBOOKERS | | Donald Trump was sued for defamation by the Central Park Five. Peggy Judd pleaded guilty in an Arizona election certification dispute. Bob Bauer and Ben Ginsburg have started Pillars of the Community, a nonpartisan project focused on local election processes. Jill Biden revealed a new White House tour. Everyone from Kimberle Crenshaw to George Saunders to Joyce Carol Oates to Neal Katyal will be on a “writers for Harris” call tonight. OUT AND ABOUT — The National Archives Foundation honored David Grann, Martin Scorsese and Lily Gladstone from “Killers of the Flower Moon” at the annual Records of Achievement award ceremony and gala last night. Osage Nation Chief Geoffrey Standing Bear gave opening remarks, and Soledad O’Brien interviewed the trio. Also SPOTTED: James Blanchard, Rodney Slater and Assistant Secretary for Indian Affairs Bryan Newland. FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Ben Chang will be VP of global comms at the Council on Foreign Relations. He most recently has been VP for comms and university spokesperson at Columbia University, and is an NSC and U.S. Foreign Service alum. — Will Kinzel is now head of global government affairs at Carlyle. He previously was founder of Parafossam. MEDIA MOVE — Josh Sisco is now an antitrust reporter at Bloomberg. He previously was an antitrust reporter at POLITICO. TRANSITIONS — Dawn Raftery is now chief comms and marketing officer at Public Rights Project. She previously was VP of comms at the Shriver Center on Poverty Law. … Joe Brady is now a VP in Venn Strategies’ critical infrastructure practice. He most recently was director of government affairs for the Fuel Cell and Hydrogen Energy Association, and is a trade association and Hill veteran. … … Daniel Rothschild has been named director of the Ronald Reagan Institute’s Center for Civics, Education and Opportunity. He previously was executive director of the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. … Tatiana Niang is now a director of public affairs at Forbes Tate Partners. She previously was a manager of comms and strategy at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. … Jennifer Haynes will be a director on Invariant’s tech and competition team. She most recently was legislative director for Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa). WEDDINGS — Meaghan Webster, a comms consultant for Customer Value Partners with the VA’s National Oncology Program, and Sean Terry, a research scientist at UMD/NASA Goddard working on their upcoming Roman Space Telescope, got married Sept. 28 at House Mountain Inn in Lexington, Virginia. They met on Bumble in 2016 and had their first date at Union Pub, to which they returned for the signing of marriage papers. Pic, via Virginia Wedding Company/Christina Gower/Lewis McNeal … Another pic HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-N.C.) … Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson … Hilary Rosen … Stephanie Cutter of Precision Strategies … former Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour … NYT’s David Halbfinger … Kurt Bardella … Guy Harrison of OnMessage Inc. … Brett O’Donnell … Chris Licht … Jerry Zremski … FiscalNote’s Mallory Howe Molina … Atlantic Council’s Trey Herr … Helen Milby … Patrick Dolan of BGR Group … Jeff Grappone of Rokk Solutions … WSJ’s Warren Strobel … Sara Swezy of Sena Kozar Strategies … Michael Beckel … Eastern Point Collective’s Natalie Walker (4-0) … former Reps. John Shadegg (R-Ariz.) and Ed Feighan (D-Ohio) … Brian Dodge … Samantha Friedman Kupferman ... Tom Basile … Rachel Petri … Jennie Bragg of Malaria No More … Alice Henriques Volz … Simone Campbell … POLITICO’s Niina Farah … Adam Parkhomenko … Altana Technologies’ Jonathan Prince … America Votes’ Daria Dawson … New Heights Communications’ Hana Hancock … Casey Phillips … Michael Ceraso of Winning Margins and Community Groundwork Did someone forward this email to you? Sign up here. Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com or text us at 202-556-3307. Playbook couldn’t happen without our editor Mike DeBonis, deputy editor Zack Stanton and Playbook Daily Briefing producer Callan Tansill-Suddath.
| | | | A message from Kidney Care Access Coalition: A June 2022 Supreme Court ruling undermined long-standing statutory protections for dialysis patients by allowing employer group health plans to force dialysis patients on Medicare before they would have otherwise chosen. When they transition from their employer health plan to Medicare, their family could also be forced off their coverage. This causes an unnecessary and costly disruption to these families – at a time when they are also managing a life-threatening disease.
The Restore Protections for Dialysis Patients Act is a bipartisan, bicameral bill to simply restore these critical protections for patients and their families. The bill ensures families can choose their coverage, protects private health insurance, and prevents Medicare from being overburdened.
Over 40 organizations, including those representing patients, providers, the disability community, and communities of color, are calling on Congress to pass the Restore Protections for Dialysis Patients Act.
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