‘Moment of maximum vulnerability’

The preparations, personnel decisions and policy deliberations of Donald Trump's presidential transition.
Nov 08, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO'S West Wing Playbook: Transition of Power

By Lauren Egan, Eli Stokols, Lisa Kashinsky, Megan Messerly and Ben Johansen

Welcome to POLITICO’s West Wing Playbook, your guide to the preparations, personnel decisions and policy deliberations of Donald Trump’s transition. POLITICO Pro subscribers receive a version of this newsletter first.

Send tips | Subscribe here | Email Eli | Email Lauren | Email Lisa | Email Megan

As DONALD TRUMP’s transition quickly begins to take shape, West Wing Playbook called up MAX STIER , president and CEO of the Partnership for Public Service — one of the few people in the country who obsesses over presidential transitions.

The nonpartisan, nongovernmental organization that Stier helped found in 2001 specializes in how to make the federal government work more effectively, including the presidential transition process. Stier is deeply knowledgeable about how transitions work and he helped break down how we should be thinking about the JOE BIDEN -to-Donald Trump handoff. Stier argues the U.S. government is vulnerable during a transition between leaders, making a smooth transition a matter of national security importance.

This conversation has been edited for length and clarity.

Should the public be concerned that Trump’s team has not yet signed the Memorandums of Understanding with the federal government?

Yes, definitely.

You can’t just walk in and say, “Here I am.” The reality is that there’s a ton of preparation to understand what’s happening inside the agencies and certainly for Senate confirmation.

There are plenty of reasons to believe that we can improve on the process. But unless you’ve gotten into the seat and up to speed, you can’t make those changes. So you ought to be utilizing the existing process as effectively as possible before believing you can blow it up.

What insights can we glean from Trump’s 2016 transition? 

The first piece is that the pre-election planning that former President Trump’s team did in 2016 was extensive and extremely well done. It wasn’t just the firing of Gov. [Chris] Christie that was a problem. The throwing away of all the work product that the team had put together was really the more problematic issue.

What you saw in 2016 was not only the blowing up of the pre-election planning effort, but also a failure to fully appreciate the process issues. And so the Trump team in 2016 was the slowest administration to vet, prepare and nominate its proposed leadership for our government.

I think it’s worth taking a step back here and putting into perspective why any of this stuff even matters. 

It’s a national security imperative. The moment of transition from one administration to the next is also the moment of maximum vulnerability. The primary responsibility of our elected leaders and our government is to keep us safe, and that is put in jeopardy by insufficient or ineffective transition planning.

And in order for a president and his or her team to deliver on their promises that got them elected, they need to do that through our government. They need to take it over effectively to be able to deliver.

The obvious example of an ineffective transition process leading to national security threats is 9/11. 

Right. The contested election in 2000 meant that former President Bush didn’t get access to the transition resources until December. What that meant from the 9/11 Commission’s perspective was that they didn’t have their national security team in place early enough to develop the relationships that they needed to be able to connect the dots and to work out problems.

This is not simply a question of getting people in place. It’s actually about getting people in place and getting the team to work effectively together, and that takes more time. Our government is a team sport and it takes a while for a team to gel.

Trump and his team have talked about getting rid of some agencies and hollowing out the federal workforce. How are you thinking about that?

While there is substantial latitude for the executive to do various things within the context of what Congress sets out, fundamentally, the agency’s creation, the agency’s purpose, the money that’s supposed to be spent — those are all things that aren’t within the purview or choice of the president.

Trump may be able to reprioritize activities within certain agencies. But to get rid of agencies, they’re going to need Congress to sign off. To do that effectively, that requires an understanding of government and, frankly, working well with career civil servants.

That is a fundamental question that’s on the table right now: will the incoming Trump team recognize that they get to set the policy direction of our government, but if they really want to get stuff done, they’re going to need to work effectively with the career civil service?

Is there anything Biden officials can do to protect their policy accomplishments in the next three months?

At the end of the day, probably not a whole lot. Trying to prevent changes at this stage of the game is not likely to offer that much return.

My sense is that the Biden administration recognizes that their most fundamental and last goal is to do everything they can to make sure that this is as effective a handoff as possible. That’s a vital function of the outgoing incumbent president. For me, the metaphor is that we now have a new airline pilot. We’re all on the same plane. We want it to fly safely.

Any advice to the Trump team?

Three key pieces of advice. No. 1: engaging in the transition process as it is designed is fundamental to their ability to be ready on day one to run our government. That has consequences for our overall safety and for their own ability to deliver on what they promised.

No. 2: running our government as a team sport. You have one president, but it’s a huge government and choosing people who are highly capable and committed to the public good is important. And the third: recognizing that our government is not a bunch of buildings, but it’s our career workforce, and we are lucky to have phenomenal talent there. Engaging that workforce is key to success.

MESSAGE US — Are you SUSIE WILES? We want to hear from you. And we’ll keep you anonymous! Email us at westwingtips@politico.com.

Did someone forward this email to you? Subscribe here

POTUS PUZZLER

What was the Inauguration Day of DWIGHT EISENHOWER like?

(Answer at bottom.)

Photo of the Week

Former President Donald Trump arrives to speak during an election night event.

Former President Donald Trump arrives to speak during an election night event at the Palm Beach Convention Center in West Palm Beach, Florida, on Nov. 6, 2024. | Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Pro Exclusive

‘Unsustainable’: Health industry fears Trump tariffs, via our BEN LEONARD and DAVID LIM

Trump team tapping old hands for DOT transition, via our CHRIS MARQUETTE and ORIANA PAWLYK

The Supreme Court could soon be dominated by Trump appointees, via Greenwire’s PAMELA KING

The reporting in this section is exclusively available to POLITICO Pro subscribers. Pro is a personalized policy intelligence platform from POLITICO. If you are interested in learning more about how POLITICO Pro can support your team through the 2024 transition and beyond, visit politicopro.com.

Heads up, we're all transition all the time over on our live blog: Inside Congress Live: Transition of Power. Bookmark politico.com/transition to keep up with us.

CONTEST ALERT

GUESS WHO’S IN THE CABINET: Trump hasn’t revealed too much about who he’s considering. But the TV circuit has already become an important venue for allies to aggressively jockey for high-profile jobs.

Make your predictions for 12 key Cabinet positions and compete against your fellow politicos (and the West Wing Playbook authors!) using this form.

The deadline is next Tuesday, Nov. 12. If a Cabinet position on this list gets announced before then, we’ll remove it from consideration.

There are prizes!! The player with the most accurate prediction overall will receive some POLITICO swag — and a custom caricature from Pulitzer-winning cartoonist MATT WUERKER . So don’t be shy. Leave your name and email along with your guesses.

May the odds be ever in your favor...

THE BUREAUCRATS

LET THE GAMES BEGIN: Confusion is already swirling about Trump’s personnel picks, our  GAVIN BADE reports. The Financial Times’ reported Friday morning that Trump asked former U.S. Trade Representative ROBERT LIGHTHIZER to return to lead the agency. But a source familiar with the issue told Gavin that the report was“totally untrue” and that no conversation like that has occurred. Buckle up, folks. It’s going to be a long three months!

KNIVES OUT: Speaking of Lighthizer, there’s clearly some people in Washington who’d prefer to not see him return. After the FT story broke, two people who attended a secretive Bilderberg group meeting a few months ago told our DANIEL LIPPMAN that Lighthizer was also in attendance.

The Bilderberg group, an annual meeting of the political and financial elite, has drawn both conspiracy theories about its power and criticism by some populists and Trump supporters like NIGEL FARAGE for being an example of a globalist power center.

Lighthizer’s attendance and comments were “terrifying to everybody who was there,” said one of the attendees at the event in Madrid in the late spring, adding that he “made the Europeans who were there very nervous” with his true-believer views of how tariffs were often good for America.

Lighthizer didn’t respond to a request for comment.

STEFANIK TO TURTLE BAY? One of Trump’s most vocal House allies is on a short list to become his next ambassador to the United Nations, our ROBBIE GRAMER, NICK REISMAN and MERIDITH McGRAW report. Rep. ELISE STEFANIK (R-N.Y.) tops the list of people the Trump transition team is considering for the diplomatic post currently held by LINDA THOMAS-GREENFIELD. Stefanik has recently attacked the U.N. over accusations that the body is antisemitic.

Last month, she called for a “complete reassessment of U.S. funding of the United Nations” in response to efforts by the Palestinian Authority to expel Israel from the U.N. as war rages in the Middle East.

FLORIDA ON HIS MIND: As Trump begins filling out his administration, GOP operatives are looking at Floridians as potential suitors, our KIMBERLY LEONARD and ANDREW ATTERBURY report. SUSIE WILES , who was announced on Thursday as his chief of staff, has deep ties to the state, having previously run successful gubernatorial campaigns for RICK SCOTT and RON DeSANTIS. The Trump campaign pulled from top talent in Florida, including finance director MEREDITH O’ROURKE and political director JAMES BLAIR, among others.

And according to more than a dozen Florida insiders, the anticipation for a Sunshine State crash into Washington is palpable. Sen. MARCO RUBIO of Florida is widely expected to be considered for an administration position. And Floridians could be tapped not just for high-profile secretary roles, but to become one of those thousands of political appointees. Some names floated by Florida operatives include ESTEBAN BOVO , the mayor of Hialeah, a city within Miami-Dade County; Miami Commissioner KEVIN CABRERA; and state Sen. JOE GRUTERS, who was Florida co-chair of Trump's 2016 campaign.

Trump could also look to pull from DeSantis’ administration for key roles within his Education Department. In line with the policy agenda of national Republicans, DeSantis’ education department has enacted laws prohibiting teachers from leading classroom lessons on gender identity or sexual orientation.

The Oval

TO THE AMAZON HE GOES: Biden will travel to Brazil and Peru later this month to meet with both countries’ leaders, press secretary KARINE JEAN-PIERRE announced late Thursday. From Nov. 14-16, Biden will travel to Lima, Peru, to meet with President DINA BOLUARTE to “reinforce the strong U.S.-Peru bilateral relationship and participate in the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit.” The day after, until Nov. 19, Biden will be in Manaus and Rio de Janeiro, where he’ll visit the Amazon rainforest — the first such visit by a sitting U.S. president.

Biden will also meet with Brazilian President LUIZ INÁCIO LULA DA SILVA during his trip.

Agenda Setting

WHAT’S TO COME: When Trump called Ukrainian President VOLODYMYR ZELENSKYY on Wednesday, another party was on the call: none other than ELON MUSK, Axois’ BARAK RAVID reports this morning. Zelenskyy felt that the fact the call was made so soon after Trump was declared the winner was a positive sign. Musk weighed in on the call, saying he will continue to support Ukraine through his Starlink satellites.

But the mere fact that Musk was on the line in one of Trump’s first calls to another world leader underscores the deep role the billionaire CEO-turned-MAGA fan club president will play in the upcoming administration.

NATO WATCH: NATO backers are breathing a sigh of relief this week by a year-old U.S. law that says Trump (or any U.S. president) can’t withdraw from the alliance without congressional approval. But Trump may have a way around it, as our JOE GOULD, JACK DETSCH and CONNOR O’BRIEN report. Last year, Sens. TIM KAINE (D-Va.) and Rubio (R-Fla.) authored legislation requiring any presidential decision to exit NATO must have either two-thirds Senate approval or be authorized through an act of Congress.

But now, legal experts warn that Trump could try to sidestep the guardrail, citing presidential authority over foreign policy — an approach he used before to bypass congressional restrictions on treaty withdrawal.

O CANADA! OUR HOME AND NATIVE LAND! In the hours following Trump’s win, Canada’s immigration department “experienced an increase in web traffic originating from the U.S., compared to typical volume on a Wednesday,” our DAVE LEVINTHAL reports . And while Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada said it doesn’t systematically track direct inquiries to its office, the department’s spokesperson JULIE LAFORTUNE added: “Anecdotally, we can confirm we’ve seen a spike in questions from U.S. citizens reaching out today.”

Canada offers foreign nationals an online road map on how they might legally reside in Canada. Ya know, just in case.

What We're Reading

The Stunning Geography of Trump’s Victory (POLITICO’s Charlie Mahtesian)

I Study Guys Like Trump. There’s a Reason They Keep Winning (Ben Rhodes for NYT)

Wall Street Luminaries Jockey for Influence on Next Trump Administration (WSJ’s Alexander Saeedy, AnnaMaria Andriotis, Lauren Thomas and Miriam Gottfried)

Can Susie Wiles temper Trump the way her father, Pat Summerall, did with John Madden? (LAT’s Steve Henson)

Trump Won’t Just Change Washington Politics — He’ll Change Life in the City (POLITICO’s Michael Schaffer)

POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

By Jan. 20, 1953, the relationship between Eisenhower and the outgoing president, HARRY TRUMAN, had soured. When Eisenhower arrived at the White House, he refused an invitation to come inside and have a cup of coffee with the president, instead waiting for him to come outside and join him in the car for the ride to the U.S. Capitol. While they were photographed both smiling together in the back seat, the two men were anything but happy to be together.

The ride together down Pennsylvania Ave. was chilled. Truman recalled Eisenhower breaking the silence by saying, “I did not attend your Inauguration in 1948 out of consideration for you, because if I had been present I would have drawn attention away from you,” to which the outgoing president responded, “Ike, I didn’t ask you to come—or you’d been here.”

A CALL OUT! Do you think you have a harder trivia question? Send us your best one about the presidents, with a citation or sourcing, and we may feature it!

Edited by Jennifer Haberkorn and Rishika Dugyala

 

Follow us on Twitter

Eli Stokols @EliStokols

Lauren Egan @Lauren_V_Egan

Ben Johansen @BenJohansen3

Megan Messerly @meganmesserly

Lisa Kashinsky @lisakashinsky

 

Follow us

Follow us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Instagram Listen on Apple Podcast
 

To change your alert settings, please log in at https://login.politico.com/?redirect=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com/settings

This email was sent to salenamartine360.news1@blogger.com by: POLITICO, LLC 1000 Wilson Blvd. Arlington, VA, 22209, USA

Unsubscribe | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service

Post a Comment

Previous Post Next Post