Dems ponder an immigration deal with Trump

Presented by Conservatives for Lower Health Care Costs: An evening recap of the action on Capitol Hill and preview of the day ahead
Dec 12, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Daniella Diaz and Nicholas Wu

Presented by Conservatives for Lower Health Care Costs

With assists from POLITICO’s Congress team

Stephen Miller

Stephen Miller’s name came up in lots of conversations with Democrats as a potential obstacle to any deal. | Brandon Bell/Getty Images

JUST IN: The House Republican steering committee has finished making its recommendations for next term's committee gavels — selecting Rep. Tim Walberg (R-Mich.) to lead the Education and Workforce Committee and Rep. French Hill (R-Ark.) to lead Financial Services. The picks are subject to ratification by the full GOP Conference. More on Hill's selection for Pros

DREAMER SEQUENCE

Democrats are signaling a willingness to negotiate on immigration with Republicans as they sweep into power. What they aren’t necessarily willing to do is trust Donald Trump.

The prize that many Democrats would like to secure is protecting Dreamers — Americans who came with their families to the U.S. at a young age and have since been protected by the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program created by President Barack Obama in 2012.

Trump himself expressed an openness to “do something about the Dreamers” in a recent “Meet the Press” interview. But he would almost certainly want significant policy concessions in return, including border security measures and changes to asylum law that Democrats have historically resisted.

So is a deal even possible? House Democrats who have been engaged on immigration said they are open to a conversation. But they harbor serious doubts that Trump would operate in good faith.

“He is such an unpredictable character, and it's hard to reconcile that statement with the fact that Stephen Miller is going to be running the show,” said Rep. Veronica Escobar (D-Texas), referring to the immigration hardliner who is set to become Trump’s deputy chief of staff and top domestic policy adviser.

“But honestly,” she added, “I am open to doing everything possible to protect Dreamers and other immigrants and so if there comes time to make a deal, I hope we are all open to that.”

Miller’s name came up in lots of conversations with Democrats as a potential obstacle to any deal. Not only is he an outspoken advocate for cracking down on illegal border crossings, he is a mastermind of Trump’s plans for a mass deportation of migrants already inside the U.S.

Long memories: Plenty of Democrats remember the unsuccessful dealmaking during Trump’s first term, when they tried to horse-trade funding of his border wall to secure protections for Dreamers. Those negotiations never bore fruit, but some are still willing to try.

“I've always been in favor of border security. I want to see Dreamers be protected, as well as [Temporary Protected Status] recipients and farm workers,” said Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-N.Y.), a purple-district Democrat who leaned into the border during his campaign.

But Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), one of the top negotiators behind the border bill Trump worked to kill earlier this year, said he doesn’t believe Trump’s professed concern for Dreamers and expressed frustration at the suggestion of fresh negotiations.

“We've been through this a million times before,” he said. “We tried to do this when he was president the first time, and he refused to do it. … We offered billions of dollars in border security, and he turned it down every time. He doesn’t tell the truth.”

Why it matters: Republicans have their own reasons to negotiate. While some GOP leaders want to use the fast-track reconciliation process to pass funding for border security and migrant deportations on party lines, not everything on their wish list can be included in a reconciliation bill.

That could include asylum changes and an end to birthright citizenship — something Trump said he wanted to do before mentioning his desire to “work something out” in regards to Dreamers. But it could be a while before any conversation gets going: Border hawk Republicans aren’t in any hurry to make a deal with Democrats.

“Right now we're focused on delivering everything we campaigned on, which is securing the border, stopping the flow and removing the disaster of having so many criminals and such a drain on our social welfare state,” said Rep. Chip Roy (R-Texas). “Then we can figure out anything else going forward.”

— Daniella Diaz and Nicholas Wu

 

A message from Conservatives for Lower Health Care Costs:

Big Pharma is pushing Congress to pass a self-serving scheme called “delinking.” This scheme would use government mandates to undermine market-based incentives that encourage pharmacy benefit managers to secure savings on prescription drugs. This scheme would hike premiums for seniors in the Medicare Part D program, resulting in a $32 BILLION profit windfall for Big Pharma – no wonder “delinking” is their top priority in Washington. Stop Big Pharma's money grab from America’s seniors. Reject "delinking!"

 

GOOD EVENING! Welcome to Inside Congress, the play-by-play guide to all things Capitol Hill, on this Thursday, Dec. 12, where we wish Senate Chaplain Barry Black a speedy recovery!

THE TRUMP PICKS DEMS MIGHT TOLERATE

Senate Democrats are weighing which of Trump's nominees they might stomach voting for. It’s not a long list.

Trump, of course, wasn’t reaching across the aisle with his more explosive picks, such as Matt Gaetz for attorney general or Kash Patel for FBI director. Even the former Democrats he has chosen — Tulsi Gabbard for director of national intelligence and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for HHS secretary — are falling flat with the blue team.

But a small handful of Trump nominees seem likely to pick up bipartisan support in the Senate next year — starting with Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) for secretary of State and Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) for United Nations ambassador.

Rubio already has a couple of Democrats supporting him. Sen. John Fetterman (D-Pa.), who’s among them, told us on Thursday said he’s having ongoing conversations with nominees and is open to supporting more.

“I checked the rules. When the other side wins, they get to pick their people,” Fetterman said. “And we're going to have an ongoing relationship with these critical individuals in parts of our government. So I am having conversations with anyone that's part of that dialogue.”

Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.), who just won reelection in her battleground state, is also among those supporting Rubio. She signaled she’d “probably” support Stefanik as well, with whom she served in the House.

There’s political reasons for Democrats to try and find some nominees they can tolerate. Many battleground Democrats operating in a GOP-led Washington will be looking for ways to frame themselves as bipartisan collaborators. That’s especially true for those facing reelection bids in 2026 or 2028.

Sen. Andy Kim (D-N.J.), who was sworn in just a few days ago, represented a Trump district while serving in the House. He said he plans to support at least one Trump nominee, though he did not name who.

“I've indicated to the incoming administration that I'm open to talking to any and all” of Trump’s nominees, he said. “I haven't said no to anyone outright, except for Matt Gaetz, which others did as well. Because I do want to try to have that opportunity to engage.”

Ursula Perano

 

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POLS: KEEP ARMY-NAVY GREAT

There’s nothing more unifying in the U.S. than football, and dozens of House and Senate lawmakers — from both parties — are asking the football world to continue the tradition of setting aside the second Saturday in December solely for the Army-Navy game.

“To reflect the immeasurable esteem that this event garnered for decades, it has been played for many years on a Saturday reserved specifically for the Army vs. Navy Game without any competing college football events,” the lawmakers, led by Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska), wrote.

“We respectfully request you set aside the second Saturday in December in future seasons solely for the Army vs. Navy Game to preserve this time-honored tradition,” they added.

The annual game is a big freaking deal in the sports world — and an especially big one this year. It will be played near Washington at Northwest Field, home of the NFL’s Commanders, where President-elect Donald Trump is among the luminaries expected to attend and Speaker Mike Johnson says he’ll be discussing his plans for reconciliation with him ahead of kickoff.

— Anthony Adragna

HUDDLE HOTDISH

Cori Bush and Jamaal Bowman gave their farewell speeches in Congress.

Move-in/move-out season continues.

New Mexico and Colorado senators are beefing about the size…. of their mountains.

QUICK LINKS 

Climbing the ranks: Texan Greg Casar to lead Congressional Progressive Caucus, from Reena Diamante at Spectrum News

How Trump is hammering Congress ‘on every issue’ — with a clear focus, from Lisa Kashinsky and Anthony Adragna

Power, Intimidation and the Resurrection of Trump’s Support for Hegseth, from Jonathan Swan and Maggie Haberman

Murkowski: ‘I’m not attached to’ Republican label, from Irie Sentner

Joe Manchin: The exit interview, from Burgess Everett at Semafor

 

A message from Conservatives for Lower Health Care Costs:

Big Pharma's top priority in Lame Duck is a self-serving scheme called “delinking.” This plan is to further rob America's seniors, who already pay the highest prices in the world, and maximize profits by undermining market-based incentives for pharmacy benefit managers to secure savings on prescription drugs.

This Big Pharma money grab in the Medicare Part D program would saddle seniors and taxpayers with higher health care costs of $13 billion to bail out big drug companies with a nearly $11 billion profit windfall.

Our seniors cannot afford increased health care costs. Stop Big Pharma’s money grab – reject "delinking!"

 

TRANSITIONS 

Lily Wheaton will join Rep. Suzan DelBene’s office as press/staff assistant. She was previously an intern in DelBene’s office.

Todd Tuten will join the Senate HELP Committee Republican staff as senior health counsel. He was previously an independent consultant as president of NN Consulting LLC.

Rep. Marc Veasey’s (D-Texas) office announced a slate of hiring moves: Ahmed Elsayed is taking over as chief of staff from Nicole Varner, who is departing in 2025 to become executive director at the Congressional Black Caucus PAC. Elsayed previously was chief of staff for Rep. Tony Cárdenas (D-Calif.). Edward Do (Walrod) is now comms director for Veasey and previously was with the NGO Health and International Economic Development sector from Bloomberg Philanthropies’ Tobacconomics Project. Luke Dube will be legislative director and deputy chief of staff

TOMORROW IN CONGRESS

The House and Senate are out.

FRIDAY AROUND THE HILL

Crickets.

TRIVIA

WEDNESDAY’S ANSWER: Tak Tada was the first to correctly guess that President Lyndon B. Johnson was the first sitting president to visit Australia in October 1966.

TODAY’S QUESTION: Name the member of Congress from Maryland who’s served multiple nonconsecutive terms?

The first person to correctly guess gets a mention in the next edition of Inside Congress. Send your answers to insidecongress@politico.com.

GET INSIDE CONGRESS emailed to your phone each evening.

 

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