The chaotic, 48-hour preview into Trump's Congress

Presented by The Campaign for Sustainable Rx Pricing: An evening recap of the action on Capitol Hill and preview of the day ahead
Dec 20, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Daniella Diaz and Nicholas Wu

Presented by The Campaign for Sustainable Rx Pricing

With assists from POLITICO’s Congress team

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump attends a viewing of the launch of the sixth test flight of the SpaceX Starship rocket.

The incoming president’s social media posts might be able to kill a bill, but his backing doesn’t mean his party will pass it. | Brandon Bell/Getty Images

A 48-HOUR PREVIEW INTO TRUMP’S SECOND TERM 

Appropriators and congressional leaders worked on bipartisan legislation for weeks. Staff drafted about 1,550 pages of text. And with one social media statement from President-elect Donald Trump, the bill was done — 48 hours before a shutdown deadline.

Currently, Congress looks like it’s on track to avoid a shutdown, or will only have one for a few hours before the Senate clears the new bill. But like it or not, the incredible chaos of the last three days is largely thanks to Trump, and Congress will have to figure out a way to handle his brand of bedlam for the next four years.

Republicans are trying to game out how to pass huge priorities on the border, energy and taxes in party-line bills next year, and they’ll need virtually every GOP member on board to do it.

And as the past few days have illustrated, Trump’s not necessarily going to make that any easier. The incoming president’s social media posts might be able to kill a bill, but his backing doesn’t mean his party will pass it. And now, you’ve got Elon Musk clearly in the mix, too.

“I don’t know if this is what a trifecta is going to look like, but this is certainly what it's going to look like to have President Musk and First Lady Donald Trump controlling a Republican Congress,” said Rep. Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D-Calif.) “You're going to see deals getting blown up, lying and reneging happening, deals being broken and Republicans being punked.”

Take the debt ceiling debate. If Trump had publicly called for raising the debt limit right after the election, it’s possible (though it would have been difficult) that Congress might have been able to come to an agreement in time. But the president-elect waited until two days before the deadline to make his demand, forcing Speaker Mike Johnson to put a doomed bill on the House floor. Now, Trump’s getting a handshake agreement among Republicans to address the debt ceiling next year — adding another area that could cause huge issues in the party, as they pledge to cut $2.5 trillion in mandatory spending.

“Can’t wait until we have to do this in March and then the debt ceiling at some point too. This is going to be a nightmare,” one senior Democratic leadership aide said Friday.

It’s exactly the kind of legislative time bomb that members are nervous could keep happening next year — at the exact worst times for Republicans, when their majority is even smaller. But one senior Republican expressed optimism next year will be different.

“I don’t think it was that bad of communication,” said House Appropriation Chair Tom Cole (R-Okla.). “I think it will get better."

— Daniella Diaz and Nicholas Wu, with assist from Jordain Carney

 

A message from The Campaign for Sustainable Rx Pricing:

Big Pharma’s patent abuse drives up drug prices and blocks competition – costing patients and the U.S. health care system billions. Patent thickets protect profits, not innovation, and extend monopolies on blockbuster drugs while millions of Americans struggle to afford their medications. This year, the Senate unanimously passed Cornyn-Blumenthal, a bipartisan solution to curb these anti-competitive tactics. Time is running out – Congress must pass Cornyn-Blumenthal and deliver relief to patients before it’s too late. Learn more.

 

GOOD EVENING! Welcome to Inside Congress, the play-by-play guide to all things Capitol Hill, on this Friday, Dec. 20, where there was a stark vibe shift between this morning and the stopgap vote this evening.

SENATE VIBE CHECK

Senators have waited around all week in hopes of the House figuring out its next move. Now, it’s their turn.

Once the bill gets sent to the Senate, a time agreement will be required to move quickly, and all present senators have to be on board. Some conservatives will likely demand amendment votes in exchange for agreement to quickly advance the legislation. There's no much time left before the midnight shutdown deadline.

But senators seem generally open to what the House passed. There might be a short, hours-long shutdown while they figure out a time agreement, but we wouldn’t expect an extended fight.

Ursula Perano

BLUE DOGS HAVE NEW LEADERS

The centrist Blue Dogs, which could be pivotal in the thin margins of the next Congress, announced Friday their new leadership for the 119th Congress after losing one of their co-chairs in the 2024 election.

Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D-Wash.) will serve as co-chair for administration, while Rep. Vicente Gonzalez (D-Texas) will serve as co-chair for communications and outreach and Rep. Lou Correa (D-Calif.) will serve as co-chair for policy and legislative strategy.

Rep.-elect Adam Gray (D-Calif.), who beat incumbent John Duarte (R-Calif.) and is joining the group, will serve as whip.

In the narrowly divided House, the group of center-left Democrats could wield outsize influence as party leaders navigate tough votes. As the Democrats representing swing districts, they’ll face a lot of pressure to vote with Republicans. They’ll be the ones to watch to see who might break with Democrats in the new year.

— Daniella Diaz and Nicholas Wu

 

A message from The Campaign for Sustainable Rx Pricing:

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HUDDLE HOTDISH

Can Wolf Blitzer ever take a break?

The top House appropriators are happy their saga is over … for now.

We will miss you, Doug Andres!

 

A message from The Campaign for Sustainable Rx Pricing:

Big Pharma’s patent abuse drives up drug prices and blocks competition – costing patients and the U.S. health care system billions. Patent thickets protect profits, not innovation, and extend monopolies on blockbuster drugs while millions of Americans struggle to afford their medications. This year, the Senate unanimously passed Cornyn-Blumenthal, a bipartisan solution to curb these anti-competitive tactics. Time is running out – Congress must pass Cornyn-Blumenthal and deliver relief to patients before it’s too late. Learn more.

 

QUICK LINKS 

This just in: The red-state Senate Democrat goes extinct!, from Ben Terris at The Washington Post

Musk vows to fund ‘moderate’ Democratic primary challengers, from Anthony Adragna

House passes government spending package after Trump, Musk fueled chaos, from Katherine Tully-McManus and Jennifer Scholtes

TRANSITIONS 

Andrew Wright will be chief of staff for Rep. Dan Goldman (D-N.Y.). He previously was chief of staff for Rep. Derek Kilmer (D-Wash.) and senior adviser to the select committee on Congress modernization.

Current Goldman chief Haley Scott is returning to BerlinRosen as an SVP, consulting for Democratic campaigns including his.

Renata Miller will be deputy comms director for Sen.-elect Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.). She most recently was associate director of coalitions media at the White House, on detail from HHS.

TOMORROW IN CONGRESS

The House is out.

The Senate is ???

MONDAY AROUND THE HILL

Probably crickets.

TRIVIA

THURSDAY’S ANSWER: This one stumped y’all. The debt limit has been raised 78 times since 1960.

TODAY’S QUESTION, from your IC host Daniella: How many times has the government shut down in US history?

The first person to correctly guess gets a mention in the next edition of Inside Congress. Send your answers to insidecongress@politico.com.

GET INSIDE CONGRESS emailed to your phone each evening.

 

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