Trump runs up the reconciliation tab

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Jan 28, 2025 View in browser
 
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By Mia McCarthy and Lisa Kashinsky

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IN TODAY'S EDITION:

  • Trump’s wish list worries House Republicans
  • Reconciliation talks on tap for GOP retreat
  • Senate Dems’ ICC dilemma

Donald Trump speaks into a microphone.

President Donald Trump is saddling GOP lawmakers with a costly policy wish list. | Mark Schiefelbein/AP

GOOD MORNING FROM DORAL — President Donald Trump told House Republicans here in Florida exactly what he wanted Monday night. Now they get to do the fun part: figure out how to pay for it.

Speaker Mike Johnson has said he wants a “blueprint” this week on his party’s budget reconciliation bill, which will deal with the border, taxes, energy and funding cuts. This has been notoriously difficult so far, and Republicans have continued to hope that Trump would provide more guidance to smooth the path forward.

Instead, Trump used Monday evening remarks to House Republicans to detail an expensive legislative wishlist for the party-line bill, including increased border security spending and saying there should be no cuts to Medicare or Social Security — two of the government’s biggest cost drivers. Most notably, Trump reiterated an especially costly campaign promise: no taxes on tips, overtime or Social Security.

House Republicans, who have been reluctant to publicly break with Trump since he was elected, made it clear they had concerns as they left the dinner.

Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) said that there might have to be a cap on those tax proposals, while Appropriations Chair Tom Cole (R-Okla.) noted that some funding cuts would have to come out of mandatory spending (the bucket that includes Social Security and Medicare), because it couldn’t be done in discretionary spending: “It's going to take some heavy lifting.”

The big heave starts today: House GOP leaders and committee chairs will present their plans for reconciliation priorities and spending cuts to Republicans at retreat sessions through the day.

And Trump, unsurprisingly, still isn’t even settling the debate over whether the priorities should go in one bill, as favored by House GOP leaders, or two bills, which Senate Republicans prefer. “They're gonna work it out one way or the other. But the bottom line, the end result is gonna be the same,” Trump said.

Bacon said it was “smart” to let Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune decide. “That's what I would do if I was the president,” he said.

HAPPY TUESDAY, Hill peeps. Did you try the Trump burger at the Doral retreat last night? We want your review. Email us: mmccarthy@politico.com and lkashinsky@politico.com. (Florida Rep. Aaron Bean told us it was “one big, beautiful burger.”)

Don’t forget to follow our live blog coverage at politico.com/congress.

THE SKED

The House is out.

— The House will have a pro forma session at 11 a.m.
— In Doral, House Republican leaders will hold a news conference at 8 a.m., followed by a closed-door town hall at 10 a.m. and other private reconciliation sessions later in the day.
— Vice President JD Vance will address the conference at lunch at 12:30 p.m.

The Senate is in session.

— The Senate will vote at noon to confirm Sean Duffy as Transportation secretary and at 2:15 p.m. to end debate on the Illegitimate Court Counteraction Act
— Senate Commerce, Science and Transportation will have a hearing on the Panama Canal and its impact on U.S. trade and national security at 10 a.m.
— Senate Veterans Affairs will host a hearing on the VA’s Community Care Program at 10:30 a.m.
— Senators meet privately for weekly conference lunches at 12:30 p.m.
— Senate Intelligence will have a closed briefing at 2:30 p.m.
— Senate Democrats will take their resolution condemning Trump’s pardons of Jan. 6 rioters who assaulted Capitol Police to the floor around 4 p.m. Every Democrat has signed on to the effort, though the GOP is all but certain to block it.

The rest of the week: The Senate will continue to consider nominations; up next are Lee Zeldin for EPA administrator, Doug Burgum for Interior secretary, Chris Wright for Energy secretary and Doug Collins for VA secretary. House Republicans are in Doral until Wednesday, when some are expected to return to Washington to attend Trump’s signing of the Laken Riley Act.

 

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THE LEADERSHIP SUITE

Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.) looks on during a press conference.

Senate Majority Leader John Thune has teed up several Trump nominees this week who are expected to win confirmation, but tough battles loom. | Francis Chung/POLITICO.

Chuck Schumer and Senate Democrats’ ICC dilemma


The Senate minority leader is dealing with yet another GOP attempt to squeeze his party, this time related to the Israel-Hamas war. Democrats are still trying to negotiate changes to a bill that would sanction the International Criminal Court in reaction to its war-crimes prosecution of Israeli officials. Among Democrats’ concerns: The legislation could lead to sanctions against U.S. allies that are ICC member states and U.S. tech companies that provide support to the ICC. Asked Monday evening if Republicans seemed open to changes on that front, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire, who’s leading negotiations for Democrats, told reporters: “Some do.”

But Republicans are teeing up a vote to advance the bill as written today. It will require 60 votes, so if seven Democrats join GOP senators to back it, Shaheen loses leverage. Sen. John Fetterman (D-Pa.) said he’s in favor of it, and Sens. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) and Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) voted for the bill while serving in the House last year.


Thune braces for tough battle on Tulsi Gabbard

Duffy is on track to be confirmed as Transportation secretary today, and the majority leader has teed up four more Trump nominees behind him: Zeldin, Wright, Burgum and Collins. All of them cleared their respective committees with bipartisan support.

But Gabbard continues to look like a potential problem. As our Rachael Bade scooped, some GOP senators allied with Trump are pushing for the Senate Intelligence Committee’s vote on Gabbard to be public — an unusual step for the secretive committee. It’s meant to apply pressure on Republican members who may be wavering on whether to advance her nomination for director of national intelligence. A single GOP “no” vote on the panel could sink her.

 

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POLICY RUNDOWN

FEDERAL AID HALT — In a two-page memo Monday night, the Office of Management and Budget ordered all federal agencies to temporarily suspend “all federal financial assistance,” while making clear that Social Security and Medicare won’t be affected, our Jennifer Scholtes reports.

INTENSE NEW SPOTLIGHT — The House Energy and Commerce Committee’s mild-mannered new chair, Rep. Brett Guthrie (R-Ky.), is about to get thrust into some hyper-partisan battles as he takes a leading role on Trump’s agenda — including possibly slashing hundreds of billions of dollars from Medicaid, our Ben Leonard reports.

“He's going to face, for the first time in his political career, a hostile media,” said House Oversight Chair James Comer (R-Ky.). “Special interests will come out of the woodwork to oppose any type of potential savings that he proposes.”

PROBING THE PANAMA CANAL — Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) is using his position atop the Senate Commerce, Science and Transportation Committee to draw more attention to a Trump priority: taking back the Panama Canal. Cruz told Ben on Monday he expects to use a hearing today to focus on Trump’s concerns about undue Chinese influence at the canal, as well as how the canal’s operations may be impacting U.S. shipping.

China and Panama have denied interference, and Panama has pushed back against Trump’s desires to acquire its canal. Secretary of State Marco Rubio is headed to Panama this week.

‘GREENLAND IS NOT FOR SALE’ — Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) and Danish lawmaker Aaja Chemnitz issued a joint statement Monday criticizing Trump’s threats to annex Greenland, per our colleague-across-the-pond Seb Starcevic. Their view: “Americans must view Greenland as an ally, not an asset.”

MEANWHILE, IN DORAL — In a news conference, Johnson backed Trump’s trade war threat against Colombia and shrugged off concerns about Trump’s firings of inspectors general, our Meredith Lee Hill reports. But Johnson demurred when asked if he supported Trump’s suggestion that the California wildfire aid should be tied to forcing the state to implement voter ID requirements.

RECRUITING KEMP — Senate Republicans are trying to draw Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp into the 2026 race against Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff. Thune told Jordain he’s already spoken to Kemp about the contest and anticipates that conversation won’t be the last, adding in a brief interview, “He would be a great candidate.”

It’s not just Thune. Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.), the chair of the Senate GOP campaign arm, told Semafor that he’s met with Kemp.

The best of POLITICO Pro and E&E:

THE BEST OF THE REST

Tillis Assured Hegseth’s Former Sister-in-Law Her Testimony Could Convince GOP Senators to Vote No, from Lindsay Wise at WSJ

The Race for Dick Durbin’s Senate Seat Has Already Begun, from Helen Huiskes at NOTUS.

Donald Trump Ignores Federal Laws As He Moves To Reshape Washington, from Igor Bobic at HuffPost

Sen. Whitehouse says people need to ‘chill’ with speculating over his RFK Jr. vote, from Eli Sherman at WPRI

CAPITOL HILL INFLUENCE

Mimi Bair is now a VP at McGuireWoods Consulting. She previously was legislative director for Rep. Jodey Arrington (R-Texas).

JOB BOARD

Alexandra Bell is now communications director and senior adviser to Rep. Gerry Connolly (D-Va.).

Sara Robertson is now press secretary on the House Education and Workforce Committee.

Molly Vaseliou is now associate administrator for public affairs at the EPA. She most recently was communications director for Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) and served at the EPA in the first Trump administration.

Kristin Sleeper will be deputy undersecretary for natural resources and environment at the USDA. She previously worked as professional staff for the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee and the House Ag Committee.

Jordan Wilson is now director of modernization and innovation for the Committee on House Administration in addition to serving as director of member services.

Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.) and Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) are looking for law clerks for the summer.

Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R-Tenn.) is looking for a digital communications director.

HAPPY BIRTHDAY

Justice Amy Coney Barrett … Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) … Reps. Bennie Thompson (D-Miss.), Linda Sánchez (D-Calif.) and Jeff Crank (R-Colo.) … Robert Satloff of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy … former Reps. Lou Barletta (R-Pa.), Tom Downey (D-N.Y.) and Brian Bilbray (R-Calif.) … Achim BergmannLeslie Jones of American Forests … Ted Greener of the ‎Association of American Railroads … Future Caucus’ Blaine Volpe Karalee Geis of the House Judiciary GOP (30) … Lot Sixteen’s Helen Kalla

TRIVIA 

MONDAY’S ANSWER: Kevin Diestelow correctly answered that William Howard Taft is the only person who has served as a Cabinet secretary, Supreme Court justice, and president of the United States.

TODAY’S QUESTION, from Kevin: Who was the first president to be inaugurated wearing long trousers rather than breeches?

The first person to correctly guess gets a mention in the next edition of Inside Congress. Send your answers to insidecongress@politico.com.

 

A message from Meta:

Open source AI is available to all, not just the few.

Meta's open source AI, Llama, is free to use – enabling startups like Mendel to build an AI tool that helps match patients to clinical trials.

Now, it takes just one day to match patients instead of hundreds.

Learn more about how others are building with open source AI.

 
 

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