Homestretch: No spoilers

Presented by Google: A daily look inside Canadian politics and power.
May 29, 2023 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Kyle Duggan, Zi-Ann Lum and Nick Taylor-Vaisey

Presented by Google

Send tips | Subscribe here | Email Nick | Follow Politico Canada

Thanks for reading Ottawa Playbook. The House is back; KYLE DUGGAN has a preview. NICK TAYLOR-VAISEY sets up today’s vote in Alberta. SEAMUS O’REGAN tells ZI-ANN LUM he has no plans to bring in anti-scab legislation soon to end an ongoing housing authority strike in Iqaluit. And Deputy Conservative Leader MELISSA LANTSMAN considers the meaning of home ownership.

DRIVING THE DAY

Parliament Hill, Canada

Noted on Parliament Hill: Silly season. | POLITICO Canada

OFF WITH A BANG — The House is back and in its final stretch before summer recess.

The vote over Conservative Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE’s provocative — did you expect anything less? — Opposition motion on Canada’s opioid crisis and controversial safe supply programming is likely to attract the most media attention.

It proposes the House “call on the government to immediately reverse its deadly policies and redirect all funds from taxpayer-funded, hard drug programs to addiction, treatment and recovery programs.”

The charged wording has raised concerns among harm-reduction advocates and groups for “stoking fear and moral panic.”

So, zero prospect of more high-flying rhetoric this afternoon from either side of the aisle.

— Related reading: Pierre Poilievre is at war with safer-supply programs. What does he hope to gain? IAN BAILEY and ANDREA WOO explain.

SPEEDY DELIVERY — On the legislative front, Bill S-5 enters its final stretch in Parliament.

What it is: A sizable government bill introduced in the Senate that would be the first major update of the Canadian Environmental Protection Act in more than two decades.

What it does: Recognizes the right to a healthy environment for the first time in federal law. And it requires ministers when assessing whether substances can be toxic to consider the cumulative effects of substances on vulnerable populations.

The score: It cleared the Commons environment committee with key Senate amendments on toxic substance management intact. The Liberals controversially passed time allocation two weeks ago, meaning today is basically it for third reading with a possible Tuesday vote.

Critics have called the law badly outdated and in need of modernization.

LISA GUE, national policy manager at the David Suzuki Foundation, which has campaigned for the right to a healthy environment for the better part of a decade, tells Playbook the bill has been “a long time coming” and will bring in “long-overdue amendments” to Canada’s most important environmental law.

The organization appears poised to claim a win with its passage, even if it doesn’t deliver on everything it wants.

Once passed, it comes with a two-year timeframe for the government to consult and develop an implementation plan. “The implementation of these new measures is really where the rubber is going to hit the road,” Gue said, vowing to “keep up the pressure.”

— Who to watch: The Green Party, which voted against it at report stage and wants to see the bill significantly strengthened. It doesn’t, for instance, let citizens bring legal action over the new right.

Know someone who could use Ottawa Playbook? Direct them to this link. Five days a week, zero dollars.

ALBERTA WATCH


DECISION TIME — A handful of seats in the suburbs of Alberta's largest city will determine today’s election.

— The latest numbers: Calgary-based pollster JANET BROWN released a poll Friday that suggests DANIELLE SMITH and the United Conservative Party are headed for a majority government. The polls have been close all campaign.

Abacus Data released its final forecast Sunday: “Despite a very close province-wide vote (UCP 49 percent, NDP 48 percent), the UCP should win,” DAVID COLETTO forecast in his poll analysis.

NICK TAYLOR-VAISEY spoke candidly with a dozen connected war room workers and seasoned campaigners in Calgary, Edmonton and Ottawa in the final weeks of the high-octane campaign. “What emerged was a province in flux, veering toward disorienting political uncertainty that starkly contrasts decades of relative stability,” he writes.

Read Nick’s feature report here.

In related campaign coverage: 

 — NDP Leader RACHEL NOTLEY sat for an interview with The West Block’s host MERCEDES STEPHENSON. (Smith declined.)

NAHEED NENSHI and RYAN JESPERSEN were on CBC’s Sunday Magazine to preview today’s race — and what comes after.

DAVE COURNOYER shared a list of the 19 ridings to watch.

— The Star’s KIERAN LEAVITT considers a timely question about Smith: “Are Alberta voters ready for a redemption story?”

— And political scientist LISA YOUNG writes for CBC News on what happens … after election night.

TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS

Iceland's President Gudni Thorlacius Johannesson arrives to the Bled Strategic Forum in Bled, Slovenia, Monday, Aug. 29, 2022. Bled Strategic Forum (BSF) is an annual international conference organized since 2006. (AP Photo/Darko Bandic)

Iceland's President Gudni Thorlacius Johannesson is in Canada this week. | AP

— Deputy Prime Minister CHRYSTIA FREELAND is in private meetings until QP. At 7 p.m. she will appear at the House of Commons Committee of the Whole to discuss the Main Estimates for the Department of Finance, 2023-2024.

9:55 a.m. Governor General MARY SIMON hosts a welcoming ceremony for Icelandic President GUÐNI TH. JÓHANNESSON at Rideau Hall. Their full-day agenda ends with a 6:45 p.m. state dinner in Rideau Hall’s ballroom.

10:30 a.m. Families Minister KARINA GOULD will be at the Impact Hub in Ottawa to make an announcement “related to social innovation and social finance.” A panel discussion at 11:20 a.m. follows.

11 a.m. Heritage Minister PABLO RODRIGUEZ is under the spotlight at the House heritage committee to take questions about main estimates and his mandate letter.

2 p.m. NDP Leader JAGMEET SINGH will take media questions before attending QP. Later in the day, he’ll attend the state dinner at Rideau Hall.

3:30 p.m. Crown-Indigenous Relations Minister MARC MILLER, Northern Affairs Minister DAN VANDAL and Indigenous Services Minister PATTY HAJDU will be at the House Indigenous and northern affairs committee to discuss main estimates.

7:30 p.m. Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU and Liberal MP PAUL CHIANG host an Asian Heritage Month reception at the National Gallery of Canada.

 

A message from Google:

Advertisement Image

 
For your radar

A sale sign stands outside a home.

'The dream of a place to live ... is slipping away,' says Deputy Conservative Leader Melissa Lantsman. | Matt Rourke/AP Photo

WORTH REPEATING — MELISSA LANTSMAN, deputy leader of the Conservatives, was a keynote speaker Friday at a gathering of the Federation of Canadian Municipalities. She shared with the conference the story of her parents, who were born in the Soviet Union. “In 1973, they decided to leave and seek a better life in another place. That place was Canada.”

Lantsman focused her speech on housing and home ownership, a status that represented “liberty” to her parents — and the opportunity for growth and prosperity, she said.

Here’s a brief excerpt from her prepared remarks, which you can watch here:

My parents bought their first house, the one north of Toronto, for C$130,000 in 1980. Yes, there were certainly times when it was tough to make ends meet. But even with an 18 percent interest rate on a mortgage on the horizon, a taxi driver could afford to buy a home in the suburbs for his family and build a better life. A house in that very same neighborhood, just down the street from where I grew up, just sold for 1.6 million dollars.

In eight short years the cost to buy a house has doubled. The average mortgage payment has doubled. You can barely rent, because the cost of that has doubled too.

The average income needed to buy an average home in Toronto — not a mansion, not an estate, but an average home — is $207,000, but you and I know most people don’t make that kind of money.

We told our young people, immigrants, and nearly everybody else that if they worked hard, went to school, and saved up, if they did everything they were supposed to do, then they’d be able to afford a home.

That of course, they would be better off than their parents and their grandparents, because that was the way it had always been. That one day, they would be able to raise their own children in the same place where they grew up.

But no matter what they do, the dream of a place to live, a place to call their own is slipping away. Nine in 10 young people don’t ever believe they’ll own a home. And as the goalposts move farther and farther away and that dream seems harder and harder to attain, they’re losing hope for the future.

HALLWAY CONVERSATION


OUTSIDE THE BUBBLE — Labor Minister SEAMUS O’REGAN spent three days last week in Mexico City, checking out the “shoot and spout” that have flowered out of Canada’s investments under the new NAFTA.

O’Regan met his Mexican counterpart, LUISA MARÍA ALCALDE, who he said has seen more labor reform in the past five years than Canada has seen in decades. Half a million Mexicans have signed up to join unions since the country’s sweeping labor reforms in 2019. And after NAFTA’s tougher labor rules were brought into force, Ottawa posted two attachés to Mexico to monitor its implementation and union activities.

— Bilateral bonding: Canadian and Mexican officials made jokes “on several occasions” about their shared reality of being members of the same “support group,” O’Regan said.

“We both know what it is to share a border with the United States,” he told Playbook during a call Friday evening from Mexico City. “Huge friend, huge ally, huge competitor.”

Playbook caught up with the labor minister to talk about his trip, meditations on silly season, and how a period of depression has prioritized keeping a cool head in politics’ heated realms. This transcript has been edited for length and clarity.

What results are you bringing back to Ottawa? 

A new sense of vim and vigor — and a broader scope. Tangibly, we got to make sure we support the attachés we have here on the ground, we got to make sure we continue to support them.

Does that mean more money? 

Perhaps, yes. Yes! Whatever tangibly I can do to make sure their work is supported because I'm seeing it happen here on the ground.

Heated discussions are baked into your job as labor minister. Silly season this year is fused with a partisan debate over foreign interference. Can you speak to the challenge of keeping level heads in heated moments — is this a time to de-escalate political tensions? Is there any hope of civility in the next few weeks?

Yeah, there is. I look at the work we did on paid sick leave. We got unanimous consent for that. That wasn't a coincidence. I worked very hard with some people in the Conservative caucus to make sure we got that.

Look, there are lots of people who want to make the system work and there are a lot of people who get on Twitter and lose their minds — and I am not in the latter category. I just try to seek out civil people who you can do business with. It's there.

I've said on several occasions as somebody who had went through a period of depression and anxiety in my own life, it infuses the work I do in every portfolio I have. In politics generally, I'm always wanting to turn down the temperature, to turn down the volume. People have got enough going on. I don't think it gets any results.

If I'm aggressive on anything, it's trying to be aggressively placid. And that ain't easy, trust me. But there are people out there who, on all sides of the House, got elected to do stuff, want to do stuff. We're getting stuff done. We're getting lots done. But the heat, man oh man, the heat. Yeah, I stay away.

What’s in your toolbox as a parliamentarian to address the heat? 

Tone matters. Words matter. They matter to people. And they matter to politicians. And listen, this isn't easy. I'm Irish for goodness’ sake, I got a temper.

But you have to — this is real life. This is not youth Parliament. And frankly, I was in youth Parliament. And it was a lot more civil in those days than ours.

There's a lot of goodwill and a lot of good people on all sides. And I seek them out.

What are your thoughts on the “second carbon tax” line the opposition is using to describe new clean fuel rules — and the push by premiers in Atlantic Canada to delay its implementation?

Including my premier. What we've seen happen in our oil and gas industry, we're seeing a sea change happening there … When I helped develop the hydrogen plan as natural resources minister, I did not think I would see immediate billions coming into my province for green hydrogen.

On the clean fuel standard, it’s a demonstration of our government's commitment to encouraging people to use fuels that will cause less emissions and to provoke investment in those areas. But we are also, just as the premiers are, committed to affordability and making sure people are paying out of their pocketbook.

I get out there on “the price on pollution” all the time because I know most of my constituents are going to be better off for it. It isn't necessarily the easiest thing to explain, but it isn't that difficult, either. It just means it's not a soundbite. It's just, like, five sentences. It's certainly not 18 paragraphs.

Will you introduce anti-scab legislation to end the Iqaluit Housing Authority strike?

Well, we're coming forward with comprehensive replacement worker legislation by the end of the year. I've been called on by certain quarters to do it faster, and do it faster, do it faster — but we need to make sure we get this right. We're talking about supply chains in this country.

I want to make sure we don't have we don't have interruptions in our supply chains. I’ve learned that. I was weeks into the job as labor minister when CP Rail happened. We had an extremely brief work stoppage on CP Rail. And I started getting calls in the White House. You don’t forgot that sort of stuff.

On the other hand, we have made a commitment to banning replacement workers because we believe it's the right thing to do. I'm committed to it. But, no, we won't — we'll be introducing it by the end of the year.

MEDIA ROOM


The Canadian Press reports: A rapidly spreading wildfire has damaged forced the evacuation of thousands from communities northwest of Halifax.

— From POLITICO's ELÇIN POYRAZLAR: What Erdoğan does next.

— Our colleagues in Europe report this morning: Spanish PM Pedro Sánchez has called for snap elections July 23.

— In a Star exclusive, STEPHANIE LEVITZ reports: Afghan-Canadians sue Ottawa, claim immigration rules are discriminatory.

— “If there were serious reporting on the media in Canada, there might be also a serious discussion happening now about the reporting of leaked intelligence,” AARON WHERRY writes in a weekend column on foreign interference.

— The Washington Post reports on a new study that shows at all levels of public office, threats now come with the job. (Sen. STAN KUTCHER shared the story with a warning: “When leaders condone and fail to act in the face of inchoate anger, or even acquiesce in or dog-whistle to its expression, they help promote the conditions that give fuel to the fires of hatred.”)

— The Globe’s SHANNON PROUDFOOT writes: “It’s become very obvious that there is, seething just under the surface in this country, a combustible, pressurized vein of certainty that some people count while others don’t.”

— From POLITICO’s SALLY GOLDENBERG: 5 things we know about Ron DeSantis’ campaign, post Twitter fiasco

— Finally, current events as distilled by the world’s cartoonists.

PROZONE


For POLITICO Pro subscribers, our latest policy newsletter from ZI-ANN LUM: Americans renew fight against Freeland’s housing tax.


From our colleagues in Washington: 6 pillars of debt ceiling deal.

Speaker Kevin McCarthy, joined by Reps. Garret Graves and Patrick McHenry talks to reporters at the Capitol.

Speaker Kevin McCarthy talks to reporters at the Capitol in Washington, on May 28, 2023. | J. Scott Applewhite/AP Photo

In other news for Pro subscribers:

Bill text released for debt limit deal.

Pentagon’s new cyber strategy to push for more resources for digital defenses and allies.

Commerce finalizes Indo-Pacific supply chain pact, Raimondo says.

Geopolitics is reshaping the microchips supply chain. Industry says it could turn ugly.

Washington watches as Big Tech pitches its own rules for AI.

PLAYBOOKERS

Birthdays: HBD to BROOKE MALINOSKI of Enterprise Canada.

Spotted: Defense Minister ANITA ANAND at the 2023 Canadian Indian Arts Festival. … Liberal MP YASIR NAQVI at the Canada Super Spelling Bee National Championship … NDP MP CHARLIE ANGUS in Rockcliffe Park: “Talk about an exclusive neighborhood.”

LAUREEN TESKEY HARPER, on the road … Sen. PETER BOEHM, at the lake … MP LAILA GOODRIDGE at the advance polls with baby AODHAN.

Media mentions: The Star’s JORDAN HIMELFARB has deals for Canadian rights and world English rights for his upcoming non-fiction book, Interregnum: Inside the Grueling and Glamorous Battle to Become the Next King of Chess.

Got a document to share? A birthday coming up? Send it all our way. 

On the Hill


Find the latest House committee meetings here.

Keep track of Senate committees here.

9:55 a.m. Governor General MARY SIMON hosts a welcoming ceremony for Icelandic President GUÐNI TH. JÓHANNESSON at Rideau Hall.

10:30 a.m. Families Minister KARINA GOULD will be at the Impact Hub in Ottawa to make an announcement.

11 a.m. Veterans Affairs Canada, the United Nations Association in Canada and the Canadian Peacekeeping Veterans Association hold a commemoration ceremony at the National War Memorial to mark the 75th anniversary of United Nations peacekeeping.

11 a.m. Heritage Minister PABLO RODRIGUEZ is under the spotlight at the House heritage committee.

11 a.m. The House fisheries committee meets to continue its study of foreign ownership and corporate concentration of fishing licenses and quota.

11 a.m. The joint committee for the scrutiny of regulations meets to review statutory instruments.

11 a.m. The House public accounts committee meets to talk “committee business” before turning the cameras off to discuss upcoming reports.

3:30 p.m. Crown-Indigenous Relations Minister MARC MILLER, Northern Affairs Minister DAN VANDAL and Indigenous Services Minister PATTY HAJDU will be at the House Indigenous and northern affairs committee to discuss main estimates.

3:30 p.m. Public Services and Procurement Minister HELENA JACZEK will be at the House government operations committee to take questions related to main estimates.

3:30 p.m. Conservative MP COLIN CARRIE is a witness at the House justice committee to speak on Bill S-224, Sen. SALMA ATAULLAHJAN’s Senate public bill, which he’s sponsoring in the House.

3:30 p.m. Bill C-34 is under scrutiny at the House industry committee.

3:30 p.m. The House veterans affairs committee is canceled.

3:30 p.m. The House citizenship and immigration committee picks up on work taking Bill S-245 through clause-by-clause consideration.

5 p.m. The Senate official languages committee meets to continue studying minority-language health services.

6:30 p.m. The House agriculture committee meets to receive a briefing about the global food crisis from International Fund for Agricultural Development President ALVARO LARIO.

6:30 p.m. The special committee on the Canada-China relationship is canceled.

7:30 p.m. Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU and Liberal MP PAUL CHIANG host a Asian Heritage Month reception at the National Gallery of Canada.

Behind closed doors: The House international trade committee meets to review a draft report of their study exploring environmental and human rights considerations regarding Canadian mining firms abroad; the House status of women committee meets; the House environment committee meets to go over a draft report of their fossil fuel subsidies report (a process that started a year ago); the Senate national security committee meets to discuss defense in the Arctic.

TRIVIA


Friday’s answer: BERT BROWN plowed “Triple E Senate or Else” into his neighbor's field during his campaign to reform the Senate.

Props to MP DAN ALBAS, SM LEDUC, RANDY MORRIS, DON MCCARTHY, DAVID COURNOYER, retired Sen. JIM MUNSON, RAY PENNINGS, BOB GORDON, GEORGE SCHOENHOFER, NARESH RAGHUBEER, ROBERT MCDOUGALL and CHRIS MCCLUSKEY. 

Monday’s question: Name the ocean liner that sank in the St. Lawrence River near Rimouski, Québec, on this day in history.

Send your answer to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Playbook wouldn’t happen without: Luiza Ch. Savage, Sue Allan and David Cohen.

Clarification: Phil Edmonston, a former MP, journalist and consumer advocate, died in December 2022.

Want to grab the attention of movers and shakers on Parliament Hill? Want your brand in front of a key audience of Ottawa influencers? Playbook can help. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

 

Follow us on Twitter

Nick Taylor-Vaisey @TaylorVaisey

Sue Allan @susan_allan

Maura Forrest @MauraForrest

Kyle Duggan @Kyle_Duggan

Zi-Ann Lum @ziannlum

POLITICO Canada @politicoottawa

 

Subscribe to the POLITICO Playbook family

Playbook  |  Playbook PM  |  California Playbook  |  Florida Playbook  |  Illinois Playbook  |  Massachusetts Playbook  |  New Jersey Playbook  |  New York Playbook  |  Ottawa Playbook  |  Brussels Playbook  |  London Playbook

View all our political and policy newsletters

Follow us

Follow us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Instagram Listen on Apple Podcast
 

To change your alert settings, please log in at https://www.politico.com/_login?base=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com/settings

This email was sent to salenamartine360.news1@blogger.com by: POLITICO, LLC 1000 Wilson Blvd. Arlington, VA, 22209, USA

Please click here and follow the steps to unsubscribe.

Post a Comment

Previous Post Next Post