Expand. Social Security. First.

Presented by The Coalition to Protect America's Regional Airports: The power players, latest policy developments, and intriguing whispers percolating inside the West Wing.
Nov 20, 2023 View in browser
 
West Wing Playbook

By Adam Cancryn, Myah Ward, Lauren Egan and Benjamin Johansen

Presented by

The Coalition to Protect America's Regional Airports

Welcome to POLITICO’s West Wing Playbook, your guide to the people and power centers in the Biden administration. With help from producer Raymond Rapada.

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PROGRAMMING NOTE: We’ll be off for Thanksgiving this Thursday and Friday but back to our normal schedule on Monday, Nov. 27.

It's a story JOE BIDEN loves to tell: Midway through his State of the Union address, as the president accused Republicans of trying to cut entitlements like Social Security, loud objections from the House chamber suddenly turned his speech into a negotiation.

Pausing to spar with GOP lawmakers, Biden extracted a promise to take entitlement cuts off the table in the upcoming debt ceiling showdown, securing a major victory before talks even began.

"I never thought my third State of the Union address would be negotiated on the floor of the United States Congress," Biden mused afterward. "But it worked."

That unscripted moment has taken on outsized political significance in the months since, held up as an example of Biden’s negotiating prowess and his commitment to the social safety net.

But among Democrats bracing for a tight 2024 contest, some now want him to go further.

Progressives have pitched Biden officials and Democratic leaders in recent months on endorsing a plan to expand Americans' Social Security benefits, according to several people involved in the informal discussions.

The proposal, they argue, would be broadly popular with an electorate that ranks Social Security among the top issues they care deeply about, especially among seniors more likely to vote. And after Republicans swore off cuts — for the time being — it would allow Biden to stake out a new contrast with the GOP, one painting him as more supportive of the cherished social insurance program.

"The only weakness that Democrats have on their Social Security policies is not enough people know that it's them," said ALEX LAWSON, executive director of Social Security Works, one of the groups advocating for the idea. "The way to get Republicans even more on the back foot about their plans to cut Social Security is to draw that incredibly clear distinction that Democrats want to expand, Republicans want to cut."

Biden embraced Social Security expansion during the 2020 Democratic primary, proposing to boost benefits for the lowest-income retirees and shore up Social Security's main trust fund by raising taxes on those making $400,000 or more a year. But faced with slim congressional majorities once he took office, Biden largely dropped the idea.

Three years later, progressive groups want him to revisit it, in part because the candidate he’s likely to face, DONALD TRUMP, has publicly insisted he doesn’t want to cut entitlement programs (even though he previously backed such policies).

Polling presented this fall to top White House officials and other leading Democrats by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee and Data for Progress found just 41 percent trusted Biden more than Trump to safeguard Social Security benefits. More than 4 in 10 were also skeptical that Republican candidates who had called for cutting benefits or raising the retirement age would follow through on it if elected.

Biden officials have expressed openness to the case for benefit expansions, Lawson and others who talked with them said, though the campaign is still early in the process of building out a 2024 policy platform and remains noncommittal on the idea.

"Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis and the rest of the MAGA Republicans have repeatedly campaigned on gutting Social Security and Medicare and have the records to back it up," campaign spokesperson AMMAR MOUSSA said in a statement. "Joe Biden will not let that happen, and we'll make certain the millions of Americans who have paid for Social Security their entire lives now that when they head to vote next November."

There’s skepticism among some in the president’s orbit who say Biden’s message on protecting benefits versus Republicans seeking cuts is already well established. They question whether adding a brand new idea to the mix would confuse matters. The president is also already planning to run on a slew of concrete accomplishments that may mean more to voters than aspirational ideas like Social Security expansion.

And as Democrats are wont to do, some have gotten caught up in the underlying policy specifics. They warn the party would need to settle debates over which retirees would benefit, and ultimately how the entire thing would be paid for. In addition to Biden's 2020 proposal, several lawmakers — including Sens. ELIZABETH WARREN (D-Mass.) and BERNIE SANDERS (I-Vt.) and Rep. JOHN LARSON (D-Conn.) — had longstanding expansion plans of their own.

"They probably don't want to open that can of worms," said DEAN BAKER, a progressive economist who has long supported expanding Social Security.

The progressive groups pushing for Social Security expansion aren't lobbying for a specific proposal. But they do have an answer for how to pay for the benefits: Taxing the wealthy.

"It just really puts all of the pieces in place, and you can't muddy it up," said Lawson. "Tax the wealthy more in order to increase Social Security benefits. Electorally, this is a Democratic wedge issue."

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A message from The Coalition to Protect America's Regional Airports:

DCA is at capacity and can’t accommodate more flights. That’s why a bipartisan majority of House members voted against bringing more flights to the airport as part of the FAA Reauthorization bill. In the past, more flights at DCA have worsened noise, congestion, delays, and cancellations. Doing so again risks exacerbating these issues and severely overburdening DCA. Don’t be fooled – the evidence shows that DCA is at capacity and can’t handle any more flights.

 
POTUS PUZZLER

Which president served as the head cheerleader for his high school’s cheer team?

(Answer at bottom.)

The Oval

TURKEY TRUCE: In what is a grim season for turkeys nationwide, LIBERTY and BELL (cringe) are over the moon today. The two 42-pound turkeys received a “pardon” Monday from the president as part of the 76th annual White House tradition. During the pardoning, Biden mangled a joke in reference to the difficulty of getting a TAYLOR SWIFT or BEYONCÉ ticket, seeming to confuse Swift with BRITNEY SPEARS, as Myah reports.

In anticipation of their high stakes meeting with the president, the pair of birds shared a luxurious suite at the Willard Hotel in Washington, and prepped for their Rose Garden moment by listening to all types of music, according to STEVE LYKKEN, chair of the National Turkey Federation. “I can confirm they are, in fact, Swifties,” he said.

Good to know.

LESS OF A MUSKY SCENT HERE: The White House on Monday launched a Threads account for itself, Biden and Vice President KAMALA HARRIS. Threads, a product of Meta, was created as a quasi-alternative to X, which has come under fire late for failing to moderate potentially harmful content. The White House’s launch of an account on the platform comes just days after it condemned ELON MUSK for promoting an antisemitic post.

Still, the White House has said it has no plans to leave X. In fact, Biden’s account posted on the platform today. Spokesperson ROBYN PATTERSON said in a statement that the decision to go to Threads as well was driven by a desire to reach more audience. “This launch has been in process for several weeks,” Patterson added.

GO JOE, IT’S YOUR BIRTHDAY: Birthdays are normally a major reason for celebration — unless you’re a president whose age is a top reelection liability. Despite growing anxiety within his own party about how to deal with the age factor in his 2024 campaign, Biden, who turned 81 today, embraced the big day with some humor.

“It’s my birthday today. I just want you to know, it’s difficult turning 60,” he quipped at the turkey pardoning.

White House press secretary KARINE JEAN-PIERRE told reporters the president will celebrate later this week in Nantucket with a coconut cake, a Biden family tradition.

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE WANTS YOU TO READ: This piece by the WSJ’s JULIE WERNAU, who reports that support for abortion access is at a near record high, according to a Journal-NORC poll. The survey found that 55 percent of respondents believe that pregnant women should be able to obtain a legal abortion, with nearly 90 percent saying they support abortion access in the case of rape or incest, or if a woman’s health is seriously endangered. White House deputy communications director HERBIE ZISKEND shared the piece on X.

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DOESN’T WANT YOU TO READ: This piece by NBC News’ CURTIS BUNN, who reports that the lack of enthusiasm for Biden from Black voters poses a reflection point for the president’s campaign. Bunn highlights an NBC poll that found 20 percent of Black voters would consider voting for former President Trump, a shift from 12 percent in 2020. Several Black voters interviewed for the story said they felt their vote is being taken for granted.

“The uncertainty among Black voters is palpable,” Bunn writes.

RIGHT AROUND THE CORNER: The locations for the 2024 presidential debates have been set. The Commission on Presidential Debates announced on Monday that the three face-offs will take place at Texas State University in San Marcos; Virginia State University in Petersburg; and the University of Utah in Salt Lake City. Pennsylvania’s Lafayette College will host the single vice presidential debate. The debate at Virginia State will be the first at a historically Black college or university.

 

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THE BUREAUCRATS

FIRST IN WEST WING PLAYBOOK: NOREEN KASSAM and JESSE SENDROFF have been promoted to deputy directors of presidential advance, our DANIEL LIPPMAN has learned. They recently were associate directors of presidential advance.

MORE PERSONNEL MOVES: CHANDRESH HARJIVAN is now special assistant to the president and associate director for domestic preparedness and response to pandemic and biological threats. He most recently was co-founder, president and COO of SaponiQx.

COLIN MCCARTHY has been promoted to scheduling correspondence manager at the White House. He most recently was presidential scheduling correspondence coordinator.

RON’S OFF THE MARKET: On Monday, Airbnb announced that RON KLAIN, former White House chief of staff and avid West Wing Playbook reader, will join the company as chief legal officer, Axios’ MIKE ALLEN reports.

Klain told Axios that he will continue supporting President Biden, “on my own time and of my own accord,” but will no longer do TV appearances for the campaign.

 

A message from The Coalition to Protect America's Regional Airports:

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Agenda Setting

REAFFIRMING SUPPORT: Defense Secretary LLOYD AUSTIN made an unannounced visit Monday to Kyiv in a show of U.S. support for Ukraine. The trip comes in the midst of an array of international challenges and a domestic debate over the next Ukraine aid package.

Austin met with Ukrainian President VOLODYMYR ZELENSKYY, writing in a post on X: “We, along with our allies and partners, will continue to support Ukraine’s urgent battlefield needs and long-term defense requirements.”

OFFICIALLY OFFICIAL: Unionized workers across Detroit’s Big Three automakers — General Motors, Ford, and Stellantis — officially ratified their contracts on Monday, our NICK NIEDZWIADEK reports. The United Auto Workers were on strike for nearly a month and a half, until brokering a deal last month.

Biden, who in September joined the workers on the picket line, praised the contracts in a statement. “The UAW is fighting hard to ensure that all auto jobs are good, middle-class jobs – and I stand with them in that fight,” he said.

 

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What We're Reading

The Formidable Rosalynn Carter (Jonathan Alter for the New York Times)

Young voters are not interested in the institutions Biden needs (WaPo’s Philip Bump)

Many former Trump aides say he shouldn’t be president. Will it matter? (WaPo’s Josh Dawsey)

POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

GEORGE W. BUSH was head cheerleader during his senior year at Phillips Academy. He would continue his cheering as a member of Yale University’s squad. Bush is actually one of four former cheerleader-turn-presidents, in addition to RONALD REAGAN, DWIGHT EISENHOWER, and FRANKLIN D. ROOSEVELT.

A CALL OUT! Do you think you have a harder trivia question? Send us your best one about the presidents, with a citation or sourcing, and we may feature it!

Edited by Eun Kyung Kim and Sam Stein.

 

A message from The Coalition to Protect America's Regional Airports:

DCA is at capacity. Even so, reckless efforts to bring more flights to DCA may force the airport to accommodate 12.6 million passengers beyond what it was designed to handle, without any regard for the airport’s physical constraints, safety, and passenger convenience. The experts agree this is a bad idea – the Federal Aviation Administration estimates that just 20 more round-trip operations per day can increase delays by 25.9%. Keep travel safe and efficient for all – say NO to more flights at DCA.

 
 

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