Biden’s 2024 price war

Presented by the Health Equity Coalition for Chronic Disease: The power players, latest policy developments, and intriguing whispers percolating inside the West Wing.
Jan 10, 2024 View in browser
 
West Wing Playbook

By Myah Ward, Lauren Egan and Ben Johansen

Presented by

Health Equity Coalition for Chronic Disease

Welcome to POLITICO’s West Wing Playbook, your guide to the people and power centers in the Biden administration. With help from producer Raymond Rapada.

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A newly released public opinion poll suggests that it’s not enough for JOE BIDEN to simply say he is committed to lowering prices. He must do more to explain to voters what specific costs he’s been tackling.

The poll, put together by Blueprint, a new public opinion research initiative, argues that Biden has to have a tailored message on inflation in order to win in 2024.

Blueprint came on the scene in recent months with the goal of providing data about existing Democratic policies with an eye on the next election. The group has been putting out data and analysis on how these policies resonate with voters to help Dem operatives and campaigns — including Biden’s — pinpoint what is and what isn’t breaking through.

Things are looking up for Biden and the economy as inflation cools and consumer sentiment rises. But prices remain a No. 1 concern for voters. Blueprint’s head pollster EVAN ROTH SMITH told West Wing Playbook that the White House and Biden campaign need to lean into the economic policy accomplishments that voters believe will help combat inflation.

“The main lesson from this polling is that there is a policy set that the Biden administration could elevate further than it has — that voters believe will personally benefit them and believe will take on inflationary challenges writ large,” he said.

Here are some of the most popular policies, according to the new poll, first obtained by West Wing Playbook. The survey, conducted by YouGov and commissioned by Blueprint, sampled 1,012 voters nationwide in early December.

— The president’s investment in agricultural supply chains: 78 percent of voters believed it would benefit them, while 54 percent said it would reduce inflation.

— Reducing the deficit by $1.7 trillion: 65 percent said it would benefit them, while 49 percent said it would reduce inflation.

— Using antitrust to enforce laws against price gouging and price fixing: 71 percent said it would benefit them, while 47 percent said it would reduce inflation.

— Allowing Medicare to negotiate prescription drug pricing to lower prescription drug prices: 65 percent said it would benefit them, while 46 percent said it would reduce inflation.

— Approving more permits for domestic oil and gas drilling than any previous president: 55 percent said it would benefit them, while 45 percent said it would reduce inflation.

— And finally, banning junk fees…heard about this one before, maybe in this very newsletter?: 73 percent say it will benefit them, while 41 percent say it will reduce inflation.

Policies that voters find least beneficial to them, and least likely to reduce inflation, include requiring labor union agreements on large federal construction projects, tax rebates for electric vehicle purchases, canceling $10,000 in student debt and standing with striking workers who want higher pay, according to the data.

“We found things that he’s done that people really think will fight inflation. I think there’s no better illustration of that than the agricultural supply chain investments in saying, if this is testing this way, the White House needs to be leaning into this,” Roth Smith said. “Scream it from the mountain tops.”

There is a belief among Biden officials that once the campaign dials up spending this year, the president’s policies will be at the forefront of voters’ minds. The question remains which issues they’ll decide to spend the most time on.

“While Trump is running on wildly unpopular tax cuts for the rich, the president has a serious agenda to lower the cost of housing, prescription drugs, and other necessities. As people start to tune in more to the race, that contrast will become more apparent,” said BHARAT RAMAMURTI, former deputy director of the National Economic Council.

White House spokesperson MICHAEL KIKUKAWA said the White House knows these policies are popular and plans to “ensure every American has heard” about them.

“Recent elections show that Americans prefer those policies to trickle-down MAGAnomics, which raises health care costs and utility bills for families while giving tax cuts to the wealthy and special interests,” he said.

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Obesity is a chronic disease affecting millions of Americans, and disproportionately impacting Black and Hispanic adults. Leaders need to act now.

 
POTUS PUZZLER

Which president was the first to visit Israel?

(Answer at bottom.)

The Oval

A SOMBER MEETING: President Biden held a private meeting with ELIZABETH WHELAN, the sister of American PAUL WHELAN, a former Marine who has been jailed in Russia for five years. The White House said National Security Adviser JAKE SULLIVAN joined the meeting. Afterwards, Biden called Whelan’s parents.

The White House sitdown comes after Whelan told the BBC last month that he felt “abandoned” by the United States.

WITH ALL DUE RESPECT, YOU GOT NO IDEA: Following a series of anonymous letters from White House interns, Biden political appointees and campaign staffers, White House vets are feeling nostalgic for times past when that type of behavior would have been seen as unholy, our EUGENE DANIELS reports. “The notion that junior staffers in such coveted jobs would dare cross the principal — even anonymously — would have been inconceivable not long ago,” he writes.

One former senior White House official told Eugene that such tactics don’t work on Biden. “That is not an effective way to get his attention,” the person said.

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE WANTS YOU TO READ: Anything about how more than 20 million Americans have enrolled for coverage through the Affordable Care Act, beating last year’s record of 16 million enrollments. Biden celebrated the achievement in a video he shared on X and also released a statement declaring Obamacare “more popular than ever.”

White House officials shared a number of pieces on the subject. Chief of staff JEFF ZIENTS posted this NYT story and communications director BEN LABOLT shared this one from The Hill. Deputy communications director HERBIE ZISKEND also shared an interview with Health and Human Services Secretary XAVIER BECERRA on MSNBC’s Morning Joe announcing the numbers.

ALSO THIS: A Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday shows President Biden taking a lead in Pennsylvania by 3 points over his potential and likely opponent former President DONALD TRUMP. The poll found that Biden leads with 49 percent of registered voters in a hypothetical 2024 head-to-head. It marks the first time in the poll that Biden has had a numerical lead over Trump in the key swing state.

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DOESN’T WANT YOU TO READ: This piece by NPR’s JEFF BRADY about how new research shows that although U.S. greenhouse gas emissions dropped by 1.9 percent last year, it was not enough to meet Biden’s climate targets to cut emissions by half of their 2005 levels.

Brady writes that new estimates from the research firm Rhodium Group show that emissions are currently 17.2 percent below 2005 levels. In order to meet Biden’s 2030 goal, annual emissions reduction needs to be closer to 7 percent.

HITTING THE ROAD: Biden will make trips to both Nevada and Michigan later this month, two states with key constituencies the president needs to court to win reelection this November, NBC’s MIKE MEMOLI reports. Campaign aides say it’s a new phase in the campaign, an attempt to hone in on a more diverse base as opposed to New Hampshire or Iowa. In Nevada, Biden will be wooing Latino voters. He’ll make his pitch to Michigan’s large Arab American population during that visit.

 

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THE BUREAUCRATS

SEARCHING FOR ANSWERS: The Biden administration is still struggling to explain why it took so long for Defense Secretary LLOYD AUSTIN to disclose that he has prostate cancer — not only to the public, but to the White House itself. You’d think that it would have come up when Austin spoke with Biden over the weekend (“What put you in the hospital?” feels like a reasonable question to ask your defense secretary), but the White House says the president only learned of the diagnosis yesterday.

National Security Council spokesperson JOHN KIRBY was careful during Wednesday’s briefing to not explicitly blame the Pentagon for the breakdown in transparency. But he said that once the White House learned of Austin’s hospitalization, “we certainly asked all the questions you would think we would ask,” adding that there was “no lack of curiosity” on the White House’s part.

HUNTER BIDEN’s surprise appearance on Capitol Hill today might have eaten into some of the Austin coverage, but the issue doesn’t seem to be going away. Our NICHOLAS WU reports that on Wednesday, Pennsylvania Rep. CHRIS DELUZIO became the first congressional Democrat to call for Austin's resignation.

PERSONNEL UPDATE: Deputy chief of staff NATALIE QUILLIAN will take over the portfolio of infrastructure implementation coordinator MITCH LANDRIEU once he departs the White House, press secretary KARINE JEAN-PIERRE announced Wednesday.

 

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Agenda Setting

A BLUNT MESSAGE: Secretary of State ANTONY BLINKEN had a frank warning for the Houthis, a Yemen based Iranian-backed militia group, after it continued its attacks in the Red Sea, CNN’s JENNIFER HANSLER reports. “I’m not going to telegraph or preview anything that might happen,” Blinken said in a press gaggle in Bahrain. “We’ve been clear with more than 20 other countries that if it continues, as it did yesterday, there will be consequences.”

The Houthis have shown no sign of de-escalation, having carried out a series of attacks as retaliation for Israel’s military campaign against Hamas, including seizing a commercial ship and its crew. “This represents a clear threat to the interests of countries around the world. And it’s important that the international community come together and respond to them,” Blinken said.

CAMPUS VISIT: Education Secretary MIGUEL CARDONA held a roundtable Wednesday with Jewish and Muslim students at Dartmouth University to discuss antisemitism and Islamophobia, AP’s MICHAEL CASEY reports. The conversation comes as college campuses throughout the country grapple with the fallout of the Israel-Hamas war.

 

POLITICO AT CES® 2024: We are going ALL On at CES 2024 with a special edition of the POLITICO Digital Future Daily newsletter. The CES-focused newsletter will take you inside the most powerful tech event in the world, featuring revolutionary products that cut across verticals, and insights from industry leaders that are shaping the future of innovation. The newsletter runs from Jan. 9-12 and will focus on the public policy-related aspects of the gathering. Sign up today to receive exclusive coverage of the show.

 
 
What We're Reading

When Washington Calls for Firings, Biden Usually Says No (WSJ’s Andrew Restuccia)

Iowa Nice vs. New Hampshire Ornery: A Tale of Spurned Democrats (NYT’s Reid J. Epstein)

Exclusive: It's not the economy, stupid. In NH, democracy is the top issue for Dems, independents (USA Today’s Susan Page, Sudiksha Kochi and Savannah Kuchar)

POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

RICHARD NIXON, who in June 1974 spent 24 hours in Israel with first lady PAT NIXON and Secretary of State HENRY KISSINGER, becoming the first sitting president to visit the country.

Thank you to John Powers for the question!

A CALL OUT! Do you think you have a harder trivia question? Send us your best one about the presidents, with a citation or sourcing, and we may feature it!

Edited by Eun Kyung Kim and Sam Stein.

A message from the Health Equity Coalition for Chronic Disease:

Obesity is the second leading contributor to preventable death in the United States only after smoking. For communities of color — who are disproportionately impacted by obesity — it’s time for immediate action.

Our leaders have the power to combat the obesity epidemic — starting with allowing Medicare to cover lifesaving, FDA-approved obesity medications.

 
 

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