The fight to own budget airtime

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Apr 02, 2024 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Kyle Duggan

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Thanks for reading the Ottawa Playbook. Let’s get to it.

In today's edition:

→ Duelling announcements compete for earned media. Liberals contended with an anti-carbon tax push while they pushed another plank in their long line of budget announceables.

→ Fundraising contrasts as parties posture to frame themselves as being election-ready.

DRIVING THE DAY


ALT-TAX — If you thought the spike-the-hike campaign would end April 1, think again.

The Liberals’ latest budget-announceables blitz clashed with the anti-carbon-tax campaign for attention Monday as they sought to put a school lunch program at the fore.

The tax inched up. Everyone dug down. News of the day, for the umpteenth time.

Newfoundland and Labrador’s Liberal Premier ANDREW FUREY set up Monday’s news cycle by posting an open letter to Trudeau calling for a meeting on alternatives to the carbon tax and a pause while Newfoundlanders feel the pinch of the affordability crisis.

He also stated Canada has a “strong balance sheet” and called for “bold investments” from Ottawa to reduce emissions.

— Get in line: That, after a lineup of premiers testified last week at a Commons committee railing against the tax: SCOTT MOE, DANIELLE SMITH and BLAINE HIGGS.

— Point to ponder: Columnist AARON WHERRY lamented the lack of substantive policy debate on last week’s “At Issue” panel: “Not to pine for the days of first ministers’ conferences, but I do wonder what would happen if the prime minister invited every premier to come to Ottawa with a fully costed and independently analyzed plan for how their province was going to reduce emissions by as much as the national target. What would they come to Ottawa with? What would the alternatives be, exactly?”

— Change the channel: Furey’s move, along with protests at some 15 locations across the country that delayed traffic, helped drive questions at PMJT’s budget presser.

That prompted a lengthy response from Trudeau involving multiple mentions of putting more “money in people’s pockets” via carbon rebate checks.

“All those premiers that are busy complaining about the price on pollution, but not putting forward a concrete alternative that they think would be better for their communities are just playing politics,” Trudeau replied. “We're not seeing detailed plans from the premiers on this.”

At a press event ahead of a rally in Nanaimo, B.C., Conservative Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE vowed the next federal race will be a “carbon-tax election,” declaring Monday’s hike a cruel April Fools’ joke played on Canadians and signaling the battle that raged over the past few weeks will play out all over again.

“They want to raise it,” he said. “This is just the beginning.”

(Poilievre is in B.C., which has its own provincial carbon tax, for a stretch this week. He’s hosting two party fundraisers — one at the Tsawwassen Springs golf course on Wednesday, and then one in Campbell River at the Shelter Point Distillery Thursday.)

— Where this is all headed: More not-very-sound-bitey clips where the Liberals defend and explain the levy-and-rebate system.

But with the polls giving the impression the Conservatives are going to slow-walk toward a blowout victory come next election, Poilievre will find his own environment cred under increasing scrutiny and will be pressed by media to pony up policy alternatives.

The Star Editorial Board took a swing at that Monday, criticizing him for taking a technology-reliant approach.

“My approach is to green-light green projects,” Poilievre told reporters Monday. “We need a massive abundance of clean, green emissions-free energy, by giving fast permits and responsible permits for hydro dams, nuclear power, carbon capture and storage, offshore wave, tidal wave power.”

— Jostling for attention: Trudeau and Finance Minister CHRYSTIA FREELAND’s main message of the day: a new C$1 billion national school lunch program, part of their atypical string of pre-budget unveilings planned through to April 16.

The food program (provincial jurisdiction alert) will run over five years and aims to help 400,000 more kids a year access food in school on top of preexisting programs.

Flanking the pair on TV screens: JENNA SUDDS, MARCI IEN, JOHN MCKAY, NATE ERSKINE-SMITH, JULIE DABRUSIN, JEAN YIP and RYAN TURNBULL.

— Didn’t take long: NDP Leader JAGMEET SINGH narrowly got out ahead of it and called for that exact policy to be included in the budget, at an announcement held an hour earlier.

“This is our demand,” he told reporters at a playground in Toronto. “We want to be very clear: we expect this to happen. We’re going to keep the pressure going.”

 — Related reading: CBC’s CHRISTIAN PAAS-LANG has the details: “Federal government commits to creation of national school food program

 

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Where the leaders are


— Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU is in Nova Scotia to make a housing announcement “in advance of the 2024 federal budget,” per his itinerary, alongside Housing Minister SEAN FRASER.

— Deputy PM CHRYSTIA FREELAND is in Kitchener, Ontario for a 12 p.m. tour of a rental housing development ahead of a housing announcement.

— NDP Leader JAGMEET SINGH is in London, Ont. At 10:30, he will visit the Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry. Later in the afternoon, he'll meet with Hamilton Mayor ANDREA HORWATH.

— Conservative Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE and Bloc Leader YVES-FRANÇOIS BLANCHET have yet to release their public itineraries.

— Green Party Leader ELIZABETH MAY travels from Vancouver to Winnipeg to continue the "Today, Tomorrow, Together: The Green Leaders’ Tour."

DULY NOTED


9 a.m. The Hogue commission into foreign interference will hear from MP HAN DONG this afternoon. The Canadian Press sets the scene. This morning, campaign directors for the Liberals, Conservatives and NDP will testify, as Playbook previewed on Monday.

For your radar

NOT-SO CLOSE QUARTERS — Ask any party’s fundraising team: this past weekend was a crucial moment for them.

Or just look through the end-of-quarter flurry of urgent partisan pitch emails hitting you up for cash.

The April tax-hike date coincided neatly with crucial (they kept saying) first-quarter fundraising deadlines, as all the major parties sent out hurried final pleas to supporters to meet their goals over the weekend warning about needing to be ready for an election — and even more so, look the part.

The Conservatives had billed their end of March deadline as the “biggest” fundraising deadline of the year and will be a “good indicator” of how prepared the party will be for the next election, warning Trudeau is hiking the tax because he’s “obsessed with spending your money.”

“We need to guarantee that Pierre Poilievre has the resources necessary to run a winning campaign,” one fundraising note to supporters read.

— Compare, contrast: The opposition Conservatives consistently outraise the governing Liberals, and are bringing in landmark hauls under Poilievre.

The Liberals warned in their emails of a “Conservative fundraising machine whose only plan for Canadians involves cutting services Canadians rely on and rolling back our progress,” raising the specter of losing C$10-a-day childcare and the carbon rebate.

They made public their objective for member donations: C$200,000. The NDP told their grassroots that their main enemy in the next race is Pierre Poilievre, whose party is outraising theirs five-to-one.

“Media, pundits, and people across the country will use our end-of-quarter fundraising numbers to measure our strength against the Conservatives” when the figures come out at the end of the month, one email said.

“Once those numbers become public, the media will use them to shape the narrative leading into the next election — which may come at any time,” another noted.

— Red-letter date: Figures are due out around the end of the month. April 30 is the submission deadline, according to Elections Canada’s website.

MEDIA ROOM


CATHERINE LÉVESQUE in the National Post on why both the Conservatives and Liberals are claiming the PBO proves them right: “Is the carbon tax hike costing you or making you money? The PBO says both

— Top of POLITICO this hour: DONALD TRUMP posts $175M bond to stave off seizure of his assets while he appeals civil fraud verdict.

— The Logic’s ANITA BALAKRISHNAN, CLAIRE BROWNELL, MURAD HEMMADI, DAVID REEVELY AND JESSE SNYDER did a deep dive into who is asking for what ahead of the federal budget.

— In The Hill Times, ABBAS RANA adds up the automatic pay hikes parliamentarians got this week, and quotes CTF director FRANCO TERRAZZANO noting the Harper government froze such increases during an economic downturn.

— Forget which party leader Canadians want to have a beer with. National Post’s STUART THOMSON has the skinny on a new poll that asks who they least want to sit next to on a plane trip.

— Liberal MP FRANCIS DROUIN dishes to ANTOINE TRÉPANIER in Le Droit that government hiring practices take too long and the federal public service isn’t geared to support generational change within its ranks.

JOHN MICHAEL MCGRATH writes for TVO: “The feds are looking to beef up tenant protections. There’s just one problem: the provinces exist, and you can’t get around them with lofty words at press conferences.”

PROZONE


Don’t miss our latest newsletter for Pro subscribers: DANIELLE SMITH is just getting started.

In other news for Pros: 

​​Jockeying for jobs is underway in Trump energy circles

To fix WTO dispute system, keep talks interest-based, key former official says

How do you ensure hydrogen is ‘clean’? Treasury rules draw fire.

Judge approves $10B deal on ‘forever chemicals’ contamination

U.S. weighs selling new fighter jets, missiles and guidance kits to Israel

 

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PLAYBOOKERS


Birthdays: HBD to Citizens’ Services Minister TERRY BEECH and former Liberal Sen. PANA MERCHANT.

Celebrate your day with the Playbook community. Send us the details. We’ll let everyone know. 

Spotted: WYATT SHARPE among those pitching questions at the PM’s presser in Scarborough.

Among some of the better April Fools’ Day yuks: The House of Commons social account with a sly reference to the two-swords-length distance between leaders. WARREN KINSELLA joking he’s now headed back to Ottawa to work for the Liberals.

JENNI BYRNE namechecked in a Democracy Watch letter to Lobbying Commissioner NANCY BÉLANGER.

Movers and shakers: Part of a bevy of recent Cabinet appointments: SCOTT ELLIOT, CEO of the Dr. Peter Centre in Vancouver,appointed to the Canadian Centre on Substance Abuse board of directors for three years.

MARGO GOODHAND and KIM KIERANSreappointed as special advisers to National Revenue Minister MARIE-CLAUDE BIBEAU on the Independent Advisory Board on Eligibility for Journalism Tax Measures.

Farewells: Former Quebec Cabinet minister BENOÎT PELLETIER has died at 63. JEAN CHAREST posted on LinkedIn that Pelletier leaves behind an “invaluable intellectual and political legacy.”

ON THE HILL


Parliament returns April 8.

Find House committees here.

Keep track of Senate committees here.

We're tracking every major political event of 2024 on a mega-calendar. Send us events and download the calendar yourself for Google and other clients .

TRIVIA


Monday’s answer: Canada’s weather system turned metric on April 1, 1975.

Props to JOHN SLONIMSKI, NANCI WAUGH, SHAUGHN MCARTHUR, DARRYL DAMUDE, MARCEL MARCOTTE, ROBERT MCDOUGALL and NICK CHAN.

Today’s question: Which Canadian politician was once jokingly accused of being an "evil reptilian kitten-eater from another planet” by an opposing campaign?

Answers to ottawaplaybook@politico.com .

Want to grab the attention of movers and shakers on Parliament Hill? Want your brand in front of a key audience of Ottawa influencers? Run a Playbook ad campaign. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

Writing Playbook Wednesday morning: NICK TAYLOR-VAISEY.

Playbook wouldn’t happen without: POLITICO Canada editor Sue Allan, editor Willa Plank and Luiza Ch. Savage.

 

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