| | | | |  | | By Ryan Lizza, Eugene Daniels and Rachael Bade | | Presented by |  | | | With help from Eli Okun, Garrett Ross and Bethany Irvine
| | | |  | DRIVING THE DAY | | | HOW TRUMP COULD SKATE — “The X Factors That Will Decide The Trump Verdict,” by Ankush Khardori ABOUT LAST NIGHT — DONALD TRUMP’s rally in the Bronx last night featured many of his greatest hits — touting his record, slamming JOE BIDEN — to a crowd that was whiter on average than the South Bronx but still fairly diverse, AP’s Michelle Price and Jill Colvin report. And though NYC is very blue, Trump made a big pitch by demonizing immigrants as harmful to American-born people of color, Meridith McGraw and Jeff Coltin report. He was met with “build the wall” chants. SPOTTED: GEORGE SANTOS and RUBÉN DÍAZ SR. Three newsy bits:
- Trump didn’t say anything on stage about NIKKI HALEY, even though she just announced clearly that she’ll vote for him, Natalie Allison reports. But he told News 12 afterward that he “appreciated what she said” and expected her “to be on our team, in some form.”
- When asked about his three top VP contenders, Trump declined to give News 12’s Tara Rosenblum a straight answer, but specifically name-checked BEN CARSON, Sens. MARCO RUBIO (R-Fla.) and J.D. VANCE (R-Ohio) as well as Rep. ELISE STEFANIK (R-N.Y.).
- As for the timing of a VP announcement, Trump said he’d unveil his pick “some time during the convention,” which starts July 15.
TALK OF THIS TOWN — Michael Schaffer’s latest Capital City column: “Congress Blames DC For Crime, But They’re Making It Worse” JUST POSTED — “Exclusive: Putin wants Ukraine ceasefire on current frontlines,” by Reuters’ Guy Faulconbridge and Andrew Osborn: “Russian President VLADIMIR PUTIN is ready to halt the war in Ukraine with a negotiated ceasefire that recognises the current battlefield lines, four Russian sources told Reuters, saying he is prepared to fight on if Kyiv and the West do not respond.”
|  Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) speaks with reporters as he departs a vote at the U.S. Capitol, on July 18, 2023. | Francis Chung/POLITICO | THE PLAYBOOK INTERVIEW: RICK SCOTT — With Sen. Rick Scott jumping in the race to succeed MITCH McCONNELL as Senate Republican leader, we decided to drop by the Floridian’s office yesterday and chat with him about the contest, which already features two well-established contenders, JOHN THUNE (R-S.D.) and JOHN CORNYN (R-Texas). You can listen to the full conversation on this week’s episode of Playbook Deep Dive. THE GHOSTS OF 2022: Scott’s most important Senate leadership position was running the NRSC in the 2022 cycle, when he repeatedly clashed with the McConnell team over policy, recruiting, fundraising and strategy. In calling around to Senate GOP offices this week, memories of the feud are still fresh. Scott skeptics brought up the same list of grievances over and over:
- He raised a ton of money early in the cycle, then spent most of it and was starved for resources in the homestretch.
- He declined to intervene in GOP primaries, leaving the party saddled with candidates such as HERSCHEL WALKER in Georgia.
- He issued a policy plan that included an unpopular entitlements reform plank that McConnell pointedly criticized.
- In October of that year, he said Republicans might win seats in Washington state and Connecticut and end up with as many as 55 seats. Instead, a few weeks later, Democrats expanded their majority by one seat.
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| THE McCONNELL FEUD: In a letter to colleagues announcing his candidacy on Wednesday, Scott wrote of the importance of “holding ourselves accountable for mistakes and failure,” so we asked him about lessons learned from 2022. “Well, we didn't get a majority,” he told us with a laugh. “I tried.” Then Scott pointed the finger at McConnell. “We needed to have an overall plan,” he said. “We didn't. OK. But if you're the NRSC chair, you don't get to do that. That was driven by the leader of the Senate, who made the decision not to have a plan. He was very clear.” The feud continued. Scott challenged McConnell for leader, winning just 10 votes. A week later, Scott received a text message from a McConnell aide about committee assignments. “I got kicked off of Commerce,” Scott told us, still miffed about the incident. “That's clearly retaliation — no ifs, ands or buts about it.” (When asked, he did not say what committee he might reserve for McConnell if Scott becomes Republican leader.) Scott, who is up for reelection this year, also said McConnell tried to damage his fundraising. “He told people not to give me money,” Scott said. Happy Friday. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza
| | | | A message from INVEST IN OUR LAND: In 2022, Congress invested $20 billion in conservation funding to support America's family farms. These funds help strengthen family businesses, lower costs, increase profits, and protect against the growing threat of extreme weather – and they are now at risk. Help protect the future of American farms.
Learn more at InvestInOurLand.org. | | | WHAT WOULD SCOTT DO? In terms of policy, what is most notable from our interview is what Scott said he would not do: pass anti-abortion legislation. Scott, who supported his own state’s recent six-week abortion ban, said it was strictly a state issue now — and that would remain the case even if he were Senate leader and Trump were president. “So no legislation restricting abortion?” we asked. “None,” Scott replied. “It should all be done at the state level.” (Speaker MIKE JOHNSON recently told Playbook the same thing.) Scott did seem to learn a lesson from the entitlements imbroglio of 2022. When we pressed him on specific reforms he would support in the future, he emphasized getting more Americans into the workforce to increase program revenues, but insisted that benefits will remain as generous as they are today. He told us he wants a plan to “make sure that Social Security and Medicare … benefits are never cut.” He does have one niche national security idea on the Middle East. Scott, who serves on the Armed Services Committee, would like to explore the U.S. military intervening in Gaza to rescue American hostages. “Maybe you can’t do it,” Scott said. “Maybe it’s not possible. I sure as hell hope that if I was an American and I was stuck in Gaza, that the American president is asking his military … to say, ‘OK, can you get me out?’” He added that as a member of the Armed Services Committee he’s never heard the issue raised by the administration, even in classified briefings. THE TRUMP FACTOR: In 2022, Trump encouraged Scott to run against McConnell, the former president’s longtime nemesis. This time around, Scott does not have the same backing. Trump has actually been encouraging Sen. STEVE DAINES (R-Mont.), the current chair of the NRSC, to jump into the leadership race. If Republicans take back the Senate, Daines, who has pursued a very different strategy this cycle than Scott did in 2022 — especially when it comes to intervening in primaries — will have a powerful case to make. Still, Scott’s campaign, as Burgess Everett noted yesterday, “has scrambled the generally sleepy race, testing his rivals’ ties to Mitch McConnell and putting a heavier Trump focus on the November contest.” To put a finer point on it, Scott’s open warring with McConnell might well be his biggest selling point with Trump. “If you don’t want to have a dramatic change in how the Senate is operated, and if you think that everything’s going fine, you wouldn’t vote for me,” he told us. “I’m a change person. I’m a change agent.” “He said he’s excited that I’m getting in,” Scott told us about his call with Trump. “So I’m going to try to, you know, of course, get him to support my [candidacy] — like I’m going to try to get everybody.” The election is done by secret ballot, so Trump’s influence is limited. But if Trump wins in November, there may be an appetite for a leader who is less at odds with him than McConnell was. However, senators would hardly want a Trump puppet running the chamber. Scott tried to address that balancing act in his Wednesday letter to colleagues. “As Republican leader, I will protect senators’ interests while helping President Trump accomplish his goals,” he wrote. Scott also has a unique connection to Trump co-campaign manager SUSIE WILES, who ran Scott’s 2010 gubernatorial campaign. “Susie was my first campaign manager. I’ve known Susie a long time,” Scott said. “She wished me the best of luck. Susie’s been a good friend.” But he has no illusions about who will be making the decision. “I think President Trump makes his own choices,” Scott said. Listen to our interview with Scott on Playbook Deep Dive on Apple, Spotify or wherever you listen.
| | | | A message from INVEST IN OUR LAND:   Congress may roll back $20B in conservation funding that helps protect America's farmers from the effects of extreme weather.
Learn more at InvestInOurLand.org. | | | | | WHAT'S HAPPENING TODAY | | On the Hill The Senate and the House are out. 3 things to watch …
- Each chamber has a big political messaging vote waiting for when they come back next month from their Memorial Day recess. The Senate will be voting on a Democratic measure to protect access to contraception nationally, while the House will be voting on whether to hold AG MERRICK GARLAND in contempt of Congress over DOJ’s refusal to hand over tapes of Biden’s interviews with special counsel ROBERT HUR. At least that’s the idea: Olivia Beavers and Jordain Carney looked into the whip effort for Inside Congress, and it’s not a done deal yet.
- All politics is personal sometimes, and that is unfortunately true in the case of the Dr. EMMANUEL BILIRAKIS and Honorable JENNIFER WEXTON National Plan to End Parkinson's Act, which passed the Senate unanimously yesterday. It’s named for the brother of Rep. GUS BILIRAKIS (R-Fla.), who died last year of the disease, and the Virginia congresswoman who is now suffering from a rare form of it. The bill, which mandates a national plan to address Parkinson’s, now heads to the White House for Biden’s signature.
- Will the mountains ever get their clouds back? The massive ALEXANDER CALDER sculpture in the Hart Senate Office Building atrium, “Mountains and Clouds,” has been incomplete for a decade now after the two-ton aluminum “clouds” were removed in 1984 for safety reasons. Roll Call’s Justin Papp has the latest on the effort to restore the massive mobile: While the Architect of the Capitol didn’t have many answers for Sen. CHRIS MURPHY (D-Conn.) at an appropriations hearing last week, private donors are moving forward with the design and fabrication of a replacement, with more details expected this summer.
At the White House Biden and first lady JILL BIDEN will leave the White House for Wilmington, Delaware, around noon. VP KAMALA HARRIS will have a moderated conversation about digital inclusion in Africa with Kenyan President WILLIAM RUTO at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce at 11:35 a.m., followed by a luncheon she and Secretary of State ANTONY BLINKEN will host for Ruto and his wife at the State Department. Second gentleman DOUG EMHOFF will attend. On the trail ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. will speak at the Libertarian National Convention at 3:30 p.m.
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|  Border Patrol data shows the pace of crossings between ports of entry is set to total 110,000 to 120,000 this month. | Ryan Sun/AP | IMMIGRATION SHOCKER — So far in May, the southern border has seen an average of 3,700 migrant crossings daily — a whopping 54 percent decrease from the record highs six months ago, CBS’ Camilo Montoya-Galvez scooped from El Paso, Texas. It’s a “reprieve” for the Biden administration that’s all the more notable because immigration typically surges this time of year. The Border Patrol data shows the pace of crossings between ports of entry is set to total 110,000 to 120,000 this month, the third straight decline. (There are roughly another 1,500 asylum-seekers going through official entrances each day.) A major crackdown by Mexican authorities is credited with helping drive the decline. But DHS Secretary ALEJANDRO MAYORKAS claims some of the achievement too, telling CBS that ramped-up U.S. enforcement and expanded legal immigration pathways have helped ease the strain. (Of course, even these lower numbers are still above pre-pandemic levels.) Yesterday on the Hill, Senate Majority Leader CHUCK SCHUMER’s latest effort to pass a tough-on-immigration and border security bill failed again as expected, losing most GOP support and garnering just 43 votes, per ABC’s Allison Pecorin. Both sides called each other unserious on the issue. Among the newly opposed were bill co-authors JAMES LANKFORD (R-Okla.) and KYRSTEN SINEMA (I-Ariz.), along with some progressive Dems. In the House, Republicans’ bill to overturn a D.C. law that lets non-citizens vote in local elections peeled off a substantial 52 Democratic votes, per NYT’s Robert Jimison, though it’ll die beyond the House. FRONTIERS OF ABORTION LAW — Louisiana’s legislature moved the state to the bleeding edge of new abortion restrictions, passing a bill that would label abortion pills a controlled substance (like opioids) and making it a crime to possess them sans prescription. Gov. JEFF LANDRY is expected to sign it into law. More from the WSJ CONGRESS RIO GRANDE DYNASTY — An eye-popping story out this morning from NOTUS’ Casey Murray and Byron Tau raises questions about the family fiefdom that Rep. HENRY CUELLAR (D-Texas) built with his siblings in Laredo. “ROSIE CUELLAR was appointed to a judgeship for which she heard no cases, in a town with no courthouse,” they find. “Under MARTIN CUELLAR’s leadership, the Webb County sheriff’s office has drawn the scrutiny of the FBI.. … Martin Cuellar and his allies pressured staff to promote his and his family’s political careers.” 2024 WATCH
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Donald Trump touted his approvals of controversial oil pipelines at an event in Houston yesterday. | Jamie Kelter Davis for POLITICO | OIL AND WATER — Trump is continuing to draw the oil-and-gas industry close with promises of favorable policy changes as he pitches them to donate to his campaign. WaPo’s Josh Dawsey and Maxine Joselow have the latest report on Trump’s comments in Houston on Wednesday, when he touted his approvals of controversial oil pipelines and pledged “immediate approvals for energy infrastructure,” according to one attendee’s notes. At the $250,000-a-head fundraiser, which reportedly raised an eye-popping $25 million, Trump didn’t request specific donation amounts but asked attendees to “be generous.” He also promised more drilling on federal lands, fewer regulations and more gas exports. Hill Democrats are stepping up their scrutiny of Trump’s promises to oil executives. Senate Senate Finance Chair RON WYDEN (D-Ore.) and SHELDON WHITEHOUSE (D-R.I.) yesterday launched an investigation into whether there was a quid pro quo afoot, asking oil companies to provide more info, per CNN’s Kaanita Iyer. Experts have said Trump’s behavior likely was not illegal. But it could offer a political opening for Democrats to hammer Trump for voters focused on climate change and corruption. (How soon until the Biden camp floods TikTok on this?) More top reads:
- A long way from pudding fingers: Trump and RON DeSANTIS are mending fences, with the Florida governor getting his big donors together this week to urge them to back Trump, AP’s Thomas Beaumont reports.
MORE POLITICS MEET ROYCE WHITE — “GOP Senate Candidate Spent Thousands in Donor Funds on Strip Clubs, Luxury, and Mysterious Wire Transfers,” by The Daily Beast’s Roger Sollenberger and Mini Racker VOTES AND CONSEQUENCES — AIPAC has paused donations to Reps. SCOTT PERRY (R-Pa.) and RYAN ZINKE (R-Mont.) and Sen. TED CRUZ (R-Texas) after they voted against aid to Israel, Jewish Insider’s Marc Rod reports. But it’s not un-endorsing Perry. JUDICIARY SQUARE INSIDE THE DECISION — Justice SAMUEL ALITO’s decision in a South Carolina redistricting case yesterday didn’t just close the door on a challenge to GOP Rep. NANCY MACE’s district. “It also set a high bar for determining when a map can be considered a racial gerrymander, rather than a partisan one,” which could bolster Republicans across the country, WaPo’s Patrick Marley, Ann Marimow and Justin Jouvenal note. Meanwhile, a week after the 70th anniversary of Brown v. Board of Education, Justice CLARENCE THOMAS wrote a concurrence criticizing that decision’s remedial scope for having stepped beyond the court’s authority, Axios’ Russell Contreras notes. FLYING THE FLAG — “Republican senators defend Alito over second controversial flag,” by CNN’s Morgan Rimmer and Manu Raju … “Lawmakers Dial Up Pressure on Alito to Recuse From Elections Cases,” by NYT’s Zach Montague
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|  CIA Director William Burns will soon head back to Europe to try to jump-start cease-fire negotiations between Israel and Hamas. | Francis Chung/POLITICO | MIDDLE EAST LATEST — The Biden administration is renewing efforts on a number of fronts to tamp down the Israel-Hamas war and plan for peace. Weeks after the last attempt at a cease-fire and hostage release deal stalled, CIA Director WILLIAM BURNS will soon head back to Europe to try to jump-start negotiations, CNN’s Alex Marquardt reports. Though the floating humanitarian aid pier has grappled with a “logistical nightmare,” as NYT’s Helene Cooper and Adam Rasgon recount, assistance is now finally starting to flow — more than 500 metric tons so far, CNN’s Jennifer Hansler, Natasha Bertrand, Haley Britzky and Oren Liebermann report. And as U.S. officials discuss the post-war future, they’re considering tapping an American civilian adviser who would help guide a Palestinian peacekeeping force from afar, Alex Ward reports. It’s a signal “that the Biden administration expects to be at the center of what happens to Gaza long after the guns go quiet.” But fundamentally, the conflict is raging on — and Israel’s murky, partial ground invasion of Rafah places the White House in a strange spot. WaPo’s Karen DeYoung, John Hudson and Missy Ryan report that even though Biden has deemed the incursion “limited” and therefore not a violation of the “red line” he laid out, “humanitarian organizations on the ground say the administration is simply refusing to acknowledge what it doesn’t want to see.” On the Hill: Johnson indicated last night that Congress will host a joint session for an address from Israeli PM BENJAMIN NETANYAHU, the most definitive he’s been on that point yet. More from Reuters … As bipartisan Senate negotiators haggle over a response to the International Criminal Court seeking an arrest warrant for Netanyahu, one idea on the table is cutting funding for ICC programs, Axios’ Stephen Neukam and Barak Ravid report. That could amount to a softer approach than sanctions, or operate in concert with them. TV TONIGHT — PBS’ “Washington Week”: Josh Gerstein, Mara Liasson, Ed O’Keefe and Nancy Youssef. SUNDAY SO FAR … NBC “Meet the Press,” with a special edition on threats to democracy: Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, Arizona Secretary of State Adrian Fontes and Pennsylvania Secretary of State Al Schmidt … Renee DiResta and Anne Applebaum … Peter Baker, Evelyn Farkas, Ben Ginsberg and Amna Nawaz. CBS “Face the Nation”: Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg … Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) … Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-Texas) … Rep. Pat Ryan (D-N.Y.) … Rep. Michael Waltz (R-Fla.). CNN “State of the Union”: Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) … Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz. Panel: Scott Jennings, Rahna Epting, Shermichael Singleton and Kate Bedingfield. NewsNation “The Hill Sunday”: Rep. Madeleine Dean (D-Pa.) … Reps. Jason Crow (D-Colo.) and Steve Womack (R-Ark.). Panel: David Swerdlick, Megan McArdle and Mychael Schnell. MSNBC “The Sunday Show”: Oregon state Rep. Janelle Bynum … Mini Timmaraju … Jon Meacham. FOX “Fox News Sunday”: Rep. Byron Donalds (R-Fla.). Legal panel: Andy McCarthy and Trey Gowdy. Panel: Stef Kight, Mollie Hemingway, Howard Kurtz and David Tafuri. Sunday special: Ryan Manion.
| | | | YOUR GUIDE TO EMPIRE STATE POLITICS: From the newsroom that doesn’t sleep, POLITICO's New York Playbook is the ultimate guide for power players navigating the intricate landscape of Empire State politics. Stay ahead of the curve with the latest and most important stories from Albany, New York City and around the state, with in-depth, original reporting to stay ahead of policy trends and political developments. Subscribe now to keep up with the daily hustle and bustle of NY politics. | | | | | | | PLAYBOOKERS | | Barack Obama crashed the state dinner. Jon Lovett will be on the next season of “Survivor.” (Note to our editors: We are ready and willing to launch a Survivor Playbook.) Simon Rosenberg got Isaac Chotinered. Dwight Evans had a minor stroke. Marilyn Mosby will avoid prison time. Rashida Tlaib’s staffer could use some media training. ON THE LIST — Notable names at last night’s state dinner for Kenyan President William Ruto included Barack Obama, Bill and Hillary Clinton, LeVar Burton, Bill Frist, Roger Goodell, Lester Holt, Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson, Barbara Kingsolver, Adam Silver, Al Sharpton, Gayle King, Alex Soros, Wilmer Valderrama, Sean Penn, Brad Paisley, Melinda French Gates, Hunter Biden, Don McLean, Sheryl Sandberg, and tons of members of Congress, governors and Cabinet members. The full list OUT AND ABOUT — Meghan McCain and Ben Domenech hosted a party for Tulsi Gabbard’s new book, “For Love of Country” ($29.99) in Alexandria. SPOTTED: Rep. Jason Smith (R-Mo.), Vanessa and Steven Santos, Dylan Colligan, Jamie Kirchick, Mary Katharine Ham, Brianna Herlihy, Kyle Rogers, Nikki Schwab, Emily Domenech, Jessica Reed Kraus, Bethany Mandel, Harris Faulkner, Mark Halperin, Mary Margaret Olohan, Rick Klein, Scott Taylor and Robby Soave. FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — The DNC is announcing a new batch of senior comms hires: Abhi Rahman as deputy comms director, Maddy Mundy as states comms deputy director, Emilia Rowland as national press secretary and Cameron Niven, Adeline Toevs, Stephanie Justice and Jackie Bush as regional press secretaries. MEDIA MOVE — Masha Gessen is joining the NYT as an opinion columnist, writing as M. Gessen. They most recently have been a staff writer at The New Yorker. TRANSITIONS — Sarah Williams is now director of political advocacy at the Federation of American Hospitals. She previously was senior manager of voter education at the American Bankers Association. … Ryan Donnelly is now public policy and issues leader at Dow. He previously was a legislative assistant for Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.). … Greg Manz is now comms director for the Michigan House Republican Campaign Committee. He most recently was managing principal at Wytherson Media and is a Trump campaign and Steve Bannon alum. WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Marcus Sebastian Mason, senior partner at the Madison Group, and Christina Mary Mason, a principal at Bennett Ridge Consulting, welcomed Margaret Rose Mason and John Henry Mason V on May 11. She came in at 6 lbs, 6 oz and 19 1/4 inches, and he came in at 5 lbs, 6 oz and 18 1/4 inches. Pic HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Reps. Steve Cohen (D-Tenn.) and Doug Lamborn (R-Colo.) (7-0) … Kasie Hunt ... former Rep. Charlie Dent (R-Pa.) ... Rory Cooper of Teneo … Eric Schwerin … NPR’s Tom Bowman ... Mark Bescher of Mondelēz International ... Signal Group’s Chelsea Koski ... Molly Goldberg … Craig Singleton … Ben Mullany of Rep. John Joyce’s (R-Pa.) office … National Endowment for Democracy’s Damon Wilson … Bob Franken … former Connecticut Gov. John Rowland … Meredith Ritchie … Fred DuVal ... Bloomberg’s Alisa Parenti ... Rana Abtar … POLITICO’s Sophie Blaylock … Nick Baumann … Giulia DiGuglielmo of Rep. Darrell Issa’s (R-Calif.) office … Ryan Dukeman Did someone forward this email to you? Sign up here. Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com or text us at 202-556-3307. Playbook couldn’t happen without our editor Mike DeBonis, deputy editor Zack Stanton and Playbook Daily Briefing producer Callan Tansill-Suddath. Correction: Yesterday’s Playbook misspelled Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose’s name.
| | | | A message from INVEST IN OUR LAND: America is strongest when our farmers thrive. That's why Congress made a historic $20B investment in 2022 to support conservation practices that help strengthen farmer livelihoods and mitigate the effects of extreme weather on cropland.
Now, these funds are at risk in the Farm Bill. Some want to direct them toward practices that have proven less effective at helping farmers build resilience against extreme weather and grow healthy soils through climate-smart farming.
We need to ensure our farmers have the tools they need to weather these storms — so they can feed America and keep farming viable for the next generation. Learn more at InvestInOurLand.org. | | | | | | | Follow us on Twitter | | | | Subscribe to the POLITICO Playbook family Playbook | Playbook PM | California Playbook | Florida Playbook | Illinois Playbook | Massachusetts Playbook | New Jersey Playbook | New York Playbook | Ottawa Playbook | Brussels Playbook | London Playbook View all our political and policy newsletters | | Follow us | | | | |
