Biden crisis makes for GOP’s ‘ideal convention’

An evening recap of the action on Capitol Hill and preview of the day ahead
Jul 12, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO Inside Congress

By Anthony Adragna

With assists from POLITICO’s Congress team

Sen. Marco Rubio is seen at Georgia Tech's McCamish Pavilion.

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) says making the GOP conference about Democratic struggles with Joe Biden would "probably be the ideal convention." | Francis Chung/POLITICO

FEWER EYES ON THE GOP CONVENTION — AND THAT’S OKAY?

Republicans know the internal Democratic squabbling over whether President Joe Biden should remain their standard bearer will likely overshadow their convention next week. They’re pretty happy about that.

“If you can make your convention about the other party being dysfunctional, that's probably the ideal convention,” Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), who is on the short list for former President Donald Trump’s vice presidential pick, told Inside Congress on Thursday.

Eighteen Hill Democrats have now called on Biden to stand down from reelection, including three following his largely-steady Thursday press conference and another two on Friday. Even with both chambers out of Washington, expect those internal divisions to continue next week.

“With everything going on right now, America needs to see some unification,” said Rep. Kevin Hern (R-Okla.), chair of the Republican Study Committee. “Republicans are very unified right now going into the convention, unlike the Democrats who are in complete disarray. It’s a great time to be a Republican.”

It’s a surprising turn of events for a party that has spent the last year squabbling over not only their party nominee, but also their congressional and party leaders. Republicans will try to portray Trump as a unifying candidate, with nearly a half-dozen GOP lawmakers using the word “kumbaya” as a descriptor for their convention. There’s no guarantee that effort will be successful, but Biden’s problems have provided an opening.

Among the convention’s confirmed speakers are Kanye West’s ex Amber Rose, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and the mayor of East Palestine, Ohio.

“You'll see people that are in some ways unexpected or even unusual for a Republican convention, but it reflects, I think, the real energy that exists in the party,” said J.D. Vance (R-Ohio), another finalist for Trump’s VP.

And if the Democrats battling it out over Biden’s future overshadows the proceedings, many Republicans are perfectly content to let that happen — even as some warn against the party becoming complacent about its prospects this fall.

“I always caution: We were cocky when it came out that Bill Clinton was a draft dodger, and he ended up winning — so I would tell people they need to get to work,” said Rep. Tim Burchett (R-Tenn.). “Now's the time to pour the gas on.”

— Anthony Adragna

 

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GOOD EVENING! Welcome to Inside Congress, the play-by-play guide to all things Capitol Hill, on this Friday, July 12 where we celebrate the ability to move throughout downtown D.C. (a bit) more easily again.

UPDATE: HOUSE GOP’S SPENDING GOALS LOOKING TOUGHER

Stop us if you’ve heard this before, but House Republicans are looking at a painful couple of weeks on spending.

Passing a dozen of their government funding bills before August recess was always going to be tough, especially during the last two weeks of July, when GOP leaders want to pass seven of their fiscal 2025 spending measures. But the surprise collapse of Republicans’ $7 billion bill for parts of the legislative branch on Thursday, which should have been an easy win, injects so much more uncertainty into what was already an incredibly ambitious push.

When the House returns from its week-long break, Republicans are eyeing floor action on their Agriculture-FDA, Interior-Environment, Energy-Water and Financial Services bills. The remaining measures certainly present more pitfalls than the comparatively tiny Legislative Branch bill. Unpopular agriculture cuts and cannabis banking issues, among other things, could cause major headaches during the week of July 22.

That leaves three of the hardest fiscal 2025 funding bills for last: Commerce-Justice-Science, Transportation-HUD and Labor-HHS-Education are all potentially leftover for the week of July 29, standing between House GOP leaders and August recess.

The CJS bill lacks any of the provisions demanded by conservatives to target the prosecutors going after Trump, while proposing cuts that Democrats are already weaponizing as defunding law enforcement. Labor-H and THUD are also sure to cause discomfort within the GOP conference, thanks to steep cuts to Title I funds for schools that serve low-income students and slicing to popular infrastructure programs, among myriad other issues.

— Caitlin Emma  

A CENTRIST GOP SENATOR’S PLEA TO BIDEN

Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) has said she can’t vote for Trump or Biden. But she has a direct plea to the incumbent — and it sounds like one many of his fellow Democrats have made.

“As a president — and as a person and one who loves his country deeply — he should be thinking about his country first and not his own personal ambition, the desire to ‘see this thing through,’” she told Inside Congress on Thursday, before Biden’s press conference. “For the good of the country, be the patriot that we know you are.”

Murkowski, one of the most centrist members of Congress, said the U.S. is “just in such a bad place right now” and “most people in this country are very worried about the two choices that we have. It gives me no degree of comfort to be able to say I told you so, but I feel like that’s kind of where we are.”

She jokingly said she’d been pushing Sen. Joe Manchin (I-Vt.) to revisit his oft-dangled centrist third-party bid for the presidency: “I keep bugging him about it. He hasn't changed his mind.”

— Anthony Adragna

 

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HUDDLE HOTDISH

Some excellent news: Amy Klobuchar shared that she is cancer-free.

French Hill and Russell Fry teamed up for a very special National French Fry day.

Markwayne Mullin is on the mend after a “minor emergency medical procedure” this week.

QUICK LINKS 

Kamala Harris is even less popular among Texans than Joe Biden, poll shows, from Juan Salinas II in The Texas Tribune

‘It’s Like Being Liberated’: Republicans Bask in the Glow of a Democratic Meltdown, from Ben Jacobs

‘Gold Bar’ Bob Menendez sings Josh Groban to keep spirits up as jury in corruption trial are set to begin deliberating, from Isabel Vincent at The New York Post

Hawaii isn’t protected by NATO. Some senators are trying to change that, from Bryan Pietsch at The Washington Post

House Dem tells Biden directly: Time for someone else to lead from Nick and Sarah

TRANSITIONS 

Anthony Pileggi is joining Strategic Partners & Media as a partner. He most recently was a partner at Guidant Polling and Strategy, and is an IMGE and Elise Stefanik alum.

TOMORROW IN CONGRESS

The House is out.

The Senate is out.

MONDAY AROUND THE HILL

11:15 a.m. — Senate pro forma session

2 p.m. — House pro forma session

Trivia

THURSDAY’S ANSWER: Glen Peterson was first to identify former Rep. William Walsh (R-N.Y.) as the former mayor of “Salt City” whose grandson is the current mayor of Syracuse, Ben Walsh.

TODAY’S QUESTION, from Glen: Who served as governor seven times in a state? (Hint: He was the first *ever* governor of this state.)

The first person to correctly guess gets a mention in the next edition of Inside Congress. Send your answers to insidecongress@politico.com.

GET INSIDE CONGRESS emailed to your phone each evening.

 

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