Forecasting the future in the Hudson Valley

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Oct 18, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Jason Beeferman

Matt Slater at the Yorktown Coach Diner

Republican Assemblymember Matt Slater is poised to follow Rep. Mike Lawler's path to a higher office. | Jason Beeferman/POLITICO

WELCOME TO SLATER COUNTRY: Assemblymember Matt Slater, 38, seems to be good at this politician thing.

On a Wednesday September morning, the Hudson Valley assemblyman walks into the Yorktown Coach Diner. He’s sporting a black vest prominently displaying the words “MATT SLATER – ASSEMBLYMAN,” a belt with about a dozen American flags and a perfectly neat comb over.

He’s making his way to his table, but he’s struggling to get there.

How’s your mother?... Good to see youHow’s things?” he says, stopping to shake hands and greet seemingly everyone he walks by.

“They got the best disco fries around,” the Republican tells Playbook. “This is home for me.” (Minutes later, he’ll spring up to help a senior citizen pick up a dropped newspaper).

Slate represents the Hudson Valley communities of Carmel, Brewster and Yorktown in the Assembly — a safe district for the GOP, which commands a near powerless minority in the state Legislature’s lower chamber. But it’s clear he is positioning himself for broader appeal.

He’s been endorsed by the teachers union, the New York League of Conservation Voters, and the AFL-CIO — all while keeping a 95 percent rating with the Conservative Party. (“Not that many people can say that,” he said).

And yes, he’s voting for former President Donald Trump, but he isn’t interested in talking much about it: “The Trump thing I’m a little sensitive to,” he told Playbook at the end of the interview. “The presidential race, I try not to talk about it.” (Slater serves in the Navy Reserves, and says his military service obliges him to stay far away from presidential politics. “If I wasn't in the military, I don't think it would matter.”)

While Trump won the Assembly district with 54 percent of the vote in 2020, Slater’s hesitance to associate with the former president may fare well for him if he attempts to seek higher office.

Though Slater may not be well known outside his district, he embodies the same moderate, youthful streak that helped his fellow 38-year-old Hudson Valley Republican Mike Lawler win a battleground congressional seat.

It’s already hard to think about Slater without thinking about Lawler, who has already teased interest in a run for governor in 2025.

Should Lawler — who is defending his battleground seat from Democrat Mondaire Jones — run for governor, the 17th congressional seat will be open for another Republican bidder.

And Slater is well-positioned for it.

“For Matt, the sky's the limit,” Lawler said. “He has great potential to run for anything he wants, whether it be the state Legislature or congress or otherwise.”

Ed Cox, the head of the state GOP, agreed: “He’s a rising star with a bright future.”

Meanwhile Zack Couzens, a 21-year-old Boston College student challenging Slater for his Assembly seat this November, told Playbook he hoped to show voters Slater’s policy stances — like his opposition to the Equal Rights Amendment ballot proposition — reveal he’s not as moderate as he may purport to be.


“I want to be able to draw attention that Matt is not the bipartisan, kind of both sides guy that he might pin himself to be, but in reality he's just another Republican that really just votes the same ways and has a looser relationship with how he presents his own record,” Couzens said.


Slater, who was raised by his mother and grandmother in Yorktown before becoming its town supervisor, said he is focused on his work in the Assembly for the time being. But he wouldn’t rule out a future as Lawler’s successor.

“Listen, opportunities come, right?” Slater said. — Jason Beeferman

From The Campaign Trail

Rep. Elise Stefanik speaks to the press ahead of the vice presidential candidate debate.

North Country Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik will campaign with Rep. Marc Molinaro on Saturday. | Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: House GOP Conference Chair Elise Stefanik will campaign Saturday with vulnerable first-term Republican Rep. Marc Molinaro.

The race for the Hudson Valley swing seat is one of the five House districts New York Democrats are trying to flip to win control of the chamber.

The stakes of the House race have made it one of the most expensive in the country — and Stefanik has deemed it a priority.

Molinaro faces Democrat Josh Riley in a rematch of their tight race from 2022.

“He’ll be speaking directly with voters on his record of success and putting New Yorkers first in Congress in contrast to the open-border, New York LAST agenda of Downstate Radical Josh Riley,” Stefanik’s team wrote in an email.

Polling in the race has been scarce, but a survey this week conducted by the Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group for Riley’s campaign found him in a close race with Molinaro. The Democrat drew 48 percent of support to Molinaro’s 45 percent — a result that’s within a 3.5 percent margin of error.

“After a week of headlines blasting Molinaro for going to Washington and joining the far right, now he’s bringing the far right back here to upstate New York,” said Riley campaign manager Daniel Fleiss. “Stefanik has pledged millions to bail out Molinaro because she knows he’ll be a reliable vote to ban abortion nationwide and slash the Social Security and Medicare our seniors have earned. At least Molinaro is finally being honest about where his loyalties to extremism lie.”— Nick Reisman

TONIGHT’S GOP GALA: A host of New York Republican leaders will gather tonight in Buffalo for a black-tie affair honoring former state Attorney General Dennis Vacco — and a topic of conversation, naturally, is how to make the conventionally blue Empire State a battleground as Donald Trump has urged.

Rep. Nick Langworthy, state Senate Minority Leader Rob Ortt and Assembly Minority Leader Will Barclay are set to be among the honored guests with Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman delivering the keynote address at the Erie County GOP-hosted dinner.

Republicans see momentum even two years after Lee Zeldin nearly defeated Gov. Kathy Hochul, Blakeman told Playbook.

“This state is ready for a big change, because the common everyday working family is very concerned about inflation, they don’t want migrants in their community using their resources,” Blakeman said. “I think that there is a message out there, and there are issues that resonate with the public that are pro-Republican issues.” Emily Ngo

FROM CITY HALL

Alex Spiro, left, attorney for New York City Mayor Eric Adams, right, speaks outside Manhattan federal court after Adams pled not guilty to federal bribery charges, Friday, Sept. 27, 2024, in New York. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)

Prosecutors filed arguments opposing a motion from Mayor Eric Adams' lawyer, Alex Spiro, that sought to dismiss one of the charges against Adams. | AP

NOT SO FAST: Federal prosecutors submitted a new filing today seeking to keep the corruption case against Mayor Eric Adams on track.

Adams’ lawyer, attorney-to-the-stars Alex Spiro, filed a motion last month to dismiss one of the indictment’s charges, which alleges the mayor accepted bribes from Turkish officials and others in exchange for greasing the wheels of a midtown development project.

In their opposition to that motion filed today, prosecutors argued Spiro used erroneous arguments — such as alleging the indictment was not specific enough — to try to persuade the judge to toss the allegation.

“The defendant’s contrary arguments mischaracterize the Indictment, the case law, and often both,” Damian Williams, the U.S. attorney for the Southern District in New York, wrote in the brief.

A federal judge will now mull over the opposing views before making a decision on whether to keep the case intact or weaken it severely. Joe Anuta

FROM THE CAPITOL

Gov. Kathy Hochul campaigns in Muskegon, Michigan.

Gov. Kathy Hochul campaigns in Muskegon, Michigan. | Friends for Kathy Hochul

HOCHUL BRINGS BAGELS TO MICHIGAN: Gov. Kathy Hochul is bringing both sides of the Empire State with her to Michigan as she stumps for the Democratic Harris-Walz ticket 17 days out from the election

“What's a New Yorker doing here?,” Hochul asked supporters. “This looks like my hometown. I’m from Western New York and I feel close to people in this community: hard working Americans whose families came here and struggled. Many worked in the factories, manufacturing. You work so hard, just like the place I come from.”

But she represented downstate too by bringing Manhattan bagels on the campaign trail as she traversed Grand Rapids and Muskegon, where she met with small business owners and rallied supporters.

Her presence in the swing state — where she was joined by fellow Democratic Governors Tony Evers, Wes Moore, Gretchen Whitmer, Josh Shapiro, Maura Healey for a Blue Wall bus tour — comes as Hochul organizes a fierce election battle at home.

She’s made winning in New York’s battleground congressional districts a priority for the state party, but she hasn’t made public stops on the campaign trail with those candidates yet. Jason Beeferman

IN OTHER NEWS...

A PREACHER’S PAYMENT: Western New York Assemblymember David DiPietro gave campaign funds to a preacher who chided 9/11 victims, muslims and the Virgin Mary. (Buffalo News)

TRUMP DEFENDS ADAMS: The former president said the mayor and he were both being “persecuted” by the federal justice system. ( The New York Times)

WHERE'S EVERYBODY GOING?: Here are the top states former New Yorkers chose to move to. (Times Union)

Missed this morning’s New York Playbook? We forgive you. Read it here.

 

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