Scoop: Dem House candidates see massive money spike

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Oct 08, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Lindsey Holden

Former Assemblymember Adam Gray talks to Jacqui Irwin at her desk in the California Assembly.

Former Assemblymember Adam Gray. | Rich Pedroncelli/AP

CASH COW: Democratic House candidates in competitive California districts have raked in millions in campaign contributions through the summer and early fall, in some cases increasing their fundraising by more than 100 percent from the second to third quarter, according to internal figures.

The numbers the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee shared exclusively with Playbook show fundraising ramping up over the past few months as the battle for seats that could determine the balance of Congress hits a fever pitch.

The jump is most pronounced in the Central Valley, where Democrat Adam Gray is challenging Republican Rep. John Duarte, and in Southern California, where Democrat George Whitesides is trying to oust GOP Rep. Mike Garcia.

“Voters can clearly see that these vulnerable Republicans are merely far-right enablers who are wasting taxpayers’ dime advocating on behalf of Donald Trump’s Project 2025 agenda rather than for their communities,” said Dan Gottlieb, a DCCC spokesperson, in a statement. “Californians are ready to route the House majority right through their state.”

The committee did not share cash on hand numbers, and Federal Election Commission campaign finance filings are not due until Oct. 15.

The National Republican Congressional Committee did not provide third quarter numbers for California GOP candidates. But, according to a Playbook analysis, Democrats had been solidly outraising Republicans in all the state’s closest House races during the previous quarter.

An NRCC spokesperson said the GOP is also drawing signifcant donor dollars.

“California House Republicans have posted impressive fundraising totals this cycle powered by broad enthusiasm for their work to fight inflation, the border crisis and crime," said NRCC's Ben Petersen. "Extreme Democrats sell out California families at every turn because the cash they get from Newsom, Pelosi and radical soft-on-crime donors comes with strings attached.”

Here’s the fundraising breakdown for the tightest congressional battles we’re watching.

District 13: Rep. John Duarte (R) vs. Adam Gray (D)

Gray has increased his fundraising the most of any swing-district Democrat, taking in $2.2 million during the third quarter. That means he’s up nearly 122 percent from the last filing period, when he raised almost $992,000.

Gray — who’s trying to flip this Central Valley seat — already had a big cash advantage over Duarte, who had raised nearly $463,000 last quarter.

District 22: Rep. David Valadao (R) vs. Rudy Salas (D)

In the other Central Valley showdown, Democratic challenger Salas improved his quarter-over-quarter takings by about 61 percent, raising $2.1 million.

Incumbent Valadao had about $615,000 in receipts during the last filing period, trailing Salas’ $1.3 million.

District 27: Rep. Mike Garcia (R) vs. George Whitesides (D)

Whitesides — who’s challenging a vulnerable Garcia for this north Los Angeles County seat — boosted his fundraising by nearly 92 percent from the last filing period.

He took in $2.8 million, up from nearly $1.5 million during the previous quarter. Garcia was lagging behind in Q2 with about $731,000 in receipts.

District 45: Rep. Michelle Steel (R) vs. Derek Tran (D)

This tight Orange County race features the closest fundraising match-up. Last quarter, Tran took in nearly $1.3 million, besting Steel by only about $242,000.

Tran increased his receipts by almost 55 percent quarter-over-quarter, taking in $2 million during this latest filing period.

District 41: Rep. Ken Calvert (R) vs. Will Rollins (D)

Challenger Rollins raised the most of any swing Democrat this quarter, pulling in a staggering $3.6 million in his quest to unseat Riverside County Rep. Calvert.

That’s a nearly 62 percent jump from the last filing period, when the former federal prosecutor took in about $2.2 million. Calvert trailed by nearly $848,000 during the previous quarter.

District 47: State Sen. Dave Min (D) vs. Scott Baugh (R)

In the race to fill Rep. Katie Porter’s open Orange County seat, Min raked in $2 million during the last filing period, besting his previous receipts by about 45 percent.

He raised almost $1.4 million then, beating Baugh by nearly $838,000.

— with help from Melanie Mason

IT’S TUESDAY AFTERNOON. This is California Playbook PM, a POLITICO newsletter that serves as an afternoon temperature check on California politics and a look at what our policy reporters are watching. Got tips or suggestions? Shoot an email to lholden@politico.com.

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW TODAY

Tim Walz takes a photo with Fiona Ma and Eleni Kounalakis

California Treasurer Fiona Ma takes a selfie with Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis and Vice Presidential nominee Tim Walz, who arrived at the Sacramento International Airport on Tuesday, Oct. 8, 2024, to attend a fundraiser hosted by Gov. Gavin Newsom. | Lara Korte/POLITICO

A WARM WALZ WELCOME: Democratic Vice Presidential nominee Tim Walz touched down in Sacramento this afternoon during his swing through the west.

Coming from Seattle, the Minnesota governor was greeted on the Sacramento International Airport tarmac by Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis, Treasurer Fiona Ma, Rep. Doris Matsui and Sacramento Mayor Darrell Steinberg.

The VP pick exchanged brief interactions with the officials — including a selfie with Ma and Kounalakis — before driving away in a motorcade. He’s heading to a fundraiser hosted by Gov. Gavin Newsom. — Lara Korte

ON THE BEATS

U.S. Health Secretary Xavier Becerra speaks to participants during a conversation with local patients and providers who have been impacted by Idaho's abortion restrictions held at the Linen Building in Boise, Idaho, Wednesday, June 26, 2024.

Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra declined say whether he wants to stay in the cabinet if Vice President Kamala Harris wins the presidential election. | Kyle Green/AP

LIPS SEALED: Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra at a media availability today declined to say whether he wants to stay in the cabinet if Vice President Kamala Harris wins the presidential election. But he did spend considerable time lathering praise on his home state of California, where he has considered running for governor in 2026.

“We are fortunate to have California because California, at the federal level, is truly innovative, in fact, pushes the envelope — sometimes pushes too hard and makes it tough for the federal government because not everybody can keep pace with California,” Becerra told reporters in Sacramento, where he was attending an event on aging.

The outcome of the election could easily determine Becerra’s near-term political future. In the event of Harris’ victory, there could be pressure on him to stay in Washington, particularly if Republicans win control of the Senate and refuse to confirm new appointees. But if she loses, that would force the secretary to find a new job.

Becerra made no mention of those scenarios during the gaggle, speaking instead on ableism, the Biden administration’s work on housing issues — and the importance of a state he may attempt to govern.

“California punches at a very high weight class, and thank God it does,” Becerra said, “because so much of the policy that you see now at the federal level that's starting to surface really comes from places like California.” — Blake Jones

SUING SOCIAL MEDIA: Attorneys general for 13 states and the District of Columbia — including California — filed suit today against TikTok, claiming the platform is harming youth mental and physical health, our Ruth Reader reports.

“Young people are struggling with their mental health because of addictive social media platforms like TikTok,” said New York Attorney General Letitia James in a statement. “TikTok claims that their platform is safe for young people, but that is far from true.”

James and California’s Rob Bonta, both Democrats, led the legal effort — but the roster of state AGs that filed against the platform is bipartisan and includes Illinois, Kentucky, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Mississippi, New Jersey, North Carolina, Oregon, South Carolina, Vermont, Washington state and D.C.

The states cited “dangerous” features that TikTok uses to keep kids engaged, including frequent notifications, video that streams endlessly and beauty filters that stoke negative social comparison.

POLITICO Pro subscribers can read more here.

WHAT WE'RE READING TODAY

— There’s an overlooked voting demographic that could be a huge opportunity for Democrats. (POLITICO)

— U.S. disaster response programs are teetering. Hurricane Milton could topple them. (POLITICO)

— Media giant Hearst is partnering with OpenAI to integrate artificial intelligence with its U.S. newspaper and magazine content. (San Francisco Chronicle)

AROUND THE STATE

— A company that supplies thousands of immigrant tech workers to Silicon Valley discriminated against non-Indians, a jury found last week. (The Mercury News)

— New polling shows incumbent George Gascón trails Nathan Hochman by 30 percentage points in the race for Los Angeles County district attorney. (Los Angeles Times)

— Can Shasta County heal from political extremism that divided residents and derailed local government meetings? (The Guardian)

— compiled by Tyler Katzenberger

 

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