Sheng Thao’s last stand

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Oct 16, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Tyler Katzenberger and Lindsey Holden

Oakland Mayor Sheng Thao looks on during a press conference.

Oakland Mayor Sheng Thao is facing a recall effort from detractors, who argue new leadership is needed to curb the city's problems. | Francis Chung/POLITICO via AP Images

This Q&A is part of a series of interviews with California’s “other” big-city mayors — those who lead communities that are often overshadowed by the state’s power centers like San Francisco and Los Angeles.

HAIL MARY: Sheng Thao’s political life is on the Oakland ballot this November. She’s not going down without a fight.

Voters will decide next month whether to recall the embattled mayor, a push bankrolled by hundreds of thousands of dollars from investment manager Philip Dreyfuss and endorsed by Oakland’s police union, the local NAACP chapter and a local newspaper . Her detractors argue new leadership is needed to curb public safety issues, reverse a recent string of business closures and address the city’s financial woes.

Former NFL star Marshawn Lynch has already hinted he might run in a special election to replace her. But Thao is hoping to turn the tide with a last-minute pitch to voters, arguing that crime is down, foot traffic on city streets is up and Oakland is turning a corner in its fight to revive businesses kneecapped by the pandemic.

“I welcome anyone who loves Oakland and who lives in Oakland to run against me in 2026, after I beat this recall,” she told Playbook. “But the truth is, I'm going beast mode for Oakland right now.”

Playbook sat down with Thao, who leads a city of approximately 430,000 people, to discuss her approach to its crime and financial problems — and the recall fight.

This interview has been edited for length and clarity.

Do you think Oakland is facing a public safety crisis?

We were facing a public safety crisis. Coming into office, crime was on the rise. I know that a lot of the naysayers would say, “Oh, well, crime was only on the rise because you fired then-Chief LeRonne Armstrong.” That is not a fact at all. We inherited the crime rates.

Kaiser Permanente helped fund an audit that shows there is a direct correlation between when the cease-fire strategy (a gun violence prevention strategy that targets gangs) was sunsetted by Armstrong back in 2019 [and when] he implemented his Violent Crime Operations Center. Crime started to spike up because this was a reactionary approach. Our ceasefire strategy is a proactive approach.

We immediately implemented the cease-fire strategy … Now we're seeing that Oakland is on track to have less than 100 homicides this year. That hasn't happened since 2019. It's not good enough, and we're going to continue to move on this. But this is our first year of reimplementing the strategy to its full fidelity, and we're already seeing that it is working.

A recent San Francisco Chronicle report found that Alameda County District Attorney Pamela Price’s office missed filing deadlines for about 1,000 misdemeanor cases. Can your crime-reduction policies succeed if she continues as district attorney?

I haven't read that article. What I can tell you is every single government entity and arm needs to be in play in order for this all to work.

If one arm isn't working, then the whole system is not going to work. In Oakland, officers and myself, we are frustrated. A lot of the people we apprehend who are very dangerous — and we have evidence to show they're dangerous — come right out of Santa Rita jail within three days, within two days.

Do you think that California should make any reforms to its recall process for local officials?

There's so much reform that should happen … Referencing the recall that I'm going through right now: You have a person who doesn't even live in the city who spent over $600,000 to gather 25,000 signatures. The people who are gathering signatures live outside of the city, live outside of the state.

I believe that those who are gathering signatures should be the ones that are living in that city. They shouldn't be able to recruit people from Florida, a more red state, to come out here and express their opinions around what we in Oakland are doing or not doing.

(Editor’s note: Thao's campaign was unable to provide direct evidence that Florida residents collected recall signatures in Oakland.)

How will you regain trust with the community groups that have supported your recall, should you remain in office?

I am the mayor for everyone. I've always asked them to come to the table. I've reached out to the folks that are running the recall, but they refused to meet with me.

I stand by all the decisions that I've made. I'm not here to just represent one group of people or one person, nor myself. I'm here to make sure that the city is working for the majority of the people in Oakland.

Read Tyler’s full interview with Thao here.

IT’S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. This is California Playbook PM, a POLITICO newsletter that serves as an afternoon temperature check on California politics and a look at what our policy reporters are watching. Got tips or suggestions? Shoot an email to lholden@politico.com.

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW TODAY

Elon Musk speaks at a microphone.

The SpaceX owner Elon Musk sued the California Coastal Commission over its rejection of his company’s plan to launch more rockets from a Santa Barbara County Air Force base. | Alex Brandon/AP

TOUGH CROWD: Add Elon Musk to the list of celebrities feuding with the California Coastal Commission.

The SpaceX owner on Tuesday sued the state agency over its rejection of an Air Force plan to give his company permission to launch more rockets from a Santa Barbara County military base, our Alex Nieves reported today.

Musk’s lawsuit says the body “engaged in naked political discrimination” while discussing the rocket launch expansion, which it voted 6-4 to reject.

Some commissioners opposed the plan after making comments about Musk’s behavior.

“Elon Musk is hopping about the country, spewing and tweeting political falsehoods and attacking FEMA while claiming his desire to help the hurricane victims with free Starlink access to the internet,” said commissioner Gretchen Newsom, who isn’t related to Gov. Gavin Newsom.

Musk joins a group of famous people — including Hollywood producer David Geffen and U2 guitarist The Edgewho’ve fought with the commission over issues such as coastal construction and beach access.

“Many have tried to bend the commission in order to favor the wealthy and the powerful and have failed,” said Warner Chabot, executive director of the San Francisco Estuary Institute, an environmental research group that studies aquatic ecosystems.

From The Campaign Trail

Vice President Kamala Harris stands at a microphone to speak.

Vice President Kamala Harris declined to take a position on Proposition 36, California's tough-on-crime ballot measure. | Jacquelyn Martin/AP

PASS ON 36: Kamala Harris is steering clear of California’s divisive tough-on-crime measure, Proposition 36.

“I've not voted yet and I've actually not read it yet, but I'll let you know,” the vice president told reporters on the campaign trail today when asked whether she supports the prosecutor-led ballot measure to increase penalties for certain drug and theft crimes.

Harris also distanced herself from one of California’s biggest criminal justice debates — the 2014 ballot measure at the heart of Prop 36 — when she was the state’s attorney general.

A decade ago, she refused to weigh in on Proposition 47, which reduced penalties for some theft and drug crimes. She said at the time that taking a position would be inappropriate because she was tasked with writing the official titles and summaries for Prop 47 and other California ballot measures in her role as attorney general.

MCCARTHY TO THE RESCUE: Former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s political action committee is jumping into a handful of highly competitive congressional races, including two in his home state.

As our own Lara Korte and Ally Mutnick reported today, the Strategic Majority PAC has spent at least $800,000 to support Central Valley GOP Rep. David Valadao and Republicans in two other races. The PAC is expected to also help California Rep. Ken Calvert in the final stretch, along with four other Republicans around the country.

McCarthy’s PAC has bought at least $154,000 of ad time in his local Bakersfield market to back Valadao as of today, according to ad tracker AdImpact.

McCarthy’s help will definitely be welcome in California, where Democrats are trouncing GOP candidates in fundraising. Calvert pulled in nearly $1.5 million from July through September, lagging far behind his Democratic opponent Will Rollins’ whopping $3.7 million in third-quarter receipts.

Valadao, who is defending his Central Valley seat, took in about $927,500 during the same three-month period, compared to challenger Rudy Salas’ haul of more than $2.1 million.

SELF-FUNDED: As we reported this morning, Orange County Rep. Michelle Steel has maintained a major fundraising advantage over her Democratic rival, Derek Tran . The Republican incumbent has raised more than $9 million so far this cycle, compared with $4.4 million for Tran.

But Steel brought in far less from individual donors than Tran in the three months ending Sept. 30. While she reported about $561,000 more in total receipts, Steel only kept pace with Tran by loaning $1 million to her own campaign. That’s on top of $910,000 that Steel previously poured into the highly competitive race.

Tran, in a statement, called her self-loans a “clear sign of desperation.” Recent polling suggests he could be slightly ahead of the incumbent, though within the margin of error. — Dustin Gardiner

FOR GOOD MEASURE

BALLOT MEASURES 101: Not sure how to vote on this year’s slate of statewide ballot measures? Join POLITICO’s Emily Schultheis and Will McCarthy , reporters on our ballot measures team, for an event at the San Francisco Public Library tomorrow to break down the biggest issues on the California ballot this fall.

The event starts at 6 p.m. at the SFPL’s Main Library (100 Larkin Street in Civic Center). More details here.

WHAT WE'RE READING TODAY

— The man who was arrested with guns outside a Trump rally Saturday is suing the Riverside County sheriff for defamation. (Los Angeles Times)

— A California judge being held in jail after he was accused of killing his wife is still receiving his monthly salary. (East Bay Times)

— A new report estimates it would cost Los Angeles $21.7 billion over a decade to end homelessness — an amount three times more than is currently budgeted. (Los Angeles Times)

AROUND THE STATE

— Thao defended her record on public safety and Oakland’s finances in her state of the city remarks Tuesday evening. (Oaklandside)

— PG&E customers in 30 California counties could face power shutoffs later this week due to elevated fire risk. (KQED)

— Intel plans to slash more than 300 positions in Northern California offices as part of ongoing layoffs. (San Francisco Chronicle)

— compiled by Tyler Katzenberger

 

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