The debate roiling Sacramento’s mayoral race

Your afternoon must-read briefing on politics and government in the Golden State
Oct 10, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO California Playbook PM Newsletter Header

By Lindsey Holden

A homeless encampment is shaded by a tree in Sacramento.

Sacramento mayoral candidates are sparring over where to locate city-sanctioned homeless camps, with one suggesting underutilized parks as possible sites. | Rich Pedroncelli/AP

PROGRAMMING NOTE: We’ll be off this Monday for Indigenous Peoples Day but will be back in your inboxes on Tuesday.

PARK PANIC: Sacramento mayoral candidate Flojaune “Flo” Cofer early this year floated an idea: Underutilized city parks could be turned into places for homeless people to safely stay and “attend to their basic needs,” such as doing laundry, taking showers and using the restroom.

“I’m going to emphasize ‘underutilized’ because we have parks that are not being used,” Cofer said during a February neighborhood forum.

Her opponent and his supporters are now turning those words against her, posting photos of beloved city locales they claim could become homeless camps if she is elected.

The issue has blown up in the race between Cofer — a progressive newcomer to politics who became a public figure through activism after the 2018 police shooting of Stephon Clark — and her more seasoned competitor, Democratic Assemblymember Kevin McCarty.

The city under its out-going mayor, Darrell Steinberg, has struggled for years with a homeless population last estimated at 6,600 people. Sacramento does not have enough shelter beds to house its thousands of homeless residents, with a waiting list that was more than 2,500 people long as of late May, according to the Sacramento Bee.

The idea of city-sanctioned campgrounds is not unprecedented in Sacramento, or even other cities like San Diego. But local leaders who’ve pushed for them have paid a political price.

Progressive Sacramento Councilmember Katie Valenzuela lost her reelection bid to Phil Pluckebaum, a moderate, after championing sanctioned camps in or near city parks. Pluckebaum, like McCarty, said he didn’t want to see safe grounds located there.

Now, McCarty appears to be using the same playbook as he pokes Cofer over her proposal at every opportunity — in what she says is a cynical move that is misleading voters.

“I’m wondering if you could clarify which city parks you think are appropriate,” McCarty asked her during a September forum. “And, conversely, I think we should take a look at how this affects our neighborhoods.”

Cofer told Playbook that McCarty is “lying to people, saying I want to use all of our city parks to be able to become sites.”

“I want to use available parcels,” she said. “As one of the options that could even be considered, I proposed using any vacant parcels that we have. And that then became a lie that has been perpetuated, that I want to use parks — our most popular parks in Sacramento — for this, which I've never said, which I've been very clear on from the beginning.”

Cofer demurred on naming specific safe ground sites, saying she wants Sacramentans to be involved in selecting them.

“I'm talking about the parcels that you see that have brown grass and are just wide open, that have nothing on them,” Cofer said.

McCarty has said during forums and debates he favors sites that are more accessible on “underutilized city, county and state land.” He has suggested placing one at Cal Expo, an event space miles from downtown that hosts the California State Fair. Cal Expo board members have previously rejected housing homeless people there.

The parks issue was far less prominent during the primary campaign, when Cofer and McCarty were competing in an incredibly close race against two other Democrats — both moderates.

If McCarty is able to consolidate the other candidates' votes in the general election, he will have a major advantage. The math seems to suggest McCarty, an “establishment” candidate, has the likely path to victory over an “activist” candidate like Cofer, said Paul Mitchell, a California election data consultant.

“I think that overarching dynamic about the race ensures that an establishment candidate is going to win,” Mitchell said. “It creates kind of a ceiling for the activist candidate.”

Many Californians who consider themselves progressive are actually in favor of more punitive measures, like encampment sweeps.

“It's true in a lot of cities that homelessness is a huge issue,” Mitchell said. “And even progressive voters are not as left as a lot of people might think.”

IT’S THURSDAY AFTERNOON. This is California Playbook PM, a POLITICO newsletter that serves as an afternoon temperature check on California politics and a look at what our policy reporters are watching. Got tips or suggestions? Shoot an email to lholden@politico.com.

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW TODAY

Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris holds a microphone at a Town Hall event.

A majority of California voters favor Vice President Kamala Harris for president over former President Donald Trump, although a poll shows divides by gender and race. | Jacquelyn Martin/AP

CALIFORNIANS ON KAMALA: A new Berkeley IGS poll of likely voters throughout the state shows 57 percent favor Kamala Harris, while 35 percent favor former President Donald Trump.

But the poll also shows divides by gender and race, with women supporting Harris by a 33-point margin, while men back her by 12. Among white voters, 65 percent of those with a college degree favor Harris, compared to just 45 percent of non-college graduates.

Seventy-two percent of Black voters favor the vice president, as do 66 percent of Asian Americans. That number drops to 54 percent among Latino voters.

Unsurprisingly, Harris’ biggest bases of support are in the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles County and on the Central Coast. Trump is even with Harris, or even has a slight lead, in Orange County, the Inland Empire, the Central Valley and on the North Coast.

IN OTHER NEWS

Former NFL player Marshawn Lynch, right, and Seattle Seahawks general manager John Schneider, left, talk before an NFL football game.

Former NFL star Marshawn Lynch hinted on the podcast he hosts with Gov. Gavin Newsom that he may run for Oakland mayor. | Lindsey Wasson/AP

MARSHAWN FOR MAYOR? Former NFL star running back and Oakland native Marshawn Lynch hinted to Gov. Gavin Newsom on their joint podcast that he may consider running for mayor of the city, our Christopher Cadelago reported today.

Lynch told Newsom the run “might be a possibility” during an episode of “Politickin’,” the podcast he co-hosts with the governor and his longtime agent, Doug Hendrickson.

Newsom seemingly encouraged Lynch to run, noting that private polling he had seen shows 43 percent of Oaklanders surveyed have a favorable opinion of the former football player.

The city’s current mayor, Sheng Thao, is facing a recall on Election Day. If voters remove her from office, the city will hold a special election in the following months.

“We don’t want to jump the gun just yet, from what I was told,” Lynch said. “I got a good internal team, you know, and I want to make sure I take this offline with my internal team and make sure this is something that we really wanna do.”

LONG COVID: California students’ proficiency in math and reading increased last school year but lagged pre-pandemic levels, according to standardized test results released this morning.

The percentage of students who met or exceeded state standards rose 1 point in math, 0.4 points in English language arts and half a point in science. Only science scores were higher than in 2019 — the first year the current assessment on that subject was administered.

The progress could serve as a source of optimism, however small, for parents and teachers concerned about students’ recovery from some of the nation’s longest school closures. The bump in reading is particularly important after English language arts proficiency fell during the 2022-23 school year despite concerted efforts to reverse learning loss.

POLITICO Pro subscribers can read more here. — Blake Jones

WHAT WE'RE READING TODAY

— Hollywood veterans are getting brutally honest about the entertainment industry’s struggles when mentoring newcomers. (Los Angeles Times)

— Social media platform X is back online in Brazil after paying off court-ordered fines. (The Washington Post)

— College football tailgates and the “Hawk Tuah Girl”: Inside Trump’s push to win over the “bro” vote. (POLITICO)

AROUND THE STATE

— San Mateo County wants Gavin Newsom to declare a state of emergency over the insurance crisis. (The Mercury News)

— A major California dairy is halting operations after a deadly listeria outbreak that triggered about 60 product recalls at retailers like Costco and Trader Joe’s. (San Francisco Chronicle)

— Tax evasion, a DUI arrest and a brewing recall campaign: Inside the allegations turning a Chula Vista City Council race sour. (Voice of San Diego)

 

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