Elon may just be getting started

Presented by American Chemistry Council: The preparations, personnel decisions and policy deliberations of Donald Trump's presidential transition.
Nov 14, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO'S West Wing Playbook: Transition of Power

By Eli Stokols, Megan Messerly, Lauren Egan, Lisa Kashinsky and Ben Johansen

Presented by American Chemistry Council

Welcome to POLITICO’s West Wing Playbook, your guide to the preparations, personnel decisions and policy deliberations of Donald Trump’s transition. POLITICO Pro subscribers receive a version of this newsletter first.

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ELON MUSK is in on the joke. Really.

But leaning into a 2013 meme as part of an effort to brand his new endeavor may obscure something far more serious, ambitions and influence that likely extend far beyond streamlining government.

Ever since DONALD TRUMP tasked him with co-leading a new Department of Governmental Efficiency — for short, or perhaps branding purposes, it’s … DOGE — Musk has fully leaned into the decade-old Internet joke by reposting on X multiple AI-generated images, including a cartooned and sunglassed Musk and Trump against a backdrop of the White House and an American flag, with the letters “D.O.G.E.” splayed across the top, and a Shiba Inu tucked into the corner.

“Making America Fun Again!” he posted separately, promising “the merch will be ������”.

The meme-fied public messaging, however, belie the seriousness and intensity with which the world’s richest man has wormed his way into Trump’s life since endorsing him in July — and, quite possibly, far larger aims. There are few details publicly available about what DOGE might look like, how it would be funded and what its goals might be, though Musk said in a recent interview with TUCKER CARLSON that the number of federal agencies should be cut from 438 (Musk said 428 in the interview) to 99.

There are also outstanding questions about where the agency would be housed and whether its leaders — Musk’s co-leader is VIVEK RAMASWAMY, who lost to Trump in the GOP primary — would be paid, both of which raise questions about how much public accountability they would be required to comply with. On Thursday, Musk put out a call via a new “DOGE” account on X for “super high-IQ small government revolutionaries willing to work 80+ hours per week on unglamorous cost-cutting,” claiming that he and Ramaswamy would be reviewing resumes themselves. It sounded a lot like his ultimatum to Twitter employees two years ago after purchasing the platform, demanding they commit to “hardcore” Twitter and “working long hours at high intensity.”

Already the most powerful non-state actor in the world and single biggest beneficiary of U.S. government contracts, Musk is now poised to have even more influence on the next president of the United States and the inner workings of government agencies than he already does.

It’s a fact even Trump himself appears aware of, joking during a closed House Republican Conference meeting on Wednesday that he can’t seem to get rid of Musk. The Tesla founder accompanied him on his first trip to Washington as president-elect after spending election night and the days that followed ensconced at Mar-a-Lago, as documented in family photos and by club members. Two of those members said they’ve seen Musk on the golf course with Trump, in the gift shop and dining with transition co-chairman HOWARD LUTNICK then later with the president-elect and his wife, MELANIA TRUMP. 

When Trump spoke with Ukrainian President VOLODYMYR ZELENSKYY , Musk joined the call. And as Trump has gotten down to business, starting to fill out his Cabinet and other administration posts and gaming out Wednesday’s vote by Senate Republicans to select a new majority leader, Musk has often been in the room, the people said.

IAN BREMMER, the president of the Eurasia Group, called the rumored $200 million Musk spent, mostly through his America PAC, in support of Trump’s campaign “the single best political bet that I've seen made by anyone in my entire career.”

BRIAN HUGHES, a spokesperson for the Trump transition, in a statement called Musk a "genius" and "innovator" who "has literally made history by building creative, modern, and efficient systems."

"Elon Musk has dedicated himself to America’s future by offering to serve with President Trump to ensure our government works more efficiently and uses America’s taxpayer dollars effectively," Hughes said, adding that DOGE will be "ultimately staffed and dedicated to this mission."

According to Bremmer, who meets frequently with heads of state and senior government officials around the world on behalf of clients paying for assessments of geopolitics, Musk has told Chinese officials he could be a helpful interlocutor in a future Trump administration who could sway the president-elect’s tech policy. As the owner of Tesla, Musk would benefit from a loosening of the export controls on semiconductors and other restrictions that have most frustrated Beijing.

“Elon's greatest interest is going to be to drive tech policy in a way that will be aligned with his business interests around the world, in the Gulf, in China, everywhere, in space,” Bremmer said.

Even before Trump’s election victory, Musk’s outsized influence was a growing concern inside JOE BIDEN ’s White House. It wasn’t so much that Musk was backing Trump’s campaign, or even that his PAC’s “lottery” incentivizing people to register to vote with $1 million checks was almost certainly illegal. The bigger problem was that he was talking to U.S. adversaries like Russian President VLADIMIR PUTIN without coordinating with the government, even while maintaining security clearances from his involvement in Space X and Starlink.

But if the Biden administration was planning on taking action to rein him in or restrict his security clearance after the election had KAMALA HARRIS won, there’s no point now given his close relationship with Trump.

There is always the risk that the currently warm Musk-Trump relationship hits some turbulence. Already, the tech journalist KARA SWISHER has suggested in an interview on CNN that Musk was turning into a sort of KATO KAELIN, a houseguest who never leaves. The former reality TV star-turned-president has at times grown tired of aides and allies whose profiles have risen and diverted attention away from him. For now, the government efficiency post keeps Musk close to the White House and an at-times-malleable president who has often been swayed by whatever aides are closest.

“There is only room in Trump world for one main character,” said a former Trump administration official who was granted anonymity to speak candidly about their former boss. “What’s weird about this is that the other main character opposite the president is the richest man in the world who is also used to doing whatever he wants. This could be a mutually beneficial relationship for both — but it also feels fairly combustible.”

Meridith McGraw contributed to this report.

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POTUS PUZZLER

Who was the only Democrat in GEORGE W. BUSH’s first Cabinet?

(Answer at bottom.)

Pro Exclusive

Trump weighs “fearless” fracking advocate for top energy post , via our JASON PLAUTZ and BRIAN DABBS

Terrifying”: Trump’s Cabinet picks trigger unease in Europe, via our NICHOLAS VINOCUR and CLEA CAULCUTT

Ex-CFTC chair not interested in heading SEC, citing “Gary Gensler mess”, via our DECLAN HARTY

The reporting in this section is exclusively available to POLITICO Pro subscribers. Pro is a personalized policy intelligence platform from POLITICO. If you are interested in learning more about how POLITICO Pro can support your team through the 2024 transition and beyond, visit politicopro.com.

Heads up, we're all transition all the time over on our live blog: Inside Congress Live: Transition of Power. Bookmark politico.com/transition to keep up with us.

 

A message from American Chemistry Council:

We support a global agreement to end plastic pollution while retaining the benefits that plastic provides. From medical supplies to automobiles, plastic is vital in our daily lives, but it should not end up in our environment. By investing in innovative solutions, we can create a sustainable future and support America’s plastic workers. Let’s work together for a world with plastic, not plastic pollution. Learn more.

 
THE BUREAUCRATS

FOUR YEARS OF “MAHA” COMING YOUR WAY: Trump is expected to nominate ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. to lead the Department of Health and Human Services, according to a person with direct knowledge of the selection, our MERIDITH McGRAW and CHELSEA CIRRUZZO  scooped.

Reminder: Trump has promised to let Kennedy “go wild” with health and food policy. The anti-vaxxer has called for the removal of fluoride from drinking water and promised to strip ultra-processed foods from school cafeterias. And he's apparently got the full support of Democratic Colorado Gov. JARED POLIS...

Trump later confirmed the pick in an X post Thursday. Last month, when asked by CNN’s KAITLAN COLLINS whether Kennedy would be in charge of HHS, transition co-chair Howard Lutnick had said, “No … Of course not.”

The Senate has already left for the week, but our URSULA PERANO caught Texas Sen. JOHN CORNYN on the way out: "We'll treat him just like all the other nominees ... I don't have any preconceived notion about it."

When asked if Kennedy’s vaccine positions might make his confirmation difficult, Cornyn replied, "I'm sure it will come up."

WHEN YOU PICK A GUY BEING INVESTIGATED FOR SEX CRIMES AS AG: Senate Judiciary Chair DICK DURBIN (D-Ill.) on Thursday demanded the House Ethics Committee share its pending report on former Rep. MATT GAETZ, Trump’s pick to lead the Department of Justice, our ANTHONY ADRAGNA reports.

“Make no mistake: this information could be relevant to the question of Mr. Gaetz’s confirmation as the next Attorney General of the United States,” Durbin said in a statement.

Once a member resigns from Congress — which Gaetz did Wednesday — the Ethics Committee loses jurisdiction over pending investigations.

Cornyn, a Republican member of the Senate Judiciary Committee, told reporters Thursday that he “absolutely” wants to review the report during the confirmation process.

And JOHN CLUNE, the lawyer representing the woman Gaetz allegedly had sex with when she was a minor, wrote on X: “Mr. Gaetz's likely nomination as Attorney General is a perverse development in a truly dark series of events. We would support the House Ethics Committee immediately releasing their report. She was a high school student and there were witnesses.”

Meanwhile, former Speaker KEVIN McCARTHY has predicted the Senate wouldn’t allow the man who took away his speaker’s gavel to become attorney general.

WHO’S THE NEXT LABOR SECRETARY? Here are some of the names in the mix, according to Bloomberg’s REBECCA RAINEY.

  • Former CKE Restaurants Holdings Inc. CEO ANDREW PUZDER , who was Trump’s initial choice for Labor secretary during his first term. Senate Republicans ultimately rejected him over allegations of domestic abuse. 
  • PATRICK PIZZELLA, who served as deputy secretary of Labor during the first Trump administration.
  • JOHNNY C. TAYLOR JR., president and CEO of the Society for Human Resource Management.
  • KEITH SONDERLING, a former DOL official who recently completed a term on the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission.

SOME MORE NATSEC NAMES: MICHAEL ANTON and SEBASTIAN GORKA are in the running to be Trump’s deputy national security adviser, our JACK DETSCH, DANIEL LIPPMAN and CONNOR O’BRIEN report. With either selection, Trump would be elevating a firebrand loyalist who served in his first administration.

Anton worked as a speechwriter for high-profile clients like RUPERT MURDOCH, RUDY GIULIANI and CONDOLEEZZA RICE before joining the Trump administration in 2017 as deputy assistant to the president for strategic communications. He’s pushed anti-Islamic views, criticized the Black Lives Matter movement and peddled several conspiracy theories.

Gorka, an ally of STEVE BANNON, has called violence a “fundamental” part of the Islamic faith and once worked as an adviser to Hungarian Prime Minister VIKTOR ORBÁN.

LONDON CALLING: Two names floated as Trump’s ambassador to the U.K. are New York Jets owner WOODY JOHNSON — who served in the U.K. envoy role from 2017 to 2021 and is the heir to the Johnson & Johnson pharmaceutical fortune — and LINDA McMAHON , co-chair of Trump’s transition team and former small business administrator, our EMILIO CASALICCHIO scoops.

THANKS BUT NO THANKS: Former U.N. Ambassador NIKKI HALEY — one of Trump’s more formidable primary challengers — said she had “no interest” in taking a role in Trump’s Cabinet, our ANDREW HOWARD reports.

“I had no interest in being in his Cabinet, he knew that,” Haley said during an episode of her radio show, "SiriusXM’s Nikki Haley Live," on Wednesday. She said she told Lutnick that Trump should “surround himself with people that are going to tell him the truth.” However: “I did not ask anything for me.”

ALSO NOT JOINING THE TRUMP TEAM: Sorry to JPMorgan Chase CEO JAMIE DIMON , but as the president-elect wrote on Truth Social on Thursday: “He will not be invited to be a part of the Trump Administration.” Dimon was speculated to be in the running for Treasury secretary, though he’d recently dismissed the chances of him actually joining as “almost nil.”

WHO’S UP, WHO’S DOWN? You can bet on anything these days. West Wing Playbook is setting the odds for key Trump administration jobs. Based on reporting and vibes, here are our lines for Energy Secretary, with help from our Brian Dabbs.

Betting odds for Trump's Energy Secretary, for West Wing Playbook.

Agenda Setting

TENSIONS BUILD: Senate Republicans are skeptical of Trump’s aggressive new tariff plans — especially lawmakers from states with large agriculture industries that could bear the brunt of likely foreign retaliation, our ARI HAWKINS and GAVIN BADE report.

“I’m not for just arbitrary, across-the-board tariffs, but I think they’re a very, very useful tool in getting countries’ attention to play fair,” said Sen. JOHN BOOZMAN (R-Ark.), the top Republican on the Senate Agriculture Committee, who’s poised to become the chair next year.

Those sentiments were echoed by a number of Midwest Republican senators this week as they returned from recess, hinting at what’s likely to be a major source of tension within the party in the Trump administration. Still, there could be an effort to impose tariffs through legislation, which would allow tariff revenue to be used to offset tax cuts Republicans also want to pass next year.

LIKE A BEAVER URGING LUMBERJACKS TO STOP CUTTING TREES: The Firearm Industry Trade Association is urging Trump to disband the White House Office of Gun Violence Prevention “and put an end to government-funded efforts to infringe upon the Constitutionally-guaranteed Second Amendment rights of law-abiding citizens.”

FITA argues that the office never addressed criminal misuse of firearms, but rather, “squandered taxpayer dollars” and employed “former gun control lobbyists to minimize the American rights to keep and bear arms.”

 

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What We're Reading

The Democrats Are Committing Partycide (The Atlantic’s Jerusalem Demsas)

Who Wants to Cover the Second Coming of Trump? (NY Mag’s Charlotte Klein)

Clashes, confusion and secrecy consume the Harris campaign’s finances (NBC’s Natasha Korecki)

Top general faces brewing storm after Trump’s Pentagon pick (WaPo’s Missy Ryan)

Here’s Why I Decided to Buy “Infowars” (The Onion)

 

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Plastic plays a crucial role in our lives, but plastic pollution poses a significant challenge. We support a global agreement to end plastic pollution while preserving the essential benefits of plastic. From healthcare to transportation, plastics are integral to our daily activities. We believe that with innovative approaches—like designing products for recyclability and investing in sustainable technologies—we can mitigate plastic pollution and support America’s plastic workers. Our industry is committed to finding solutions that balance the use of plastic with the health of our environment. Together, let’s champion a future where we keep the benefits of plastic and stop the pollution. Join us in supporting this vital initiative for a cleaner, more sustainable world. Learn more.

 
POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

In January 2001, Bush rounded out his Cabinet by selecting Democrat NORMAN Y. MINETA — who at the time was serving as BILL CLINTON’s Commerce secretary — as Transportation secretary. Bush said Mineta, a former member of Congress, was “perfectly suited” for the transportation gig.

“He made a career in the halls of Congress focusing on transportation issues with a philosophy that we share,” Bush said. “And I can’t wait for people in our party to hear Norm talk about his vision.”

A CALL OUT! Do you think you have a harder trivia question? Send us your best one about the presidents, with a citation or sourcing, and we may feature it!

Edited by Jennifer Haberkorn and Rishika Dugyala.

 

Policy change is coming—be the pro who saw it first. Access POLITICO Pro’s Issue Analysis series on what the transition means for agriculture, defense, health care, tech, and more. Strengthen your strategy.

 
 
 

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