Where California could have an edge over Trump

Presented by Phenomena Global: Inside the Golden State political arena
Nov 22, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO California Playbook Newsletter Header

By Tyler Katzenberger and Dustin Gardiner

Presented by Phenomena Global

Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo speaks at the convening of the International Network of AI Safety Institutes at the Golden Gate Club at the Presidio in San Francisco, Wednesday, Nov. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)

Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo speaks at the convening of the International Network of AI Safety Institutes at the Golden Gate Club at the Presidio in San Francisco, Wednesday, Nov. 20, 2024. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu) | AP

THE BUZZ: AI DIPLOMACY — Global tech leaders who gathered for a historic artificial intelligence safety summit in San Francisco this week are keeping close tabs on California as Washington looks poised to scrap guardrails for the emerging technology under President-elect Donald Trump.

The International Network of AI Safety Institutes, launched during a summit held Wednesday and Thursday at the Golden Gate Club in SF’s Presidio, brought together politicians, CEOs and diplomats from the United States, European Union and eight other nations in search of ways to best mitigate potential dangers posed by powerful AI systems. U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo even visited town to deliver a keynote address.

But it came as America’s commitments to regulating the technology stand on shaky ground. The U.S. AI Safety Institute, which organized the event as a way to flex Washington’s tech leadership muscles and coordinate global research and funding efforts, could shutter as soon as next year, should Trump make good on his vow to repeal President Joe Biden’s 2023 executive order that outlined U.S. efforts to govern advanced AI models.

Those uneasy vibes swirled like a dark cloud around what was billed as a monumental gathering, even as leaders like Raimondo tried to project confidence.

"I think there's a lot of political uncertainty," Joe Cowan of the British Embassy in Washington told Playbook, referencing Trump’s potential to yank America from global AI safety conversations.

So did the idea that, if America steps back from AI safety under Trump, California will remain a powerful global player on the tech frontier.

“What happens here matters to the world,” Clara Chappaz, who was named France’s first AI minister earlier this year, told tech leaders gathered Tuesday evening at Salesforce Tower for a pre-summit reception. Chappaz said she chose the Bay Area for her first international visit because there’s “so much work” being done in the region on AI innovation and safety.

California is already a diplomatic hotbed for tech. Europe has an envoy to Silicon Valley, Gerard de Graaf, and the United Kingdom just this summer opened a branch of its AI Safety Institute in San Francisco “to tap into the wealth of tech talent available in the Bay Area.” The U.K. is even hosting its own parallel AI safety meeting in San Francisco, continuing today.

The state Legislature has also taken on worldwide reach. Multiple attendees at Tuesday’s reception said they were closely watching California’s next moves, given state lawmakers passed a slew of nation-leading bills this past year that cracked down on deepfakes and other AI-generated content.

One lawmaker came up frequently: state Sen. Scott Wiener, who authored comprehensive and controversial legislation last session that would have required large-scale AI models to undergo safety testing. Gov. Gavin Newsom rejected the bill in September, saying in his veto message that it failed at “protecting the public from real threats posed by the technology.”

Wiener told Playbook last week he’s “trying to work with a variety of stakeholders to see the public common ground” before reviving the effort during the upcoming legislative session, but that they “don't have any results yet.”

Yet Wiener said he remains “eager to see what the governor and his working group do” — a reference to Newsom’s promise to convene a task force to develop “common sense guardrails” for AI after vetoing Wiener’s bill. Newsom’s office did not answer a request for updates on the working group’s activities.

Should Wiener and other California lawmakers continue pursuing legislation targeted at transparency and accountability for the growing AI industry, they’ll likely have worldwide company. Representatives from China, Poland and Israel attended this week’s summit as the nations weigh whether to join the international AI safety network.

“The momentum is slowing down on AI” safety in Washington, Kazuhisa Motoyama, a Japanese government official who works in tech policy, told Playbook at the summit. “But other countries are very engaged.”

GOOD MORNING. Happy Friday. Thanks for waking up with Playbook.

You can text us at ‪916-562-0685‬‪ — save it as “CA Playbook” in your contacts. Or drop us a line at dgardiner@politico.com and tkatzenberger@politico.com, or on X — @DustinGardiner and @TylerKatzen.

WHERE’S GAVIN? Nothing official announced.

A message from Phenomena Global:

Fear not—the Cavalry is here, and it’s led by Artists. At Phenomena Global, we ignite movement-making culture by channeling capital into creativity, harnessing the power of entertainment to shape hearts and minds. We bring together cultural icons, media powerhouses and top financiers to design strategies that break norms—delivering not just positive returns, but inspiring purpose-driven impact. This is the rise of Cultural Capitalism for Good. Join the movement.

 
ELECTION RESULTS

Adam Gray

Democrat Adam Gray is less than 200 votes behind his GOP opponent in the race for a Central Valley House seat | Adam Gray for Congress

DON’T CALL IT A COMEBACK — Democrat Adam Gray was less than 200 votes behind Republican Rep. John Duarte in the close race for a Central Valley House seat as of Thursday night — so close, in fact, that both candidates’ totals round to 50.0% on POLITICO’s election results page. California Target Book estimates there are less than 6,000 votes left to count in the race, so buckle up for a potential photo finish.

IN OTHER HOUSE RESULTS — Democrat Derek Tran continues to creep ahead of GOP Rep. Michelle Steel as the two vie for a battleground seat in Orange County, with his lead is up to 480 votes as of Thursday evening. As we’ve said before: California election data experts expect his lead to hold, if not grow, as final tabulations come in.

Should Tran win and Gray manage to pull off the comeback up north, Republicans would likely wind up with a razor-thin 220-seat majority in the House.

 

Want to know what's really happening with Congress's make-or-break spending fights? Get daily insider analysis of Hill negotiations, funding deadlines, and breaking developments—free in your inbox with Inside Congress. Subscribe now.

 
 
CLIMATE AND ENERGY

Power line towers are shown in Palo Alto, California.

The latest attempt to unify the Western power grid has bipartisan buy-in thanks to a new approach. | Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

IT’S THE GRID — Trump didn’t talk about grid regionalization on the campaign trail. But California energy planners have been worried his administration could mess with the state’s plans to unify the Western grid. This time around, not so much. Find out why in last night’s California Climate.

 

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TOP TALKERS

Pete Hegseth talks to reporters.

Pete Hegseth, Donald Trump's pick for Defense secretary, talks to reporters after meeting with senators on Capitol Hill on Nov. 21, 2024. A police report recently revealed sexual assault allegations against Hegseth. | Angelina Katsanis/POLITICO

CABINET WATCH — After Matt Gaetz’s implosion as Trump’s pick for attorney general, attention quickly shifted to Pete Hegseth’s nomination for Defense secretary. As our colleague Mia McCarthy reports, Vice President-elect JD Vance on Thursday held back-to-back meetings with Republican senators to try to shore up support for Hegseth. But the path has become more complicated due to a 2017 incident in Monterey and a police report detailing a woman’s account of how Hegseth allegedly sexually assaulted her in a hotel room. Hegseth said he was cleared of all charges, though he reached a private settlement with the woman.

TURMOIL BY THE BAY — The recall of Oakland Mayor Sheng Thao has left residents with a ton of unanswered questions about their city’s future, as KQED reports. A special election to pick the next mayor will be held in the spring. Oakland’s instability and dysfunction is nothing new, but the turmoil comes at an especially difficult time, as the city faces a steep budget deficit and looks to regain trust with businesses after a 2023 spike in crime rates.

 

Policy Change is Coming: Be prepared, be proactive, be a Pro. POLITICO Pro’s platform has 200,000+ energy regulatory documents from California, New York, and FERC. Leverage our Legislative and Regulatory trackers for comprehensive policy tracking across all industries. Learn more.

 
 
AROUND THE STATE

— San Francisco’s richest voters were instrumental in the city’s vote to oust Mayor London Breed. (San Francisco Chronicle)

— Capital Public Radio is still $10 million in debt, despite the station’s efforts to trim expenses. (The Sacramento Bee)

— Can Daniel Lurie, a Levi’s heir raised in old money San Francisco, become the city’s change agent? (Los Angeles Times)

A message from Phenomena Global:

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Our approach is built on connection. We unite visionaries across industries—artists, financiers, and influential media leaders—to design strategies that break traditional norms. These are purpose-driven ventures designed to use the power of entertainment to transform society. With deep access to powerful networks across nations, we unlock pathways for sustainable growth that deliver positive returns while championing meaningful change.

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PLAYBOOKERS

PEOPLE MOVES — The University of Southern California (USC) Capital Campus appointed NBC’s Chuck Todd as its inaugural Capital Campus scholar-in-residence.

BIRTHDAYS — Rob Atkinson of the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation … Hailey BieberScarlett Johansson Mark Ruffalo Billie Jean King

BELATED B-DAY WISHES — (was Thursday): Goldie Hawn ... Thomas Rothman ... Jonathan Wornick ... Judge Beth Freeman … (was Wednesday): Richard Masur Arieh Warshel

WANT A SHOUT-OUT FEATURED? — Send us a birthday, career move or another special occasion to include in POLITICO’s California Playbook. You can now submit a shout-out using this Google form.

CALIFORNIA POLICY IS ALWAYS CHANGING: Know your next move. From Sacramento to Silicon Valley, POLITICO California Pro provides policy professionals with the in-depth reporting and tools they need to get ahead of policy trends and political developments shaping the Golden State. To learn more about the exclusive insight and analysis this subscriber-only service offers, click here.

Want to make an impact? POLITICO California has a variety of solutions available for partners looking to reach and activate the most influential people in the Golden State. Have a petition you want signed? A cause you’re promoting? Seeking to increase brand awareness amongst this key audience? Share your message with our influential readers to foster engagement and drive action. Contact Rebecca Haase to find out how: rhaase@politico.com.

 

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