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Dec 17, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Mickey Djuric, Nick Taylor-Vaisey, Sue Allan and Mike Blanchfield


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Thanks for reading the Ottawa Playbook. Let’s get to it.

In today's edition:

→ One thing that did not surprise: Cloverdale-Langley City.

→ Trudeau’s “Minister of Everything” leaves it all behind.

→ FES-tivus delays — and an airing of grievances.

FIRST THINGS FIRST


YOUR NEWEST MP — TAMARA JANSEN completed her political comeback in convincing fashion Monday night, hauling in two-thirds of the vote in a Cloverdale-Langley City by-election that was never close.

Jansen's 66 percent share of the vote was 30 points higher than her 2021 result.

Liberals didn't expect to be competitive in the British Columbia riding, but candidate MADISON FLEISCHER's 16 percent finish was a sharp drop from former Liberal MP JOHN ALDAG's slim margin of victory in 2021.

The NDP's VANESSA SHARMA managed 12.5 percent.

— Low turnout: Voters didn't flock to the polls. Elections Canada pegs the by-election turnout at approximately 16.27 percent, which doesn't account for voters who registered the same day they cast ballots.

— Quote of note: The Langley Advance Times heard Fleischer look at the bright side. "It's always a good day to be a Liberal," she said. "And I am proud to be a Liberal, because values matter and we need to be forward thinking."

— Best bet: Kudos to EVE-MARIE CHAMOT, the only Playbook reader to guess the Conservative vote total would soar past 60 percent.

DRIVING THE DAY

Chrystia Freeland, who stepped down as finance minister and deputy prime minister on Monday, at last night's national caucus meeting.

Chrystia Freeland, who stepped down Monday as deputy prime minister and finance minister, attended an emergency caucus meeting last night. | Adrian Wyld, The Canadian Press

NOBODY KNOWS ANYTHING — Sometimes the senior officials familiar with a situation but unauthorized to speak publicly don't know what they think they know.

CHRYSTIA FREELAND’s Monday bombshell caught almost all of Ottawa off guard — even those delighting in Globe headlines about PM-DPM turmoil.

Early in the morning, Ottawa reporters ambled into the Fall Economic Statement “lockup” — a sneak peek at the numbers Freeland was scheduled to release at 4 p.m. — eager to read the embargoed report, to dive into the policy weeds and to hear from the minister on the state of Canada’s books.

Everything was routine until it wasn't.

— First, though: Housing Minister SEAN FRASER called a presser for 9 a.m. where he abruptly announced he won’t be running in the next election. It’s a life update that would have led a news cycle or two — along with ensuing Cabinet shuffle speculation.

— The upside down: Everything changed at 9:07 a.m. when Freeland announced her resignation on X.

In the words of one official: Freeland dropped an “atomic bomb” on the Prime Minister’s Office.

From then on in — if not before — people in powerful positions in the Government of Canada made it up as they went along.

INSIDE THE LOCKUP — There were so many questions. For starters, was there going to be a Fall Economic Statement? It took three and a half hours to confirm: yes.

A background briefing by federal government officials, who must remain anonymous, finally started at 2 p.m. after a long morning Cabinet meeting. By then, many reporters had abandoned the scene.

— Yet more questions: Who would deliver the Fall Economic Statement? Would there still be a speech in the House? And who would replace Freeland? The answers were revealed by early evening. House Leader KARINA GOULD shared the FES without fanfare or a speech, though the opposition howled about the lack of debate. Tories accused the Liberals of contempt.

DOMINIC LEBLANC, a friend of Trudeau dating to their childhood, is now finance minister.

— For the record: The FES pegged the federal deficit at C$61.9 billion, well above the C$40.1 billion pledge Freeland made a year ago. The debt-to-GDP ratio held steady at 42.1 percent. In 2026-27, the deficit is expected to fall below 1 percent of GDP, meeting the government's ongoing fiscal objective.

— Also noted: The 270-page soft-cover document featured no upbeat intro from Freeland — optimistic spin and best-case scenarios that are the boilerplate of these sorts of government docs.

ON THE HILL — Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU holed up in his office, avoiding the reporters and cameras camped outside his door. His chief of staff KATIE TELFORD held one-on-one meetings with Cabinet members.

Liberal MPs demanded a national caucus meeting. Treasury Board President ANITA ANAND choked up over what transpired. PIERRE POILIEVRE's director of media relations SEBASTIAN SKAMSKI handed out grapes, bananas and protein bars to journalists staked out on the Hill.

The Prime Minister’s Office scrambled to keep up with the disorder. At one point after reporters caught wind of an emergency caucus gathering in the Sir John A. Macdonald Building, someone posted a handwritten sign on meeting-room doors that said “meeting cancel.”

As one MP was advising Playbook that the meeting was indeed still on, he was shushed by Liberal MP LENA METLEGE DIAB.

The PM showed up, though his press secretary insisted he was not in the room — even as cameras were broadcasting footage of him on live TV. (Only after images started to circulate on X did the PMO realize cameras could see into the room’s oversized windows. Barriers were put up to block the view.)

The Prime Minister’s Office spent most of the day spiralling and silent. Ministers’ staffers were mostly left out of the loop, with some expressing worry about the future of the party — and their jobs.

— Must-see MP: Freeland made an appearance at the emergency caucus meeting and received a standing ovation and multiple rounds of applause, several sources tell Playbook.

"Finally we’ve got somebody like Chrystia Freeland who has made a major move, and my hope is a lot of Cabinet ministers will start to speak up and say publicly what they all know: the prime minister's political career is essentially over," Liberal MP WAYNE LONG told Playbook.

Last week, Freeland was getting the gears for her failure to communicate. On Monday, she was welcomed like a martyr who sacrificed her career for the sake of getting the PM to wake up to caucus concerns.

Freeland was also on the phone with Ontario Premier DOUG FORD as he hosted winter premiers' meetings. Ford put her on speakerphone as several premiers shared kind words.

— The biggest flex: Freeland insists she’s staying in caucus — and that she plans to run again. Without her saying so explicitly, some MPs are certain this means she’s calling on Trudeau to resign.

On and off the Hill, people are questioning Trudeau’s feminist credentials — again.

— New MPs calling on the PM to resign: CHAD COLLINS, ANTHONY HOUSEFATHER, PATRICK WEILER, HELENA JACZEK and RENÉ ARSENEAULT.

— Pub date: House of Anansi Press announced it has pushed up the release of “Chrystia,” a biography of Freeland penned by CATHERINE TSALIKIS. The book was slated for release next February. New date: this Friday.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Finance Minister Dominic LeBlanc head to an emergency national caucus meeting on Monday night.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Finance Minister Dominic LeBlanc en route to last night's caucus meeting. | Adrian Wyld, The Canadian Press

LAST CALL — Later in the evening, the PM addressed Liberal donors at the Canadian Museum of History. “It is the absolute privilege of my life to serve as your prime minister,” he told the partygoers.

Several people in the room described the party conversation, and general good cheer, as oblivious to the events of the day.

Trudeau urged the Liberals in the crowd to enjoy their holidays. “Recharge by spending some much needed time with your loved ones. Come back ready to show Canadians we have a serious positive vision for the future of this great country that is worth fighting for.”

TRUMP CHIMES IN — Even later Tuesday, at 10:35 p.m., the president-elect posted about the day's events on Truth Social. DONALD TRUMP and Freeland have history dating to the NAFTA renegotiation during his first term in office.

"The Great State of Canada is stunned as the Finance Minister resigns, or was fired, from her position by Governor Justin Trudeau," Trump wrote, repeating his recent penchant for reducing Canada's status as a country.

"Her behavior was totally toxic, and not at all conducive to making deals which are good for the very unhappy citizens of Canada. She will not be missed!!!"

 

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MEDIA ROOM


— From the Toronto Star: Inside Chrystia Freeland’s surprising resignation — and the fallout that has Justin Trudeau fighting for his political life.

— From The Globe and Mail: As Freeland calls for fiscal prudence, critics point to sizable deficits on her watch.

— From CBC News: Where does Justin Trudeau go without Chrystia Freeland?

— From the National Post: In Trudeau's disintegrating cabinet, ministers juggle multiple jobs while others go unfilled.

— From CTV News: Trudeau considering his options as leader after Freeland quits cabinet, sources say.

Where the leaders are

— Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU will attend the National Caucus holiday party and will deliver remarks.

— Conservative Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE is scheduled to headline a 6 p.m. party fundraiser at a private residence in Toronto's Forest Hill neighborhood.

— Bloc Québécois Leader YVES-FRANÇOIS BLANCHET and NDP Leader JAGMEET SINGH have not released their public itineraries.

— Green Leader ELIZABETH MAY will travel to her riding, Saanich—Gulf Islands early in the day. She will serve Christmas dinner at Our Place Society, a Victoria-based social organization.

DULY NOTED


8 a.m. Canada Post workers return to their regularly scheduled shifts following a Canada Industrial Relations Board ruling.

PROZONE


For Pro subscribers, our latest policy newsletter by MIKE BLANCHFIELD: We have a FES. Now what?

In other news for Pro readers: 

Unprecedented drama upends Ottawa's fiscal update.

Trump says tariff actions will be guided by reciprocity.

Higher tariffs: Who would bear the burden.

When Congress convenes in 2025: A downloadable calendar.

What you need to know about: Defense policy in the new Congress.

Talk of the town

Parliament Hillbillies, the winners of Ottawa Playbook's annual trivia night in Washington, pose with Canadian Ambassador Kirsten Hillman.

POLITICO's Nick Taylor-Vaisey and Luiza Ch. Savage with the Parliament Hillbillies. | Tyler Weyant

TRIVIA NIGHT — Playbook hosted its third annual trivia extravaganza in Washington, D.C. — and the second in a row at the space race-themed Astro Beer Hall.

Canada's top envoy in town, KIRSTEN HILLMAN, delivered two rounds of trivia to cap what the room agreed was a totally normal day in Canadian politics.

— Top 3 finishers: PARLIAMENT HILLBILLIES repeated as winners with 26 points out of 30. WILSON WARRIORS were runners-up at 24. LEGEN-DAIRY AMERICANS rounded out the podium with 23 points.

Third place required our impossible-to-answer tie-breaker: "Canada staffs 12 consulates in the U.S. Name the three largest cities, by population, that don't have a consulate." The Legen-dairy Americans identified all of them.

Send us your answers for a bonus Playbook mention.

PLAYBOOKERS


Birthdays: HBD to former Quebec MNA LÉO BUREAU-BLOUIN and FERNANDO MELO, director of federal policy and government affairs at the Canadian Renewable Energy Association. BOOTS VAISEY also celebrates another spin around the sun.

Got a document to share? A birthday coming up? Send it all our way.

Spotted: Liberal MP FRANCIS DROUIN, having a beer at Brixton’s Pub with Liberal staffers during the emergency national caucus meeting.

Members of the Parliamentary Press Gallery, throwing a celebratory send-off for PHIL LING, a senior producer for CBC, at the Métropolitain. He was gifted a Vancouver Canucks jersey by the CBC Ottawa news team, including EVAN DYER and DAVID COCHRANE. Also in the room: Globe and Mail Ottawa Bureau Chief ROBERT FIFE, who has won awards with Ling.

Noted (literally): The Fall Economic Statement announced that TERRY FOX will appear on the next C$5 bank note.

Farewells: Liberal MP JOHN MCKAY paid tribute to the life of JOHN EMBURY. “He was a charter member of the loyal order of Goodalians, a fierce band of loyalists to RALPH GOODALE, Saskatchewan and all things Liberal,” McKay told the House. “As director of communications, he was calm, professional and super knowledgeable on a whole range of files.”

 

Write your own chapter in the new Washington. From the Lame Duck Congress Series to New Administration insights, POLITICO Pro delivers intelligence across 22+ policy areas to help you anticipate and navigate change. Discover how a Pro subscription empowers you. Learn more today.

 
 
ON THE HILL


9 a.m. The Senate finance committee will take Bill S-264 through clause-by-clause consideration.

11 a.m. Mental Health and Addictions Minister YA'ARA SAKS will be at the House health committee on supplementary estimates.

11 a.m. HARRIET SOLLOWAY and BRIAN RADFORD will be at the House operations and estimates committee to discuss resources for the offices of the Public Sector Integrity Commissioner and Procurement Ombud.

11 a.m. The House ethics committee will gather to discuss future business.

12 p.m. Foreign Affairs Minister MÉLANIE JOLY and International Development Minister AHMED HUSSEN will be at the House foreign affairs committee to discuss priorities and mandates.

TRIVIA


Monday’s answer: The Trudeau government has tabled Fall Economic Statements in December in 2019 and 2021.

Props to MALCOLM MCKAY and ROBERT MCDOUGALL.

Today’s question: On this date in history, who said: “Throughout history, the destiny of nations has often been shaped by change and by chance … And then there are those unique nations who shape their destinies by choice, by the things that they make happen.”

For bonus marks: On what occasion?

Answers to ottawaplaybook@politico.com .

Want to grab the attention of movers and shakers on Parliament Hill? Want your brand in front of a key audience of Ottawa influencers? Run a Playbook ad campaign. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

Playbook wouldn’t happen without: POLITICO Canada editor Sue Allan, editor Willa Plank and Luiza Ch. Savage.

 

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Mike Blanchfield @ @mblanchfield

Mickey Djuric @MickeyDjuric

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