The Amazing Race Ottawa

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Jan 10, 2025 View in browser
 
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By Nick Taylor-Vaisey and Mickey Djuric

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Happy Friday, let’s get to it:

→ What has 58 days and a hefty buy-in? Answer below.

The PM sits for interviews … in D.C. 

→ PIERRE POILIEVRE really, really wants an election.

DRIVING THE DAY


RULES OF THE RACE — The Liberal Party has tightened up leadership contest voter eligibility requirements amid concerns about attempted foreign interference in the race to replace JUSTIN TRUDEAU.

Registered Liberals will only be eligible if they are a Canadian citizen, have status under the Indian Act, or are a permanent resident of Canada.

— And they're off: The party's national board of directors met last night to hash out the rules of the condensed leadership race.

Various proposals for the voting date and candidate entry fee, all of them unconfirmed, circulated in Hill group chats for several hours.

The party posted the final rules, timelines and key players late last night:

— Voting day: March 9

— Voting member registration cutoff: Jan. 27

— Deadline to enter: Jan. 23

— Entrance fee: C$350,000

— Leadership vote committee co-chairs: Past president SUZANNE COWAN and Quebec director MARC-ETIENNE VIEN.

— Leadership expense committee co-chairs: Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel MP PATRICIA LATTANZIO and JOHN HERHALT, chair of the Federal Liberal Agency.

→ Next up: Any prospective candidate who was waiting on the rules of the game will now have to jump in — or take a pass.

The Globe’s BOB FIFE, MARIEKE WALSH and STEPHANIE LEVITZ report that CHRYSTIA FREELAND and MARK CARNEY are poised to announce.

The Star’s ALTHIA RAJ predicts it will be a three-way race that adds CHRISTY CLARK as the dark horse.

The Post’s STEPHANIE TAYLOR and CATHERINE LÉVESQUE say Clark is “ready to go.”

Giddy up.

FIRST CONTACT — Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU picked an American interviewer for his first one-on-one sit-down since CHRYSTIA FREELAND's shock resignation last month.

Cue Ottawa journalist eye-rolling at the prime minister ducking Canadian interrogators in favor of CNN's JAKE TAPPER, who scored the Thursday afternoon interview while Trudeau was in Washington for former President JIMMY CARTER's funeral.

Trudeau does enjoy a convo stateside. He found time last year for the "Freakonomics" podcast and Vox's "Today, Explained." In 2022, Trudeau joined the "Pod Save The World" crew.

— Next up: Trudeau also sat down with MSNBC's JEN PSAKI for an interview that will air in full on Sunday.

We keep hoping he’ll find time for us sometime soon.

Global's MERCEDES STEPHENSON came up with a few good reasons why the PM would be happier with CNN over, say, anybody up north.

— Sovereignty check: When asked by Tapper, Trudeau outright dismissed the president-elect's musings about annexing Canada.

"Canadians are incredibly proud of being Canadian," he said. "One of the ways we define ourselves most easily is, well, we're not American."

Cue furrowed brows at that definition of the Canadian identity.

— Why so unpopular? "There are a lot of feelings involved," Trudeau told Tapper, who asked the PM about the plight of progressive parties in Canada and the U.S. (See also: #vibecession.)

Trudeau insisted Canada is in a strong economic position as his time at the top nears its end. "We're projected to grow faster than the United States and all other G7 countries next year. Our economy is doing very well," he said.

Wait for it…

"But when someone's paying $8 for a head of lettuce, it doesn't matter that you're doing better than they are in Spain or somewhere else, there's a sense that, okay, something's got to give," he said. "That's where incumbents are in trouble, everywhere around the world, not just in our two countries."

→ See also: RISHI SUNAK, EMMANUEL MACRON, OLAF SCHOLZ, JOE BIDEN.

Talk of the town

Canadian Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre speaks during a news conference on Parliament Hill on December 16, 2024 in Ottawa. Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland in a surprise announcement on Monday quit over disagreements with Justin Trudeau on Canada's response to US President-elect Donald Trump's tariff threats. (Photo by Dave Chan / AFP) (Photo by DAVE CHAN/AFP via Getty Images)

“They’re all Justin Trudeau. They’re all just like Justin," Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre said Thursday of the potential candidates for Liberal leadership. | AFP via Getty Images

CPC TRAINING GROUND — While the Liberal Party prepares to duke it out in a leadership race, PIERRE POILIEVRE is girding for a bigger fight.

“I’m calling on Justin Trudeau to do what he has the legal power to do,” Poilievre said. “I’m calling on him to walk to Rideau Hall and announce that there will be an ‘ax the tax’ election now.”

The Conservative leader was back in the ballroom of the Ottawa Marriott on Thursday afternoon. It’s been his spot for recent stump speeches. Poilievre usually speaks without a teleprompter, but yesterday he riffed without any notes at all — and offered up answers to all questions in both English and French.

Poilievre's team has been testing looks in the Victoria North Ballroom — experimenting with the placement of flags to make sure they are also election-ready.

Thursday’s flag count: 13

New year, new nicknames: Forever a fan of alliteration, Poilievre used the makeshift stage to test drive some nicknames. Even before they announce a leadership bid, he’s keen to define his rivals as rubber stamps for nine years of Trudeau policies.

In addition to labelling Mark Carney as "Carbon Tax Carney," he has …

→ For CHRYSTIA FREELAND: Carbon Tax Chrystia.

→ And for CHRISTY CLARK: Carbon Tax Clark and Carbon Tax Queen.

What's in a name? “They’re all Justin Trudeau. They’re all just like Justin. In the next election, I will be running against Justin Trudeau, whether his name is Justin Trudeau, or his name is Chrystia Freeland, or Carbon Tax Carney, or Carbon Tax Clark. They will all be Trudeau. They supported everything he’s done,” Poilievre said.

America takes notice: American networks have been taking note of the Conservative leader since Trudeau’s resignation news. “Americans have to start paying attention to this guy,” Fox News host LAURA INGRAHAM said this week after playing a clip of Poilievre’s apple-eating viral moment.

“Sounds a lot like DONALD TRUMP,” Ingraham said of Poilievre.

"TRUMP POPULISM GOES GLOBAL," read the chyron at the bottom of the screen.

Then there was “The Daily Show,” which ran a segment on the same apple-eating turn. Host DESI LYDIC joked about his bravado: “With Justin Trudeau on his way out, there's no way America is getting Canada from Pierre Poilievre.”

MAGA takes credit: It’s not the first time a notable Trump supporter has linked Poilievre’s success to Trump’s brand of conservatism. ELON MUSK, a key player in the incoming Trump administration, agreed with a post on X claiming a PM Poilievre would be a microcosm of the “Trump effect.” Musk previously endorsed Poilievre in a series of posts this week.

Canada first: Poilievre was asked about Musk’s recent endorsement of him, but flipped it back to domestic issues.

"If I ever get a chance to meet Mr. Musk, what I would say is: ‘How do we make this an economy where we bring home hundreds of billions of dollars of investment to Canada so that our people get the paychecks,'" Poilievre said.

He also pitched the idea of Musk opening Tesla factories in Canada.

Poilievre says he is not attending Trump’s inauguration, though we expect there will be some Conservatives in the crowd. Playbook’s guess is we’re certain to see JAMIL JIVANI in D.C. The rookie MP is close friends with Vice President-elect JD VANCE.

Are you heading to Washington for Trump’s inauguration? Playbook will be there, so drop us a line. 

Where the leaders are


— Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU will travel back to Ottawa from Washington.

— Playbook hasn't seen itineraries for Bloc Leader YVES-FRANÇOIS BLANCHET, NDP Leader JAGMEET SINGH or Conservative Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE.

— Green Leader ELIZABETH MAY has no public events on her schedule.

For your radar

Jonathan Wilkinson smiles.

Cabmin Jonathan Wilkinson is heading to Washington. | Andreas Gora/AFP via Getty Images

FACE TIME, USA — Energy Minister JONATHAN WILKINSON plans to spend much of next week in Washington.

— On the agenda: Wilkinson wants to talk about oil and gas, mining, and electricity in meetings with lawmakers and stateside stakeholders ahead of Trump 2.0.

— One priority to rule them all: When the minister is trying to make inroads south of the border, Canada's premiers will gather Wednesday in Ottawa for a meeting with Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU. Everybody is talking about the cross-border relationship.

Wilkinson sits on the Cabinet committee of the moment: the 10-member group focused on Canada-U.S. relations.

Playbook asked about travel plans for every other minister around that table. Few ruled out near-future trips to the American capital. We'll keep an eye out for itineraries.

Industry Minister FRANÇOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE's office dropped bread crumbs.

"I can't confirm any trip at this time, but it wouldn't be surprising if we head to Washington D.C. soon," wrote a spokesperson, who added Champagne could travel to the U.S. "possibly as early as next week."

— Mountie on the move: RCMP Commissioner MICHAEL DUHEME is in Washington today to "meet with U.S. counterparts as part of ongoing engagements on the border," a spokesperson confirmed.

— Cold water alert: One veteran Canada-U.S. watcher advises that politicians should probably avoid Washington around now.

LAURA DAWSON, the executive director of the Future Borders Coalition, told Playbook that D.C. is too abuzz with pre-inauguration prep for any Canadian to get a meaningful meeting.

“Now is not a productive time to be bouncing around Washington,” Dawson said from Atlanta. “The new ones are trying to figure out where the washrooms are, let alone taking a meeting from a Canadian with a worthwhile Canadian initiative. And the experienced legislators are again trying to figure out where they fit into this new Trump agenda."

— Bottom line: "When you're in Washington, they’re not interested.”

WHO'S UP, WHO'S DOWN


Up: The number of declared candidates for Liberal leadership since JUSTIN TRUDEAU announced his eventual resignation. Nepean MP CHANDRA ARYA threw his hat into the ring Thursday, joining former MP FRANK BAYLIS.

Arya says he doesn't speak French and last evening told the CBC’s DAVID COCHRANE that he doesn't believe it will matter to French-speaking Canadians.

Down: Liberals, in the polls following Trudeau's announcement. Abacus Data measured a 27-point gap between the governing party and PIERRE POILIEVRE's Conservatives.

MEDIA ROOM


— “What do you think of your pal DONALD TRUMP now, WAYNE GRETZKY? Still want to hang with him at Mar-a-Lago while he threatens to use “economic force” to wipe away the Canadian border?” LAWRENCE MARTIN writes in the Globe. “How about you, BOBBY ORR?”

— From POLITICO’s JOSH GERSTEIN and ERICA ORDEN: Supreme Court rejects Trump’s bid to halt his hush money sentencing.

MANISHA KRISHNAN argues in the Star that NDP Leader JAGMEET SINGH has failed to meet this moment.

— From Maclean’s: 100 predictions for 2025. Here’s the opener from the list posted before PMJT’s career update: “The U.S. isn’t the only country set to anoint a ring-wing, ultra-populist leader in 2025. If the polls are to be believed, PIERRE POILIEVRE will boot JUSTIN TRUDEAU from the PMO when the federal election rolls around this year.”

PLAYBOOKERS

UN Secretary Genral Antonio Guterres (2nd L), Prince Edward, Duke of Edinburgh, (2nd L) and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau (2nd R) attend the State Funeral Service for former US President Jimmy Carter at the Washington National Cathedral in Washington, DC, on January 9, 2025. (Photo by Mandel NGAN / AFP) (Photo by MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images)

The UN's Antonio Guterres, Prince Edward and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau were among the dignitaries at the state funeral for U.S. President Jimmy Carter in Washington on Thursday. | AFP via Getty Images

Spotted: The PM seated in the front row at late U.S. President JIMMY CARTER's funeral. (He sat next to PRINCE EDWARD, and was seen eyeing President-elect DONALD TRUMP — and shaking hands with U.N. Secretary General ANTÓNIO GUTERRES.)

Birthdays: HBD to Sen. LEO HOUSAKOS and former NDP MP NELSON RIIS. Greetings also to JAYME WILSON at Impact Public Affairs.

Saturday: Former PM JEAN CHRÉTIEN (91!), as well as to JOSH ZANIN at Proof Strategies.

Sunday: HILARY WESTON … former CBC meteorologist IAN BLACK … Former Mayor, Premier and High Commissioner GORDON CAMPBELL … Conservative MP KERRY-LYNNE FINDLAY (70!).

Got a document to share? A birthday coming up? Send deets.

Movers and shakers: Rural Economic Development Minister GUDIE HUTCHINGS won't run in the next general election. In a statement, Hutchings said she wants to be closer to family, including two granddaughters. “If time was no issue, I would serve another ten years,” Hutchings said, thanking the PM.

CBC News reports Liberal MP YVONNE JONES is also not seeking reelection.

Noted: The Rideau Hall ice skating rink is open to the public … The Rideau Canal, between Somerset and Bank, opens starting Saturday.

PROZONE


For POLITICO Pro subscribers, our latest policy newsletter by MIKE BLANCHFIELD.

In other Pro headlines:

RFK Jr. is seeing how far the Kennedy name will take him.

China tags EU's foreign subsidy probes as a trade barrier.

Dockworkers could strike again over automation. What’s at stake?

Trump revives threats to withhold disaster aid for political foes.

Biden admin nixes old-growth forest plan.

TRIVIA


Thursday’s answer: Continental Congress wrote a letter to Quebec in 1774 urging Canadians to join the American Revolution.

Props to MICHAEL HORNAK, LAURA JARVIS and MARCEL MARCOTTE.  

Props + 1 to J.D.M. STEWART, who always keeps us honest.

Friday’s question: Who was the Canadian prime minister with the shortest mandate, and how long did he serve?

Answer to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Think you have a harder question? Send it our way!

Writing Monday's Playbook: MICKEY DJURIC.

Playbook wouldn’t happen without: POLITICO Canada editor Sue Allan, editor Willa Plank and Luiza Ch. Savage.

Advertise here. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

 

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