Olivia Chow: First, and firsts

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Jun 27, 2023 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Zi-Ann Lum with Philippe J. Fournier

Presented by Google

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Thanks for reading Ottawa Playbook. Olivia Chow is Toronto’s new mayor. David Johnston is Ottawa's ex-rapporteur. On the PM’s itinerary today: a call with the king.

DRIVING THE DAY

Olivia Chow celebrates her victory in Toronto's mayoral race.

Olivia Chow celebrates her victory in Toronto on Monday night. | Chris Young, The Canadian Press

MAYOR OLIVIA CHOW — After nearly a decade and a half of right-of-center mayors — JOHN TORY and ROB FORD — voters in Toronto sided Monday with a former city councillor and NDP MP.

With a little more than 37 percent of the vote, Chow finished five points ahead of challenger and former deputy mayor ANA BAILÃO.

All other candidates in the race — there were more than 100 — finished in single digits.

— Heavy favorite: During the campaign, five polling firms released numbers that showed Chow ahead. In early June, polling averages gave her a 20-point lead over her closest rivals.

— Drama in the home stretch: Polls, notably from Mainstreet Research, suggested Bailão was surging at the expense of such contenders as MARK SAUNDERS and ANTHONY FUREY.  

Late in the campaign, Bailão picked up endorsements from former mayor Tory and the Toronto Star editorial board.

— Onwards: Ontario Premier DOUG FORD, on the record during the campaign warning that Chow would be a “disaster for Toronto,” offered congrats last night in a written statement. “While we’re not always going to agree on everything, what we can agree on is our shared commitment to making Toronto a place where business, families, and workers can thrive,'' he said.

— The big picture: Canada’s two most populous cities are now led by progressive-leaning women — Chow in Toronto and VALÉRIE PLANTE in Montreal.

— What’s next: Chow faces plenty of challenges, but has the luxury of time — the current city council term only ends in 2026.

BY THE NUMBERS 

101: Number of rivals Chow defeated in the race.

37.2: Her share of the vote, the lowest in Toronto’s modern history.

30,000: Number of votes that put her over the top.

1985: The year Chow was elected as a Toronto school board trustee.

3: Her place in the race when she ran for mayor in 2014.

9: The number of years she served as the MP for Trinity-Spadina.

1957: The year Chow was born.

1970: The year she arrived in Canada from Hong Kong at the age of 13.

$1 billion: The size of the budget shortfall Chow inherits at city hall.

26-10-2026: The date of the next municipal elections in Toronto.

WHO SAID WHAT — Here are some highlights from the overnight analysis:

SHAWN JEFFORDS, CBC News: Call it name recognition, or celebrity, or just plain being known by Torontonians, Chow came in as the frontrunner and never relinquished that status. Even in the hectic final days of the campaign, which saw Tory endorse Bailão and Ontario Premier DOUG FORD throw his might behind MARK SAUNDERS, Chow stuck to her plan.

EDWARD KEENAN, The Toronto Star: Now, after her long career mostly served in opposition, Chow gets to lead. That’s something different. And she is something different. You can rack up the lists of firsts and firsts-in-a-long-time she represents: Chow becomes the first woman to lead Toronto’s post-amalgamation “megacity” government (and the third in Toronto’s overall history), the first person of color to ever serve as Toronto mayor, the first person born outside North America to serve in that job since the 1950s.

KUNAL CHAUDHARY, The Breach: She is Toronto’s first progressive-aligned mayor since DAVID MILLER left office in 2010. Since then, the city has endured more than a decade of austerity measures and soaring unaffordability under the successive tenures of ROB FORD and JOHN TORY. Coupled with a sobering billion-dollar shortfall in the budget due to the Covid-19 pandemic, Chow faces the daunting task of repairing the battered city Tory left behind while executing her vision to make Toronto “more caring, affordable, and safer” for all.

JOHN MICHAEL MCGRATH, TVO: Pundit accountability, here: I thought this was a foolish plan and was quite certain that Chow was being set up for another humiliating defeat (not unlike what happened with her 2014 run) by people who didn’t have her best interests in mind. I was wrong, though not because Chow is set to exceed expectations, but because her rivals have so massively underperformed.

MARCUS GEE, The Globe and Mail: Chow is about to assume one of the most important posts in Canadian politics. It is an extraordinary moment in an extraordinary Canadian life. Whether she will be an extraordinary mayor of course remains to be seen. She has spent her political life in opposition, so her skill as an elected executive is untested.

 

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For your radar


DEMOCRACY AND DARKNESS — DAVID JOHNSTON’s last act as special rapporteur Monday was the delivery of a final, confidential supplemental English report that will now go through translation, but seemingly won’t be made public.

The final report marks the end of Johnston’s short, tumultuous tenure as special rapporteur on foreign interference. His mandate was intended to end on Halloween but controversy over the appearance of his coziness with the PM undermined his credibility from the start.

— Partisan games: Johnston’s successor has not been named. Discussions among party and House leaders have yet to signal any progress about a potential public inquiry, despite promises last week that an announcement would be made in “the coming days.”

— Public vs. political benefits: The repeated appearances of the same witnesses at House committee hearings on foreign interference made the lack of voices from diaspora communities, despite their years of warnings, glaring. Who did the studies serve?

— Inquiry to-dos: Intergovernmental Affairs Minister DOMINIC LEBLANC has the tall task of leading talks between parties to whittle legally binding terms of reference for a potential public inquiry desired by opposition parties.

If an inquiry is truly on the table, they’ll need to decide on a timeline, the name of an independent commissioner, and clarity on organizational powers and a budget.

— Fairness and thoroughness: Potential reputational impacts from findings of misconduct will also have to be considered by parties who will likely have to open their finances and donations combed for foreign interference risks and links.

TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS


— Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU is in the National Capital Region with a call to KING CHARLES III on his schedule.

— Foreign Affairs Minister MÉLANIE JOLY is in Brasília, Brazil, to meet her counterpart, MAURO VIEIRA.

8:30 a.m. (9:30 ADT): Conservative Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE will hold a press conference in Moncton, New Brunswick.

10 a.m. Ontario Premier DOUG FORD has a media avail in the small town of Ayr, Ont. where he just might be asked a question or two about Toronto’s latest mayor.

2:30 p.m. (11:30 PT): Natural Resources Minister JONATHAN WILKINSON will be at the Pan Pacific Hotel in Vancouver to make an announcement about the Regional Energy and Resource Tables. He will joined by his B.C. counterpart, JOSIE OSBORNE, Chief DON TOM of the Union of British Columbia Indian Chiefs; and ROBERT PHILLIPS of the First Nations Summit.

5:30 p.m. Bank of Canada Deputy Governor SHARON KOZICKI will take part in a panel discussion at the ECB Forum on Central Banking 2023.

6 p.m. (7 ADT): Poilievre will hold a meet and greet in Labrador City, Newfoundland.

MEDIA ROOM


— New Brunswick Premier BLAINE HIGGS, beleaguered by his controversial changes to education policy for LGBTQ+ students, delivered a “verbal attack” against a PC party provincial council member for questioning his leadership, CBC’s JACQUES POITRAS writes.

STÉPHANE BLAIS writes from Lac-Mégantic, Quebec, which is poised to mark the 10-year anniversary of the July 6 rail tragedy that killed 47 people.

BOB FIFE has this interview with ex-Unifor prez JERRY DIAS on rebuilding his reputation after a messy departure amid bribery allegations, which he brushed off as bitter internal union politics: “I am a lot of things but crooked is not one of them,” he told the Globe.

— Conservative MP MICHELLE REMPEL GARNER rounds out her Cabinet speculation in this detailed Substack post comparing the coming reset to “tweaking a professional sports team during the offseason.”

— Pollster FRANK GRAVES told the Hill Times that Canada has never been more divided. EVAN SCRIMSHAW's rebuttal: Quebec, 1995.

PROZONE


For POLITICO Pro subscribers, our latest policy newsletter: The end of ESG alphabet soup.

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ALSO FOR YOUR RADAR

Canadian Ambassador Kirsten Hillman kicked off Ottawa Trivia Night in Washington.

Canadian Ambassador Kirsten Hillman opened Ottawa Trivia Night in Washington. | Luiza Savage, POLITICO

MR. TRIVIA GOES TO WASHINGTON — What is the length, in feet, of the Canada-U.S. border, to the nearest million? That’s one of a couple dozen questions put to the capacity crowd at Penn Social in Washington on Monday night.

Canadian Ambassador to the United States KIRSTEN HILLMAN opened the night with a softball: “How many U.S. states share a border with Canada?” (Thirteen.)

The hosts and winners of Ottawa Trivia Night in Washington.

The winners of Ottawa Playbook's first Washington competition. | Luiza Savage, POLITICO

— A taste of the competition: The teams in competition included: THE BORDER CROSSERS, YOUR AMERICAN COUSINS, TEAM CELINE, BUILD BACK BETTER THAN THE HABS, CHRISTY CLARK FOR CONGRESS, THE EH TEAM and BRING BACK THE NORDIQUES. 

— Minor drama: The night kicked off minus NICK TAYLOR-VAISEY, who was waylaid by two airlines over 30-plus hours en route to D.C. When the Playbook host appeared at half-time, multiple people — including the ambassador — stepped up to buy him a beer.

— For the record: The Canada-U.S. border is 29,172,000 feet.

PLAYBOOKERS


Birthdays: HBD to former B.C. MLA and deputy speaker LINDA REID.

Media mentions: CBC Ottawa reporter KATE PORTER is joining the Carleton School of Journalism on a one-year appointment — the best news Ottawa City Hall has heard since JOANNE CHIANELLO announced she was leaving the newsroom.

Movers and shakers: Norhtvolt AB's Canadian subsidiary is lobbying the federal government. The Swedish manufacturer of lithium-ion battery cells is "exploring the opportunity to build and operate battery production in North America" — and looking for "policy, regulatory and financial support" for an expansion. The company recently logged an April 25 meeting with IAN FOUCHER, chief of staff to Innovation Minister FRANÇOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE.

EY Law LLP's NEIL MATHER is representing Volt Lithium Corp on the Hill. The Calgary-based company is curious about Strategic Innovation Fund support for "potential development of raw material supply."

ADAM MIRON is now co-chair at Invest Ottawa.

Spotted: A $14,464 microwave, to be installed in a federal Challenger jet. The winning bidder was IMP Group.

Around the Nation


8 a.m. (9 a.m. ADT) Official Languages Minister GINETTE PETITPAS TAYLOR and MP YVONNE JONES will be at the College of the North Atlantic, Happy Valley-Goose Bay Campus, to make a funding announcement related to critical mineral exploration in Labrador.

9 a.m. Treasury Board President MONA FORTIER will be at Collège La Cité in Ottawa to make an announcement about support for pre-arrival settlement services for newcomers.

10 a.m. Health Minister JEAN-YVES DUCLOS will make an announcement on proposed amendments that would prohibit testing cosmetics on animals in Canada.

TRIVIA


Monday’s answer: The CN Tower opened June 26, 1976 — as many of you seemed to know.

Props to SARA MAY, LAURA JARVIS, BLAIR OSTROM, JOSEPH CHAMOUN, CHRISTOPHER LALANDE, SM LEDUC, CAROLYN MCCRIMMON, ALYSON FAIR, GEORGE YOUNG, BOB GORDON, JOHN ECKER, SCOTT YOUNG, JOANNA PLATER, GEORGE SCHOENHOFER, DAN MCCARTHY, GORDON RANDALL, PATRICK DION, ROBERT TOWNER, JUSTIN MARGOLIS, SHAUGHN MCARTHUR, GUY SKIPWORTH, ALLAN FABRYKANT, GOZDE KAZAZOGLU, RICHARD REMILLARD, ROD PIUKKALA, AMY BOUGHNER, IVANA SPASOVSKA, ROBERT MCDOUGALL and SHEILA GERVAIS.

Today’s question: Here’s another question from Monday night’s trivia in Washington:

With a total of nine official and unofficial visits, which U.S. president visited Canada the most?

a) Bill Clinton

b) Franklin Delano Roosevelt

c) Harry Truman

d) Richard Nixon

Answers to ottawaplaybook@politico.com.

Have a stumper for Playbook’s trivia players? Send it our way.  

Want to grab the attention of movers and shakers on Parliament Hill? Want your brand in front of a key audience of Ottawa influencers? Playbook can help. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

Playbook wouldn’t happen without: Luiza Ch. Savage, Sue Allan and Emma Anderson.

 

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