Negotiations heat up in COP28 overtime

Presented by Equinor: Your guide to the political forces shaping the energy transformation
Dec 12, 2023 View in browser
 
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By Emily Yehle and Christian Robles

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Activists demonstrate with a sign that reads "Don't fail us phase out fossil fuels" at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit.

Activists demonstrate with a sign that reads "Don't fail us. Phase out fossil fuels!" at the COP28 climate summit Tuesday in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. | Peter Dejong/AP

An international deal to end fossil fuels may hinge on how much rich nations are really willing to pay for it.

The U.N. climate summit is now stretching into overtime, with world leaders working late into the night in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, to hammer out a deal to slow the worsening climate crisis. A draft agreement released Monday fell far short of demands from many countries to “phase out” fossil fuels.

POLITICO’s Karl Mathiesen reports that climate financing could become a major issue as the United States and Europe press poorer countries to get behind stronger language in a final deal. Monday’s draft only calls for reducing oil and natural gas — text environmental protesters called “bullshit” and even U.S. climate envoy John Kerry criticized behind the scenes.

Developing nations have long expressed frustration that the U.S. and other wealthy countries have not offered more aid to help them weather climate-fueled disasters. Some poorer countries are also dependent on their fossil fuel reserves to boost national wealth, meaning a deal to phase out those fuels would slash their income.

Additional aid could be a carrot to persuade some holdouts to agree to the tougher language on the production and burning of coal, oil and natural gas, by far the biggest sources of climate pollution, Karl reports.

The world has already warmed as much as 1.3 degrees Celsius, prompting scientists to warn in a recent report that the planet is hurtling toward catastrophic “tipping points.”

But a resolution is still nowhere in sight as Dubai heads into the wee morning hours. Representatives speaking on behalf of China, India and several other countries have said they would not accept any deal that includes a “phase-out” or “phase-down” of coal, oil or gas.

Money talks

Speaking to reporters Tuesday night, Canadian Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault said wealthy nations “all recognize we need to do more when it comes to financing.”

At the beginning of the U.N. summit, the U.S. pledged $3 billion to help nations adapt to climate change and reduce emissions. But such promises have a rocky track record. Rich nations did not keep a previous promise to fund $100 billion a year in climate finance by 2020, undermining trust.

Negotiators likely won’t release new draft text until tonight or tomorrow. Late Tuesday night, staff were seen rushing bags of KFC into the offices where the United Arab Emirates — the oil-rich country hosting the climate talks — prepared for an intense night of talks.

Earlier, Kerry indicated that negotiators were seeing some movement.

Asked if a new draft deal exists that is stronger than Monday’s version, Kerry said “Yes, it is” — and sped away on a golf cart.

 

It's Tuesday — thank you for tuning in to POLITICO's Power Switch. We're your hosts, Emily Yehle and Christian Robles. Power Switch is brought to you by the journalists behind E&E News and POLITICO Energy. Send your tips, comments, questions to crobles@eenews.net.

 

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Today in POLITICO Energy’s podcast: Zack Colman breaks down how Republicans are trying to talk about climate change at the U.N. summit in Dubai.

 

A message from Equinor:

The energy transition is the defining opportunity of our time. At Equinor, we are determined to use our competence, skills, and innovative spirit to continually search for solutions that will advance the energy transition. Our ambition is to break new ground, create lasting value, and supply energy to a thriving world while achieving net zero by 2050. Discover more about Equinor at www.equinor.com/USA.

 
Power Centers

J.B. Hamby stands for a portrait at Imperial Dam.

J.B. Hamby, vice president of the Imperial Irrigation District, stands for a portrait at Imperial Dam in Winterhaven, California, on Oct. 19. | Caitlin O'Hara for POLITICO

Hope for Western water
The resolution of generation-deep conflicts over the Colorado River rests on the shoulders of a 27-year-old Stanford grad, writes Annie Snider.

J.B. Hamby is California’s lead negotiator for its rights to the West’s most important river. As climate change dramatically shrinks the river’s flows, seven states must decide how to allocate deep cuts in water use. California is the largest among them, using enormous amounts of water for its farms and cities.

Hamby is tasking with finding a way to convince his state’s farmers and cities to cut a deal — one that will determine the future of communities across a wide swath of the country.

Who gets to build out the grid?
Courtroom wins for advocates of a more competitive approval process for interstate power lines could increase access to renewable energy in the long run, writes Niina Farah.

The Supreme Court declined to hear Texas’ defense of a law that gave preference to in-state utilities. A federal appeals court had already struck it down for violating protections for interstate commerce. The Biden administration aims to pour billions of dollars into new regional transmission projects to bring more wind and solar power to metropolitan areas. That has often collided with the interests of investor-owned utilities that dominate the delivery of power in a region.

Can Congress fix the grid?
Democrats in Congress are juggling multiple proposals meant to make it easier to build long-distance power lines. The patchwork nature of the electricity system and how it's regulated has made it extremely hard to build major power lines needed to ship renewable energy across big swaths of the country. Projects can be stymied for over a decade.

But any bill to change permitting rules will need the backing of Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee Chair Joe Manchin (D-W. Va.) and ranking member John Barrasso (R-Wyo.), writes Kelsey Brugger.

Myron Ebell hangs it up
Myron Ebell, a leading climate change denier for more than two decades, is set to retire from the Competitive Enterprise Institute’s Center for Energy and Environment at the end of January, writes Timothy Cama.

Ebell helped block cap-and-trade climate legislation and was at the center of unsuccessful efforts in the 1990s to modify the Endangered Species Act.

 

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A message from Equinor:

The energy transition is the defining opportunity of our time. Our world needs energy to keep moving forward — but it must be affordable, reliable, and sustainable. We all have a role to play. At Equinor, we’re using our competence, skills, and innovative spirit to continually search for solutions that will advance the energy transition. Our ambition is to break new ground, create lasting value, and supply energy to a thriving world while achieving net zero by 2050. From oil and gas to offshore wind and carbon capture, we’re delivering safe, secure, and reliable energy while creating jobs and investing in a more sustainable US energy system. But this is only the beginning. Discover more about Equinor at www.equinor.com/USA.

 
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Offshore oil drilling platforms are seen at sunset near Huntington Beach, California. | Chris Carlson/AP

The Biden administration ruled that California’s 23 remaining offshore oil and gas platforms will be completely removed when they retire.

The struggling offshore Sunrise Wind project in New York got a boost from the U.S. Interior Department, signaling its commitment to fulfilling wind energy goals despite the industry’s financial woes.

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That's it for today, folks! Thanks for reading.

 

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