A French AI star confronts Europe’s new politics

Presented by NRECA: How the next wave of technology is upending the global economy and its power structures
Jun 12, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Derek Robertson

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President of the European Parliament Roberta Metsola (L) watches the first projections of the future composition of the assembly at the European Parliament, after the vote for the European Parliament elections, in Brussels on June 9, 2024. (Photo by Kenzo TRIBOUILLARD / AFP) (Photo by KENZO TRIBOUILLARD/AFP via Getty Images)

President of the European Parliament Roberta Metsola (L) watches the first projections of the future composition of the assembly at the European Parliament, in Brussels on June 9, 2024. | Kenzo Tribouillard/AFP via Getty Images

France’s newsy week hasn’t been limited to a surge for the far right in the European Parliamentary elections, French President Emmanuel Macron’s snap dissolution of Parliament and a très-dramatic French Open final.

Mistral AI, the most significant non-American challenger in the race to develop powerful artificial intelligence systems, closed its Series B funding round to the tune of $640 million. The company, co-founded by alumni of Google DeepMind and Meta, now has a total valuation of $6 billion, raising money from Andreessen Horowitz, Nvidia, IBM, Samsung and a slew of European investors.

It’s another huge win for a company that seems as well-poised as any to seriously challenge Silicon Valley stalwarts like OpenAI and Anthropic.

But tech works differently in Europe than it does here — not least because politicians and regulators have real sway over the industry.

For a company like Mistral, in a nation as proud as France, it simply matters more at the geopolitical level: Co-founder Cedric O mused (via Google Translate) in his most recent Medium post that American tech “domination has massive consequences in technological, economic and geopolitical terms, which must be understood in their entirety in order to judge Europe's backwardness, the risks weighing on our continent, its potential, too, and the the imperative obligation placed upon it to rise to this challenge, failing which its economic and political sovereignty will inevitably be threatened.”

In other words: Europe can compete with Silicon Valley, but only if its government(s) back its private sector all the way.

Mistral is a national, if not continental champion, and has benefited massively from that backing thus far. POLITICO’s Mohar Chatterjee and Gian Volpicelli reported last year that its odd position as the hopeful titan in a land that usually puts the clamps on tech giants has led it to explicitly seek the EU’s institutional support. So far, that’s working: Mistral lobbied hard for and ultimately received industry-friendly 11th-hour concessions to the text of the AI Act.

O is politically connected himself, but his ties are to the party now in danger of losing power in France. He’s a member of Macron’s centrist Renaissance party and its former Secretary of State for the Digital Sector, meaning he (and presumably Mistral) have an obvious dog in July’s French election fight if they want to ensure the friendliest possible audience in Paris. If Macron remains president until 2027 but is saddled with a National Rally-led parliament, the ensuing political chaos could make choppy the heretofore smooth political waters the company has faced.

There’s also an argument that the AI debate in Europe lies elsewhere: The EU’s AI Act is already on the books, meaning that the laws most relevant to an AI contender like Mistral will now be enforced by EU bureaucrats beyond the reach of the political chaos that could roil the continent (and France itself). So to figure out what a more right-leaning Europe would mean for companies like Mistral and the overall tech world, it’s worth looking at how they’ve treated it so far.

For one, the right just tends to use the technology more freely than its counterparts: POLITICO’s Gian Volpicelli pointed out in today’s EU Influence newsletter (for Pro subscribers) that the most high-profile uses of generative AI in this year’s elections came from the right. There were Dutch right-wing leader Geert Wilders’ eerily propagandistic images of happy Dutch “families” posted to X. Critics accused Matteo Salvini, leader of Italy’s far-right League, of using AI to generate an image of a pregnant trans man to stoke fear among social conservatives. A comprehensive review of the data by the Atlantic Council’s DFRLab showed that the European Parliament’s far-right ID coalition was far more likely than than their opponents to use generative AI.

All of this tracks with data in the United States, where even those on the right who fear AI are shown to be less willing to regulate its use. And then for another datapoint, there’s the actual roll call for the outgoing European Parliament’s vote on the AI Act: All but one of the members of ID voted for the bill (along with an overwhelming 523-vote majority), with the majority of dissent coming from left-leaning groups who said the bill didn’t go far enough in restraining companies … like Mistral.

Given the European right’s clear affinity for generative AI overall and desire to protect a hazily-defined European “sovereignty,” it’s not difficult to imagine the France-first company navigating the winds of a more right-leaning Europe more smoothly than other continental giants.

And now that the AI Act is in the books, in the near future the European Parliament seems more likely to turn its attention to less flashy, easier-to-agree-on policy goals like protecting children online, as the outgoing Dutch Digital Minister Alexandra van Huffelen told POLITICO’s Morning Tech Europe today.

Meanwhile Mistral continues to forge ahead amid its happy economic news, deploying new customization features and ramping up its civic participation by joining the EU Internet Forum. If Cedric O’s political party finds itself on the wrong end of France’s high-pressure upcoming Parliamentary election, at least he can likely console himself with some positive business news.

 

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labour stays the course on ai

MANCHESTER, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 22:  A close-up image of a pin badge bearing the logo for the Labour Party for sale at the Labour Party Conference on September 22, 2014 in Manchester, England. The four-day annual Labour Party Conference takes place in Manchester and is expected to attract thousands of delegates with keynote speeches from influential politicians and over 500 fringe events.  (Photo by Oli Scarff/Getty   Images)

The Labour Party logo on a pin. | Getty Images

In the United Kingdom, the all but certainly incoming Labour Party has said that if put into power in next month’s elections it will make the voluntary AI safety commitments of last year’s Bletchley Park conference binding.

Rishi Sunak, the U.K.’s Conservative Prime Minister, staked his political capital on AI and leading the burgeoning safety conversation around it. Until now it’s remained largely unclear how his likely successors in Labour would approach the technology, but POLITICO’s Joseph Bambridge reported for Pro subscribers on the commitment from shadow digital minister Peter Kyle, who said in a speech today that a “Labour government will place a premium on partnering with the technology sector to create the massive opportunities and benefits for working people that the new technological revolution represents” while requiring the biggest AI labs to release safety data.

“We don’t seek to disrupt the voluntary codes,” Kyle said, “but we’ll certainly make sure that they’re maintained, and any new entrants into the market will know that there’s a legislative foundation that must be adhered to.”

BBC’s average of polls ahead of the July 4 parliamentary election shows a 21-point lead for the Labour Party over the ruling Conservatives.

 

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peters' ai plan

Gary Peters questions a witness during a hearing.

U.S. Sen. Gary Peters (D-Mich.). | Jemal Countess/Getty Images for JDRF

U.S. Sen. Gary Peters (D-Mich.) introduced a sweeping bill that would regulate how the government buys and implements AI systems.

POLITICO’s Brendan Bordelon reported for Pro subscribers on the PREPARED for AI Act, cosponsored by Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.), which would streamline AI procurement, introduce programs promoting competition among AI contractors, setting rules for agencies’ use of AI around sensitive areas like health care or public housing, and ban facial mapping.

Peters told Brendan, echoing previous remarks, that tackling government use of AI is a more pragmatic, and possibly more effective, lane for regulating AI than putting restrictions on its development or private use: “There's a lot of talk in Congress right now about what sort of regulation we should have for the economy at large. That's a difficult task … we can have a bigger impact by actually thinking about the federal government and our procurement process,” Peters said.

Peters said he plans to mark up the bill sometime in July, either as a standalone piece of legislation or attached to an omnibus like the year-end defense bill.

 

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