Inside Dems’ Bibi breach

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Jun 05, 2024 View in browser
 
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DRIVING THE DAY

IN MEMORIAM — Ben White, a longtime POLITICO reporter and Morning Money author who also worked for CNBC, the NYT, the FT, WaPo and The Messenger, died Saturday at 52 after a short illness, his partner Sara announced. As Global Editor in Chief John Harris wrote in a note to staff, White’s career was one of “spreading wisdom into every corner of Washington and Wall Street. … He chronicled every important news moment from the aftermath of the financial crisis through the aftermath of the Covid crisis.” And he was an “unfailingly generous colleague” to boot. Read John’s full note of remembrance

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attends the weekly cabinet meeting at the Kirya military base in Tel Aviv.

House Speaker Mike Johnson has yet to clarify a date for Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu's address to Congress. | Pool Photo by Abir Sultan

THE BIBI BACKLASH — There’s still no date settled this morning for BENJAMIN NETANYAHU’s expected address to Congress. But this much is clear: If Speaker MIKE JOHNSON was hoping to unite Republicans and divide Democrats by inviting the polarizing Israeli PM, then he’s already succeeding beyond anyone’s wildest expectations.

While Netanyahu’s invitation technically came signed by the entire congressional leadership — including Democrats CHUCK SCHUMER and HAKEEM JEFFRIES — we’ve been absolutely flabbergasted by the breadth and depth of the pushback from Democrats since the invite landed Friday.

— From the progressive left: Sen. BERNIE SANDERS (I-Vt.) has railed furiously against the decision in recent days: “You do not honor a foreign leader by addressing a joint session of Congress who is currently engaged in creating the worst humanitarian disaster in the modern history of this country,” he told MSNBC’s Chris Hayes last night.

— From the activist grassroots … LEAH GREENBERG, the co-executive director of Indivisible, called the decision a “disaster” and told us her group later today will be calling on members of Congress to publicly announce they’ll skip the speech: “What are we doing here? Why would we be giving a platform to someone who we know is actively hostile to Democrats, who has repeatedly demonstrated that he is not, negotiating in good faith?”

— From the old-line establishment … Senate Majority Whip DICK DURBIN (D-Ill.) and former House Majority Leader STENY HOYER (D-Md.) — both among AIPAC’s earliest and closest supporters — have spoken out against the invitation. “There will be a lot of disruption, and it will not be helpful for Israel or its supporters,” Hoyer told our colleagues at Inside Congress.

The most consistent thing we heard in our calls last night was puzzlement to flat-out exasperation at why the two Democratic leaders would have signed on Johnson’s invite in the first place.

Greenberg noted that Schumer has already called for new elections in Israel: “Why we would then be undermining the clarity of that message by behaving as if Netanyahu has something important to share with Congress … we're baffled.”

Said one lawmaker in Jeffries’ leadership circle: “We’re already divided — we don’t need this guy who’s killing people coming to speak.”

NO ESCAPE: Spokespeople for both Schumer and Jeffries declined to comment, but both men appear to have boxed themselves in.

As early as March, Schumer had publicly backed a Netanyahu visit — seemingly afraid of further rupturing the U.S.-Israel relationship a week after making his comments about new elections: “Israel has no stronger ally than the United States, and our relationship transcends any one president or any one prime minister,” he said.

He left himself no room to retreat, even as news of humanitarian disaster in Gaza mounted and Netanyahu seemingly thumbed his nose at JOE BIDEN’s Rafah invasion warnings.

Jeffries, meanwhile, has explained publicly and privately that this essentially wasn’t his decision — the majority leaders typically make decisions on joint meeting invitations and that it’s customary for minority leaders to sign on. “That's the process that unfolded in this particular instance,” he told reporters yesterday.

A longtime Democratic aide close to the issue argued that once Schumer agreed to sign on, Jeffries “didn’t really have a lot of choice” but to stand with him, especially considering his own close ties with his considerable Jewish constituency in Brooklyn

And people close to both leaders noted that Johnson technically didn’t need their buy-in: He could have unilaterally invited Netanyahu to address the House and given senators an open invitation to join — a scenario that would have heightened tensions even further, they note.

TIMING IS EVERYTHING: One party that has been unusually quiet about all this is the White House. We’re told that the Biden administration was not surprised by Schumer and Jeffries’ sign-on (though it’s unclear if there was a request for permission or merely a heads-up).

From their perspective, timing and Netanyahu’s posture are everything. Both could be radically different depending on circumstances.

“If he comes in two weeks versus six weeks from now, it's a very different situation,” one person familiar with White House thinking told us last night. “If there's a ceasefire deal, hostages are being released, there's no fighting, then it’s just a very different political environment than if fighting is very much ongoing and active.”

The bullish case for inviting Netanyahu expressed by some Democrats is that it could be illuminating in securing a path to peace in Gaza and that he will be under pressure not to undercut his standing with his nation’s greatest ally by showing up Biden.

The bearish case also has to do with internal Israeli politics: Netanyahu is barely holding his coalition together, and a joint address could represent a triumph domestically as his political future hangs by a thread.

Netanyahu has long presented himself as “the only Israeli leader that can manipulate the West and interfere in our politics,” former Obama aide TOMMY VIETOR told us last night. “He's bragged about it publicly. He'll come here, give a speech, take some shots at political enemies, and go back home and say, ‘Look, I did it again’ and get a polling bump from it.”

Which leads us to this: There’s almost no political upside for the president. A fiery Netanyahu appearance, a la his 2015 attempt to scuttle the Iran nuclear deal, would be a definite political headache, but so would a solicitous Bibi, who could potentially stoke tensions between Biden and the left by returning the bear-hug treatment Biden initially gave him.

Good Wednesday morning. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza.

 

A message from Groundwork Collaborative:

Do you think the tax code is fair? We don’t — and it’s time to fix it.

For too long, the tax code has been slanted towards the wealthy and large corporations, and the economy and our country have suffered as a result. The expiration of key provisions of the Trump tax law in 2025 is a rare opportunity to reform the tax code and ensure it is fair, raises revenue, and supports equitable economic growth. Learn more.

 

LIVE TODAY: POLITICO’S ENERGY SUMMIT — Join us starting at 11:45 a.m. for this year’s big event! Eugene will interview White House national climate adviser ALI ZAIDI, and Ryan will speak with longtime climate champion Sen. ED MARKEY (D-Mass.), as we explore how the 2024 elections will drive the future of energy policy. Other featured speakers include Energy Secretary JENNIFER GRANHOLM, the White House’s TOM PEREZ, Ambassador to Japan RAHM EMANUEL, Deputy Treasury Secretary WALLY ADEYEMO, FERC Chair WILLIE PHILLIPS, Sens. CYNTHIA LUMMIS (R-Wyo.) and KEVIN CRAMER (R-N.D.), Reps. MARIANNETTE MILLER-MEEKS (R-Iowa) and Rep. ANDREW GARBARINO (R-N.Y.), NOAA chief scientist SARAH KAPNICK, American Energy Alliance’s TOM PYLE and more. RSVP to attend or watch

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: TRUMP VS. McINTOSH REDUX: While Trump recently reconciled with DAVID McINTOSH after the Club for Growth president backed Florida Gov. RON DeSANTIS’ presidential campaign, the two are again working at cross-purposes, Daniel Lippman reports — this time in the Virginia’s GOP Senate primary.

Trump recently endorsed former House candidate and military veteran HUNG CAO in the campaign to face Sen. TIM KAINE (D-Va.) in November. Among those challenging Cao is SCOTT PARKINSON, the Club’s longtime VP for government affairs and a former congressional chief of staff for DeSantis.

The Club has not endorsed in the race, but Parkinson is being supported by a super PAC, Virginia Now, that employs the same ad buyer, Armada Strategies, as Club for Growth Action. The group — which launched a $500,000 ad buy this week — is also linked on federal disclosure filings to AxMedia, a subsidiary of Axiom, the giant Republican consulting firm run by JEFF ROE that is also doing media buying for Parkinson’s campaign (and has been iced out by Trump world due to Roe’s backing of DeSantis).

“David is personally supporting Scott but neither he nor Club for Growth have anything to do with Virginia Now,” a Club spokesperson said in a statement. McIntosh donated the maximum $3,300 soon after Parkinson started his campaign, according to FEC records.

Virginia Now won’t have to disclose its donors until July; its treasurer, THOMAS DATWYLER, had no comment. Cao, meanwhile, said in a statement that Republicans “must rally and unite” in light of Trump’s endorsement.

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: IT’S THE HOUSING, STUPID — We’ve covered how voters, Congress and President Biden all think housing is a big issue, but most say they don’t hear politicians talking about the issue at all.

A new poll from HIT Strategies and the Center for Popular Democracy surveyed registered voters in the swing states of Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina and Nevada, where 52 percent of voters say they aren’t hearing politicians address the issue. For renters, the potential for politicians to make headway are especially stark: 82 percent say better housing policy would make their lives better. Read the full results

 

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WHAT'S HAPPENING TODAY

On the Hill

The House will meet at 9 a.m. to take up the Military Construction-VA appropriations bill, with votes expected by 10 a.m.

The Senate is in.

3 things to watch …

  1. The Senate will vote late this afternoon on the Right to Contraception Act, a bill aimed at reversing the creeping impacts of the Dobbs decision on once-sacrosanct matters of women’s health and personal freedom. At least that’s how Democrats are messaging it. The opposing view was put forth yesterday by Sen. KATIE BRITT (R-Ala.), the Senate’s youngest Republican woman, who called it part of a “summer of scare tactics” and a “campaign of fearmongering” on the part of Democrats that would undo religious liberty protections to address a nonexistent threat.
  2. Is the power of incumbency slipping? Two surprising endorsements show a new willingness among some lawmakers to cross close colleagues who are seeking re-election. On Monday, former Rep. MONDAIRE JONES (D-N.Y.), who is attempting a House comeback, waded into the race in a neighboring district to endorse a challenger to ex-delegation mate JAMAAL BOWMAN over an Israel policy dispute. (Jones’ progressive supporters are not pleased, Emily Ngo reports.) And down in South Carolina yesterday, longtime GOP Rep. JOE WILSON (R-S.C.) backed the primary challenger to Rep. NANCY MACE (R-S.C.). More from the Washington Examiner
  3. Rep. VICTORIA SPARTZ’s reputation as a boss was already, er, iffy. But Daniel Lippman and Adam Wren reported yesterday that the Indiana Republican may have taken things to a new level — and could face consequences for it. The House Ethics Committee has made inquiries into her treatment of staff, which in the words of one employee, has been marked by “complete and total rage.” Recently, they report, she “imposed pay cuts reaching into the tens of thousands of dollars for some staffers, which came amid her ongoing complaints about her staff’s performance,” and yesterday her chief of staff and communications director both quit in the span of a few hours.

At the White House

Biden arrived in Paris today.

VP KAMALA HARRIS will travel to Oakland, California, where she’ll speak at two political events in the afternoon, before flying to D.C.

 

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PLAYBOOK READS

ALL POLITICS

FILE - Rep. Andy Kim, D-N.J., speaks to delegates in Paramus, N.J., March 4, 2024. New Jersey Democrats and Republicans decide their parties’ standard-bearers for the Senate amid the federal corruption trial in New York of New Jersey Democratic incumbent Sen. Bob Menendez, along with candidates for the presidency and House. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig, File)

Rep. Andy Kim (D-N.J.) secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey Senate, a big if unsurprising accomplishment for the one-time underdog. | Seth Wenig, File/AP Photo

ABOUT LAST NIGHT — Rep. ANDY KIM (D-N.J.) may have killed the New Jersey Democratic machine’s famous “county line” system, but the establishment still powered their preferred candidates to victory in multiple Garden State races last night.

In the most closely watched primary across the country yesterday, Rep. ROB MENENDEZ (D-N.J.) rose above his father’s scandal to beat back competition from RAVI BHALLA easily. Rep. BILL PASCRELL (D-N.J.) had even less trouble with a primary challenge over his Israel support. In the race to succeed Kim, HERB CONAWAY and RAJESH MOHAN won the Dem and GOP nods.

Keep an eye on that New Jersey Senate race: Kim secured the Democratic nomination, a big if unsurprising accomplishment for the one-time underdog. But if incumbent Sen. BOB MENENDEZ puts some oomph into an independent run and peels votes away as a spoiler, the race could get closer, especially with GOP voters nominating relative moderate CURTIS BASHAW over Trump-endorsed CHRISTINE SERRANO GLASSNER. Still, Kim enters the race “heavily favored,” Matt Friedman and Dustin Racioppi write.

Around the nation: Montana state Auditor TROY DOWNING beat former Rep. DENNY REHBERG for a Republican congressional nomination. … Democrat MONICA TRANEL will once again square off against Rep. RYAN ZINKE (R-Mont.). … TIM SHEEHY made it official against Sen. JON TESTER (D-Mont.). … In a semi-surprise, Rep. MARIANNETTE MILLER-MEEKS (R-Iowa) won her primary by just 12 points. … Trump and Biden cruised to victory in several states in the nominally ongoing presidential primaries, with few signs of the significant protest votes that greeted them elsewhere.

TRUMP CARDS

THE LATEST FILING — “Trump asks judge to lift limited gag order in his hush money case,” by ABC’s Katherine Faulders, Peter Charalambous and Aaron Katersky

JUDICIARY SQUARE

THE HUNTER BIDEN TRIAL — As opening statements began yesterday in HUNTER BIDEN’s gun trial in Wilmington, Delaware, the president’s son’s struggles with addiction were on full display. Prosecutors played an hourlong excerpt from the audiobook narration of his memoir about his addiction to crack cocaine, in an effort to prove that he lied about using drugs on his form to buy a gun, the Delaware News Journal’s Xerxes Wilson and Esteban Parra report. The audio made the defendant, his family and even some jurors emotional. Hunter Biden’s defense opened by arguing that prosecutors can’t prove he knowingly lied and thought of himself as addicted to drugs at that specific time.

In one bracing exchange outside the courtroom, Hunter Biden’s wife, MELISSA COHEN-BIDEN, excoriated GARRETT ZIEGLER as “you Nazi piece of shit,” NBC’s Sarah Fitzpatrick reports. Ziegler, a former Trump aide, worked to bring the Hunter Biden laptop story to the public; he and Cohen-Biden sharply disagreed over whether he had called her Jewish slurs.

What we aren’t hearing: “Trump, days after his own trial, stays mostly quiet on Hunter Biden,” by Meridith McGraw, Alex Isenstadt and Jonathan Lemire

ANY DAY NOW — “Why the Supreme Court’s abortion pill ruling might not end legal fight,” by WaPo’s Ann Marimow and Caroline Kitchener: “If justices rule that the anti-abortion doctors who filed the lawsuit don’t have standing to sue, three conservative states could step into their place.”

MUSK READ — “X Corp. asks Supreme Court to review process that led Jack Smith to obtain Trump Twitter files,” by Kyle Cheney: It’s “a demand that could radically alter the way criminal investigators deploy secret search warrants and subpoenas for sensitive information.”

 

A message from Groundwork Collaborative:

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Do you think the tax code is fair? We don’t — and it’s time to fix it.

 

THE WHITE HOUSE

President Joe Biden delivers remarks on antisemitism during a Holocaust remembrance ceremony at the U.S. Capitol May 7, 2024. (Francis Chung/POLITICO via AP Images)

The effects of Joe Biden's executive order on immigration are rippling from the economy to politics. | Francis Chung/POLITICO

IMMIGRATION FALLOUT — Biden’s major executive action cracking down on immigration is already remaking the U.S.-Mexico border, where of course the people most affected will be the thousands of asylum-seekers each week forced to stay outside the U.S. rather than await adjudication here. But the effects are rippling much further, from the economy to politics.

The policy: In another change, the Biden administration is slashing the time asylum-seekers have to talk with a lawyer for their initial screenings from a day to four hours, NYT’s Hamed Aleaziz scooped. More broadly, the temporary closure of most of the border amounts to a historic shift, “suspending longstanding guarantees that anyone who steps onto U.S. soil has the right to ask for protection in America,” NYT’s Michael Shear writes.

The economy: Could Biden’s attempt to address one core political liability exacerbate another? The surge of immigration to the U.S. in recent years is widely credited with partially keeping the economy humming — more than peer countries, and despite higher interest rates. Nick Niedzwiadek reports that lower immigration risks slowing the economy, though it could take a while. On the flip side, the changes could smooth U.S.-Mexico trade and supply chain issues at the border, CNBC’s Rebecca Picciotto reports.

The politics: Biden’s move drew immediate condemnation from the left (and no credit from the right); the American Civil Liberties Union already promised to sue to block it, per Axios. Congressional Democrats overall had mixed to somewhat positive reactions, Semafor’s Joseph Zeballos-Roig reports. But a lot could hinge on how well Biden and Dems can sell the changes to the public, as Myah Ward and Jennifer Haberkorn detail.

TOP TALKER — Last night, WSJ’s Annie Linskey and Siobhan Hughes dropped a big story on one of the most sensitive subjects in American politics: Biden’s cognitive abilities. He “shows signs of slipping” in private, the headline declared. From interviews with 45 people, the Journal paints a picture of a president who has slowed down even in just the past year, and whose extemporaneous command of details fluctuates from day to day in White House meetings. Critics call him uneven (as opposed to the caricature that he’s senile). The likes of KEVIN McCARTHY and JIM RISCH go on the record to voice concerns.

The White House issued strenuous pushback, calling the claims “false and politically motivated.” But it wasn’t just the Biden camp questioning the story. An anecdote in the article’s second paragraph portrays Biden as confused for calling his policy change on liquid natural gas exports a “study,” but Biden had in fact announced it at the time as a pause to assess LNG’s climate impact. Sen. PATTY MURRAY (D-Wash.) disputed the story’s characterization of a January meeting on Ukraine. And the article itself notes that among its sources, “[m]ost of those who said Biden performed poorly were Republicans.”

Asked for comment last night, a Journal spokesperson said they stand by the reporting.

2024 WATCH

DEMOCRACY WATCH — “‘It’s very possible’: Trump floats imprisoning his political opponents,” NBC

HOW TRUMP WINS — Despite Biden signing historic investments in the fight against climate change into law, the youth climate change group Sunrise Movement is withholding its endorsement of him for now, Axios’ Hans Nichols reports. Its leaders say some of his fossil fuel project approvals are partially to blame, but really it’s his handling of the Israel-Hamas war — which has made him extraordinarily unpopular with young progressives but, of course, is not very connected to climate change.

VEEPSTAKES — South Carolina Sen. TIM SCOTT — widely seen as a prospective Trump VP choice — is convening his top donors June 19 in Washington, Alex Isenstadt reports. The Great Opportunity Policy Summit’s host committee includes some of the Republican Party’s biggest megadonors, including Oracle co-founder LARRY ELLISON (a longtime Scott ally), hedge fund billionaire PAUL SINGER and investor WARREN STEPHENS. Many of those on the list — like investors KEN GRIFFIN and MARC ROWAN — have in the past expressed reservations about Trump. The full invitation

INSIDE VOTERS’ MINDS — “‘Antihero’ or ‘Felon’: 11 Undecided Voters Struggle With How to See Trump Post-Verdict,” by Patrick Healy, Frank Luntz and Adrian Rivera in the NYT

POLICY CORNER

FILE - A sign for the Food and Drug Administration is displayed outside their offices in Silver Spring, Md., on Dec. 10, 2020. According to research published Sunday, April 7, 2024, in the Journal of the American Medical Association, most cancer drugs granted accelerated approval by the FDA, meant to give patients early access to promising drugs, do not demonstrate such benefits within five years. (AP Photo/Manuel Balce Ceneta,   File)

FDA advisers voted against MDMA-based therapy for post-traumatic stress disorder treatment yesterday. | Manuel Balce Ceneta, File/AP Photo

THE END OF THE TRIP — What could have been a watershed moment for psychedelics in America instead became a tough repudiation, as FDA advisers yesterday voted against MDMA-based therapy for post-traumatic stress disorder treatment, Reuters’ Sriparna Roy and Pratik Jain report. In lopsided votes, the experts doubted the design of the trials, saying the benefits did not yet outweigh the risks of side effects and effectiveness hadn’t been proved. The agency will make a final decision on Lykos Therapeutics’ ecstasy treatment this summer, but typically follows its advisers’ guidance.

That “could upend a burgeoning industry already banking on using a variety of mind-altering drugs to treat disorders ranging from depression to anxiety,” Erin Schumaker writes. It “also may dash hopes in Congress and at the Department of Veterans Affairs that Lykos’ protocol could help treat the mental illnesses” that remain urgent — with few good treatments — for many Americans.

ALL IN THE FAMILY — “Jared Kushner bet big on solar. A second Trump term could cost him,” by Scott Waldman

 

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PLAYBOOKERS

IN MEMORIAM — “Larry Bensky, a Fixture of Left-Wing Radio, Is Dead at 87,” by NYT’s Trip Gabriel: “A self-described activist-journalist, he was for many years the national affairs correspondent for the community-focused Pacifica network.”

OUT AND ABOUT — SPOTTED on Monday night at a screening of “The Sixth,” produced by A24 and directed by Sean Fine and Andrea Nix Fine: Erica Loewe, Mel D. Cole, Symone Sanders-Townsend, Wintta Woldemariam, Vince Evans, Ibn Salaam, Ashley McBride, Keenan Austin Reed, Nicole Collier, Laquita Honeysucker and Nicole Tisdale.

GMMB hosted a party for Amy Low’s new book, “The Brave In-Between: Notes from the Last Room” ($28), last night at their offices at Washington Harbour in Georgetown. David Brooks interviewed her about the book, which chronicles her past few years living with Stage 4 metastatic cancer. SPOTTED: Susan Feeney, Jacquie Lawing Ebert, Mike Abramowitz, Sarabeth Berman, Michael Sapienza, Bruce Brown and Amanda Ripley.

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Jacqui Newman is joining Elias Law Group as COO. She most recently was COO at SKDK, and is a former DCCC interim executive director.

TRANSITIONS — Joe Spector is now VP of comms and public affairs at Global Strategy Group. He previously was New York editor for POLITICO. … Rachel Madley is joining the Center for Health and Democracy as director of policy and advocacy. She most recently was health policy adviser to Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.). … Kelly Dixon Chambers will be VP of government affairs for Shein. She currently is staff director of the House Rules Committee. …

… Bethany Holden is now deputy comms director for With Honor Action. She previously was digital director/press secretary for Rep. Mike Gallagher (R-Wis.). … Diana Castaneda is now VP of comms at Voto Latino. She previously was comms director for CHC BOLD PAC. … Jamie Hunter is now director of federal government affairs at Novelis. He previously was head of government affairs at Bombardier and is a John Kerry alum.

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Rep. Chrissy Houlahan (D-Pa.) … Megan Beyer … Treasury’s Jeff Rapp (4-0) … Rob EngstromElan Kriegel of BlueLabs … Jordan Dickinson of DOE … Carol GuensburgMary Kirchner of TAG Strategies … Mike HeimowitzRob Kelly of Sen. Bob Menendez’s (D-N.J.) office … Todd Zubatkin … POLITICO’s Katie Schneider and Taylor AveryKara Hauck Matt Vasilogambros 

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Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com or text us at 202-556-3307. Playbook couldn’t happen without our editor Mike DeBonis, deputy editor Zack Stanton and Playbook Daily Briefing producer Callan Tansill-Suddath.

 

A message from Groundwork Collaborative:

In 2017, Donald Trump gave huge tax cuts to the rich and big corporations. He said the benefits would trickle down to regular workers. They didn’t.

In 2025, a lot of Trump’s tax cuts expire. That’s our moment to fundamentally change our tax code to make it more fair, sustain the investments that will create an economy that works for all of us, and foster equitable growth and prosperity.

We’ve missed chances to fix our tax code before. Decades of tax cuts for the rich have skewed the economy in their favor and made it harder to cover the costs of the things we need as a country.

We can’t afford to miss this opportunity to restore a fair tax code, and over 100 civil society organizations agree.

 
 

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