The climate piece of Trump’s VP parlor game

Your guide to the political forces shaping the energy transformation
Jul 12, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Scott Waldman

A Trump supporter waits at a rally.

A supporter arrives before Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally at Trump National Doral Miami, Tuesday, July 9, 2024, in Doral, Fla. (AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell) | Rebecca Blackwell/AP

Former President Donald Trump is expected to announce his running mate any day now — and it’s a safe bet to assume that he, or she, will not be a champion of climate policy.

While Trump is famously unpredictable, the media and pundit consensus has gelled around the top contenders being Sens. Marco Rubio of Florida and J.D. Vance of Ohio, and North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum. Other candidates in the mix include Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina, and Reps. Elise Stefanik of New York and Byron Donalds of Florida.

As my colleagues Adam Aton, Jeffrey Tomich and I report today, none of those candidates has made climate policy a priority.

While they all have acknowledged the reality of climate change, all have downplayed humanity’s role and have portrayed the Biden administration’s attempts to cut carbon emissions as a giveaway to China. Burgum has set a goal of carbon neutrality for his own state, but not in a way that restricts oil and gas drilling. Vance has acknowledged that “we of course have a climate problem in our society” and warned against overreliance on natural gas, but that was before he entered Republican politics.

Rubio once rejected climate science outright, attacking one Senate campaign rival as “a believer in man-made global warming,” despite representing a state that scientists say could see huge swaths of coastline submerged this century. As sea-level rise and warming are putting more seaside communities in the path of powerful hurricanes, Rubio has settled into a political position where he says climate change is occurring, but rejects any calls to meaningfully restrict carbon emissions. That’s essentially where Stefanik, Donalds and Scott are as well.

As with Trump, all the candidates have attacked Biden’s support for the electric vehicle industry.

“If you’re on team EV, you’re on team China,” Burgum said last month, reflecting Trump’s rhetoric.

Signs of Vance-mentum? Donald Trump Jr., who has been pushing for Vance, is scheduled to take the stage on Wednesday right before the slot that’s been left open for Trump’s vice presidential pick at next week’s Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Another speaker slot the same evening has been tentatively set for the mayor of East Palestine, Ohio, site of the toxic train derailment that drew criticism of the Biden administration from numerous Republicans, including Vance.

Of course, as with all things Trump, those predicting his political future do so at their own peril.

 

It's Friday — thank you for tuning in to POLITICO's Power Switch. I'm your host, Scott Waldman. Power Switch is brought to you by the journalists behind E&E News and POLITICO Energy. Send your tips, comments, questions to jkirkland@eenews.net.

 

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Activists display placards during a rally to mark Earth Day at Lafayette Square in Washington.

Activists display placards during a rally to mark Earth Day at Lafayette Square in Washington on April 23, 2022. | Gemunu Amarasinghe/AP

'Pass the torch'
The influential youth green group Sunrise Movement is calling on Biden to drop his reelection bid to “protect” his climate legacy, Josh Siegel reports.

Sunrise Executive Director Aru Shiney-Ajay on Friday cited low enthusiasm for Biden among young people, which she said in a statement has continued to drop since his disastrous debate performance last month, and urged the president to “pass the torch to a new nominee.”

"I’m concerned that Joe Biden isn’t positioned to mobilize young people and win in November," she said.

Other environmental groups, such as Friends of the Earth Action, have stopped short of asking Biden to exit the race.

Blowback after Beryl
The Biden administration rejected a request from Houston’s electric utility last year for $100 million to strengthen its electric poles and wires against the type of hurricane winds that knocked out power to more than 2 million customers this week, Thomas Frank writes.

CenterPoint Energy sought the money from a new $10.5 billion Department of Energy program that is helping utilities, states and local agencies protect the electric grid from the growing threats of extreme weather and climate change.

“I don’t understand how the grant application could be rejected,” said University of Houston energy economist Ed Hirs. “This is the home of the petrochemical part of America. I mean, for God’s sakes, what’s DOE thinking?”

Federal departments and agencies routinely reject grant proposals because their programs have limited funds.

The utility has faced withering criticism for the weeklong recovery after Hurricane Beryl's assault on the Texas coast. Half a million Houston-area households and businesses still won't have electricity into early next week. They'll endure more 90-degree or triple-digit temperatures, Peter Behr reports.

It's all looking more familiar. Regulators and elected officials face a question that’s haunted the state for years: Can Texas defend its power grid against extreme temperatures, storms and floods that scientists say will only get worse?

Lithium exports?
The Biden administration is expressing confidence that the U.S. can become a lithium exporter — a claim that some experts say is unrealistic, Hannah Northey and Nicole Norman write.

“In lithium, we’ll probably be exporting by early next decade,” said Jigar Shah, director of the Energy Department’s Loan Programs Office, to attendees at a U.S. Chamber of Commerce event late last month.

Lithium, a key ingredient of the rechargeable batteries that make electric vehicles possible, is widely considered a key resource of the 21st century and is today mostly exported from Australia, Chile and China. The U.S. could hypothetically join their ranks, but numerous economic, policy and environmental challenges stand in the way.

In Other News

Gas, it is: Shell has replaced Russian natural gas supplies with a string of deals that underpin a bet on growing demand for gas.

Another Dem: Gov. Jay Inslee of Washington State, a climate policy hawk, joined the ranks of Democrats who are offering measured support for Biden’s reelection campaign.

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Republican National Committee logo is pictured on a stage.

The Republican National Committee logo is shown on a stage at the North Charleston Coliseum, Jan. 13, 2016, in North Charleston, S.C. | Rainier Ehrhardt/AP

Republicans will gather in Milwaukee next week for the Republican National Convention. Main-stage speeches will focus on themes, including energy. On Monday, the theme is "Make America Wealthy Once Again" which the party said will touch on energy.

House Democrats are promoting legislation to dampen the effect of Supreme Court rulings that could open federal rules to new legal attacks.

Melissa Pecor stacked sandbags by the doors of her restaurant Wednesday in Barre, Vermont — exactly one year after the town was submerged by a historic flood.

That's it for today, folks. Thanks for reading, and have a great weekend!

 

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