Inside the Navy’s PR battle

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Aug 13, 2024 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Nick Taylor-Vaisey


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Thanks for reading the Ottawa Playbook. Let’s get to it.

In today's edition:

→ We get on the horn with the Navy’s second-in-command.

→ Plus, we talked to the research consultant who keeps an eye on the Navy’s movements.

ELON MUSK interviewed DONALD TRUMP, eventually.

HALLWAY CONVERSATION

The HMCS Ottawa sails past during an arrival ceremony in December 2023 before docking at CFB Esquimalt after being deployed for 126 days in the Indo-Pacific region.

The HMCS Ottawa arrives at CFB Esquimalt in 2023 after being deployed for 126 days in the Indo-Pacific Region. | Chad Hipolito, The Canadian Press

STATE OF SHIPS OF STATE — The Royal Canadian Navy's deputy commander cut his teeth in a fleet on the upswing in the 1990s. The Halifax-class frigates were brand new, a small fleet of destroyers was still patrolling the seas, and sailors were constantly deployed.

In a wide-ranging interview with Playbook this summer, Rear-Adm. STEVEN WADDELL talked up billions in planned spending meant to launch Canada’s next naval boom time. But the future isn’t the present, and today's Navy is — excuse the pun — treading water.

Annual departmental reports have for years warned that an aging fleet and lackluster recruitment have serious consequences on what the Navy can actually do to defend Canada's interests.

— Euphemism watch: The word creative was frequently on the tip of the admiral's tongue.

Waddell talked through each challenge, acknowledging all the tradeoffs required of a short-staffed fleet operating old boats — but insisting the Navy can still fulfill its objectives.

→ How to crew a ship: The Navy is 1,800 sailors short of its staffing objectives, a 21 per cent shortall that has hampered the technical trades required to safely operate ships.

But the orders from on high don't take a break, so the Navy has been forced to become — brace for it — creative with its human resources. Crews used to stick to a single coast and gel as a unit as much as possible on specific ships. Now, sailors rotate to wherever they're needed.

"That can affect a kind of unit level cohesion and culture that we're kind of accustomed to in the past," says Waddell. "But I wouldn't say that it's worse, it's just different."

Waddell reflects on the good ol' days. "Having been through a period of time where ops tempo was high, availability of platforms was high, morale was excellent," he says.

"As leadership, we need to make sure that we really remain focused on what is truly affecting our sailors today and find the right solutions to meet their needs while at the same time achieving government objectives. And that's hard. It's not an easy place to operate."

→ How to repair a ship: Technicians work on the fly at sea to keep ships operational. The vessels are getting so old that spare parts can be a luxury.

"Often, because of obsolescence, if some of the parts are not available, they're forced to be very creative" — there's that word again — "and actually fabricate components to assist to make sure that capability can be sustained on the front line," Waddell says.

The crew makes use of lathes, welding kits and more recently 3D printers.

— Why does Canada need a Navy? The answer might be obvious to academics, policymakers and people in uniform, but Waddell cites "maritime blindness" — a societal ignorance to the role oceans play in the world — as a factor in the Navy's PR battles.

"We continue as a country to be challenged by really defining why we need a credible maritime force that is delivered in sufficient time and scale that meets the defense requirements of the country," Waddell says.

"It's a topic of conversation that manifests in the media, manifests in academic circles. It certainly manifests within the Department of National Defence and government. For the majority of Canadians, it doesn't manifest strongly in narrative."

— Chain of command: Playbook asked Waddell if military leaders had grown impatient with a federal government unwilling to spend urgently on defense needs. "I'll probably be somewhat limited in how I want to answer that," he said. But he did add this:

"We're very clear, and we're very confident, in matching what we know our requirements to be based on the world happening around us. At the end of the day, it's a government decision on how much they choose to invest in that," he said. "As a taxpayer myself, I know there are many challenges out there with education and health and my own mortgage at play. I'm just like any other Canadian citizen here."

For your radar


WATCHING THE WATER — The Navy only shows off some of its deployments.

When a handful of vessels set sail for high-profile multinational exercises, typically a press release boasts of the Canadian contingent's interoperability with allies.

When the Navy wants to keep a low profile, however, the PR channels are mum in advance — say, when HMCS Montreal transits the Taiwan Strait in a deliberate show of defiance to Chinese authorities who claim those waters as their own territory.

On July 31, that frigate did sail across the controversial strait. Later that day, the Canadian Armed Forces acknowledged the ship's movements. By then, though, close observers had already known about the transiting for more than 12 hours.

— Hiding in plain sight: HMCS Montreal made no secret of its location. The Chinese would've been well aware of the Canadians.

The crew flipped on Automatic Identification System transponders — AIS for short — that were picked up by open-source vessel-tracking services as the ship moved through Pacific waters, the East China Sea and the Taiwan Strait.

— Keep an eye out: STEFFAN WATKINS, an Ottawa-based research consultant, spends long hours every day watching Navy and Air Force assets sail and fly around the world. Most of the data is open source — aka publicly available.

He's been at this a while. The National Post's TOM BLACKWELL profiled him in 2018.

Watkins says he first received an alert about HMCS Montreal's movements between Taiwan and the Chinese mainland at 7:52 p.m. ET on July 30, approximately 15 hours before the official military acknowledgment. He let his followers know the next morning.

— Status report: Every week, Watkins publishes a review of the latest whereabouts of Canada's Navy. He emphasizes that his unverified findings require a solid fact-check. For example, adversaries can "spoof" the locations of Canadian assets.

— Transparency check: The Navy has a habit of being slow to acknowledge ship movements that could cause a stir. CBC's MURRAY BREWSTER reported on the military's "belated" confirmation that HMCS Regina last month shadowed a Chinese vessel in the Bering Strait off the Alaskan coast.

The Canadian frigate appeared to turn off its transponders as it entered the Bering Sea south of the strait, Brewster reported. The ship reappeared four days later in Arctic waters.

→ The official line: "DND did not answer CBC News' questions about why the frigate's encounter with the Xue Long 2 was not publicly acknowledged in previous statements."

 

During unprecedented times, POLITICO Pro Analysis gives you the insights you need to focus your policy strategy. Live briefings, policy trackers, and and people intelligence secures your seat at the table. Learn more.

 
 
Where the leaders are

— Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU is in the National Capital Region with no public-facing events on the books.

— NDP Leader JAGMEET SINGH will be in St. John’s, Newfoundland, where he will participate in a fireside chat at the 2024 IBEW All Canada progress meeting at 1:30 p.m. local time. At 6:30 p.m., he will host a townhall at the Benevolent Irish Society.

— Deputy PM CHRYSTIA FREELAND, Conservative Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE, Bloc Leader YVES-FRANÇOIS BLANCHET and Green Party Leader ELIZABETH MAY have not released itineraries.

DULY NOTED


10:30 a.m. Liberal MPs JULIE DABRUSIN and TONY VAN BYNEN will be at Canco ClimateCare in Newmarket, Ontario, to announce funding related to skilled trades in heating and cooling.

10:30 a.m. National Revenue Minister MARIE-CLAUDE BIBEAU will be with MP ÉLISABETH BRIÈRE at Calogy Solutions in Sherbrooke, Quebec, to announce a federal investment in “battery innovation.”

6:30 p.m. Treasury Board President ANITA ANAND headlines a party fundraiser at Dynamic Earth, the home of the "Big Nickel" in Sudbury. Local MP VIVIANE LAPOINTE hosts.

ALSO FOR YOUR RADAR

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau takes questions after an announcement at the Goodyear plant in Napanee, Ont., on Monday, Aug. 12.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau takes questions after a news briefing on Monday. | Justin Tang, The Canadian Press

CLAPBACK — Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU had some fire in his belly to start the week. The tell that he was raring to go at Tory Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE? He ditched his breathy boilerplate and went straight at his rival.

The PM was asked Monday at a funding announcement for Goodyear Tires about his government's response to new U.S. tariffs on imported Chinese electric vehicles.

Last week, Poilievre challenged him to match the American measures. Trudeau dismissed that demand as "a bit of a joke," accusing the Conservatives of pledging to cut federal spending on EVs. "So [for] him to suddenly turn around and say, 'Oh, we're worried about EVs.' That's baloney. He's looking for a political angle, because that's all he does."

2024 WATCH

A split screen of Elon Musk (left) and the new Twitter logo is seen.

Elon Musk hosted a conversation with Donald Trump on Monday night, though the event was delayed by technical difficulties. | Alain Jocard/AFP via Getty Images

ANOTHER X CATASTROPHE — “Elon Musk guaranteed entertainment. He delivered technical difficulties instead,” POLITICO’s BRITTANY GIBSON reports.

Musk planned to host GOP nominee DONALD TRUMP for an interview “Live on X,” formerly Twitter Spaces,” at 8 p.m. But for the second time in the 2024 presidential election, the social media site was glitchy.

Musk posted that “there appears to be a massive DDOS attack on ��. Working on shutting it down.” Trump’s campaign spokesperson claimed the GOP nominee and Musk were “breaking the internet.”

— Further reading: ​​Trump embraces Musk and his electric vehicles — but not Biden’s rules

MEDIA ROOM

— “The Conservatives and Liberals have spent an awful lot of time online lately accusing each other of being ‘wacko’ and ‘weird’ — insults imported directly from the two rival campaigns for president in the United States,” The Globe writes in an editorial. “It’s embarrassing to watch and a further breakdown in civility.”

PARIS MARX, author of the newsletter Disconnect and host of the podcast “Tech Won't Save Us”, is on CBC’s “Front Burner” pod to discuss growing concerns that generative AI may be a bubble, and that it may soon burst.

— “The Big Story” pod features VASS BEDNAR and DENISE HEARN on the lack of competition in Canada — the first in a five-part series.

— “Trump and the Republicans have lost their mojo, and until they understand why, they won’t be getting it back,” Crestview Strategy’s GINNY ROTH writes on The Hub.

— “It was the ultimate irony that the NABJ chose to give such a major platform to Trump, a famous disseminator of falsehoods, at a convention whose theme was ‘journalism over disinformation,” notes Toronto writer PACINTHE MATTAR, who was at the U.S. National Association of Black Journalists’ event.

PLAYBOOKERS


Birthdays: Former Conservative Cabmin JULIAN FANTINO celebrates today.

Celebrate your day with the Playbook community. Send us the details. We’ll let everyone know.

Spotted: Liberal MP CHANDRA ARYA, meeting with Indian External Affairs Minister SUBRAHMANYAM JAISHANKAR. "As a genuine advocate of India - Canada friendship, appreciate his views and value his insights," Jaishankar wrote on X.

The guts of the OG House of Commons in Centre Block, including teak and ebony boards meant to represent “the deck of the Ship of State.”

Noted: BIRJU DATTANI, the embattled chief commissioner of the Canadian Human Rights Commission, has resigned effective Monday. On LinkedIn, Dattani posted a paper trail of correspondence with Justice Minister ARIF VIRANI's office. The minister had expressed concern about Dattani's appointment following an external "fact-finding exercise."

Movers and shakers: Barrick Gold posted July meetings with KEVIN COON, chief of staff to Trade Minister MARY NG; JASON EASTON, PMO's strategic adviser for special projects; SAMIR KASSAM, policy director to Natural Resources Minister JONATHAN WILKINSON; and KAYLIE STATHOPULOS, a senior policy and regional adviser to Wilkinson.

Media mentions: ROBERT HILTZ joins the Ottawa Citizen as editor of news and engagement.

PROZONE


Don’t miss our latest newsletter for Pro subscribers from KYLE DUGGAN and SUE ALLAN: Trudeau defends against EV barbs.

In other news for Pros:

Biden admin touts progress on return-to-office goals.

Leaked Project 2025 videos: “Eradicate” climate references.

Q&A: A climate scientist’s evolution on carbon removal.

5 major questions facing Kamala Harris now.

Elon Musk's AI faces fresh privacy probes.

TRIVIA


Monday's answer: Former Canadian PM ROBERT BORDEN, upon winning a general election, "slipped away to his boyhood home of Grand Pré" in Nova Scotia without delivering a victory speech.

Props to GUY SKIPWORTH, MARK AGNEW, IAN GLYNWILLIAMS, BOOTS VAISEY, KEVIN BOSCH, NANCI WAUGH, MARCEL MARCOTTE, HUGUES THÉORÊT, BOB PLAMONDON, RALPH LEVENSTEIN, WILL BULMER, JOHN MERRIMAN, ANDREW FITZPATRICK, BOB ERNEST, GORDON RANDALL, ROBERT MCDGOUGALL and MALCOLM MCKAY.

Today’s question: What word first appeared in JACQUES CARTIER's journal on this day in 1535?

Answers to ottawaplaybook@politico.com .

Want to grab the attention of movers and shakers on Parliament Hill? Want your brand in front of a key audience of Ottawa influencers? Run a Playbook ad campaign. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

Playbook wouldn’t happen without: POLITICO Canada editor Sue Allan, editor Willa Plank and Luiza Ch. Savage.

 

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