How Prop 36 collided with a prison bill vote

Presented by The Utility Reform Network: Your afternoon must-read briefing on politics and government in the Golden State
Aug 27, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO California Playbook PM

By Lindsey Holden

Presented by The Utility Reform Network

Prisoners from Sacramento County stand with their hands cuffed behind their backs as they await processing after arriving at the Deuel Vocational Institution in Tracy.

Prisoners from Sacramento County await processing after arriving at the Deuel Vocational Institution in Tracy in 2014. The prison is one of the facilities Gov. Gavin Newsom has closed during his time in office, although lawmakers want him to shutter more. | Rich Pedroncelli/AP

EMPTY BEDS: Assemblymember Phil Ting’s bill pushing the state to consolidate and ultimately close prisons squeaked off the Senate floor Monday night with just 22 ‘ayes’ and five Democrats voting against it.

What’s that, you say? You thought California was all for shrinking the prison population?

It’s true that Democrats for years have pushed Gov. Gavin Newsom to save the state money by closing prisons. And the state, for the past decade, has taken steps to reduce dangerous overcrowding in prisons following a federal court mandate upheld by the U.S. Supreme Court in 2011.

Those efforts are working. The Legislative Analyst’s Office in February reported the state would have 15,000 empty prison beds in 2024-2025, growing to 19,000 by 2028.

Enter Prop 36, which would reinstate more punitive drug and theft penalties.

The tight vote on Ting’s bill shows how the tough-on-crime swing could impact state policy even before Californians have a chance to weigh in on the ballot measure.

“A little bit cart before the horse,” is how state Sen. Angelique Ashby explained her ‘no’ vote on Ting’s bill, referring to the initiative and the retail theft bill package Newsom signed this month. 

“I would rather have seen the criminal justice reforms take shape and then respond to that, having the benefit of implementation to base our decision on,” she said.

Ashby told Playbook she hasn’t yet taken a position on Prop 36. But the Republicans and moderate Democrats backing the ballot measure say its predecessor, Proposition 47, and other initiatives aimed at changing stringent sentencing laws went too far.

Opponents of the ballot measure have used a potential uptick in incarceration as an argument against it, saying Prop 36 would disproportionately hurt communities of color and cost the state money it doesn’t have.

They have reason to be concerned.

The LAO’s Prop 36 analysis says it will cost the state tens to hundreds of millions of dollars annually, mostly due to an increase in the prison population.

State Sen. Bill Dodd, who also voted against Ting’s bill, said he worries about potential “unintended consequences” of the legislation as it relates to the prison population and Prop 36. He also hasn’t taken a position on the initiative.

“There's more and more concerns about that creating more opportunities for people to go to jail,” Dodd said. “And that, in itself, could be a conflict.”

Ting told Playbook he knew the Senate tally would be close. Even so, the former Assembly Budget Committee chair characterized his legislation as a “fiscal common sense bill” and touted it as a potential solution to the state’s budget issues.

The bill received its final Assembly vote this afternoon, and it now heads to Newsom’s desk. A spokesperson for the governor did not immediately respond to a question about whether he has taken up the bill or has a position on it.

“It doesn't make sense to spend all the money policing empty beds when we're talking about closing schools, less money for higher education, less money for food, less money for health care,” Ting said.

 

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IT’S TUESDAY AFTERNOON. This is California Playbook PM, a POLITICO newsletter that serves as an afternoon temperature check on California politics and a look at what our policy reporters are watching. Got tips or suggestions? Shoot an email to lholden@politico.com.

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW TODAY

San Francisco Mayor London Breed watches during the Democratic National Convention.

San Francisco Mayor London Breed watches during the Democratic National Convention on Aug. 20, 2024, in Chicago. | Erin Hooley/AP

BREEDING DISCONTENT: One of state Sen. Scott Wiener’s closest political allies came out against his landmark artificial intelligence bill as it awaits an Assembly floor vote, warning it could undermine San Francisco’s economy.

San Francisco Mayor London Breed wrote in a letter dated Monday that Senate Bill 1047, which requires large AI models to test for hazards like biological attacks, needs more work so it “doesn’t add unnecessary bureaucracy.” Breed joined a lengthening list of SB 1047 foes that includes major AI firms and prominent House Democrats like Rep. Nancy Pelosi (although Elon Musk likes it).

Breed’s resistance is a bitter blow for Wiener, who’s long enjoyed a mutually supportive relationship with the mayor given their focus on housing and relative centrism. But Breed has regularly touted an AI boom’s potential to sustain the city’s flagging tech sector and revive its downtown — pressing concerns as she fights for reelection. She reiterated that emphasis in writing to Wiener: “The industry is core to our city’s future.”

 

Follow ongoing storylines on how the election will shape policy debates beyond 2024. Our nonpartisan insights prepared our subscribers to navigate a changed political landscape. Learn more about POLITICO Pro.

 
 
ON THE BEATS

Assemblymember Rebecca Bauer-Kahan speaks into a microphone during an Assembly floor session.

Assemblymember Rebecca Bauer-Kahan's bill restricting solitary confinement for pregnant people advanced from the Senate floor. | Rich Pedroncelli/AP

SOLITARY EFFORT: A bill from Assemblymember Rebecca Bauer-Kahan that would limit solitary confinement for incarcerated pregnant people advanced from the Senate floor today, in spite of backlash from advocates angry it doesn’t ban the practice altogether.

Bauer-Kahan’s legislation originally prohibited pregnant inmate isolation, but she amended it to allow limited solitary confinement if prisoners face “a credible and imminent threat to the safety or security of the incarcerated pregnant persons.”

In response, some former bill supporters recently signed a letter opposing it.

Even so, the measure moved forward easily with a 37-0 vote.

The only floor debate came when Republican state Sen. Shannon Grove — who supported the legislation — attempted to shoehorn in a culture war discussion on a 2020 bill requiring the state Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation to ask prisoners about their gender identity and to assign housing based on their preferences.

This prompted state Sen. Caroline Menjivar, who was presiding over the Senate, to ask Grove to limit her comments to the bill at hand.

 

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HOME LOAN DEBATE: Democrats invoked Fox News several times in a lengthy debate on the Senate floor this morning before advancing a first-in-the-nation bill that would make certain undocumented immigrants eligible for a state-supported program that provides up to $150,000 in home loans. The conversation around the measure, according to state Sen. Dave Min, a Democratic congressional candidate, is part of the discourse that has “undocumented immigrants being tossed around like a political football” as immigration becomes a key topic in the presidential election.

“It's where Fox News, anti-immigration propaganda collides with housing policy,” said state Sen. Wiener, a San Francisco Democrat who has often sparred with national conservatives on social media.

Republicans accused Democrats of helping undocumented immigrants at the cost of veterans and others in the country legally who can’t afford housing. “What we're doing here disenfranchises and disrespects those who have actually gone through the process, and are ready to purchase a home,” said state Sen. Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh.

The bill, which would only apply to undocumented immigrants with a social security or taxpayer identification number, would need to clear a final vote in the Assembly before it heads to Newsom’s desk. – Eric He

WHAT WE'RE READING TODAY

— Was Newsom’s whale-watching trip in Baja California for business or pleasure? It depends on who you ask. (San Francisco Standard)

— The “sibling rivalry” between Newsom and Vice President Kamala Harris has a winner, for now. It’s not Newsom, and he doesn’t seem happy. (Los Angeles Times)

— Three California lawmakers say Newsom’s staff inflated the cost estimates for a handful of failed health care bills in a rare public rebuke of the governor’s office. (CalMatters)

— Inside Harris’ scramble to win the Latino vote. (POLITICO)

 

DON’T MISS OUR AI & TECH SUMMIT: Join POLITICO’s AI & Tech Summit for exclusive interviews and conversations with senior tech leaders, lawmakers, officials and stakeholders about where the rising energy around global competition — and the sense of potential around AI and restoring American tech knowhow — is driving tech policy and investment. REGISTER HERE.

 
 
AROUND THE STATE

Los Angeles will pay nearly $40 million in a settlement with U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development after it allegedly used federal dollars to build affordable housing that was inaccessible to people with disabilities. (Los Angeles Times)

Levi’s Stadium is getting a $200 million makeover in preparation to host the Super Bowl and multiple World Cup matches in 2026. (East Bay Times)

— The largest dam removal project in U.S. history, located near the California-Oregon border, is nearly complete. It’s a major win for tribes — and salmon. (The New York Times)

— A homeless encampment composed mostly of disabled seniors was declared a crime scene Monday in Sacramento as city officials forcibly closed the camp. (Sacramento Bee)

— compiled by Tyler Katzenberger

 

A message from The Utility Reform Network:

GOV. NEWSOM AND LEGISLATURE - Don’t get burned again. California voters are demanding you stand up to utility greed and prevent Wall Street from profiting at our expense. Adopt alternatives to utility capital spending that save billions for customers. Reform wildfire mitigation spending, cut wasteful expenditures, and hold utilities accountable for safe, affordable service. Ensure critical reforms aren't upended and stop utilities from writing their own rules or profiting from failures. With 86% public support for safer, more cost-effective wildfire mitigation measures, it’s time to stand up for the safety and financial well-being of California voters. Learn more.

 
 

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