Europe’s Greens take a beating at the polls. Is the US next?

Presented by Chevron: Your guide to the political forces shaping the energy transformation
Jun 10, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Joel Kirkland

Presented by Chevron

President Joe Biden smiles with French President Emmanuel Macron.

President Joe Biden smiles with French President Emmanuel Macron on Saturday at the Elysee Palace in Paris. | Michel Euler/AP

Climate action on the other side of the Atlantic flourished after the “green wave” and “quiet revolution” of the 2019 elections elevated the Green Party into a force in the European Parliament.

Five years later, a reversal of political fortunes in Europe could upend the move to zero-carbon energy and a hard shift toward electric cars by 2035.

In a continent-wide election that ended Sunday and left Europe’s political establishment in tatters, political support for green policies was undercut by the rightward tide. The center-right European People’s Party will have the highest number of seats in the European Parliament, while far-right parties gained significant ground. Green parties lost almost a quarter of their seats, and support cratered in France and Germany.

Our reporting team in Brussels noted it marked a reversal after climate activists marched in the streets before the last election.

Parties on the left are sure to come to the defense of climate policies. But a fight among factions on the right could also be on the horizon if far-right politicians attack the European Green Deal and its goal of zeroing out climate pollution by 2050.

EPP leader Manfred Weber told POLITICO the European Union’s ban on the sale of combustion engine cars after 2035 was a “mistake” and promised the party would discuss rolling it back in “upcoming days.”

That would mean a split with his party’s lead candidate, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who has backed the ban on the campaign trail.

Sound familiar?

Other than the parliamentary aspect, this all might strike a chord.

In November, American voters face a similar choice: Endorse four more years of a clean energy-driven U.S. industrial policy that took shape under President Joe Biden that aims for a zero-carbon economy in 2050, or return Donald Trump to the White House. If Trump is elected and the federal government takes a far more skeptical viewpoint of the climate problem, hundreds of billions of dollars in subsidies for clean energy technology could wither on the vine.

To get in front of this new wave beating against the political establishment, Biden, U.K. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and French President Emmanuel Macron are taking dramatic steps, John Harris and Alexander Burns write. On Sunday night, after the strong showing of Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally party in France, Macron called for snap parliamentary elections. Sunak has also called for a new U.K. election in early July to shore up support for his beleaguered Conservative government, if possible.

And Biden, who’s struggling to get a handle on worrisome poll numbers, got Trump to agree to the earliest-ever general election debate, scheduled for June 27.

For climate and energy policy in the United States, instability is par for the course.

U.S. energy and climate policy have been zigging and zagging since the end of the Clinton presidency. President Barack Obama took a chisel to President George W. Bush’s oil-friendly policies. Trump took a hammer to Obama’s Paris agreement. And Biden overcame united Republican opposition when he redefined what it is to offer federal support for clean energy technology by signing the Inflation Reduction Act.

 

It's Monday  thank you for tuning in to POLITICO's Power Switch. I'm your host, Joel Kirkland. Power Switch is brought to you by the journalists behind E&E News and POLITICO Energy. Send your tips, comments, questions to jkirkland@eenews.net.

 

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Power Centers

Photo illustration of United States Representatives (from left to right): Young Kim, Mike Garcia, Mariannette Miller-Meeks, and Scott Perry

Illustration by Jade Cuevas/POLITICO (source images via Getty Images)

Republicans tout infrastructure funding they opposed
Some vulnerable House Republicans are tacitly taking credit for federal infrastructure funding they voted against, writes Katherine Tully-McManus.

Nearly three years after Congress passed the $1.2 trillion bill — with the support of only 13 House Republicans — project announcements and preparations have begun across the country. Battleground Republicans who opposed the law are now showing up at opening ceremonies, celebrating public transit, highway and dredging projects.

Congestion pricing heads for the doldrums
Democratic New York Gov. Kathy Hochul's decision to halt congestion pricing in Manhattan could hinder similar efforts across the country, writes Scott Waldman.

Cities from Portland, Oregon, to San Francisco were waiting to see how the controversial climate policy played out in the nation's largest city. The program would have charged drivers $15 to travel below 60th Street, in a bid to reduce pollution and traffic.

“It was always this sense of well, we’ll get to see how New York’s going and we’ll learn from that as we go to implement our program here,” said Stuart Cohen, co-founder and senior adviser for TransForm, a California-based public transportation advocacy group. “And so yeah, this will absolutely take the wind out of the sails of pricing programs across the country, but especially on the West Coast.”

PacifiCorp's coal revival
One of the country’s largest utilities is considering awarding a contract to a carbon capture startup once helmed by its CEO, write Jason Plautz and Carlos Anchondo.

PacifiCorp CEO Cindy Crane is still executive board chair at Enchant Energy, which is the lead company on the only bid to install carbon capture at one of the utility's coal power plants.

The bid was submitted when Crane was still CEO at Enchant — and its fate may be decided when she’s CEO at PacifiCorp. The utility, a subsidiary of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, announced in April that it would extend the life of some of its coal plants.

 

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In Other News

Constitutional showdown: Donald Trump is vowing to take key spending powers from Congress — despite those powers being enshrined in the Constitution — if elected this November. Allies say the former president wants to cut funding for the World Health Organization and green energy initiatives.

What national debt? Republicans are preparing to expand tax cuts on corporations and the wealthy if Trump wins the White House. As POLITICO's E&E News recently reported, House GOP lawmakers have already begun to comb through the Inflation Reduction Act to find offsets for extending Trump-era income tax cuts.

 

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Traffic on a Los Angeles-area freeway during evening rush hour on April 12, 2023.

Traffic on a Los Angeles-area freeway during evening rush hour last year. | Frederic J. Brown/AFP via Getty Images

An uptick in electric vehicle use could worsen air quality in historically disadvantaged parts of Los Angeles, even though such broad adoption would have the opposite effect in other large U.S. cities.

A senior Bureau of Land Management official warned in an internal email that the federal government might be rushing the environmental review of a controversial lithium mine, a project some see as critical to jump-starting electric vehicle supply chains in the U.S.

Global spending on clean energy is set to eclipse $2 trillion in 2024, double the $1 trillion spent on fossil fuels, according to the International Energy Agency.

That's it for today, folks! Thanks for reading.

 

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